in this video we want to explore a very
aggressive
and probably also very unpopular idea
what if china decided to just blatantly
copy starship
could they actually do it would they
have a chance to build their
own starships in order to colonize the
moon and mars with their own taikonauts
well let's find out
we all know that starship is the single
most transformative space vehicle
in all of human history some still try
to deny it
some still try to convince themselves
that it will be vehicles
like sls or orion or even the Lobbyist moon lander
from lobbyist companies such as blue
origin
boeing or lockheed who will be
humanity's best chance
for colonizing space but everyone who
understands
even a slight bit of economics and space
flight
will understand that the only vehicle
which will allow us to colonize the moon
mars and other destinations on a massive
scale
will be starship once starship becomes
available
it will make all other rockets
completely obsolete
this is not an exaggeration it's the
simple truth
Ariane obsolete soyuz
obsolete Delta IV Heavy obsolete
starship will reduce the costs of
colonizing the moon
by a factor of at least one thousand
of colonizing mars probably by a factor
of more than ten thousand and funny
enough
all space companies or institutions
seem to completely ignore starship only
nasa seems to acknowledge the vast
potential of starship
by awarding a small chunk to spacex for
developing
a moon version of starship for the
artemis program
ESA builds Ariane 6 which won't be
reusable
ula's first rocket where only the
engines are reusable
is still years away blue origin's
reusable new glenn rocket which is shown
off time and time again
in fancy cgi animations is also years
away
it seems that they all don't understand
what will await them
once starship is complete it will be
total annihilation total domination
total destruction for all other space
launch providers
and companies and it seems that the only
ones on this entire planet
who understand how important it is to
develop reusable rockets
are get this the chinese
yes they are the only ones on this
entire planet
who are already working on reusable
rockets
china only sent the first people into
space not even 20 years ago
they are the late comers so to speak how
then
can it be that they are the only ones
who seem to understand
the potential of reusability
there are quite a few chinese startups
already working on reusable rockets
and of course they are just trying to
blatantly copy spacex
of course we can rant on how china is
copying everything
but let's be brutally honest here at
least
they are smart enough to copy spacex in
the first place
which is already far ahead of ula
roscosmos and the european space agency
really far ahead because they still
pretend that
non-reusable rockets have a chance
when in fact non-reusable rockets are
inbound
to be absolutely disrupted and say what
you will about the chinese but at least
they seem to understand how
important reusability is so they have
i-space and linkspace
their two biggest private companies
which are trying to replicate spacex's success by basically developing
their own versions of the falcon 9.
ispace is the first chinese private
company who
was able to launch two small satellites
into orbit
on the 25th of july 2019.
this rocket here called hyperbola 1 is
not reusable yet
and has a very small leo payload
capacity
of only 260 kilograms
but i-space has big plans their next
launch vehicle
the hyperbola 2 which they say will be
completed and ready for launch
in 2021 will be fully reusable
and much more capable this rocket here
is basically a weird version of a falcon 9
they even copied the grid fins from spacex
like spacex's starship it will use
liquefied methane and oxygen as fuel
and be capable of sending 1.9 metric
tons
to low earth orbit the rocket itself is
28
meters tall and has a weight of 90
metric tons
i-space even has plans for a reusable
space plane
however it seems that linkspace is
further ahead
than i-space where i-space shows fancy
cgi and pretty renderings
so they are basically the chinese
version of blue origin
linkspace already has tested reusable
rockets in hopping tests
they started with really small tethered
demonstrators
went to untethered low attitude hopping
tests
until at some point they were able to
demonstrate hopping tests
with their rlv t5 demonstrator
this rocket performed a 300 meter
hopping test
on august 10th 2019. and if you think
those two talk about some interesting
stuff about rockets
space tesla and even sometimes boring
tunnels and hyperloop
we would be ueber thankful yes
ueber thankful if you would subscribe
to our channel
and stay up to date on those topics
the next rocket which they currently
develop is the srv1
now we're not sure what srv stands for
but
srv was probably the coolest guitar
player of all time
