.
>> Rosemary:  A CAMPAIGN OF 
POLICIES, PROMISES, ATTACKS, AND
SOME SURPRISES.
>> PUTTING PEOPLE FIRST.
>> Elizabeth May:  ATTACKING THE
CLIMATE CRISIS. 
>> Rosemary:  NOW IT IS VOTING 
TIME.
>> I VOTE BECAUSE IT IS A 
PRIVILEGE.
>> BECAUSE DEMOCRACY IS SACRED.
>> I VOTE BECAUSE I'M CANADIAN. 
>> Rosemary:  THE POWER IS IN 
YOUR HANDS AND WE FIND OUT THE 
RESULTS.
THIS IS ELECTION NIGHT 2019.
I'M ROSEMARY BARTON.
WELCOME TO OUR CBC NEWS ELECTION
HEADQUARTERS.
THIS IS IT.
THE CAMPAIGN IS OVER AND CANADA 
IS RIGHT NOW MAKING ITS CHOICE.
WE ARE HOURS FROM FINDING OUT 
WHAT THAT IS.
IT HAS BEEN AN INTENSE SIX 
WEEKS, AND IF THE POLLS ARE 
RIGHT A VERY TIGHT RACE FROM THE
BEGINNING ALL THE WAY TO THE 
END.
OUR CANADA VOTES TEAM IS HERE 
AND AT THE READY TO HELP GUIDE 
YOU THROUGH THE NIGHT.
WE'VE GOT REPORTERS ACROSS THE 
COUNTRY WHERE THE LEADERS ARE 
AND ARE THE VOTERS ARE, AND WE 
WILL BE ON TOP OF THE RESULTS 
COAST TO COAST TO COAST.
ALL 338 RIDINGS.
THE FIRST RESULTS WILL COME, AS 
THEY ALWAYS DO FROM NEWFOUNDLAND
AND LABRADOR, AND THAT'S IN LESS
THAN 30 MINUTES' TIME.
THEN OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS, WE
WILL KNOW HOW THIS COUNTRY HAS 
VOTED.
BECAUSE IT HAS BEEN SUCH A TIGHT
CAMPAIGN, IT'S POSSIBLE IT COULD
BE A VERY LONG NIGHT.
SO PREPARE YOURSELVES.
OUR RESULTS DESK IS CERTAINLY AT
THE READY.
YOU KNOW THEM WELL IAN 
HANOMANSING, HEATHER HISCOX, AND
ANDREW CHANG.
WE'LL START WITH ANDREW BECAUSE 
HE'S GOING TO GUIDE US THROUGH 
THE BIG PICTURE AND THE BIG 
CHANGES WE WANT TO WATCH FOR 
THROUGHOUT THIS EVENING, AND HE 
HAS A SPECIAL TOOL TO DO THAT.
>> Andrew:  LET'S GO AHEAD AND 
PUNCH UP THE HOUSE OF COMMONS AS
IT STOOD JUST PRIOR TO HOW IT 
STOOD BEFORE THIS ELECTION 
CAMPAIGN.
GET A GOOD LOOK AT IT AND WIPE 
IT FROM YOUR MIND.
EVERY PARTY STARTS FROM ZERO.
TWO QUESTIONS WE'LL TRY TO 
ANSWER, WHICH PARTY WILL WIN, 
AND WILL ANY PARTY WIN THE 
MAJORITY TO FORM GOVERNMENT.
170 IS THE NUMBER THEY NEED TO 
HIT TO DO JUST THAT.
THAT'S 50% OF THE HOUSE OF 
COMMONS PLUS ONE SEAT.
KEEP THAT IN THE BACK OF YOUR 
MIND.
THERE'S ONE OTHER NUMBER I WANT 
YOU TO REMEMBER AS WE TAKE YOU 
THROUGH THIS EVENING.
AND IT HAS TO DO WITH SHARE OF 
THE POPULAR VOTE.
38.5% IS THE NUMBER YOU WANT TO 
REMEMBER.
NO GOVERNMENT HAS FORMED 
GOVERNMENT AND NOT HIT 38.5%.
EVERY TIME A PARTY HAS CROSSED 
THAT THRESHOLD, THEY HAVE FORMED
A MAJORITY.
JUST BECAUSE WE HAVE NEVER SEEN 
A PARTY FORM A MAJORITY WITH 
LESS THAN 38.5% DOESN'T MEAN IT 
CAN'T HAPPEN, ESPECIALLY BECAUSE
OF HOW MANY THREE-WAY AND 
FOUR-WAY RACES WE HAVE.
WE MAY END UP IN MINORITY 
GOVERNMENT TERRITORY.
>> Rosemary:  SO IT COULD BE A 
CRAZY NIGHT AND ANDREW'S GOING 
TO KEEP HIS EYE ON THOSE NUMBERS
AND UPDATE US AS THE RESULTS 
COME IN.
DAVID COCHRANE IS KEEPING AN EYE
ON IT.
>> David:  THAT'S RIGHT, ROSIE, 
THERE ARE 60 RIDINGS THAT COULD 
MAKE-OR-BREAK THIS NIGHT.
THEY'RE ALL ACROSS THE COUNTRY 
FROM THE EAST COAST TO VANCOUVER
ISLAND.
MANY ARE KEY TO FORM GOVERNMENT.
SOME ARE REPRESENTED BY 
INDEPENDENTS LIKE JANE PHILPOTT 
AND JODY WILSON-RAYBOULD.
WE'LL BE WATCHING THOSE.
WE'LL ZERO IN ON KEY 
BATTLEGROUNDS LIKE THE G.T.A.
IN QUÉBEC WE'LL WATCH THE BLOC 
WHO COULD BLOCK ANY PARTIES' 
CHANCES.
THEN THERE IS THE PIPELINE AND 
BRITISH COLUMBIA.
THE WILD WEST.
TIGHT FOUR-WAY RACES THAT'S 
GOING TO KEEP THE COUNTRY UP 
VERY LATE.
>> Rosemary:  GET YOUR COFFEE 
READY.
HEATHER HISCOX IS GOING TO TAKE 
US ACROSS THE COUNTRY.
>> Heather:  I VOW TO STAY 
WELL-CAFFEINATED.
IF THERE'S A COMMON THREAD, IT 
IS UNCERTAINTY.
THE POLLS HAVE BEEN SUGGESTING 
THERE ARE MANY SUPER-TIGHT RACES
COAST TO COAST.
THE VOTERS I HAVE BEEN SPEAKING 
TO ARE REALLY STRUGGLING WITH 
WHO TO VOTE FOR AND ON WHAT 
BASIS IN THEIR VOTING LIVES.
THESE ARE VOTERS WITH 
TRADITIONAL VOTING PATTERNS.
IF YOU THROW IN QUÉBECERS WHO 
HAVE THE MOST UNPREDICTABLE 
PATTERNS.
>> Rosemary:  HEATHER IS 
TRACKING THAT HALF OF THE 
COUNTRY AND IAN HAS THE OTHER 
LEFT.
>> Ian:  THAT'S RIGHT, ROSIE.
LET'S START WITH NEW BRUNSWICK 
AND ALBERTA, TWO PROVINCES THAT 
ARE DIFFERENT IN MANY WAYS BE 
BUT SIMILAR.
IN 2015 THE LIBERALS WON IN SOME
CONSERVATIVE RIDINGS IN EACH OF 
THOSE PROVINCES.
CAN THE LIBERALS HANG ON TO SOME
OR ALL OF THOSE.
IN ONTARIO IT'S ABOUT THE 905, 
THERE IS SO MUCH CHANGE FROM 
ELECTION TO ELECTION.
IN BRITISH COLUMBIA IF YOU'RE 
COUNTING VOTES, COUNT THEM 
QUICKLY BECAUSE THOSE VOTES 
COULD MATTER.
>> Rosemary:  COUNT THEM 
ACCURATELY.
NOW YOU'VE GOT AN IDEA ABOUT 
WHAT'S HAPPENING ON THE DESK.
VASSY KAPELOS HAS BEEN HAPPENING
THIS ALONG WITH EVERYBODY ELSE.
WHAT ARE YOU HEARING FROM THE 
WAR ROOM?
>> Vassy:  WELL, ROSIE, THERE IS
A WIDE RANGE IN TERMS OF THOSE 
WHO HAVE ACCESS TO POLLING THE 
NUMBER OF SEATS TO WIN, WHICH IS
A BIT DIFFERENT FROM 2015.
HOWEVER, THAT KIND OF SHARPENED 
OVER THE LAST 48 HOURS, FOR WHO 
THE LIBERALS AND THE 
CONSERVATIVES I'VE BEEN SPEAKING
TO PREDICT A LIBERAL EDGE.
IT'S NOT CLEAR HOW THAT MIGHT 
IMPACT THINGS. 
>> Rosemary:  THAT MIGHT BE PART
OF THE STORY, HOW THE RISE OF 
THE GREEN PARTY AND THE SPLIT 
WILL IMPACT THE VOTE ON LIBERALS
AND CONSERVATIVES.
IT'S BEEN 40 DAYS AND YOU'VE 
SEEN THEM OF LEADERS 
CRISSCROSSING CANADA, MAKING 
PROMISES HOW THEY WILL LEAD THE 
COUNTRY.
LET'S START WITH JUSTIN 
TRUDEAU'S 40 DAYS IN 40 SECONDS.
>> Rt. Hon. Justin Trudeau:  IN 
EVERY ELECTION, WE GET TO MAKE 
AN IMPORTANT CHOICE ABOUT THE 
FUTURE OF OUR COUNTRY.
WE GET TO DECIDE WHAT KIND OF 
FUTURE WE WANT TO BUILD 
TOGETHER.
