LISA DESJARDINS: To dive deeper into the primary
race and how things are being impacted by
coronavirus, I'm joined by our Politics Monday
team. That's Amy Walter of The Cook Political
Report and Public Radio's "Politics With Amy
Walter," and Tamara Keith of NPR, co-host
of the "NPR Politics Podcast."
Our eagle-eyed viewers may have noticed a
new configuration with me here, some social
distancing from us tonight, ladies. It's important
for everyone.
Let's start with tomorrow.
As we reported earlier, four states were supposed
to vote tomorrow. Let's look at the map for
which ones those are. We're talking big states
here tomorrow, Illinois, Ohio, Florida, and
Arizona. One of them, Ohio, will not be voting
in person tomorrow.
Without Ohio, 441 delegates at stake. There
are other changes that will be in effect tomorrow
as well in the states that are continuing
to vote. Some of those include polling places
closing in Maricopa, Arizona, due to the coronavirus,
as well as dialing back especially on polling
places that are in senior living facilities.
Amy, how do you reckon with the two risks
we see right now, a risk to voters if they
do vote, a risk to democracy if they don't?
AMY WALTER, The Cook Political Report: If
they don't. And also to poll workers.
LISA DESJARDINS: That's right.
AMY WALTER: Many whom are older who work these
polls.
Look, I think everybody is sort of taking
this as a moment-by-moment experience. So,
obviously, some states felt like they couldn't
-- they didn't feel comfortable holding a
primary knowing that the public health wasn't
being protected.
But then I think we step back a moment and
we say, thinking about the Democratic primary,
what's going to happen tomorrow, what should
happen going forward, look, we were on the
set on the last election night, where it was
pretty clear that Bernie Sanders was falling
far behind.
He needs at least 60 percent of all the delegates
now going forward in order to catch up to
Joe Biden and get enough to be the nominee,
actually surpass Joe Biden, to be the nominee.
He's sitting at the polls right now somewhere
around 30 percent nationally.
And in the polls out of Florida and Arizona,
he's down 30, 20 points. It's not going to
happen. So, really, the question is, when
the election is over on Tuesday night, will
Bernie Sanders still be in this race, or will
he decide that now is the time to move on?
We thought maybe the debate was going to be
the place where he backed off. Obviously,
that didn't happen.
LISA DESJARDINS: There's two things happening.
Bernie Sanders, is it the effect of the results
of the election so far or this crisis that
makes his path tougher, or both, Tam?
TAMARA KEITH, National Public Radio: His path
was tough before this crisis was totally obvious.
Super Tuesday was really not good for him.
But I do think that there was an inflection
point last Tuesday, and what happened is,
they canceled their events. This campaign,
everything changed last Tuesday, when this
got real.
And, in fact, it was Ohio that made it get
real, because Ohio said no gatherings.
LISA DESJARDINS: Meaning the coronavirus,
yes.
TAMARA KEITH: Yes. No, the state of Ohio said
no large gatherings.
And, all of a sudden, these two campaign events
that were supposed to happen in Ohio didn't
happen. The candidates flew east and have
really, in a lot of ways, have been taking
stock ever since.
And Bernie Sanders didn't have a good night
last Tuesday night. He said as much the next
day, when he finally spoke to the press. I
mean, I think that, you know, when we look
back on this primary, you know, a generation
from now, we will probably forget about Super
Tuesday and we might forget about a lot of
other things, but we're going to remember
coronavirus and how, in some ways, this primary
is now locked in amber.
LISA DESJARDINS: You know, the governor of
Ohio said he was moving not -- postponing
the election to June, but admitted that he
thought September would have been a better
date, but picked June because...
AMY WALTER: Of the...
LISA DESJARDINS: ... of the nominating process.
The conventions are in July and August. Is
there talk about what happens if we can't
have the conventions?
AMY WALTER: There's not been public talk.
But, clearly, these are the things that campaigns
and the people who run these conventions think
about all the time, what to do in case of
an emergency. There are processes in place.
I also want to point out that there are other
campaigns that are happening now, too. People
are running for Congress, for state legislature,
for the Senate. And their campaigns have also
been locked in amber, as Tam said.
Trying to -- you can't do big fund-raising,
in-person fund-raising event, obviously not
door-to-door, getting your volunteers together
to put mailers out to your constituents.
And at a time when the economy is looking
as fragile than ever, asking donors for campaign
contributions is also going to be tough. So
-- and this is Democrats and Republicans.
This cuts across the entire swathe.
LISA DESJARDINS: One thing about the partisanship
that I thought was surprising, we're seeing
some differences in opinion about this crisis,
depending on what party you affiliate with.
This is a poll from NBC and The Wall Street
Journal from this week. They asked people
if they thought their family member was -- they're
worried about their family catching coronavirus;
68 percent of Democrats said yes, 40 percent
of Republicans.
Now, this could also be a regional effect.
More Republicans live in rural areas, for
example.
But, Tam, what do you make of this?
TAMARA KEITH: There's another factor, which
is that, until today, President Trump has,
at time -- at most times, sort of downplayed
or said, everything's going to be fine, or,
we have got this under control.
He has been out of sync with some of the health
professionals. And he's been out of sync with
the media.
Today was a very different President Trump.
And so for the voters who listen to him and
don't trust the media, then, for the last
month, the media has been overreacting, and
the president has been saying what he's been
saying.
And I think that that does affect public opinion.
Well, now the president today said, oh, well,
maybe the media has been doing a good job,
and also laid out some very stringent, serious
steps for the American public to take to keep
everyone safe.
And it was -- it was a major moment.
AMY WALTER: Yes, I think that's exactly right.
Let's watch and see, now that the president
has taken a different tone, where the -- what
those numbers look like in a week.
Look, this polarization is a way of life in
our country. And I have always been worried
that what will happen in a crisis is exactly
what's happening right now, which is, instead
of pushing us together, it's keeping us very
separate from where we decide to get our sources
of information, who we trust and who we don't.
All we can hope right now is if -- with everybody
on the same page, that we can kind of come
to an agreement on how terrible this is.
And, unlike something like 9/11, which was
a tragic moment that happened all at once,
this is a slow-rolling potential disaster.
LISA DESJARDINS: Well, everyone's lives and
jobs are getting more difficult, including
yours.
So, we really appreciate both of you.
Amy Walter, Tamara Keith, thank you.
AMY WALTER: You're welcome.
TAMARA KEITH: You're welcome.
