This is one of my public service video; as
today, it is my pleasure… naw… honour
to bring the thought of a sensible woman:
“Are you Awake yet?”; why is it always
the pretty ones. Oh, and though it doesn’t
matter for this video, but she is also a flat-earther;
who would have thunked. As I don’t know
her name, I will just call her pretty lady.
I’ll start with a completely unrelated story,
because: well, it’s a fun story.
We are talking about a time, long long ago:
when barbers use to perform minor surgeries;
our story begins with one such barber; but
he wasn’t just any other barber … oh no..
he was the best. In fact, he was so good,
everyone would go to him then rather than
real surgeons.
Losing all their businesses, all the surgeons
came up with a plan together. They simply
offered to teach the barber all they knew.
Our hero was super smart; he went through
all the lessons like a duck taking into water.
And soon, he knew quite a lot.
Then something strange happened; he wasn’t
as good as he was used to be. The reckless
abandonments were gone; replaced with the
knowledge of ramifications.
That’s all to
the story;
Obviously I don’t want to play the full
video. Here is my summary; link to original
video will be in description – in case you
would like to confirm that I did not take
anything out of context.
So, pretty lady mention the death tally for
“Swine Flu” in 2010; followed by 2015
Flu outbreak; next was in 2018. She narrates
all the death count and rightfully observes
that there were no masks, lockdown, social-distancing
and so on.
From these informations, pretty lady thinks
she is thinking logically to jump to the conclusion
that this is a Plandemic / Scamdemic; and
it is all a ruse for the vaccine. And thus,
she does not wear masks; her children do not
follow social distancing, and such.
Oh I love people who bases their life on evidence,
fact, research, logic and so on.. they are
my kind of people.
Where do you even begin with such sensible
people? Anything I might say is so damn obvious
that I would be insulting their intelligence
by assuming they don’t know it. Then again,
if they did… how did they come to such conclusion.
Oranges are oranges, and apples are apples;
yes, they are both fruit – I will give you
that.
Similarly, you can have diseases that share
some common symptoms. However, that similarity
doesn’t make them the same.
For example, if one is coughing up blood:
it can be chest infection, bronchiectasis,
lung cancer, TB and more. If you guess that
all those different diseases would have different
treatment – well, you would be correct.
First thing to understand is: Covid-19 is
not flu. On one of my earlier video, I think
I took almost 15 minutes with detailed explanation
on why that is the case. A card should be
popping up, and link would be in description.
Now pretty lady: if you follow any kind of
logic: this is the time where you should concede;
apples to oranges, you see.
I can live it at that; but what’s the fun
in that? Now what were the words she used?
Evidence, fact and logic… okay.
We have this thing… a biological preparation
that provides active acquired immunity to
a particular infectious disease. It was Edward
Jenner who in 1796 gave us this gift – and
yes, it is a gift… we call it vaccine.
Isolation of influenza virus in 1933 very
quickly led to the development of the first
generation of vaccines. So the vaccine has
been around for a while.
Hopefully as we both value evidence and fact,
we should be agreeing so far.
Time for a math puzzle with multiple questions;
initially I thought I would make it a simple
example; but then I thought it wouldn’t
be challenging enough for pretty lady.
So, we have a flat-earther who has a magical
power; and when she talks to most people,
she has a 50% conversion rate. So in average,
she can talk to two people, and turn one of
them into believing in flat-earth. But, this
magical power does not work on the warlocks
– let’s call them globers.
Flat-earther walks into a bar with 100 people;
question one: what is the minimum number of
globers required to ensure that majority can
never be flat-earther?
question two: what is the minimum number of
globers required to ensure that everyone is
converted?
These are two really challenging (cough cough)
questions.
This is herd-immunity. I am pretty sure I
covered it thoroughly in one of my other Covid
related videos.
If I had a particular strand of flu recently,
I most probably have the anti-body, or immune
to it. Or maybe I have taken the flu shot.
In either case, I am now like those globers:
I can not be infected by those strands; neither
can I give it to other people.
It is true for every influenza season; the
more people immune to it – those people
protect a shield around those who are vulnerable.
Which means, if you have the flu and come
and visit me; then I go and talk to my mom:
well, if I can’t pass it, my mom is safe.
But not when you talk to her.
Which brings us to Covid-19; it is a new virus.
We still don’t have a vaccine. We don’t
even know for sure how long the anti-body
last in our body; and we have reports of people
contracting the disease multiple times.
So the whole shield we have against flu, is
no longer applicable.
Those of us who cares: guess what we do. We
try to take ourself out of the equation. It
doesn’t stop the virus, but by maintaining
social-distance, we just reduce the chance
of getting infected or passing it on.
Pretty lady, it’s not that hard to understand,
is it?
Are
there fake videos and pictures of this pandemic?
Well, I am sure there are. And what does that
logically prove? The cynic in me thinks that
it’s more likely that your group creating
these fake images to convince you; rather
than the rest of the world.
For a moment; let’s just assume it is all
a big hoax. This is bigger than the fake moon
landing or fake 9-11 … note to self: remember
to put a sarcasm warning on screen.
Just imagine the magnitude: for this to work,
you need to have almost every government around
the world to play along; I am guessing you
are American from your channel about page,
and most probably think it’s something to
do with you guys; I guess everything should
rotate around US of A; now, you might find
it hard to believe: there are some countries
around the world that do not like you guys.
