A Natural Disaster Forecasting Technique
Based on Space Weather Data
Good afternoon everybody. Today I'll be
presenting the research, that work that I
have been working over the last seven
years. The background of my work is that I
have been really active in solar
activities prediction as well as natural
disaster. I've been doing such work
continuously for seven years and I have
discover a lot of connections between solar
activities and earth changes and of course
found some connection with electricity
and electric universe. And I would like
to present this work to you today. First
things first. The objective of this talk
is going to be providing some insight
into global natural disaster forecasting
technique. Second is to utilize property
of space & planets in explaining the
occurrence of natural disaster. And third
is to explain the interaction between solar
activities, planetary alignment, and how this
can lead to natural disasters on Earth. So
many of the things such as planetary
alignment it's, it's an observation that
so many observer around the world have
seen to be some connection but it's really
hard to explain how does it work. So I
will be presenting some of the
scientific experiment to help verify
that this can be true, through science.
Next we start with the word forecast.
Forecast is about, you know, from
definition is to predict or estimate. We
want to know something in the future and
you know it for someone to know something in
the future, such as how each person come to
this conference. Of course we have to've done
this type of things before. So it relies on
lot of experience, practice, we actually
need to know the destination where we
can be outgoing and what kind of tools
we are going to use and implement and
actually take the efforts to do it. And
of course nobody learn how to walk since
we are born, we actually had to
practice so actually need to spend a lot
of time to develop the skill to do this.
So in order for someone to make a
successful forecast, we start with
looking at the subject of interest just
the way it is and see what are the
things that we can learn about the relationships
of the two things. The first I
would like to use the picture from David
Somerville and Hugh Mcleod about
how we actually obtain some
understanding of something. So we start with
data. So it's a collection of informations,
and we catalog it in a way that we can
make some relationships between
different data. And, of course, require 
knowledge or, in this case, we're looking
for a scientific knowledge to help
connecting all the data, understand how
each type of data or information is
linked to the others.
And it requires insight, of course
we have to know where we're going.
So that's very important in terms of doing
the forecast. So it provides we have
to have insight that there is a path
toward the goal. And of course, to
accomplish all this we have to put in
efforts so we call this wisdom. It's
choosing the right path, using the right
tools and spend efforts to make it
work. And of course the path we choose we want
to choose, you know, the shortest path. And of
course to use the tools, there are so
many different tools. You want to use the
tools that is the most effective. And the
most effective tools in nature we call
this, "The Law of Nature" because these
type of tools never change over time.
Unlike some scientific theories which is
based on some sort of perception. It may
change if we change perceptions.
So in this case we look into the
ultimate law of nature which several
philosophy around the world has
discover and make the ultimate
conclusions that everything that occur
in this universe happens for reason and
that's dependent on many things. So that
means, one thing cannot exist without
relying on some other things to exist. And
not only that when it exists, it never
lasts forever.
It goes away as the factors that try to
sustain its existence go away. So the
other tools I'm planning to use is, of course,
the law of physics. And of course in this
conference we talk about
Electric Universe. So, we'll be using the
electrical theory to help explain a lot
of natural disaster phenomenons. Of
course we use electric to explain the Earth's
interaction in local environment. And
in addition to that, we also relies on wave
properties to have explained a little
things in a little bit more microscopic...
model
so that's I proposed to use the term
quantum vibrations to explain the solar
system scale interaction. And I would go
over the word quantum in the future
because why you want to use this word.
