According to pollster and analyst, Nate silver,
there is a very good chance that in November
Joe Biden can win the popular vote yet much
like Hillary Clinton before him and Al Gore,
even before her, uh, lose, lose the presidency
because of the electoral college. In fact,
the numbers that Nate silver put out on Wednesday
of this week are quite terrifying because
Joe Biden could actually win the popular vote
by three to four percentage points and still
not get the electoral college vote. And that
is a greater margin by the way than what Hillary
Clinton had in 2016. But even with that kind
of margin Biden may not get it. Here are the
numbers that needs silver put out. Uh, if
Biden wins the popular vote by one zero to
one points, there's only a 6% chance to win
the electoral college. One to two points,
22% chance to win two to three, a 46% chance
in three to four, it finally goes above 50%
at 74%. Uh, but essentially by a silver says,
excuse me, the electoral college is not really
safe for Biden unless he wins by more than
five points. So you would have to win the
popular vote in this country by more than
five percentage points to essentially guarantee
that you win the presidency. So even if you
won the popular vote, 54% to 46%,
Oh, I'm sorry. That's not right. It would
be 52 to 48. So if you want 52 to 48, you
could still end up not being president of
the United States. It's okay. Cool system.
That totally works out just fine. That's exactly
what the founding fathers intended. Right?
Folks. This is ridiculous. We have had far
too many elections in just the last 20 years
that this has happened and sure. It's only
been two, but that's two too many. The electoral
college is stupid and all of the arguments
in favor of keeping, it are just as stupid.
Oh, because your vote counts more. If we,
if we keep the electoral college. No, actually
it doesn't actually, it doesn't, for example,
I I'm in Florida and I'm gonna vote for Biden.
But if Trump carries my state, then my vote
didn't matter because of the electoral college.
Didn't matter at all. Just like if you're
a Biden voter and say Wyoming with your three
electoral votes, the only votes that matter,
there are the Republican votes. If you're
in California and you vote for a Republican,
your vote matter either because all of the
electoral votes of that state are going to
the Democrat. See what I'm getting at, depending
on how you vote and what state you live in.
You have a 50, 50 chance of your vote. Not
meaning a thing because the popular vote doesn't
matter. That's not okay. That is not the way
this is supposed to work. It's the way rigged
system is supposed to work. And that's exactly
what we have in the United States.