THAT'S WHY TODAY WE'RE 
ANNOUNCING THAT WE'RE ACTUALLY 
DOUBLING OUR ANNUAL INVESTMENTS 
IN CHILD CARE.
CUT TAXES FOR THE MIDDLE CLASS 
AND GIVE THEM BREATHING ROOM.
KEEP DELIVERING FOR THE MIDDLE 
CLASS.
NATIONAL PHARMACARE.
PLANT 2 BILLION TREES.
BAN MILITARY-ASSAULT RIFLES.
>> Rosemary:  BREAKING NEWS, A 
DRAMATIC NIGHT IN CANADIAN 
POLITICS, A PHOTO OF HIM WEARING
BROWNFACE.
>> Rt. Hon. Justin Trudeau:  IT 
WAS A DUMB THING TO DO.
IF JASON KENNEY AND DOUG FORD 
AND OTHER CONSERVATIVE PREMIERS 
DON'T WANT TO DO ANYTHING ON 
CLIMATE CHANGE.
>> Rosemary:  SALIMA SIVJI IS AT
HEADQUARTERS TONIGHT.
WHAT IS THE MOOD THERE?
>> Reporter:  THE ROOM IS READY,
THE SOUND CHECK DONE, AND THE 
LIBERALS ARE FEELING CAUTIOUSLY 
OPTIMISTIC.
JUSTIN TRUDEAU VOTED AND THEN 
WENT FOR A RUN IN MONTREAL.
MAJOR CAMPAIGNING BLITZ FOR THE 
LAST TEN DAYS.
THE LIBERALS' CAMPAIGN TEAM 
FEELING GOOD.
THEY'RE COUNTING ON THEIR GROUND
GAME, FEELING CONFIDENT THAT 
THEIR GROUND GAME IS STRONGER 
THAN THE OTHER PARTIES, AND 
VOTER TURNOUT IMPORTANT FOR THE 
LIBERAL PARTY. 
>> Rosemary:  SALIMA, WE WILL 
CHECK IN WITH YOU LATER.
WE'VE GOT ANOTHER LIBERAL ODDLY 
TO THE LEFT OF ME, ROGER KUSNER,
LONG-TIME M.P. IN CAPE BRETON.
WHAT ARE THE LIBERAL FRIENDS 
TELLING YOU ABOUT HOW THEY'RE 
APPROACHING THE EVENING?
>> IT'S BEEN A UNIQUE ELECTION.
I THINK YOU NAILED IT WHEN YOU 
SAID IT WAS A RELENTLESS 40 DAYS
AND AN INTENSE 40 DAYS.
I'VE SCOURED MY PHONE.
I HAVE YET TO FIND THE PROPER 
EMOJI TO ENCAPSULATE THE ENTIRE 
ELECTION.
WILD AND WEIRD.
WHEN I FOUND MYSELF RETWEETING 
ED THE SOCK ON TWITTER, I KNEW 
IT WAS DIFFERENT.
IT'S GOING TO BE A WILD ONE WITH
FOUR-WAY SPLITS.
>> Rosemary:  ROGER IS GOING TO 
BE HERE TO HELP US WITH ATLANTIC
COVERAGE.
TRUDEAU'S MAIN RIVAL IS ANDREW 
SCHEER.
IT'S HIS FIRST TIME AT THIS 
FEDERAL ELECTION CAMPAIGN THING.
LET'S TAKE A LOOK AT HOW HE DID 
IN 40 DAYS IN 40 SECONDS. 
>> Andrew Scheer: THE QUESTION 
THIS ELECTION IS VERY CLEAR.
WHO CAN YOU TRUST TO HELP YOU 
AND YOUR FAMILY TO GET AHEAD?
THE VERY FIRST ORDER OF BUSINESS
FOR A CONSERVATIVE GOVERNMENT, 
AN ACT TO REPEAL THE CARBON TAX.
SCRAP THE CARBON TAX.
CANCEL THE CARBON TAX.
JOB NUMBER ONE.
VERY EXCITED TO ANNOUNCE THE 
UNIVERSAL TAX CUT.
THE DISABILITY TAX CREDIT.
THE CHILDREN'S FITNESS TAX 
CREDIT.
>> YES OR NO SAME-SEX MARRIAGE 
IS MORALLY -- 
>> Andrew Scheer: I BELIEVE IN 
THE RIGHTS OF ALL.
MY DAD WAS BORN IN THE 
UNITED STATES.
I GREW UP MY WHOLE LIFE IN 
CANADA.
>> YOU NEVER TOLD ANYBODY. 
>> Andrew Scheer: I WAS NEVER 
ASKED ABOUT IT.
I HAVE NOTHING TO LEARN ABOUT 
MR. TRUDEAU WHO FIRED THE FIRST 
DISINGENUOUS ATTORNEY GENERAL.
YOU ARE A PHONY AND A FRAUD AND 
YOU DO NOT DESERVE TO GOVERN 
THIS COUNTRY.
>> Rosemary:  LET'S HEAD TO 
KATIE SIMPSON.
WHAT ARE THEY TELLING YOU 
TONIGHT, KATIE?
>> Reporter:  WELL, ROSIE, THERE
IS AN INDICATION THAT BECAUSE 
THINGS ARE SO TIGHT THEY'RE 
PREPARED TO FIGHT WELL PAST 
ELECTION DAY.
IF THIS RACE IS AS CLOSE AS IT 
SEEMS TO BE THE CONSERVATIVES 
ARE ABLE TO WIN MORE SEATS THAN 
THE LIBERALS, THEY ARE PREPARED 
TO TAKE THIS FIGHT TO CANADIANS 
AND CHALLENGE ANY SORT OF 
LEADERSHIP, EVEN THOUGH THESE 
NOT HOW THE RULES OF PARLIAMENT 
WORK.
THERE IS A MAGIC NUMBER THEY'RE 
PUTTING OUT THERE.
ANDREW SCHEER NEEDS TO WIN A 
DOZEN SEATS MORE THAN HIS 
COMPETITOR TO MAKE THE CASE.
>> Rosemary:  WE'LL TRACK BACK 
WITH KATIE.
LET'S GO TO CORY TONIGHT.
HE WAS THE 2018 CAMPAIGN MANAGER
FOR THE ONTARIO PROGRESSIVE 
CONSERVATIVE PARTY.
WHAT DO YOU MAKE OF THE 
CONSERVATIVES SAYING THEY'RE 
ALREADY GEARING UP FOR A FIGHT?
>> THEY'RE SETTING THE BAR HIGH,
BUT ANDREW SCHEER PULLS OFF A 
LOT OF SURPRISE WINS IN HIS 
CAREER, HE'S BEEN 
UNDERESTIMATED, SO WE'LL SEE IF 
HE CAN PULL THE RABBIT OUT OF 
THE HAT.
THEY MIGHT BE ABLE TO PICK UP 
SEATS IN THE MARITIMES AND SCORE
BIG WINS IN ONTARIO AND 
SIGNIFICANT GAINS IN B.C.
I THINK THE PRAIRIES THEY'VE GOT
NAILED DOWN PRETTY SOLIDLY.
BUT IT'S A HIGH BAR.
>> Rosemary:  CORY WILL BE WITH 
US THROUGH THE NIGHT.
SPEAKING OF THE BAR, THE BAR WAS
PRETTY LOW SET INITIALLY FOR THE
N.D.P. LEADER JASMEET SINGH.
NOT SURPRISING THAT HE MANAGED 
TO EXCEED MOST PEOPLE'S 
EXPECTATIONS FROM THIS CAMPAIGN.
TAKE A LOOK AT JASMEET SINGH 40 
DAYS IN 40 SECONDS.
>> Jagmeet Singh:  WE WILL BRING
A HOPEFUL MESSAGE TO CANADIANS.
WHO'S ON YOUR SIDE AND WHO WILL 
FIGHT FOR YOU?
WE CAN WORK TOGETHER ON 
INVESTING IN DENTAL CARE, 
PHARMACARE, TO BUILD HALF A 
BILLION CHILD CARE SPACES AND 
BUILD HALF A MILLION QUALITY 
AFFORDABLE HOMES ACROSS THE 
COUNTRY.
>> YOU SHOULD CUT YOUR TURBAN 
OFF SO YOU LOOK LIKE A CANADIAN.
>> Jagmeet Singh:  I THINK 
CANADIANS LOOK LIKE ALL SORTS OF
PEOPLE.
THAT IS THE BEAUTY OF CANADA.
EVERY SINGLE DAY OF MY LIFE IS 
CHALLENGING PEOPLE WHO THINK YOU
CAN'T DO THINGS FOR THE WAY YOU 
LOOK.
>> WILL YOU STILL TRY TO FORM A 
COALITION GOVERNMENT WITH THE 
LIBERALS?
>> Jagmeet Singh:  ABSOLUTELY.
WE'RE NOT GOING TO SUPPORT A 
CONSERVATIVE GOVERNMENT.
WE'RE GOING TO FIGHT IT ALL THE 
WAY.
[ APPLAUSE ]. 
>> Rosemary:  OKAY.
ALL THE WAY OUT TO THE WEST 
COAST IN BURNABY, 
BRITISH COLUMBIA, IS WHERE WE 
FIND HANNAH THIBEDEAU.
WHAT ARE THEY TELLING YOU?
>> Reporter:  THEY FEEL THE 
MOMENTUM IS ON THEIR SIDE.
AS YOU MENTIONED, WE WENT INTO 
THIS CAMPAIGN AND JASMEET SINGH 
AND THE N.D.P. COULD POTENTIALLY
LOSE OFFICIAL PARTY STATUS.
WELL, HE PERFORMED AND HIS PARTY
PERFORMED WELL OVER THIS 
ELECTION CAMPAIGN.
