good evening everybody Jewel here with
the tropical update and yes it's time
for us
all to pay attention again
hurricane season is getting at its peak
seems like it's already been there
doesn't it well we have
tropical storm omar tropical storm
nana we have paulette
and renee over here in this area right
over at sea
we'll see if they get names that's what
the next two names will be
after that can you believe it we're up
to s we have sally
so i mean we are going through the
alphabet that's for sure this year
looking like nana now nana's going to
intensify
probably becoming a category 1
hurricane now although the confections
weaken somewhat due to this
mid-level dry air entrainment around it
nana still has enough
deep convection over the surrounding low
level center
to keep the intensity at 45 knots right
now
the upper level outflow though has
continued to improve
with the associated anti-cyclone
becoming more
symmetrical and another
mission is scheduled to go out and check
it out i do believe it will become a
hurricane before landfall though
i think it will remain a cap one with 75
mile-per-hour winds
now this could change you know how it is
it could change
and please everybody remember to click
show more for
information on each of these systems
concerning
watches and warnings that are going on
with them nana i believe
will come right up over in this area
here
okay we do have places that are already
under watches and warnings we'll get to
those in a minute omar should not be a
problem to any of us
it is going to go on out and up
and right up in this area it's going to
get sucked up into a low pressure
way up in the top now right in here we
got a great
big high that's going to come down
what is it going to do to these two
we're going to have to wait and see i do
believe that
they're going to both try to intensify
they
may both get names they may not too
early to tell but we're going to check a
whole lot of stuff out
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now we will take a look at omar the
winds of 40 miles per hour the pressure
is 1007 millibars
located 35.3 north
71.5 west minus 35.1
north 70.2 west so
it's not too far from my house but it's
not bothering me it's going on out to
sea
only thing omar is going to do is cause
rough surf and dangerous rip currents
all up and down north carolina coast
moving right on along the virginia coast
delaware
southern new jersey shore it's just the
rip current moving on up to uh
long island southern shores also so
everybody be aware
you will have some dangerous rip
currents coming up
nana tropical storm nana 50 mile per
hour winds at this time
pressure 1002 millibars located 16.8
north
79.3 west moving west at
18 miles per hour
now over here this is disturbance
number one let me see if i can bring
this down
just a little bit so we can see it all
right now
disturbance one is a area
of low pressure it's a small area as you
can see
it's about midway between the windward
islands and west
africa now upper level winds are
marginally conducive for some slow
development
this week as a system kind of meanders
around
in the tropical atlantic ten percent in
two days
twenty percent in five days i do think
it will do
a little more before we hear the end of
it we'll have to wait and see
it might die out but i think it will try
to strengthen a little before it does
die
i think some wind is going to probably
get into it and this high pressure
pushing it down
it's going to ride a little ridge of a
very low
low line so we're just going to have to
keep our eyes on it then we have
disturbance number two it's still a
tropical wave and it
is still on the coast of africa is going
to emerge
off the coast of africa in about a day
and merge with a disturbance
centered about 200 miles southeast of
the cabo verde islands
in a couple of days now gradual
development
is then possible and this system could
become
a tropical depression by this weekend
while it moves slowly westward
over the eastern tropical atlantic we
really have to
watch us folks i'm not exaggerating we
got to keep our eyes on it so we can
stay safe
two days zero five days fifty percent
chance
and these two are going to do a dance
and probably kind of get entangled
within each other
here's the tracking map from the
national hurricane center on omar
umar is a tropical storm
and it's going to remain that way till
about thursday and then it's just going
to die
on out and go on up and out and get
entangled in that big low i'm going to
show you in a moment
once again omar no threat to land
now when we come to uh
nana nana moving westward
over the central caribbean sea at this
time
new tropical storm warning and watches
have been
issued okay here we have it the
government of mexico
has issued a tropical storm warning
for the southern portion of the yucatan
peninsula
from puerto costa maya southward to
chimula now the government of guatemala
has issued a tropical storm watch for
the caribbean sea
coast of guatemala and once again you
can see this
right here tropical storm warning
in effect these areas here
and a watch for northern honduras rattan
island bay islands of honduras caribbean
sea coast of guatemala
and belize so everyone in those areas
take heed
it's going to be a hurricane when it
comes inland and you can just believe
that
i'm telling you it's going to happen or
it looks like it now
now nana is moving toward the west and
is expected to
continue through thursday and on the
track
nana will be moving near but north of
the coast of honduras
wednesday and likely approaching the
coast of belize
on thursday by that time
you could have a category one hurricane
what is going to be affected for hazards
tropical storm conditions are expected
within the warning area by late
wednesday
tropical storm conditions are possible
within the watch areas by late wednesday
also
you could have storm surge of three to
five feet above the normal tide levels
along the immediate coast nearing to the
north of where the center makes landfall
