so big surprise apparently the Russian
space agency is not a huge fan of the
Artemis moon landing program and would
rather prefer to side with China instead
of working together with the US so will
this lead to the establishment of a
Chinese Soviet I mean Chinese Russian
moon base then the NASA Inspector
General has released a highly
interesting report on the Orion
spacecraft and guess what they found
NASA is not being transparent about the
Orion spacecraft a shocker we know but
at least we now have a date for the SLS
static fire tests and yes it won't be
too soon oh now we also have the
definitive launch date for the James
Webb Space Telescope and lastly as
always we will analyze the current
progress of starship at Boca Chica so
when finally static fire and hoping
Ahh....Rogozin what would we do
without you this guy is always good for
some fun and highly entertaining remarks
it's by the way the same guy that back
in 2014 said quote after analyzing the
sanctions against our space industry I
suggest to the USA to bring their
astronauts to the International Space
Station using a trampoline which
explains Elon's quite hilarious remark
after the successful launch of the demo2
mission where he famously exclaimed on
Twitter the trampoline is working at
least Rogozin had the humor and said
that he loved the joke but around the
same time he made some other quite
bizarre remarks about which we talked in
this video here in short he implied that
SpaceX is able to offer such low prices
compared to other space launch providers
because they are being subsidized by the
US government nothing could be further
from the truth the companies that are
being subsidized are certainly not
companies like SpaceX but more companies
like Boeing or Lockheed or Northrop
Grumman first and foremost of course
Boeing who are being kept alive by
pumping billions of dollars of taxpayer
money into their outdated and old
fashioned products you could actually
say that SpaceX is being anti subsidized
Rogozin should have known that the
reason why SpaceX is so much cheaper
than the others its reusability they are
the only ones reusing their rockets
which of course allows them to offer a
ride to the ISS for 40 million dollars
per astronaut which is about half of
what the Russians are asking for and yes
Boeing is actually asking even more than
the Russians 90 million per seat
compared to their 86 million price tag
the awkward moment when the Russians
have friendlier prices for NASA than
an American company so anyways
Rogozin has truly established
himself as a guy who makes some quite
bizarre but also highly entertaining
remarks and he thought why not make
another entertaining remark Rogozin
said last week during an interview on the
fifth anniversary of the establishment
of Roscosmos as a state corporation on
the topic of a cooperation between
Russia and the US on joint moon
missions quote for the United States
this is now more of a political project
with the lunar project we are observing
the departure of our American partners
from the principles of cooperation and
mutual support that have developed in
cooperation with the ISS they see their
program not as international but as
similar to NATO there is America
everyone else must help and pay honestly
we are not interested in participating
in such a project Rogozin said that
instead working together with the US on joint crewed missions to the moon he
prefers working together with China adding that Roscosmos has now taken the first
steps of cooperating on a lunar
scientific base he further said that
China is now considered as a worthy
partner for cooperation
apparently more so than the US so what
does that mean for our future moon bases
will the joint forces of the new reds
and the ex-reds suffice to establish a
moon base before the United States can
establish their own moon base with the
Artemis program well to answer this
question we should first look at some
financials Roscosmos is in a really bad
position and SpaceX is actually totally
destroying their revenue as can be seen
on this chart here we've argue in this
video here why we believe that Roscosmos is completely done for and they
will just be kept alive by Russian
taxpayer money but they won't be able to
compete with SpaceX in any way which is
by the way also true for the other
space launch providers and if you
happen to like this video despite our admittedly
weird accents we'd be super happy and
thankful if you would subscribe to stay
up to date with the latest news on
spaceflight and a heavy emphasis
on space politics but also on disruptive
technologies so Roscosmos currently has
an annual budget of 2.77 billion
dollars the Chinese Space Agency has an
annual budget of 11 billion dollars so
together they would have thirteen point
seven seven billion dollars annually at
their disposal as a comparison NASA's
annual budget for this year is 22.5 billion dollars so almost twice as
much however we unfortunately also know
that NASA isn't exactly spending that
money very efficiently about which we'll
talk more later in detail and China by
the way has plans to land on the moon by
2030 if they manage to channel their
resources more efficiently and the
Russians would add about 1 billion
dollars annually into the project it
could be possible for them to land on
the moon around 2030 and establish a
joint moon base in the early 2030s China
even already has their own capsule for
deep-space missions which looks
suspiciously like spacex's dragon
well at least red dragon has happened in
some form even though it's a different
form than we would have liked anyways
the Artemis plan is to land on the moon
already by 2024 which now seems honestly
quite unlikely as we argued in last
week's video because it seems that NASA
won't have the necessary funds to build
the moon Landers soon enough for a 2024
landing and we argued that it is very
likely that the administration by 2024