NOW WE THINK THEY WILL BE 
ACTUALLY ABLE TO KEEP THE SEATS 
OR TRY TO KEEP THE SEATS THEY 
CAME IN WITH, WHICH IS 39.
THEY'LL BE LOOKING FOR THAT, AND
THE ONE THEY ARE LOOKING FOR IS 
JACK HARRIS' SEAT IN 
NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR.
>> Rosemary:  HANNAH THIBEDEAU 
IS WITH US THROUGH THE NIGHT TO 
GAUGE N.D.P. REACTION.
ALSO THE FORMER N.D.P. FOR 
HALIFAX FROM 2008 TO 2015.
SHE'S NOW DIRECTOR OF W.W.F. 
CANADA.
WHAT ARE YOUR FRIENDS TELLING 
YOU?
>> I THINK EVERYONE CAN AGREE 
THE N.D.P. HAS RUN A GREAT 
CAMPAIGN, WHEN THEY WERE 
DECLARED DEAD AT THIS OUTSET.
JASMEET SINGH'S STAR KEEPS 
RISING.
ARE THE VOTES IN THE RIGHT 
PLACES THAT THEY CAN GAIN SEATS.
WE WILL FIND OUT.
>> Rosemary:  WE'RE GOING TO 
TAKE A QUICK BREAK.
OUR ELECTION COVERAGE CONTINUES 
IN A FEW MINUTES.
POLLS CLOSE IN
[♪♪♪] 
>> Rosemary:  WELCOME BACK TO 
OUR CBC NEWS ELECTION NIGHT 
HEADQUARTERS.
POLLS IN NEWFOUNDLAND AND 
LABRADOR CLOSE NOW IN JUST ABOUT
12 MINUTES' TIME.
SEVEN SEATS UP FOR GRABS.
I PROMISED WE'D HAVE YOU 
COVERED.
WHO ELSE BUT THE "AT ISSUE" 
PANEL.
THEY HAVE A FIRST TASTE OF WHAT 
THEY'RE WATCHING FOR.
>> THE BLOC QUÉBÉCOIS, I CAN 
ALREADY TELL YOU THAT THEY'RE 
GOING TO HAVE THEIR BEST NIGHT 
IN A DECADE, BUT HOW GOOD A 
NIGHT IT'S GOING TO BE.
I'M GOING TO WATCH TO SEE THE 
SOVEREIGNIST VOTE IN QUÉBEC 
COMES IN LOWER AND REAL WORLD 
THAN ON THE LAST PART OF THE 
CAMPAIGN.
INTERESTING TO SEE WHAT THAT 
DOES TO THE MATHEMATICS OF 
EVERYTHING ELSE. 
>> Rosemary:  ANDREW, HOW ABOUT 
YOU?
>> WE'RE WAITING TO SEE IF IT IS
A MAJORITY OR MINORITY.
IF IT IS A MINORITY LIKE 
EVERYONE EXPECTS, IS IT A STABLE
MINORITY.
THE CLOSER THE TWO PARTIES ARE 
TOGETHER, THEN THE LARGER OF 
NUMBER OF SEATS THEY HAVE TO GET
IN ADDITION TO THEIR OWN SEATS 
TO FORM A GOVERNMENT.
THE MORE THEY MAY HAVE TO RELY 
ON ONE PARTY'S SUPPORT OR TWO OR
THREE.
THAT'S WHAT WE'LL HAVE TO SEE. 
>> Rosemary:  THAT COULD BE 
HAIRY.
>> BEFORE WE COULD GET TO WHAT 
THE PARLIAMENT LOOKS LIKE, CAN 
THE GREENS MAKE A BREAKTHROUGH.
THEIR BIG HOPE FOR A 
SINGLE-DIGIT INCREASE.
THE N.D.P., CAN THEY HANG ON TO 
THE INCUMBENT SEATS THEY LOST IN
2015.
THEY'RE SAYING THEY'VE SEEN A 
SURGE OVER THE LAST THREE DAYS, 
BUT THEY HAVEN'T BEEN ABLE TO 
I.D. THOSE VOTERS BE WITH SO 
THEY CAN'T PULL THAT VOTE.
DOES THE BLOC EAT THE TORIES AND
THE LIBERALS' ABILITY TO OBTAIN 
A MAJORITY.
CAN THOSE EXPECTED LOSSES BE 
OFFSET IN ONTARIO?
>> Rosemary:  WE WILL HEAR FROM 
YOU GUYS THROUGH THE NIGHT WHEN 
YOU'RE NOT DOING YOUR STORIES 
WRITING FOR YOUR RESPECTIVE 
NEWSPAPERS.
IN TEN MINUTES' TIME ELECTION 
COVERAGE CONTINUES RIGHT AFTER 
THIS.
[♪♪♪] 
>> Rosemary:  WELCOME BACK AGAIN
TO OUR CBC NEWS ELECTION NIGHT 
HEADQUARTERS.
THIS ELECTION IS OF COURSE 
REALLY ABOUT YOU, THE VOTERS.
TONIGHT WE GET TO SEE WHAT YOU 
DECIDED.
DUNCAN McCUE WAS IN ALBERTA JUST
THIS WEEK.
WHAT ARE YOU HEARING FROM 
PEOPLE?
>> WHEN I WAS IN ALBERTA 
YESTERDAY FOR A TWIN TOWN HALL 
ON THE TRANS MOUNTAIN PIPELINE 
AND I WAS IN ALBERTA, WE ALSO 
HAD A LIVE AUDIENCE IN 
VANCOUVER.
IT WAS -- IN ALBERTA THE 
CONVERSATION IS VERY MUCH ABOUT 
JOBS, ABOUT ECONOMY, ABOUT 
PIPELINE.
VERY DIFFERENT ELECTION CAMPAIGN
CONVERSATION THAN WE'RE HAVING 
IN THE REST OF THE COUNTRY ABOUT
CLIMATE CHANGE AND 
AFFORDABILITY.
IAN AND I ARE ACCUSTOMED TO 
TURNING ON THE TELEVISION AND 
SEEING THE ELECTION IS OVER IN 
BRITISH COLUMBIA.
I DON'T THINK SO TONIGHT.
I THINK THE PIPELINE COULD 
MATTER AND PEOPLE WILL BE 
WATCHING LATE AND WHAT HAPPENS 
IN BRITISH COLUMBIA.
>> Rosemary:  WE'LL SEE WHETHER 
THE REGIONALIZED ELECTION MAKES 
A DIFFERENCE.
WE HAVE JAYME POISSON WITH OUR 
CANADA VOTES WATCH PARTY.
SHE HAS THE BEST SEATS IN THE 
HOUSE.
>> Reporter:  HI.
I DO FEEL LIKE I HAVE THE BEST 
SEAT IN THE HOUSE.
I'M THRILLED TO BE HERE WITH 
THESE INTERESTING, SMART, 
OPINIONATED CANADIANS.
WE'RE GOING TO BE TALKING AND 
DEBATING ALL NIGHT.
WE'RE DOING AN A.M.A. ON REDDIT 
AND FIELDING QUESTIONS THROUGH 
THE CBC'S SOCIAL MEDIA CHANNELS.
LET'S START WITH RYAN MCMAHON.
WHAT ARE YOU WATCHING FOR?
>> IN 1960 INDIGENOUS PEOPLE 
WERE GIVEN THE RIGHT TO VOTE 
WITHOUT ENFRANCHISEMENT AND 
TONIGHT THERE ARE MANY RIDINGS 
WHERE INDIGENOUS PEOPLE ARE 
VOTING.
>> Reporter:  YOU WERE JUST ON A
CALL WITH CITY COUNCIL.
>> YOU KNOW, I'M REALLY LOOKING 
FORWARD BEYOND TONIGHT.
I FOUND THIS TO BE AN INCREDIBLY
DIVISIVE ELECTION, DIVISIVE ON 
ISSUES LIKE BILL 21.
HOW DOES ANY GOVERNMENT MOVE THE
COUNTRY TOGETHER.
>> I'M LOOKING TO SEE WHAT 
CANADIANS THINK NOW.
THIS WAS AN ELECTION OR A 
CAMPAIGN THAT I THOUGHT WAS LOW 
ON SUBSTANCE AND HIGH ON 
RHETORIC.
I DON'T THINK ANYBODY GOT 
FOOLED.
I THINK WE'RE GOING TO SEE THAT 
TONIGHT.
>> I'M VERY INTERESTED OFF THE 
START TO FIND OUT HOW FAST 
RESULTS START COMING IN, BECAUSE
SLOW RESULTS FROM LOCAL RIDINGS 
MEAN TIGHT, TIGHT RACES.
THAT MEANS IT'S A LONG AND 
FASCINATING NIGHT.
>> Reporter:  LOOKING FORWARD TO
DIGGING INTO ALL OF THIS WITH 
YOU.
>> Rosemary:  OKAY, JAYME, WE'LL
CHECK IN WITH YOU AND ALL OUR 
NEW FRIENDS.
WE'LL TAKE ONE SHORT BREAK.
AND AFTER THAT THE BREAKS ARE 
OVER.
STICK AROUND.
[♪♪♪]
[♪♪♪] 
>> Rosemary:  WELCOME BACK.
FIRST POLLS ARE CLOSING IN JUST 
OVER A MINUTE IN NEWFOUNDLAND 
AND LABRADOR.
VASSY IS HERE TO TELL US WHAT WE
SHOULD WATCH FOR IN ATLANTIC 
CANADA.
>> Vassy:  THIS WILL BE WHEN WE 
SEE IF THINGS CHANGED FROM 2015.
IN 2015 THIS IS WHEN WE KNEW 
SOMETHING WAS HAPPENING WITH THE
LIBERALS.
THIS IS WHEN WE WILL KNOW IF 
THINGS AREN'T HAPPENING.