near the coast the surge will be
accompanied by large
and destructive ways so far as rain goes
nana is expected to
produce rainfall of three to six inches
and belize two to four inches
across northern honduras and the
southern portion of the mexican state
of quintana roo and the surf of course
swells generated by this affecting
portions of the southern coast of
jamaica
it will continue into wednesday morning
these swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and
rip currents
i know you guys like to look at this
with me this is the european model
here we have omar here we have nana
here we have that first disturbance
here is the one right here hadn't quite
got off the coast of africa yet okay
it will be soon moving right off into
land here
you might even see some more pop up
you might even see some more pop up
now i'm going to set this for the wind
gust
okay right now nobody's looking too
excited there's no more up there
banana has gained a little strength
right now okay
according to this model right now 50
mile per hour winds and that was in
conjunction
same as the national hurricane center is
reporting now so
everybody in the gulf do not worry this
is not associated with any
any omar or nana or nothing like that
this
is just low pressure coming off texas
having some
very bad storms then that's going to
continue for just a little while
now i've got this set for tuesday at 10
pm
let's move up
well i don't know what happened hold on
folks you ever have one of those days
things just don't go right
well like i say this is set for tuesday
at 10 p.m
let's move it up to wednesday around 1
p.m wednesday afternoon
you can see omar is moving on out
there's a center right where the hand is
it's moving on up and out you can see
nana still looks like a little storm but
she's got some activity with her
she does have that center of circulation
as you can see moving on
we go up to thursday 1 a.m in the
morning
getting very very close now to the
coastline here
we will move this over just a second and
make it a little bit bigger so you can
exactly see
where it looks like it's going to go in
not that this is the exact place it's
just a very good area looking like where
the center is going to go at the moment
all of this can change as you know by 2
p.m
thursday afternoon it's made landfall
you can see it still has a circle of
circulation going on right here
but this is what it's looking like for
thursday in this area
this right here is just more
tropical waves going through nothing to
worry about this is just
regular stuff going on folks as i like
to say it's just the regular stuff
happening
now as i turn on the pressure granted
right quick
you can see i want to show you
we have this big high coming down see
all of this is high
and it's going to stretch out for a
while all right
so everything down below is going to
keep being pushed down
we got this little fella here that we've
seen we've got this fella here that's
coming off the coast
let's move it up to friday around 2 p.m
i don't want to go too far out
you see what happened right then and
that length of time
they went together we have another low
that's going to come off up here
they went together merged in an
elongated looking low
right in this area that's what it's
looking like so we'll go up to saturday
morning
around 9 00 a.m this is on the fifth
now you can see they've separated again
there's
one there's one we're still waiting for
this one
okay there's more out there
more things are going to happen than you
just see on the regular
national hurricane center chart there
but this is what it's looking like
now when we move up to sunday around 12
a.m
this is looking like it's picking up
some wind gusts now 41 mile per hour
wind gusts
right up in this area here this one's
still trying to get its act together
i don't know what's going to happen with
it it could
run into a problem with dry air and
all of these can have dry air and some
sure when to
get into them at some point we'll have
to wait and see as they move along
exactly at that time what it's looking
like before we can say this that and all
the other
so i don't like to go out but so far we
will go out to sunday
the 6 around 8 a.m in the morning
you can see now this is beginning
to try to get together a little better
it does have tropical storm winds now
we will look at the rain and stuff and
you can see it completely has a center
of circulation
it reminds me a lot of hannah hurricane
hannah this year
in its size hannah was a little
hurricane
but yet people died from hurricane now
now as you see right in this area here
this is a little teeny high pressure
trying to start
but look 30.068 this is this big
big high pressure what is it going to do
it's going to keep everything mashed
down here
that's what's going to happen we'll move
up to sunday night around 9 9pm
now that little high that was there got
up into this
area now it's a low again we have all
we have one two three lows we have a
little low over here i don't think it
amount to a whole lot
and like i said i don't want to go too
far out but folks
we have got to certainly keep our eyes
on these systems as this one could turn
into much much
bigger i'm just telling you i hope it
does not
it would suit me fine if it blew away
tonight
but we've got to watch this and because
you can see it's tracking up this way
riding this line may affect this area
here
if it did many things can happen i'm not
going to say it's going to go in the
gulf or up the coast it's too far out to
tell now
but it's not too far ahead to tell you
to make sure
if you live in the gulf coast states or
on the east coast states
make sure you have your kit your plans
ready
in case you need them because here we go
again everybody have a good evening a
safe evening a blessed
evening thank you so much for watching
and sharing this information with your
family and friends i appreciate it
everybody much peace loving kindness may
come your way
and always be blessed thanks for
watching