So next we're going to how we do the
natural disaster forecast. Of course
just like everyone's here come to this
room or Susan and Dave Talbott set up this
conference, of course first thing is, it has to
be important. Otherwise you're not going
to do it. So that means significancy
is one of the factor we use in
natural disaster forecast. And of course
once we know it's important, we're going to
say where, sorry, when are we going to do
it? So that's timing. And of course the
last thing is where which is right now
in this hotel room. So the same thing for
natural disaster forecasts. We're
looking for, once there's significance,
we want to look at a timing which is the
initialization of the events and of course
the occurrence of the events. In terms of
significance we emphasize on high
damage meaning it could have impact
to human infrastructures. If it's
something that happened in regular basis
or considered really normal
then there's no point to do it. And the
last but not least is location which, of
course, to be specific to different
type.. different zones on Earth. But this
presentation I'll be focusing on the two
factor here, the significance and the
timing and the location will be subject
beyond this talk. So next we want to
implement the basic understanding of
electricity, and apply it to natural
disaster forecast. So the simplest way to
look at natural disaster is of course, it
has to happen with a reason and it needs
some energy accumulation to happen
before something can occur. So we look at
electric energy accumulation in this
case. The simplest model you can
understand is a capacitor or battery. It's
pretty much when you have a capacitor
or battery, there's a polarization. So
there's a charge separation. And when it's
charge separation there is always some
stress that's building up in that volume of
energy. Next, when charge is building up
to some certain point, it start to have
some sign. For example when capacitors
start to break down they start to
producing some noise or some kind of
vibrations and that's when it's reaching
some threshold. So in terms of natural
disaster such as earthquakes or volcanic
eruptions or tornadoes formations, there's
a threshold. And there are signs such
as radioactive emission, such as,
there's a radon gas emission of, that
emits out near the earthquake preparation zone,
there is a mechanical movement, we can actually
see the cloud that actually looks like ripple,
cloud ripple, so people call that "earthquake
cloud." Of course there are other types
like thermal or electromagnetic
radiations. So, these are a warning sign
of natural disaster, in this case. So we can
understand it through understanding
electricity. And of course the last stage
is the energy release. So when energy
release from a volume, of course it's come
to different forms. If it's released in the
atmosphere we call that flash floods, storm,
rain, tornadoes, hurricanes. If energy is
released underground, we call that
earthquakes. So, many scientists discover
a lot of electrical discharge
underground when earthquake occur as well
as above the ground. So next, we're going
to talk about, so what helps energize
these things. So, there are many different
factors. One is the external factors
which is space, surrounding space. The
other is internal factors. But internal
factors are very difficult to find data.
So in this case we more focus on the
external factors which is space and solar
activities. So one of the, this slide here
show the Sun which on your, this side,
left hand side,
producing coronal mass ejection. You see
carefully, you see a big glow of plasma, see
the Venus as it reached Venus, you see how
it energized the surrounding of the planet.
And you might start to see some of
the tail. Right here, that, there you go and
there's also a fluctuation of solar wind. So
during the time when there are solar
activities such as fluctuation in solar
wind, coronal mass ejection, there always
something happened to the atmosphere of
the Earth. And next if you want to study the
interaction between the surrounding plasma
and the earth, you have to conduct an
experiment. One of the simple experiment
I've done at home, which is really
simple, it consists of a vacuum chamber
and then it connected to a pipe, then pressure
gauge, pressure valve and vacuum pump. And of
course we used battery which generate power
for the high frequency AC generator.
We can also use DC generator and it's
connected to a magnetic sphere at the
center of the vacuum chamber. So when we
apply high voltage into it, you start to
see plasma glow, which is right here, and,
of course, it start to glow and the place
that has actually glow brightest is
around the pole. We may
look at this as some kind
of auras events. Of course,
what happened when you have external factor
come into play? So this is very simple
experiment, all you do is just put your
hand close to the chamber which
provides a place where there's high
conductivities that can seed plasma. So
what happened when we do that again,
so this is what happened. You see this,
there's plasma connected to the hand right
here and there's two form of brightness occur
around the equator, in addition to the
energy that goes to the pole. So that
means it suggests that when we have a
solar activity events, it actually impact
every places around the world. So that
energy goes into the atmosphere. So this
is in case where, there's, you see events
coming and reach the earth. So another clue
is, if you look into the satellite image
like this one you see the total electron
densitiy, the electron number density at
400 kilometers above the earth. We
see two different two strips of high-plasma
density. Just like we see from this
experiment. So next
we're going to more details about how we
do the forecast. So we relate how plasma
density play an important role in
modulating the atmosphere, atmospheric
energy. So we can do some type of
prediction. A simple one to begin with.
Let's start with the Sun. If we look in
the Sun, there's period where there's low
number of sunspots and there's a period
where's the high number of sunspots. So
the difference is plasma density. Now,
that's one of the, one aspect of it.