>> Rosemary:  VASSY IS HERE WITH
US ALL NIGHT.
YOU PROBABLY WONDER WHAT THIS 
EMPTY CHAIR IS FOR.
WE'RE SAVING IT FOR PETER 
MANSBRIDGE.
HE LIKES TO SHOW UP WHEN THINGS 
START ROCKING.
VASSY SAID THE SEVEN RIDINGS 
WERE ALL LIBERAL.
SO THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS WILL
START TO LAY THE GROUNDWORK FOR 
POTENTIAL TRENDS.
WILL THE LIBERALS BE ABLE TO 
HOLD THAT?
THEY DON'T ANTICIPATE THAT.
LET'S SEE WHAT THE MAP WILL LOOK
LIKE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF 
HOURS AS WE GET CLOSER TO THE 
HUGE SWATH OF RIDINGS AT 9:30 
EASTERN, RIDINGS FROM QUÉBEC TO 
ALBERTA.
THE FUTURE OF OUR COUNTRY IS 
ABOUT TO TAKE SHAPE.
THIS IS YOUR TIME AND YOUR 
CHOICE.
POLLS IN NEWFOUNDLAND AND 
LABRADOR ARE CLOSING RIGHT NOW.
[♪♪♪] 
>> Rosemary:  WELCOME TO CANADA 
VOTES.
TONIGHT MARKS THE CULMINATION OF
40 DAYS AND 40 NIGHTS OF A 
RELENTLESS CAMPAIGN.
>> Andrew Scheer: WHO CAN YOU 
TRUST. 
>> Jagmeet Singh:  WHO CAN YOU 
COUNT ON.
>> Rosemary:  A CAMPAIGN OF 
SURPRISES.
>> Elizabeth May:  ADDRESSING 
THE CLIMATE CRISIS.
>> Rosemary:  NOW IT IS VOTING 
TIME.
>> I VOTE.
>> I VOTE.
>> I VOTE BECAUSE IT'S A 
PRIVILEGE. 
>> BECAUSE DEMOCRACY IS SACRED. 
>> I VOTE BECAUSE I'M CANADIAN. 
>> Rosemary:  THE POWER IS IN 
YOUR HANDS AND TONIGHT WE FIND 
OUT THE RESULTS.
THIS IS ELECTION NIGHT 2019.
HELLO THERE, I'M ROSEMARY 
BARTON.
WE'RE EXPECTING OUR FIRST 
RESULTS TO COME IN AT ANY MOMENT
OF COURSE FROM NEWFOUNDLAND AND 
LABRADOR.
THEY LIKE TO GET THINGS GOING 
FIRST.
POLLS CLOSING JUST SECONDS AGO.
DAVID COCHRANE IS GOING TO WALK 
US THROUGH HIS HOME PROVINCE 
RESULTS.
>> Reporter:  THIS IS WHERE THE 
WAVE STARTED IN 2015 FOR JUSTIN 
TRUDEAU.
IF HE'S GOING TO KEEP HIS JOB 
TONIGHT, HE NEEDS TO REPLICATE 
THAT SUCCESS.
LIBERALS ARE CONFIDENT THEY'RE 
GOING TO GET SIX RIDINGS.
THEY'RE WORRIED ABOUT ST. JOHN'S
EAST.
THAT'S THE ONE THEY'RE WATCHING 
BECAUSE THE LIBERALS ARE STRONG 
OVERALL IN NEWFOUNDLAND ND 
LABRADOR.
THE PROVINCIAL GOVERNMENT HERE 
IS LIBERAL.
THOUGH IT WAS REDUCED TO A 
MINORITY IN THE LAST ELECTION.
SO THERE'S VOLATILITY THERE.
THAT COULD HELP THE N.D.P.
SEAMUS O'REGAN MIGHT HAVE A 
CLOSER RACE THAN HE WOULD LIKE.
WHAT YOU'RE LIKELY TO SEE IS A 
REAL SHOW OF STRENGTH FROM THE 
CONSERVATIVES.
THE LAST CAMPAIGN SCORCHED AND 
SALTED THE EARTH FOR THE FEDERAL
CONSERVATIVES IN NEWFOUNDLAND 
AND LABRADOR.
YOU MIGHT SEE THE NORTHERN COD 
COME BACK BEFORE THE 
CONSERVATIVES.
>> Rosemary:  WELL, I LIKE COD.
I CAN BE TOTALLY OBJECTIVE ABOUT
COD.
LET'S GO TO ST. JOHN'S EAST IN 
NEWFOUNDLAND, AND THAT IS WHERE 
THE N.D.P.S ARE HOPING TO WIN 
BACK A RIDING FOR JACK HARRIS 
AND PETER COWAN IS THERE.
HOW ARE THEY FEELING?
>> Reporter:  THE VOLUNTEERS ARE
STILL OUT THERE.
THEY'VE BEEN WORKING THEM TO THE
LAST MINUTE BECAUSE THEY KNOW 
EVERY VOTE WILL COUNT.
THIS IS A REMATCH.
EVERYONE WAS SHOCKED WHEN JACK 
HARRIS LOST THIS RIDING.
IT WAS THE LIBERAL WAVE.
THIS TIME IT IS A DIFFERENT 
ELECTION.
JACK HARRIS IS BACK.
HE WASN'T READY TO RETIRE.
HE'S RUNNING FOR HIS OLD JOB AND
WHAT PEOPLE ARE HOPING IS THE 
BUMP THAT THE N.D.P. HAS SEEN IN
THE POLLS OVER THE LAST COUPLE 
OF WEEKS WILL BE THE PUSH THAT 
THE CAMPAIGN NEEDS TO RE-ELECT 
HIM IN THIS RIDING.
IT'S INTERESTING THAT JASMEET 
SINGH DIDN'T EVEN VISIT THIS 
PROVINCE DURING THE ELECTION 
CAMPAIGN, AND THAT'S PERHAPS A 
RECOGNITION THAT JACK HARRIS HAS
30 YEARS OF POLITICAL 
EXPERIENCE, MORE THAN A DECADE 
AS PROVINCIAL LEADER, TWO TERMS 
AS THE M.P. HERE.
AND WHETHER HE WINS OR LOSES 
TONIGHT IS LARGELY GOING TO BE 
ON HIS OWN RECORD. 
>> Rosemary:  PETER COWAN IN 
ST. JOHN'S EAST.
I VAGUELY REMEMBER WHEN JACK 
HARRIS LOST, HE WAS LIKE, THAT'S
OKAY, I'M GOING TO GO HOME AND 
LIVE LIFE.
HE HAD THE BUG.
>> YEAH, I THINK HE WAS LOOKING 
FORWARD TO THAT AND REALIZED 
FOUR DAYS LATER THAT THAT WASN'T
GOING TO WORK.
JACK IS A HARD WORKER AND 
DOESN'T KNOW THE MEANING OF 
RETIREMENT.
LOTS RIDING ON THIS RIDING.
BEYOND ST. JOHN'S EAST, IT'S 
GOING TO BE A STRUGGLE FOR THE 
N.D.P.
THE SALTING OF THE EARTH IS 
INCLUDED FOR US AS WELL, AND NOT
MUCH OF A HISTORY, BUT THIS IS A
RIDING THE N.D.P. IS EXCITED 
ABOUT.
NICK WHALEN IS STRONG ON THE 
GROUND, BUT PEOPLE LOVE JACK 
HARRIS.
>> Rosemary:  WE'LL SEE WHAT 
HAPPENS FOR HIM TONIGHT.
ROGER, WHAT WILL YOU BE WATCHING
FOR?
>> IT'S FERTILE FOR US TO HOLD 
SEATS THERE.
I AGREE WITH MEGAN IN THE 
ASSESSMENT THAT JACK HARRIS -- 
IT WAS A LITTLE STRANGE IN 2015.
ALL THE ELEMENTS CAME TOGETHER 
FOR US IN ATLANTIC CANADA.
THERE WAS -- PEOPLE WEREN'T 
COMFORTABLE ANY LONGER WITH THE 
HARPER GOVERNMENT.
TEN YEARS HAD WORN THIN.
THEY WERE EXCITED ABOUT JUSTIN 
TRUDEAU.
WE CAUGHT A LITTLE BIT OF THAT 
WAVE AND ENERGY.
WE HAD A GREAT SLATE OF 
CANDIDATES AND NICK WHALEN 
BENEFITTED FROM THAT.
I THINK JACK WOULD TELL YOU 
HIMSELF, MAYBE HIS GROUND GAME 
WASN'T AS SHARP BECAUSE EVERYONE
LOVED JACK HARRIS.
I THINK NICK WAS A LITTLE BIT 
SURPRISED HIMSELF.
NICK IS A GREAT MEMBER OF 
PARLIAMENT, SO THAT WILL BE A 
GREAT ONE TO WATCH.
>> Rosemary:  OKAY, CORY, I 
WOULDN'T MIND GOING TO YOU.
IS WHAT DAVID SAYS TRUE?
>> THE SALTED -- 
>> Rosemary:  YOU GET OVER THE 
BOAT AND NEVER COME IN.
>> YOU NEVER GET IN A FIGHT IN 
NEWFOUNDLAND WITH DANNY 
WILLIAMS.
THESE ARE RULES THAT MUST BE 
APPLIED TO LIFE.
WE'RE NOT LOOKING FOR ANY SEATS 
IN NEWFOUNDLAND, BUT AS A 
BROADER MARITIME PROVINCES, I 
THINK THERE ARE OPPORTUNITIES 
THERE TO REGAIN SOME TRADITION 
SEATS AND WE'LL SEE HOW MANY WE 
CAN BRING BACK.
