Hey there.
Over the next couple months I am going to
run a lot of videos about what a terrible
president Donald Trump is, and how incapable
he is of doing anything to fix the country's
problems.
But today I am going to talk about something
he has actually already done.
I am 99% sure that if Donald Trump is re-elected,
we are going to war with Iran.
It's easy to forget with all of the catastrophes
Trump has brought us since, but in the beginning
of this year Trump's handlers convinced him
to start a war with Iran.
This is key…
I am not saying that Trump will start a war
with Iran if he is re-elected.
I am saying he already started it.
The only thing that has delayed it so far
is the patient statesmanship of the Iranian
regime.
On January 3rd we assassinated Qassem Soleimani,
probably the 2nd most powerful person In Iran,
and also probably the guy who did the most
to defeat the Islamic State.
This is roughly the equivalent of Iran assassinating
David Petraeus, or Jim Mattis.
But not quite.
Soliemani is credited by many with saving
his country multiple times.
Not just from the threat of the Islamic State
but also from the world spanning hyper-power
that invaded and occupied the two countries
on either side of Iran almost two decades
ago.
To be honest, Generals Petraeus and Mattis
haven't done anything that useful.
They have distinguished themselves by being
a little less clownish than the rest of the
leadership class that gave us two pointless
failed trillion dollar wars of choice.
The true equivalent to what we did to Iran
would be if they assassinated Ulysses S. Grant
or Dwight D. Eisenhower.
It's undeniable that Soleimani helped to kill
US soldiers through proxies when we invaded
Iran's next door neighbor 17 years ago.
But our Israeli proxies are killing Iranian
soldiers in Syria this year, and it's also
almost certain that they are also carrying
out terror attacks on the Iranian people as
well.
We are not the good guys here.
I get that it's satisfying to reach across
the world for vengeance, and that the killing
of Soleimani made Trump look tough to a lot
of US voters.
But was it smart?
Our obsession with this plucky little country
that has the same enemies we do is a source
of constant amusement to Russia and China.
Nothing would make our more serious adversaries
happier than the US starting yet another trillion
dollar war in the Middle East.
Donald Trump the candidate knew this.
On the campaign trail he mercilessly mocked
Bush and Obama for the trillions wasted in
these wars and he was absolutely right to
do so.
I don’t think Trump personally wants war.
But all the people who work for him do, as
I’ve been pointing out for quite some time.
"There seem to be two goals here, the official
goal, and what looks to me to be, for most
people in the administration, the real goal.
Thanks to few moronic Washington, DC think
tanks, and a monolithically war mongering
news media, from CNN to Fox News, your average
half-informed uncle thinks that the Obama
administration’s Iran Nuclear Deal was bad,
and that a better deal was somehow possible,
and all that was necessary was a real tough
guy to get it.
This is the official story that Republican
congressmen can sell to the half informed
uncles that fund their campaigns.
Our half-informed uncles don’t generally
want war, but in their heart of hearts they
just know Trump can get a better deal than
that wimpy black guy.
The thing is, if you look at the backgrounds,
speeches, and tactics of the Folks in the
Trump administration, it’s clear that for
most, the official goal is just a cover.
Most of them are working for regime change,
and they always have been.
A lot of these guys seem to think that the
Iranian regime can be overthrown without war,
but it’s pretty clear that most of them
would be very OK with war too.
It’s darkly comic that Donald Trump is the
only person in his administration who seems
to believe that the official goal is possible.
It’s Trump, so it depends on the day, his
mood, and which Fox News show he watched last,
but he occasionally does seem dumb enough
to believe that he will produce a lasting
deal with Iran.
Unfortunately nobody he has hired has any
real interest in that.
The Trump administration doesn’t have the
temperament, the personnel, or the capacity
to negotiate a nuclear deal.
The goal is regime change, and it always has
been."
These guys aren’t just angling for war,
they’ve already done everything necessary
to make it happen.
It may be hard to see now, but there isnt
going to be a single historian 50 years from
now who blames Iran for the coming conflagration.
The only thing that has kept war from happening
so far is the restraint of the Iranian government.
Iran helped the world dodge a bullet on January
8th, when it warned the Iraqi government it's
reprisals were coming.
The Iranians knew the warning would be passed
to the United States, allowing all soldiers
to take cover before the two US bases were
hit.
Despite the best efforts of the CNN and the
Washington Post to turn some concussions into
war-starting traumatic brain injuries, we
were all able to de-escalate.
Iran had to respond to preserve self-respect,
but they did so in a way that would allow
us to avoid war.
They have also, incredibly, stuck with the
nuclear deal that Trump is trying ao hard
to destroy.
But Iran is only acting with such incredible
restraint, in the face of the murder of its
heroes, and the starvation of its people,
because of they see the light at the end of
the tunnel.
The light at the end of the tunnel is Joe
Biden.
Don't get me wrong, war could still happen.
If we get to January 2020, and Biden's people
try to dick around over rejoining the nuclear
agreement we could still get war.
But I am very confident that Iran has softened
its response in the hopes of saner US leadership.
Biden is a question mark, but Iran is willing
to put up with 5 more months of suffering
to get the answer to that question.
They are not willing to put up with 4 more
years of suffering.
Trump's henchmen have repeatedly bet on the
idea that merciless brutalizing of the Iranian
people will convince them to change governments.
Despite years of failure that policy will
not change under this US regime.
So, If Trump wins in November 3rd, you can
expect our next trillion dollar disaster to
start by the end of the year.
It's a war that the US could win, maybe.
But in the long run that "victory" would turn
to ash just like the early wins in Iraq and
Afghanistan.
I have already gamed that out in a prior video.
It would be a completely pointless, murderously
stupid war.
And it's almost inevitable if Trump is elected.