might actually cancel the Artemis
program altogether which would be a
fatal mistake since Russia and China
could then land on the moon uncontested
by 2030 but even should Artemis get cancelled
we think China and Russia even combining
the power of the ex-Sovjets and the neo Sovjets
would stand no chance
for there is one mightier than them
SpaceX of course with or without NASA
with or without Artemis it is our
strongest belief that SpaceX will land
astronauts on the moon in this decade
and do the other things and return them
safely back to earth not because it is
easy but because it is hard and because
it serves as a perfect exercise for
future Mars missions which as we know is
Elon's real target and the lunar
starships are as we often said giant moon
bases themselves let a few of them on
the moon and you already have a huge
moon base far larger and far superior to
anything the Soviets I mean the Russians
and the Chinese could ever build so it
will be SpaceX and no other who will ensure that Murica, good old Murica will
first have a moon base and that a red
moon will be averted and why won't NASA
be most likely the ones bringing us back
to the moon we mentioned before that
even though they have almost twice the
space budget as China and Russia
combined they spend the money not really
efficiently because if they would do so
they would just give a few billion
annually to SpaceX and we'd have a moon
base in two years
instead we know that they are obliged by
US Congress
so by politics to fund giant wasteful
projects such as SLS and Orion because
they need to subsidize inefficient
companies such as Boeing Lockheed and
Northrop the prime contractors for the
mentioned spacecraft systems and if you
think that we make stuff up or
exaggerate okay we might exaggerate
sometimes but still this is now
basically being confirmed by the latest
report of NASA's Inspector General link
of course in the description by its
calculations NASA is excluding seventeen
point five billion dollars from what it
calls the tailored estimate of twelve
point two billion dollars in NASA uses
the report also lays out the program's
many schedule delays so how exactly is
nasa cheating on Orion which is by the
way built by Lockheed well they found
that NASA's cost estimate for Orion of
twelve point two billion dollars doesn't
include the six point three billion
already spent on it during the
constellation program that's right
ladies and gentlemen that's how old the
Orion spacecraft actually is it dates
back all the way to 2006
fourteen years just compare that to
where SpaceX was 14 years ago just just
compare that to where SpaceX was 14
years ago
NASA also excludes 10 billion in production
costs and another billion for
development costs beyond Artemis 2 and
other costs whatever that might be
so the Inspector General found that the
total costs for this small capsule here
until around 2030 would be grab your
seats ladies and gentlemen
twenty-nine point five billion dollars
almost thirty billion dollars for this
small capsule here with that money
SpaceX would have already built us five
moon bases and two Mars bases this is
exactly the reason why on this channel
here we are always so brutal to
companies like Lockheed or Boeing
because they consume giant amounts of
money without giving us back much in
return very contrary to SpaceX who
consume very little money and already
give us huge things in return such as
reusable rockets and soon also starlink
and later even starship we hope that
this report will open the eyes to many
and hopefully lead to a change in the
spending culture of NASA and talking
about the devil the static fire tests
for SLS have now been fixed for October
this year but don't hold your breath
because the first uncrewed test flight
of Orion aboard SLS will take place in
late 2021
this will be the Artemis one mission
which will foresee an uncrewed flight of
Orion around the moon which has been
delayed by the way
it should have already flown later this
year but hey Lockheed and Boeing need a few billion more from NASA we hope you
understand that so don't be too harsh on
them another thing that is being delayed
again is the James Webb Space Telescope
now the new launch date is October 2021
let's hope that this time it won't be
delayed again because this is really
starting to become a running gag and why
is James Webb so important we talked
about it for example in this video here
and finally some updates from Boca Chica
let's analyze what's happening there so
SN5 is still waiting for the static
fire test before it can finally perform
the hundred fifty meter hopping test
current road closure dates aren't really
helpful because it can basically happen
every day now and so we just have to
wait and see and hope that it will
finally happen soon meanwhile work is
continuing on the super heavy high bay
assembly building and the nose cone for
the first time since mark 1 has been
assembled to the upper body section in
this amazing shot by Boca Chica gal
link to NASAspaceflight's channel is
by the way in the description we can see
the impressive difference in built
quality between the upper section of the
mk1 and this latest one on the right the
welds are much smoother as well as the
steel surface itself it seems much more
robust and smoother than the wrinkled
mk1 steel surface a new launch mount
for the starship is also being built
while the launch pad for super-heavy is
now also much further along since the
rebar pillars are now all buried deep
into the ground as can be seen here we
are really curious about super heavy
launching from this launch pad here it
will be certainly a sight to behold but
you should better bring earplugs along
for the launch and should the tensions
between China and the US continue to
rise we talked about a potential military
version of starship in this video here
so thanks for watching the JS Space Report and I'd say on 2 the future!