So if we look in the ionosphere,
so when there's a lot of sprites occurred,
that's when, the time when space
contain a lot of plasma. And next step, if you
go down toward the atmosphere, just look at
the sky. A simple observation when sky is clear
there are less plasma concentrations and
when, as we move towards small clouds and
it become more condensed, start to see more
electricity, a plasma discharge or tornadoes
formation, we can call that Birkeland current as well.
So this case, you have the time period
there's low plasma density and high
plasma density. And they're actually highly
linked to the Sun. And when we talk about
the lower sunspot number and higher sunspot
number, this is not only included in the
11-year cycle but all of the sub cycles
which have been changing very rapidly
like within a few days from low activities
to high activities. So how do we
relate this to natural disaster or how
we link this to electricity? So when the
sky is clear,
you have strong electric field. So
there's not a lot of current that's
going on in the sky. And during the time
when there's lot of lightning and
thunderstorm, we see strong magnetic fields.
So we see power transfer and dissipation.
So if you want to predict natural
disaster such as when the storm does start
to occur, we look at the precursor which
is the sky, looks just like this, where we
see how clouds build-up from, from light
cloud to really dense cloud. And this is
a global event that means it happen
around the world,
however there are some places that this
side, this type of events occur more
noticeable than the other area but is a
common observation. And of course how you
can predict earthquakes? It's the opposite.
So you're looking at the time during the
period where charge have an opportunity
to build up, so that mean during the
strong electric field. So when we want to
predict earthquakes we're talking about really
large earthquakes, typically occur when the
sky is clear, no rain, less humidity, very
dry and of course could be strong wind.
Because if you can produce ionic
winds which are causing sudden
disruptions in the weather but in terms
of just wind, not the moisture content
perspective. Or in the other condition is
when the sunspot reach its peak and it's
in the decline phase. So this is how we
use electricity to help understand
how to predict natural disaster. So let's
go into case study. Last year and this
year. So last year one of the biggest hurricane
that occurred was hurricane Joaquin which
had happened in September 2015. If
we start the events with a lot of solar
activities and CME's, you start to see
that the storm start to form on the sep-
tember 27 which happened after one of
the coronal mass ejection events. And
next we have one of the largest solar
flares of the year. This is m7 solar
flares. And if we look at the sky at
that time we start to see how the clouds
start to accumulate globally. So after that
second CME's which help accelerate the
storm wind. And in addition to that we
have extra x-ray. And last but not least
the last CME's happened on the September
30, which helped energize the
storm. The last time before it decayed. And
of course new storm form on that day. So
another case study, so this is when
there's a sunspot peak and there's a
peak in solar activities. During the time
when it's low solar activities. This
case is the Chilean earthquake happened on
september 16 and during his time as you
can see, the sunspot going to the period
of decline phase hundred and sixteen day.
It reached a convergence point at this day
before it's shooting back up. So there's
actually
disruptions in energy cycle over a
two-month period or more. And of course
there's trigger events happen and four days
later we have M8.3
earthquakes. So I have discovered this
pattern and have published this work in
the New Concepts in Global Tectonics journal
last year; so, you can see the reference
here. And of course, it happened with
another warning sign from space, which we
call the planetary alignment and we
will talk about that very soon. And
another popular obseration that people
have been adopted around the
world is looking at how the coronal hole,
which is the black spot, like this, as it
move and rotates and align with the earth.
The problem with this observation from
my perspective is that it happened so
frequent for example like every three
to five days so it's pretty difficult to
use for predicting earthquakes without using
other type of factors. But again, I'm
not an expert in doing coronal holes
observations, so that's what I saw so
far. And not only that, we see the dualities
between storm and large earthquakes. So
during a time when there's a lot of storm,
in this case we see on September fifth
2015, there are five tropical storm exist
on Earth at the same time.
And right before the earthquake occur, all
these storms just disappear. So there's
some kind of energy exchange between
atmosphere and underground, just right
before a large earthquake. At this,
there are also some type of earthquakes
occur around the peak of the storm
as well but it's not as intense. So
another case study which has happened
recently,
Japan and Ecuador earthquake that happened
in April 15 to 16 2016. You see the same
pattern that is repeated again here. That
you see about eight weeks period of
decline before converging back. And of
course there's a trigger point right
about three days after a big earthquake.