so you know we really like that name it
will be a sub-orbital reusable rocket
which will also use liquid oxygen and
methane as propellant
the bigger one will be the newline one
which looks
suspiciously like a mixture between a
falcon 9
and new glenn the height will be 24
meters with a weight of 42 metric tons
and a payload capacity of 200 kilograms
so yes it seems that the chinese
companies really want to build their own
versions of the falcon 9
now sure they are far behind their rlv
t5 hopping test
shows that they are currently where
spacex was
already seven years ago when they tested
their grasshopper test rocket
it is incredible that this here was only
seven
years ago and now spacex is flying
astronauts to the iss
has even launched the falcon heavy three
times
and even has the giant starship in
development
so the chinese space companies are now
where spacex was
in 2013 and since china seems to
understand that reusable rockets are
important what if they decided to not
only copy the falcon
but also to copy starship because they
probably know that when starship
comes to life their whole space program
will become a total joke overnight
everything
china has will be really so inferior to
starship
that it's not even funny anymore and
since the new cold war
seems to be developing between the u.s
and china
china knows fully that they will not be
allowed to use starship
for their own missions but europe japan
and other collaborative nations will be
allowed to use starship
for their own space missions so they of
course don't want to miss out
therefore what if they just blatantly
copy starship
the development of starship at boca
chica is totally open
everyone around the world can watch the
development
amazing people like LabPadre or BocaChicagal
make all these amazing recordings of
what's going on at boca Chica
for everyone to see so china certainly
also knows what's happening at boca chica
with starship and super heavy so could
they actually copy starship
or are they even already in the process
of copying starship
well we can give the all clear even if
china already started
copying starship which we are quite sure
they didn't
even then they would be years behind
spacex
right now china is not even capable of
having
anything near the capability of a falcon
9.
let alone a falcon heavy the chinese
national space agency
is still relying on non-reusable rockets
whereas nasa is now using falcon 9 for
their crewed missions to the iss
by the time starship will land on the
moon linkspace or i-space
might be using their first generation
reusable rockets
which will be extremely far behind
starship
also they don't have anything remotely
even remotely near the capability
which the raptor engine has and we all
know it wasn't easy to get the full flow
staged combustion working
properly at an insane chamber pressure
of up to 300 bar
this was not an easy feat but no china
would also need to replicate all the
intricate steel alloys
spacex is experimenting with and they
would also need to replicate the entire
fabrication
process which as we know is insanely
difficult
so at best and this is now best case
china could have a starship like vehicle
by around 2030 and this is best case
more likely 2035 so yes there is no
need to worry
china will not have their own starships
with an extremely high likelihood of
we'd say
99% at least in this decade
however does this mean we should
underestimate china
absolutely not make no mistake
even though they are not working on
their own starships
they plan on landing Taikonauts on the
moon by 2030
they plan on building a moon base right
after that
and now russia even plans to join them
as an ally
so what they lack in innovative space
vehicles
they make up for with determination and
a long-term plan
to build a moon base that's why starship
is so
important the u.s will gain total space
domination
once they have starship and super heavy
thanks to spacex
and yes not thanks to boeing for which
some really cool viewers made up some
absolutely hilarious acronyms and also
not thanks to lockheed
and also not thanks to northrop and also
not thanks to draper
and also not thanks to blue origin
only thanks to spacex starship
will be ultra transformative and spacex will be always at least two more
likely
three steps ahead of china if china
should have their own starship by 2035
spacex will already have starship 2.0
or 3.0 and a huge armada of starships
1.0
so yes the scenario of china surprising
everyone with their own versions of
starship
is really not realistic you can
all sleep well knowing that spacex is
far ahead far ahead of anyone
else and if you want to learn more about
how starship
will help us to build our first mars
city
you can check out this video right here
so thanks as always for watching the
JS space report and then i would say
on 2 the future