There are different types of government, secular,
non-secular – but for some hidden agenda
… well, not so hidden according to you…
decides to agree to play along.
On top of that, one also has to control all
the independent sources; Yes, at this current
climate where everything is political: existence
of fake videos and photos mean some of the
sources are tainted.
So, if we want to know the truth, we need
to consider the totality of this evidence
and weigh it according to its scientific rigour.
This approach is called a systematic review.
This is something pretty lady, you might want
to look at.
Death rates; oh well, numbers and the value
of human life. Some might think even 1 is
a high number, where to some: twenty thousands
is not high enough for the concessions we
all have to make… to each his own, or her
own… I guess.
There are many many variables on what disease
you might catch: from genetics, to environment
to diet and many many more.
Once you have caught it: well, unfortunately
the next part is all based on where you are
and what you can afford.
I had a horrible experience last year, where
I had to take a friend to a clinic in Philippines;
it was one night and I got a bill of 400 pounds;
400 freaking pounds for a night? Oh god bless
NHS.
All this to elude to the simple facts: there
is a new virus; we don’t have any cure or
vaccine yet; it has spread all over the world;
it affects vulnerable people more; if you
are lucky enough to either have the money
or live in a developed country, you are in
a much better position to survive than others.
Do I need to go on?
The fact she gives: 16-July… only 23,146
death, with a death rate of 0.0024%
The time of recording: 6th of September. Total
death so far 41,551; so in about 1 month and
half, it is about 17 thousands new deaths.
At 2020, UK population is near about 68 million.
Now if I am being an absolute A’hole, I
would divide the death with total and then
time it by 100 to get a rate. If I would do
that, I would get 0.061%
For freaks sake: did she pull those numbers
out of her ass?
23,146 is 0.0024% of 9.6 million; trust me.
I did this calculation multiple times as I
couldn’t believe myself.
What is this magic number 9.6 million? I have
no clue; it is not the number of infected
either.
Now, if I wasn’t being an A’hole, I would
say a better number is to compare the death
to infected. It’s always important to understand
what is the number we are looking at.
Total cases in UK so far is 347 thousand;
and out of those, 41,551 have died. Now can
one argue that the infection rate would be
higher if we hadn’t followed the protocols?
Can one argue that if we did it sooner, we
would have seen less death?
If I plug-in the infected value, I get a rate
of 11.97%; so almost 12 people in every one
hundred that got infected died… I would
call that a shocking number.
But wait; that value is not correct either.
Suppose I had the virus, but because of my
health and such, I didn’t go to the hospital
but did manage to recover. Now my data is
not in the system; where as if my symptoms
were worse, I would have gone to the hospital,
and might have not survived.
Does my original barber story making more
sense now?
Systematic review: well I will go with “observed
case-fatality ratio”; simply because I think
even if there were a zombie outbreak, some
hard to reach places like Tibet or Alaska
would be relatively safer: so should not account
for the countries general area.
Mexico is wining this race with a rate of
10.7%; followed by Spain at 5.9%; I will mention
some other countries: now, I do have a specific
reasons for choosing these following countries:
I will let you find the link if you want to.
Bolivia: 4.5%; Indonesia 4.2%; Romania at
4.1%; US at 3%, Iraq at 2.9%, India at 1.7%;
Philippines at 1.6%
So pretty lady: what are the logical conclusions
we can draw from that? Or am I being too subtle.
This is my utter speculation and that is being
a gamer; if my end goal was to get everyone
vaccinated: well, personally I would have
started after having the vaccine so I could
introduce it at the most appropriate time;
as everyday passes, more and more people turns
against the lockdown: and though you might
think it helps with the cause, but I would
argue that it’s quite the opposite. As a
gamer, I would say the perfect time to launch
the vaccine would have been April/May. Now
would you agree that the longer they take,
the harder it would become? Or do you think
people would be so despondent that they would
agree to anything?
Come to think of it: I do see some validity
in that; But would still argue you don’t
need them to be that despondent; unless that
is also 
a goal.
Now can I just say something; suppose you
had the virus; and then your kids had the
virus; then my little one playing with them
got the virus; and then she gave it to my
mom.
Guess how I would feel about you? Or what
I want upon you? Well, I can’t say it without
violating every single YouTube policy.
When you spew flat-earth nonsense; it’s
a good laugh, and mostly harmless.
But when you spew such vile; while masquerading
as a logical thinker, who obviously doesn’t
understand what any of those words really
means or doesn’t understand how to follow
it.
We all start as a barber; we can choose to
learn; the more we learn, the more we know;
we can choose to divide the number of deaths
with total population and call it a day; or
we can choose to use number of infected and
then call it a day.
Or we can be those fools: who keeps saying
there are many additional variables to consider,
and such; and we rely on data – especially
when it comes to a novel item … yeah, you
know – general stupid people.
You said it sister.
I guess this is the end; and I do mean it
in more than one sense.
If you have managed to stick so far; well,
thank you and I do hope you have enjoyed this
content. In which case, can I please ask you
to like and maybe comment to feed youTube
algorithm.
Being a very small channel with only two-digit
subscriber count: where half of them are my
friend; well if you can subscribe, not only
will you know of me new content which are
mostly similar; but you will also help my
channel grow. And it would be truly appreciated.
Have a safe day. Signing off.