So we can actually predict these things
as we understand how the sunspot
patterns work and how the energy cycle
of the Sun works. The same thing if
someone wants to look at the coronal
holes that that's how it's this black spot
here that start to align on April 15.
So next, just a look at how we can predict
earthquakes and storm altogether,
especially earthquakes. See this is a
plot of global wind speed, of all the
storms combined on each particular day. So,
you can see that the y-axis here is
wind speed in knot and x-axis is the date. If
you want to predict earthquakes, you look in
the zone where there's no storm or
the storm just dies down.
So, there's two period here, and we see that
the earthquake occur in that time period.
One is the Taiwan earthquake, magnitude 6.4 and the
other is magnitude of 7.8 in Indonesia. So, now we
move to a more system level scale. Now, we
understand how the energy exchange
between space, atmosphere, and underground.
Now we go to solar system scale
because we want to predict how the space
weather fluctuates far in advance. So now,
we're going to the quantum vibration
theories. In these theories, we use the term
quantum because it's a minimal amount of
any physical entities involved in any
direction. If we look at Earth as a fine
dust in space, so this qualify as a
quantum, is something really tiny. A
natural disaster, even though it occur
and looks really, you know, big, in human,
for a single human, it is completely almost
negligible in solar system. So, the quantum
vibration is pretty much the vibration,
a wee little bit, just enough to produce
noticeable interaction by us. So, we use us
as a center. So, I just want to introduce
a little bit of concept here which I
have spoken in the last Electric Universe
conference, which is about resonant
coupling in the solar system. And in this
theory we treat the solar system as a
resonant system where the Sun is the center
of the vibrations and, of course, Earth
approximately sit in the third harmonics
of this vibration. And there's a lot of
evidence suggests that such type of wave
travel at speed of light but there could be
other types of waves as well,
like plasma wave, and of course the
frequency is calculated to be around
3 mHz, based on the distance
and the velocity of light. And of course
we can see that how we can reproduce
orbital plane, which will resemble the
protoplanetary
disk here as well as our solar system. So,
we want to extend this theory into how
we're going to predict the solar activities
or some space weather fluctuation around the
Earth, far in advance.
Another thing I want you to
notice about Jupiter orbits here. You
notice there are two lumps here of asteroids,
and we will try to create an
experiment that reproduce such type of
separations. 
So, now we move on to planetary and space
interaction. And of course, this is
one possible explanation of planetary
alignment phenomenons. So, we used
the Chladni plate which consists of
acrylic disk, and, of course, we put grains
of salt on top. And
you can see that when we put energy
apply, it start to organize itself into a
ring. And as we change the frequency, you
see how things evolve over
time.
Of course in this case, we used the
frequency of 1049 Hz, which is at the resonant
peak of this structure. A diameter of
the plate 11 inches if someone wanted
reproduce it.
That is producing four rings. Now, we're
going to introduce boundary conditions,
which are planets. So in this case, I mimic
planet as some magnetic ball, just put
on top and the bottom of this plate so
they securely, they secure each other.
So, one planet doesn't do much. So, [when] we turn
from this observation, we see that a
system that [is] unorganized when we apply a
vibration become organized. Of course, we
we now start to introduce our planet into,
as one of the boundary condition. So what
happens if you put more planets or
dot into a system? So that's one
planet. Now, we're going to two planets. It's
hard to see that the local space environment
start to change as more objects are introduced
into the system. And not only that, when
it's set at the right location, you start
to see how energy got condensed or
scattered. So, this really resembled
Bohr's atomic model where there's a
standing wave occur around the orbital path of an atom.
So for two planets, when two planets are
aligned, of course, it starts to form a
symmetrical shape. And when the planets
are strategically placed at some
certain stable spot, you see how energy
got condensed, and when it's placed at
other places it gets scattered. So now we
not only have two planets, we got multiple
planets on, on the solar system so we
wanna go do some more experiment here. So,
in this case we look at how we
modulate the frequency. As we modulate
the frequency, we can start to see that
the energy starts to change but the
boundary conditions around, the energy
around the planets remain about the same.
