it's thursday and joining us is dennis
campbell editor in chief of u_k_
progressive magazine then this is first
appearance on the show he said that if
newt gingrich ended up being the
republican nominee he stop after
president obama win reelection with many
as five hundred more i worked for a vote
now we know gingrich is not going to be
the nominee is going to be mit romney
so anything that makes sense to follow
up on these alito robo possibilities
dennis where do we start with us
you've got a number of issues out there
first thing i want to make uh...
perfectly clear in the course of this
is that between the now of the first of
may and the thirty first of october
there are four thousand six hundred
sixteen hours of cable television to be
filled
and today the seventeen th of may
we still have three thousand nine
hundred ninety six hours ago
really it's a matter of perspective
but i still see a path
or at least three hundred sixty five
which is what he had last time to well
over four hundred electoral votes
well the president this time around
uh... if you saw anything about the
speech yesterday from the joe biden
there's a really huge a empathy gap with
with uh... mit romney he's not able to
connect with the average citizen the way
in which joe biden was and if you look
at the way uh... the static uh...
population has grown we continue and
poor women would jump right in a second
book on and the whole issue around
people of color
uh... and uh... the the the general way
worse republicans have mishandled
themselves on issues such as budget
fairness saying that it's all about jobs
jobs jobs
yet did you look at
what's happening even just yesterday in
the district of columbia they wouldn't
let eleuthera holmes morton
uh... speak onnum issue about abortion
in her own district the district of
columbia
so the pathway
for oklahoma is still very very clear
but democrats cannot be complacent
progresses cannot be complacent
the love the work is going to be hard to
climb is going to be steeper and we need
to get everybody out there
okay so will go into some electoral
votes scenarios in a second but first
i've been following from a number of
different headlines and we're seeing
everything on the map as far as polls
are concerned i think polls saying
romney is leading obama amongst women
i've seen polls saying it's a clear path
world bonnet to go to the national polls
i've seen some of say the opposite
uh... we're really saying
polling information all over the map is
any of it even relevant at this point
and really is a national poll even
relevant given that it may well come
down to just a couple of faith once
again
there were no
so maybe you know if you go back to what
i started with in this segment
there's still most four thousand hours
of cable television just to fill between
now and the election
you're going to have ninety eight shows
between now and then
you're going to talk about a lot of
different things in that period of time
i think the key indicators to walter or
if you if you're looking to strictly on
the path to two seventy
which is how the election is ultimately
decided
you've got a number of states out in the
southwest that i think will go ahead
please roads of armor
you've been a number of states in quote
unquote the new south it will also vote
for obama and he has a very clear path i
think
even states where even today i heard
this morning morning joe
was screwing about the fact that
wisconsin is levels of salsa stay
it's a toss-up state in his dreams
it's not a ta sustainable
okay so let's start against than the
first question is
what states that president obama carried
in two thousand eight
are are now in question or may go to mit
romney
well yeah i wrote back to the nineteenth
of december i said in the analyst
clearly address
however
they just shows that she party crazy in
the senate race to replace dick lugar
not updated lugar fan but jake was able
to reach across the aisle
and what it was necessary he could find
a way to compromise and find a way to
uh... you know reach to the other side
to get something done this guy more
dhaka that has just been uh... they've
been nominated in there
is so crazy says compromises when the
democrats agree with the republicans
uh... that's just absurd
and i think that's going to actually
swing that state
just because he's as crazy as shown in
your
and uh... and uh... the tea party lady
in delaware and and the guy in alaska
that lawsuit
write-in candidate research house the
crazy never works and i think went you
look at the beginning of this electoral
season there was a chance for the
republicans to take the senate back
now that they have two or three of these
crazies out there
people railway company to say wait a
minute this election is way too serious
and i think it's he's actually gary
indiana again
motor on is a bit more of a question
mark because of all of these
uh... that the voter suppression that's
going on in that state
uh... as well as a member of one below
the one hand and then the one hundred
more democratic voters out
but obama has a lot of work still to do
with the students from before they're
not as easy as as they were they came
out in record numbers in two thousand
aid
and i think across the board that's
going to become an issue for him however
the energized women base the energized
hispanic basically to be extremely
important we've seen now the job i was
one heck of a campaigner out there and
he has the ability to really go out
there and connect with the middle class
that's where the selection is going to
be decided
okay so what
left outlined some electoral votes
scenario so for example give me a a
plausible
before bomber holds everything he had
except for what but picks up one of
these five amin luba give us a sense of
kind of
what we're really looking at here as far
as a sewing
i think i think uh... realistically
you've got some problems with indiana
he's got some problems with uh... you
know that but i think those can be those
can be adjusted
he's got some problems with arm
the some of the northern rust belt
states
but i think at the end of the day
they're gonna they're gonna look at the
character of of mit romney indiana say
you know does this guy really reflect
who you are
uh... izzy do we want a manager and we
want a president summers actually going
to help us along the way so i think the
solidly states that he took last time
will still be there for him
uh... i think you get no chance of
winning states like west virginia no
chance of winning states like oklahoma
uh... alabama mississippi et cetera
however that said
there's a number of headlines today
showing how the uh... anti-immigration
of walls of the past in several of these
states are coming back now to a halt the
republicans
i think georgia could very well be in
flight because of the urban population
in a row
atlanta and i think that something is
going to help him
i think he's still got a very good
chance to win it for a
florida is a statement to do that
is an extraordinary difficulty with
uh...
where there governor
and i think all of these states that
have elected these radical right wayne
governors
are going to be in place so that means
very good news for a high r
very good news for wisconsin it's over
uh... i've seen polls that show
uh... like for example in this recall
coming up in a week yourself that uh...
you know governor walker may have a
chance of of hanging onto his seat i
think those are also misguided i think
they're they're really miss
underestimating the borrowed it george
bush easter
the uh... rage that people feel
wisconsin something wisconsin will be
safely back in the democratic uh...
uh... our corner and i think a lot of
these states that went so far right
within that just late choose are
republican in the same jobs jobs jobs
yet all they were focused on are with
reproductive issues women's reproductive
issues women's reproductive issues
are all going to be in play
as we move forward into this
okay last thing i just want number from
you if you have to predict that now how
many electoral votes the president obama
end up with
i think he ends up with four hundred
very close to four hundred melissa and
doug
alright worldview with dennis campbell
editor in chief of u_k_ progressive
magazine
uh... great to talk to you as always and
will see you next week
bank so seriously of honor