CERTAINLY I THINK FOR ANDREW TO 
HIT THE TARGETS TO GET A 
CONSERVATIVE MINORITY 
GOVERNMENT, YOU'RE LOOKING IN 
SOMETHING OF THE 10 TO 12 SEAT 
RANGE IN THE MARITIMES.
THAT WILL BE A HIGH BAR BECAUSE 
THERE WON'T BE ANY OF THOSE 
COMING OUT OF NEWFOUNDLAND. 
>> Rosemary:  LET ME JUST TELL 
YOU WHAT'S ON YOUR SCREEN.
YOU'LL SEE ON THE BOTTOM OF YOUR
SCREEN WHAT WE CALL THE MINI 
BOARD WHERE YOU'LL SEE THE SEATS
LEADING AND ELECTED POP UP.
338 RIDINGS AS YOU KNOW BY NOW.
170 IS THE TARGET FOR A 
MAJORITY.
WE'LL TRACK THAT.
THE MARITIME SEATS WILL BE 
COMING IN IN 23 MINUTES' TIME.
IT SHOULDN'T BE LONG BEFORE WE 
SEE SOME OF THE NEWFOUNDLAND AND
LABRADOR RESULTS.
CHANTAL, WANT TO WEIGH IN ON THE
ATLANTIC AND WHAT'S AT STAKE AND
WHAT YOU'RE EXPECTING?
>> I EXPECT THE LIBERALS TO DO 
OKAY IN ATLANTIC CANADA.
I DON'T THINK IT WAS A MAJOR 
BATTLEGROUND, BUT I AGREE THERE 
ARE TRADITIONAL CONSERVATIVE 
SEATS AND ON A WINNING YEAR, 
EVEN IF YOU WIN A MINORITY, YOU 
SHOULD BE WINNING BACK THOSE 
TRADITIONAL SEATS. 
>> Rosemary:  PLACES LIKE 
NEW BRUNSWICK.
>> IF YOU FALL SHORT, IT SENDS A
SIGNAL.
I SAY ALL THAT AND THEN CAUTION 
AGAINST THE NOTION THAT ATLANTIC
CANADA SETS A TREND.
IF IT DID, JEAN CHRETIEN CAME 
OUT HAVING LOST SEATS TO THE 
N.D.P. IN PARTICULAR, BUT NOT 
EXCLUSIVELY, IF THAT HAD BEEN A 
TREND, HE WOULD HAVE BEEN THE 
LEADER OF THE OPPOSITION AT THE 
END OF THE NIGHT.
ONCE YOU NIGHT QUÉBEC AND 
ONTARIO.
OBVIOUSLY ONTARIO WAS A BIG DEAL
FOR CHRETIEN.
IT'S A MICROCLIMATE IN THE SAME 
WAY AS ALBERTA WILL BE.
>> Rosemary:  IT WILL BE A 
DIFFERENT WAY THAN THE 2015 WHEN
SO MUCH WENT RED.
HAVE YOU NOTED THAT AS WELL?
>> 2015 IN ATLANTIC WAS AN 
ABERRATION.
I DON'T THINK YOU'RE GOING TO 
SEE THE SAME PATTERN THIS TIME.
I THINK EARLIER IN THE CAMPAIGN 
IT LOOKED THEY COULD PICK UP THE
10 OR 12, BUT NOW 6 OR 7.
>> Rosemary:  WHAT DO YOU THINK,
ALTHIA?
>> I REMEMBER CALLING MEGAN AND 
ASKING HER IF SHE WAS WORRIED 
ABOUT HER RIDING, SHE WAS LIKE, 
NO, I'M NOT WORRIED AT ALL.
NONE WHATSOEVER.
AND THE STRATEGIC VOTING THING 
ACTUALLY WORKED AGAINST MEGAN.
AND A LOT OF PEOPLE WHO WERE 
THRILLED AT HAVING HER AS THEIR 
M.P. WERE DISCOURAGED THAT SHE 
WAS NO LONGER THEIR MEMBER OF 
PARLIAMENT.
WHO KNOWS WHAT HAPPENS IN 
HALIFAX.
I THINK IN NEWFOUNDLAND AND 
LABRADOR, THERE ARE STRONG LOCAL
M.P.s WHO ARE SURVIVE REGARDLESS
OF THE TREND AGAINST 
MR. TRUDEAU.
I THINK OF SCOTT SIMMS, FOR 
EXAMPLE, IN THE NORTHERN PART OF
THE RIDING.
HE CAME -- 
>> Rosemary:  THE STUDENT GRANTS
WHERE YOU HAD TO SAY I AM 
PROABORTION -- 
>> OR AT LEAST I'M NOT 
ANTI-ABORTION.
SO I THINK THAT IS GOING TO SAVE
RIDINGS THAT WERE CLOSER.
I REMEMBER CALLING YOUR PARTY 
AND THEY WERE LIKE THIS MIGHT BE
THE YEAR THAT A.B.C. IS OVER.
OH, GREAT, I ASKED ONE OF OUR 
YOUNGER REPORTERS AND ASKED THEM
TO CALL THE TORIES AND BY JUNE 
THEY WERE LIKE, THAT'S NOT GOING
TO HAPPEN. 
>> Rosemary:  DAVID, OTHER THAN 
NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR, IS 
THERE A STORY LINE OVERALL FOR 
THE ATLANTIC IN TERMS OF HOW 
THEY HAVE APPROACHED THIS PRIME 
MINISTER AND HOW THEY HAVE FELT 
ABOUT THIS PRIME MINISTER?
>> HOW IT'S GOING TO PLAY OUT 
TONIGHT.
FIRST THERE IS AN ELEMENT OF 
VOLATILITY IN ATLANTIC CANADA.
THREE OF THE FOUR GOVERNMENTS 
ARE MINORITY GOVERNMENTS.
THERE IS SOME VOLATILITY AND 
CHANGE THERE.
NORMALLY YOU SWING BACK AND 
FORTH BETWEEN LIBERAL AND 
CONSERVATIVE MAJORITY WITH SOME 
OUTLIER EXCEPTIONS.
ONCE YOU GET OFF NEWFOUNDLAND 
AND LABRADOR AND GET INTO THE 
MARITIMES, THAT'S WHERE THE 
BATTLE BEGIN.
THE POLLS TELL US THIS IS A 
TOP-LINE BATTLE FOR SEATS.
MAINLAND ATLANTIC CANADA IS 
WHERE YOU'LL SEE THAT.
I JUST GOT A TEXT FROM A FRIEND 
IN ST. JOHN'S IN A POLLING 
STATION THAT ARE LOCKED IN 
WAITING TO VOTE.
THEY'RE SEVEN OR EIGHT DEEP IN 
LINE AND THE DOORS ARE LOCKED 
BEHIND THEM.
IF THERE'S GOOD TURNOUT IN 
ST. JOHN'S EAST, THAT IS THE 
MOST COMPETITIVE SEAT.
>> Rosemary:  WE'RE WAITING FOR 
THE RESULTS TO COME IN FROM 
NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR.
THE OTHER THING TO KEEP YOUR EYE
AND MIND ON AS WE GET THE REST 
OF THE RESULTS FROM THE 
MARITIMES IS WHETHER THE GREENS 
BREAK IN.
THEY'VE HAD SUCCESS THERE 
PROVINCIALLY.
CAN THEY PICK UP SUPPORT AND 
WHAT IMPACT DOES THAT HAVE IN 
TERMS OF VOTE SPLITTING.
ANOTHER FRIEND IS IN NOVA 
SCOTIA.
HE FINISHED HIS SHOW -- WE MUST 
HAVE MADE A MISTAKE HERE.
I'M KIDDING.
IT'S MARK KRITC.
YOU HAVE A LIVE AUDIENCE?
>> I HAVE A LIVE AUDIENCE.
CHAWS 
[ Cheering and Applause ]. 
>> Rosemary:  WE GOT NONE OF 
THAT.
WE'RE JUST TALKING TO OURSELVES.
WHAT ARE YOU WATCHING FOR THERE?
>> I AM WATCHING FOR THIS BLOODY
THING TO BE OVER.
THIS IS LIKE BEATING YOUR HEAD 
AGAINST A POST.
WE MIGHT HAVE A MINORITY BECAUSE
JUSTIN DECIDED TO LOOK LIKE A 
MINORITY.
IT COULD BE A COALITION.
NOBODY KNOWS.
THIS IS THE LEAST-WANTED 
N.D.P.-LIBERAL MERGER SINCE 
JUSTIN ACCIDENTALLY ELBOWED RUTH
IN THE CHEST.
I AM HERE RECORDING A SHOW.
DO WE HAVE RESULTS YET?
>> Rosemary:  NO, NO RESULTS.
WE'RE WAITING FOR NEWFOUNDLAND 
AND LABRADOR TO GET TO BUSY.
>> THAT'S BECAUSE IT'S HALF AN 
HOUR LATER IN NEWFOUNDLAND.
THIS IS THE TALKING OUT YOUR 
[BEEP] PART OF PUNDITRY.
IT WILL BE LIKE A DIFFERENT 
GROUP OF PARTIES COMING 
TOGETHER, LIKE THE AVENGERS, BUT
THEY WILL BE FIGHTING -- ANDREW 
SCHEER WOULD BE THE AMERICAN.
EVERYONE COMING FROM WITHIN THE 
HOUSE -- 
>> Rosemary:  I GET TO CUT YOU 
OFF BECAUSE WE HAVE A RESULT.
>> WE HAVE A RESULT?
I HOPE IT'S NOT PREGNANT.
WHAT'S THE RESULT?
>> Rosemary:  DAVID COCHRANE IS 
GOING TO GIVE IT TO YOU NOW.
>> IT'S NOT PREGNANT, MARK.
IT'S SCOTT SIMMS, COAST OF 
BAYS-CENTRAL-NOTRE DAME.