So this is only a fractional change by
about 0.6% of the frequency.
So, when we have solar eruptions, it is
expected that the helioseismic activity at
the Sun is changing at that time. So, you
start to see that it's not only the
space surrounding where these coronal mass
ejections occur that's going to change but
everything in the solar system change
altogether. Now, we go into three
planets. So this is going to be more
interesting that we gonna start to see
something new and more fine. So, this
is when we have three planets align
[   ]
and move as it moves away.
OK, so the more planets that come into
alignment, the more condensed energy it's
become. And if you notice here, right
there's
two lumps of particles that actually
formed around the planets but I believe
this is resembled how the particles formed
the asteroids, you know, clump together
around the Jupiter orbits which split
between, split equally distant from
Jupiter. And this is when it's misaligned.
Now really misaligned but two remain in
alignment. So next experiment is, we are
going to do more. We put more boundary
conditions and you start
to see how it works.
So just keep moving. Now we're
gonna basically align everything.
So now, we've moved Venus out of the orbits.
It still have some symmetry in it.
Now we're going to move everything out
so all the energy scatter.
So now, everything's all over the place. As you
can see, if you assume Earth is the third
planet here, what happened on the outer
planet does not have much influence on
the energy of the inner ones. So that's when
planets are aligned, four of them. That's three
and fourth is just moving out
you see like the fourth planet doesn't
really have a lot of impact. So next is when
it's aligned and not aligned at all. So you
can start to see how. So many people have
been using planets to do the prediction
and I believe this is the reason because
during that time there's a lot of things
that fluctuate more frequent than other
times.
So next we're looking to more evidence of
this resonance. So we look into the harmonic
resonance of the solar system. We should
be able to see such harmonics occur on
the planet level and the best place to
look at it is at the pole area. And at
the pole you can see dualities, there's
black spot on the north pole of Mercury.
There's a white spot on the south pole.
So that there's a temperature difference.
So in Venus, that's one, the second planet,
we got two. Two vortices. One in north pole,
two on north pole and two on the south which have
like an infinity (symbol), infinite shape. Of
course on Earth it's very hard to see so
we look at the wind system. On the
South pole or North Pole you look at the
wind map, there are kind of roughly three
vortices occur. And it actually coincide
with one of the research by Bruce Leybourne
who are who have proposed how the energy
coupling from space for the earth as Y and
Delta transformer which consists of
three nodes. And of course if you're
looking to, if you guess what happened on
Mars you should see four vortices from
around the pole and you see about
like a rectangled shape. And on the south
pole now of the ice kind of start to
vanish,
it's, you see the less ice on the center. And
the Jupiter, we're not quite sure but of
course it's a popular one which is the Saturn
which has got six, the hexagonal shape at the
pole. So there's a lot of evidence of
resonant vibration occur in the solar
system and we can actually use it for solar
activity predictions, climate predictions.
So and these are references for
researcher that have been doing some
predictions such as sunspot formation.
The graph on your left hand side, you can
see that they use planetary alignment to
predict sunspot formations
over multiple solar cycles. But there's a
irregular cycles and regular cycle so
so there are many details on that.
Also John Nelson have used this to
predict radio propagation each day. And
of course, there are people who do a lot
of prediction for earthquakes. Of course
last but not least, one of the last
experiment. A case study here. It's a case
study of Indian ocean earthquake happened in
June 2010 and of course there are solar activity
during the time when planets are aligned.
So in this case you see multiple planets
aligned in the same plane and
Earth is 90 degrees from that
alignment. So you see how sunspot peak up
during the time when planets come into
alignment and of course there's an
earthquake happened, magnitude of 7.5 and
it's followed by another earthquakes
magnitude 7.0 which is about three
days, have happened afterwards. Which I
already explained this connections in my
last presentation. Of course there are
coronal holes alignments that you can use to
do the forecast. Of course this concludes
my talk and we have proposed a natural
disaster forecasting technique here
and it's based on electrical and quantum
vibration theories. And I tried to verify
these theories through my own observations
as well as other people's observations
and we've built laboratory experiment to
confirm that this actually can help
explain some mystery that has been going
on for the whole last few hundred years.
So this conclude my talk and thank you
everyone for listening!