CONSERVATIVES UP, ALEX BRACCI.
HE'S AHEAD OF SCOTT SIMMS.
HE GOT INTO SOME HOT WATER WITH 
HIS OWN PARTY.
HE LOST HIS CHAIRMANSHIP WITH 
THE FISHERIES COMMITTEE.
SIMMS HAS A RELIGIOUS POPULATION
IN HIS RIDING.
THIS IS THE BIBLE BELT.
HE WAS CERTAINLY PLAYING TO THE 
WISHING OF HIS RIDING WHEN HE 
TOOK THAT STAND AND IT COST HIM 
A SEAT.
DESPITE THE FACT HE CHAIRED 
JUSTIN TRUDEAU'S CAMPAIGN.
>> Rosemary:  NO HARD FEELINGS.
LET ME SHOW YOU THIS MAP.
DON'T EXPECT THAT PART TO STAY 
BLUE, BUT THIS IS WHAT WE'RE 
GOING TO LOOK AT THROUGH THE 
NIGHT.
IT WILL GROW BIGGER AND BIGGER 
AS WE INCLUDE MORE PARTS OF THE 
COUNTRY.
YOU WILL SEE THE TREND LINES OF 
THIS.
LAST TIME THIS WAS ALL RED.
WE WILL SEE WHAT COLOUR IT TURNS
THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT.
AND THEN WE'LL SHOW THESE THINGS
AS MORE RESULTS COME IN.
15 MINUTES AWAY FROM MARITIME 
RESULTS.
25 SEATS IN TOTAL.
VERY EARLY REPORTING IN 
NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR.
THIS IS WHAT HAPPENS WITH 
ELECTIONS.
WHEN YOU GET TO 9:30, ALL HELL 
BREAKS LOOSE, FRANKLY, BECAUSE 
YOU'VE GOT 263 RIDINGS THAT 
START REPORTING.
THAT'S WHEN THINGS START GETTING
A LITTLE BIT WILD.
VASSY.
>> Vassy:  I THINK WHEN THE REST
OF THE ATLANTIC RIDINGS COME IN,
THE EFFECT OF THE STRATEGIC 
VOTING MESSAGE IN 2015.
I'M CURIOUS TO SEE WHAT KIND OF 
EFFECT, AND WE'LL PROBABLY ONLY 
SEE SOME OF THAT IN THE 
ATLANTIC, AND PARTICULARLY IN 
ONTARIO THAT MIGHT RESONATE, BUT
THERE WAS A SHARPENED MESSAGE 
FROM THE LIBERALS AND TO A 
CERTAIN DEGREE THE LIBERALS OVER
THE PAST SEVEN OR EIGHT DAYS, 
YOU HAVE TO VOTE FOR US TO KEEP 
THE OTHER PEOPLE OUT.
IT'S A DIFFERENT MESSAGE BECAUSE
THERE'S NO STEPHEN HARPER ON THE
OTHER SIDE.
I'M CURIOUS TO SEE TO WHAT 
DEGREE DID THAT RESONATE WITH 
PEOPLE.
I THINK WE MIGHT GET OUR FIRST 
INDICATION IN ATLANTIC CANADA, 
BUT YOU HAVE TO SEE MORE.
>> Rosemary:  WHEN YOU'RE USING 
IT TO SAY WE JUST WANT TO STOP A
GUY YOU'VE NEVER SEEN BEFORE 
BECAUSE WE THINK HE'S GOING TO 
CUT THINGS -- 
>> Vassy:  LIKE DOUG FORD.
>> Rosemary:  DAVID, YOU WANTED 
IN.
>> TO SUMMARIZE, IT WAS LIKE 
HARPER TOOK THE STUFF AND WE 
GAVE THE STUFF BACK.
THEY HAD MACCAULEY, VETERANS' 
OFFICES BEING CLOSED, THINGS 
THAT MATTERED IN SMALLER PLACES,
SO THEY TRIED TO GO AFTER 
THAT -- THAT IS THE CHALLENGE 
FOR SCHEER AND BEING SO UNKNOWN 
AND UNDEFINED, THEY WERE ABLE TO
DO SOME OF IT.
>> Rosemary:  I WOULD SAY AS 
MUCH AS IT'S UNCERTAIN THAT THAT
STRATEGY WORKED, IT'S NOT CLEAR 
THAT THIS BIG SCARY COALITION 
WORKED EITHER.
I DON'T KNOW WHETHER THAT TRADED
IN ANY WAY AND WHETHER THAT'S A 
BIG SCARY THING FOR CANADIANS.
>> JASMEET SINGH MENTIONED IT ON
A SUNDAY, WALKED IT BACK ON A 
MONDAY, RESURRECTED IT ON A 
TUESDAY.
SCHEER SAID THIS IS PROOF AND 
THIS IS HAPPENING -- OH, WE HAVE
A NEW RESULT.
IT LOOKS LIKE -- 
>> Rosemary:  IT LOOKS LIKE 
SCOTT SIMMS HAS COME BACK.
>> YES, REPORTS OF HIS DEMISE 
WERE EXAGGERATED FROM COAST OF 
BAYS-CENTRAL-NOTRE DAME.
HE'S GONE DOWN BY 13 VOTES.
LOOK AT THAT, IT'S 44-26, SCOTT 
SIMMS WITH AN 18-VOTE LEAD OVER 
ALEX BRACCI.
MY PEOPLE ARE FAST TALKERS AND 
SLOW VOTERS.
THERE ARE PEOPLE STILL IN 
POLLING STATIONS, AND THEY CAN'T
START THE VOTE UNTIL EVERYONE'S 
OUT.
>> Rosemary:  ONCE YOU'RE IN, 
YOU'RE IN.
I'M GLAD YOU SAID THAT ABOUT 
YOUR PEOPLE.
WE'RE STILL STANDING BY FOR MORE
RESULTS.
IT GETS SLOW IN THE BEGINNING 
AND GETS FAST AS THE NIGHT GOES 
ON.
DAVID COMMON IS GOING TO HELP 
TRACK THE PACE OF THAT NIGHT.
HE'S IN THE GREATER TORONTO 
AREA.
IS THAT SOME SORT OF WILD PARTY 
OR SOMETHING?
>> Reporter:  THAT'S EXACTLY IT.
THE WINE IS FLOWING, SO IS THE 
CONVERSATION ABOUT POLITICS.
THIS IS A FAMILY IN BURLINGTON.
THIS IS ONE OF THOSE 33 SEATS IN
THE 905 AREA.
THIS IS ONE OF THE SEATS THAT 
COULD BE SWING.
DID EVERYBODY VOTE?
>> YES.
>> Reporter:  THERE WERE LOTS OF
VOTES.
THEY WERE INVOLVED IN WHAT WAS 
GOING ON, WATCHING THROUGH THE 
PEEPHOLE, WATCHING THE 
CONVERSATION.
WATCHING THE ATLANTIC CANADA 
RESULTS.
WAITING FOR POLLS TO CLOSE.
>> Rosemary:  MAKE SURE THAT 
THEY'RE ON OUR CHANNEL, THAT 
WILL HELP THEM KNOW WHEN WE'RE 
COMING TO YOU. 
>> Reporter:  THEY ARE. 
>> Rosemary:  THERE'S 12 
WATCHERS.
DAVID IS GOING TO BE MOVING 
THROUGH THE G.T.A. THROUGH THE 
NIGHT.
WE'LL SEE HOW MANY PEOPLE AND 
RIDINGS HE CAN HIT.
>> IT TAKES A GOOD KITCHEN PARTY
TO GET THE PARTY MOVING IN 
NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR.
HERE IS BONAVISTA-BURIN-TRINITY.
THIS RIDING WAS WON BY JUDY FOOT
BEFORE.
THIS IS THE RIDING ON THE WEST 
COAST OF THE ISLAND OF 
NEWFOUNDLAND.
THE REAL BASE AT THE FEDERAL AND
PROVINCIAL LEVEL.
THIS IS WHERE BRIAN TOBIN USED 
TO RUN UP. 
>> Rosemary:  THESE ARE LOCAL 
CANDIDATES.
THAT'S WHAT WORKS IN 
NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR.
>> THEY'RE ALL WELL-KNOWN.
SCOTT SIMMS IS WELL-KNOWN.
HE GIVES A LOT OF SPEECHES AT 
THE HOTEL GANDER AND THEY HAVE A
BOX THAT'S SCOTT'S BOX BECAUSE 
HE'S NOT THAT TALL AND IT'S WHAT
HE STANDS ON.
AND GUDIE HUTCHINGS.
>> Rosemary:  JUST SO YOU'RE 
WONDERING WHAT THE HECK IS GOING
ON, THERE'S LESS THAN 300 VOTES 
COUNTED IN THE PROVINCE SO FAR.
AS DAVID POINTS OUT, IT MAY BE 
SLOW GOING IF PEOPLE WERE LINED 
UP AND WAITING TO VOTE BEFORE 
THE COUNTING BEGAN.
IT'S NOT THAT THE POLLS WERE 
OPEN LONGER, IT'S JUST THAT THEY
WERE TAKING LONGER TO COME IN.
THE MARITIMES CLOSE IN 10 
MINUTES' TIME.
THIS IS WHAT THE MAP LOOKS LIKE 
NOW.
THAT IS THE LIBERAL PARTY.
NO ONE ELSE ON THE BOARD.
VERY, VERY NUMBERS.
DUNCAN McCUE, LET'S GO BACK TO 
YOU.
I IMAGINE YOU'VE TALKED TO 
PEOPLE IN ATLANTIC CANADA.
WHAT WAS THE IMPRESSION THEY 
LEFT WITH YOU IN TERMS OF THE 
THINGS THEY WERE THINKING OF 
DURING THE ELECTION. 
>> I'LL TELL YOU RIGHT NOW, IT'S
A LOT OF FEAR.
PEOPLE -- I MEAN CHRISTINE BRODY
SHARED THIS, I'VE NEVER BEEN SO 
SCARED TO SEE WHAT OUR 
GOVERNMENT IS GOING TO LOOK LIKE
AFTER AN ELECTION.
I WANT TO PICK UP ON A POINT YOU
MENTIONED ABOUT THE GREENS.
WE'RE ABOUT 10 MINUTES AWAY FROM
THE MARITIMES OPENING.
LAST ELECTION I WAS WITH 
ELIZABETH MAY AT GREEN 
HEADQUARTERS.
THERE WAS TALK OF A GREEN WAVE, 
A GREEN SURGE.
THAT DIDN'T HAPPEN.
THEY'RE TALKING ABOUT IT AGAIN.
I'M WATCHING TO SEE HOW THEY DO 
IN THE MARITIMES.
THEY'RE LOOKING TO MAKE INROADS 
IN THE MARITIMES.
THE GREENS DID WELL PROVINCIALLY
IN NEW BRUNSWICK AND P.E.I.
IF THE GREENS CAN TAKE A SEAT IN
THE MARITIMES, THAT WILL BE A 
VICTORY FOR THEM, BUT THAT WILL 
ALSO CUT INTO LIBERAL VOTES.
FOUR SEATS UP FOR GRAB IN P.E.I.
FOR THE GREENS THAT MAKES A BIG 
DIFFERENCE.
>> Rosemary:  THEY PROVINCIALLY 
FORM THE OPPOSITION, THE GREEN 
PARTY.
THERE IS AN OPENNESS TO THE 
GREEN PARTY ON THE ISLAND.
DAVID COCHRANE HAS MORE RESULTS.
>> WE HAVE A TORRENT OF RESULTS.
WE HAVE RESULTS FROM LABRADOR 
YVONNE JONES HAS A LEAD.
JONES HAS REPRESENTED PARTS OF 
LABRADOR.
SHE IS A GOOD CAMPAIGNER.
A POPULAR DISTRICT POLITICIAN.
HERE IS KEN MACDONALD, THE 
FORMER MAYOR OF CONCEPTION BAY 
SOUTH.
HE HAS A 26-VOTE LEAD OVER 
MATTHEW CHAPMAN.
THEY WERE HOPING TO GET PAUL 
DAVIS TO RUN FOR THEM.
INSTEAD THEY GOT MATT CHAPMAN.
HE IS COMING UP SHORT IN AVALON.
SEAMUS O'REGAN HAD TO TAKE TIME 
AWAY FROM THE CAMPAIGN TRAIL 
BECAUSE HIS FATHER WAS 
HOSPITALIZED DURING THIS 
CAMPAIGN.
AT TIMES IT LOOKED QUITE SEVERE,
BUT I HEARD THAT HE'S UP, AWAKE 
IN THE HOSPITAL, AND WATCHING 
THE SHOW.
>> Rosemary:  THANKS FOR THAT.
ONLY 700 VOTES.
THIS IS SLOW.
IF YOU NOTICE, IF I CAN SHOW YOU
THE MAP, WHILE WE HAVE LEADING 
IN ALL THOSE RIDINGS, THAT 
LITTLE TIP ON THE END IS 
ST. JOHN'S EAST AND WE DON'T 
HAVE ANYTHING FROM ST. JOHN'S 
EAST.
THIS WILL MAKE FOR A NERVOUS 
NIGHT.
IS JACK HARRIS A NERVOUS OR 
ANXIOUS FELLOW?
>> HE'LL A LITTLE BIT.
>> Rosemary:  SO HE WILL -- WE 
WILL WAIT AND SEE WHAT'S GOING 
ON THERE.
I DON'T THINK ANYONE SHOULD 
THINK THIS IS ABNORMAL AT THIS 
STAGE.
THINGS ARE SLOW AND A LITTLE 
STRANGE WE DON'T HAVE ANYTHING 
FROM ST. JOHN'S EAST.
I'M SURE WE WILL QUICKLY.
IN SIX MINUTES' TIME WE WILL GET
MORE FROM THE MARITIMES, PRINCE 
EDWARD ISLAND, NEW BRUNSWICK, 
NOVA SCOTIA.
THAT WILL GIVE US A BETTER SENSE
OF WHAT HAPPENS HAPPENING IN THE
MARITIMES.
WHILE WE ARE TALKING ABOUT THE 
POTENTIAL RISE OF THE GREEN 
PARTY IN TERMS OF VOTE SHARE, 
LET'S LOOK BACK AT ELIZABETH 
MAY'S 40 DAYS IN 40 SECONDS.
>> Elizabeth May:  THIS ELECTION
IS ABOUT TELLING THE TRUTH TO 
CANADIANS ABOUT HOW SERIOUS THE 
CLIMATE EMERGENCY REALLY IS.
WE NEED TO MOVE AWAY FROM FOSSIL
FUELS AS QUICKLY AS POSSIBLE.
WE'RE CERTAINLY NOT A ONE-ISSUE 
PARTY.
BRING IN REAL PHARMACARE, 
CANCELLING TUITIONS.
WE WANT TO ENSURE THAT NO ONE IS
LEFT HOMELESS AND BRINGING IN 
GUARANTEED LIVABLE INCOME.
I'M NOT A WOMAN WHO WILL RETREAT
FROM THE RIGHT OF A WOMAN TO A 
SAFE AND LEGAL ABORTION.
WE WILL NOT HAVE A CANDIDATE WHO
THINKS THEY CAN WORK TO BREAK UP
THE COUNTRY.
VOTE GREEN, IT FEELS GOOD.
TO AVOID CATASTROPHIC LEVELS OF 
GLOBAL WARMING, WE MUST NOT 
BUILD THE TRANS MOUNTAIN 
PIPELINE.
IT'S HEART-BREAKING FOR ME TO 
KNOW YOU COULD HAVE DONE SO MUCH
MORE IN THE LAST FOUR YEARS.
PLEASE, GOD, DON'T GET A 
MAJORITY.
>> Rosemary:  TANIA FLETCHER IS 
STANDING BY AT GREEN PARTY 
HEADQUARTERS.
WHAT'S THE MOOD THERE?
>> Reporter:  IT'S QUITE RELAXED
AND MUCH LIKE ELIZABETH MAY 
HERSELF OVER THE LAST FEW DAYS.
THE LEADER IS EXPECTED TO BE 
HERE AND SHE IS GOING TO WATCH 
THE RESULTS COME IN.
SHE IS VERY CONFIDENT AND SHE'S 
THE MOST EXPERIENCED LEADER 
HEADING INTO THIS.
THIS IS HER FOURTH FEDERAL 
ELECTION.
SPENDING THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS
WITH HER THROUGH THE HOME 
STRETCH OF HER CAMPAIGN, SHE WAS
ON VANCOUVER ISLAND AND THIS IS 
CLEARLY WHERE THEY'RE THROWING 
ALL OF THEIR HOPES.
RIGHT NOW MOST OF THOSE RIDINGS 
BELONG TO THE N.D.P., AND YOU 
CAN TELL THAT IS WHERE THE TUG 
OF WAR IS.
YOU HEAR SOME NASTY ATTACKS, THE
GREENS ACCUSING THE N.D.P. OF 
CIRCULATING LEAFLETS.
I ASKED ELIZABETH MAY HOW THIS 
CAMPAIGN COMPARED TO YEARS PAST.
SHE SAID BY FAR, THIS IS THE 
NASTIEST AND DIRTIEST CAMPAIGN 
WITH THE MUD SLINGING.
SHE GOES ROGUE AS A LEADER AND 
DOESN'T STICK TO A SCRIPT.
YOU SEE THAT AND WONDER WHEN 
THAT IS GOING TO TAKE EFFECT.
THE GREENS HAVE STRUGGLED IN THE
POLLS THROUGH THE COURSE OF THE 
CAMPAIGN AND STRUGGLED TO GET 
THAT MOMENTUM GOING, ESPECIALLY 
ON THE HEELS OF CRITICAL TIMING.
WE SAW THE CLIMATE RALLIES 
ACROSS THE GLOBE.
PERHAPS GRETA THUNBERG HAS BEEN 
HER GREATEST CAMPAIGNER.
WILL SHE BE ABLE TO LEVERAGE 
THAT MOMENTUM, THAT IS YET TO BE
SEEN.
>> Rosemary:  MEANWHILE, POLLS 
CLOSING IN THE MARITIMES IN JUST
OVER THREE MINUTES' TIME AS WE 
AWAIT FOR MORE RESULTS FROM 
NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR, BUT 
HEATHER IS GOING TO BE WATCHING 
A COUPLE OF PLACES IN THE 
MARITIMES.
TELL US WHAT YOU ARE EXPECTING. 
>> ELIZABETH MAY WAS TARGETING 
P.E.I.
COULD THE ISLAND'S FAMOUS FANS 
BE SHIFTING?
THE ISLAND HAS BEEN RELIABLY RED
FOR DECADES, BUT AS DUNCAN WAS 
MENTIONING LAST APRIL THEY GOT 
30% OF THE VOTE AND THAT WAS THE
CHANCE TO FORM THE OFFICIAL 
OPPOSITION FOR THE FIRST TIME IN
CANADA.
COULD P.E.I. GIVE THE GREENS 
ANOTHER HISTORIC BREAKTHROUGH.
THERE IS A TRUE BLUE BASE IN 
RURAL MAINLAND NOVA SCOTIA.
KEEP IN MIND THE NUMBER FIVE, 
BECAUSE THAT'S THE NUMBER OF 
LIBERAL INCUMBENTS NOT RUNNING 
FOR RE-ELECTION.
THAT'S NEARLY HALF.
THE CONSERVATIVES HAVE CAPPED 
M.L.A.s TO RUN.
WEST NOVA AS WELL.
WE WILL BE WATCHING THE 
HIGH-PROFILE CANDIDATES AND 
THEY'RE LIKELY TO MAKE THINGS 
INTERESTING IN A PROVINCE WITH 
EPIC CONSERVATIVE BATTLES. 
>> Rosemary:  SOMETHING TO KEEP 
IN MIND AS WE GET READY FOR THE 
POLLS TO CLOSE IN THE MARITIMES.
THE PACE IS PICKING UP.
THINGS WILL START TO COME IN 
QUICKER.
IAN IS WATCHING NEW BRUNSWICK, 
HIS HOME PROVINCE. 
>> Ian:  WE TOUCHED ON THIS.
NOT EVEN THE MOST OPTIMISTIC 
LIBERALS EXPECT TO GO 10-0 IN 
THE PROVINCE OF NEW BRUNSWICK.
THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE 
PROVINCE IS WHERE THE 
CONSERVATIVES ARE STRONG.
IF THERE IS TO BE CHANGE IN 
NEW BRUNSWICK, IT WILL HAPPEN IN
THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE 
PROVINCE.
LET'S LOOK AT THE SOUTHERN 
RIDINGS.
WE'RE GOING TO START WITH 
NEW BRUNSWICK SOUTHWEST.
THIS IS ONE OF THE RIDINGS WHERE
MP.s LOST THEIR SEATS TO THE 
CONSERVATIVES ARE RUNNING 
TONIGHT.
JOHN WILLIAMSON IS ONE OF THOSE.
HE WON IN THE ELECTION IN 2011 
BY MORE THAN 10,000 VOTES.
IN FACT, THE LIBERALS PLACED 
THIRD IN THE RIDING.
TOBIQUE-MACTAQUAC IS ONE OF THE 
RIDINGS THEY'VE DONE WELL.
ONE LAST APPLIEDING, FUNDY 
ROYAL.
IN THE LONG HISTORY OF THIS 
RIDING, CONSERVATIVES OR 
PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVES HAVE 
WON IN THIS RIDING EVERY SINGLE 
TIME WITH TWO EXCEPTIONS.
PAUL ZED WON FOR A SINGLE TERM 
AND ELAINE LONG.
>> Rosemary:  AND PEOPLE WHO 
USED TO BE M.P.s TRYING TO COME 
BACK AND REGAIN THE SEATS.
LET'S SHOW YOU THE MAP BEFORE WE
GET RESULTS FROM THE MARITIMES.
THIS IS WHAT NEWFOUNDLAND AND 
LABRADOR LOOKS LIKE NOW.
4,000 VOTES HAVE BEEN COUNTED SO
FAR.
LOTS MORE TO COME.
THAT LITTLE TIP ON THE EAST, 
ST. JOHN'S EAST, STILL NOT 
REPORTING ANYTHING.
THAT IS THE PLACE WHERE WE 
EXPECT TO SEE A TIGHTER BATTLE 
BETWEEN THE N.D.P. AND THE 
LIBERALS.
WE'LL GET MORE INFORMATION 
THERE.
IN THE MEANTIME WE'VE GOT 25 
SEATS COMING IN FROM P.E.I., 
NEW BRUNSWICK, AND NOVA SCOTIA.
THAT WILL BRING US UP TO 32 
SEATS SO FAR.
STAY WITH US.
WE'LL BRING YOU MORE RESULTS 
STARTING RIGHT NOW.
[♪♪♪] 
>> Rosemary:  WELCOME TO CANADA 
VOTES.
TONIGHT MARKS THE CULMINATION OF
40 DAYS AND 40 NIGHTS OF A 
RELENTNESS CAMPAIGN. 
>> Andrew Scheer: WHO CAN YOU 
TRUST. 
>> Jagmeet Singh:  WHO CAN YOU 
COUNT ON. 
>> Rt. Hon. Justin Trudeau:  WHO
WOULD LIKE US TO GO FORTH. 
>> Rosemary:  A CAMPAIGN OF 
SURPRISES, POLICIES, ATTACKS.
>> Elizabeth May:  ADDRESSING 
THE CLIMATE CRISIS.
>> Rosemary:  NOW IT IS VOTING 
TIME.
>> I VOTE BECAUSE IT'S A 
PRIVILEGE. 
>> BECAUSE DEMOCRACY IS SACRED. 
>> I VOTE BECAUSE I'M CANADIAN. 
>> Rosemary:  THE POWER IS IN 
YOUR HANDS.
TONIGHT WE FIND OUT THE RESULTS.
THIS IS ELECTION NIGHT 2019.
GOOD EVENING.
I'M ROSEMARY BARTON HERE IN OUR 
CBC NEWS CANADA VOTES 
HEADQUARTERS.
POLLS HAVE JUST CLOSED IN THE 
MARITIMES, THAT MEANS P.E.I., 
NOVA SCOTIA, NEW BRUNSWICK, 
THAT'S 24 MORE RIDINGS WE WILL 
START TO WATCH TO ADD TO THE 
COUNT AT THE BOTTOM OF YOUR 
SCREEN THERE.
THOSE ARE THE NUMBERS SO FAR 
JUST COMING IN FROM NEWFOUNDLAND
AND LABRADOR.
THEY HAVE HAD AT LEAST THE 
BEGINNING OF THEIR SAY.
THESE ARE STILL VERY EARLY DAYS 
IN THE COUNTING.
WE'LL NOW FIND OUT HOW THE REST 
OF ATLANTIC CANADA HAS VOTED.
LET'S GO TO DAVID COCHRANE WHO 
CAN BRING US UP-TO-DATE.
>> WE'VE GOT THE LIBERALS 
LEADING IN SIX SEATS IN THE 
RURAL PARTS OF NEWFOUNDLAND AND 
IN LABRADOR.
THE ONE WE'RE WAITING FOR IS 
RESULTS FROM ST. JOHN'S EAST.
THE FULL EXPECTATION IS THAT'S 
GOING TO BE THE CLOSEST IN THE 
PROVINCE.
I WAS SPEAKING TO PEOPLE IN A 
LINEUP THERE.
THE DOORS WERE LOCKED.
YOU CAN'T START A COUNT UNTIL 
EVERYONE IS OUT.
THAT REMATCH BETWEEN NICK WHALEN
AND JACK HARRIS IS THE CLOSEST. 
>> Rosemary:  I DON'T KNOW HOW 
LONG THAT LINE WAS WHEN THEY 
CLOSED THE DOORS, BUT IT'S LONG 
ENOUGH TO KEEP US WAITING.
NOTHING UNTOWARDS, BUT ALLOWING 
PEOPLE TO CAST THEIR BALLOT.
I THINK LOUISE MARTIN IS 
STANDING BY IN CHARLOTTETOWN, 
P.E.I.
SHE'S CHATTING WITH THE LEADER 
OF THE GREEN PARTY.
OF COURSE SHE IS.
SO THIS IS WHERE P.E.I. HAS HAD 
SOME ATTRACTION TO THE GREEN 
PARTY.
TELL US WHAT YOU'RE HEARING FROM
MR. BAKER.
>> Reporter:  THAT'S THE BIG 
QUESTION.
CAN THE GAL VANIZATION OF THE 
GREEN PARTY COME FEDERALLY.
WILL IT RUB OFF FEDERALLY?
>> I THINK IT'S ENTIRELY 
POSSIBLE AND YOU SEE ACROSS THE 
COUNTRY WHEN THE GREENS GET 
ELECTED AT THE PROVINCIAL LEVEL,
THEY TEND TO ATTRACT MORE GREENS
TO GET ELECTED ACROSS THE 
PROVINCE.
YOU GET A TASTE OF GREEN AND 
SAY, I THINK I'D LIKE SOME MORE 
OF THAT.
I THINK IT'S ENTIRELY POSSIBLE 
THAT WE WILL SEE IN THE ATLANTIC
REGION SOME CLOSE RACES AND SOME
GREENS GETTING ELECTED IN P.E.I.
AND PERHAPS IN FREDERICTON.
THERE IS A YOUNG CANDIDATE THERE
WHO IS FABULOUS.
WE MAY SEE SOME GREENS ELECTED 
IN ATLANTIC CANADA.
>> Reporter:  A LOT OF THE 
POPULARITY YOU HAD, THE POLLS 
WERE SAYING YOU WERE THE MOST 
POPULAR CANDIDATE GOING IN.
DOES ELIZABETH MAY HAVE THAT 
SAME LURE AS A LEADER?
>> I THINK ELIZABETH MAY HAS 
DONE A FABULOUS JOB.
IT'S DIFFICULT ON THE FEDERAL 
PLATFORM, AS OPPOSED TO THE 
INTIMACY WE HAVE IN POLITICS IN 
P.E.I., TO MAKE THAT IMPRESSION 
EVEN THOUGH SHE'S BEEN AROUND 
FOR 13 YEARS.
I DON'T KNOW THAT WE'LL SEE THE 
SAME BREAKTHROUGHS AS WE DID 
HERE.
ADDS WE SAW IN P.E.I., THESE 
SUCCESSES DON'T COME OVERNIGHT.
IT TAKES YEARS AND YEARS OF 
BUILDING AND CREATING A COMFORT 
FOR VOTERS.
WE DID IT HERE IN P.E.I.
I'M NOT SURE IF THEY'RE THERE 
NATIONALLY, BUT WE WILL SEE SOME
MORE GREENS ELECTED AND 
HOPEFULLY IN THE MARITIMES.
>> Reporter:  YOU JUST MENTIONED
A SMALL PROVINCE, INTIMATE, 
PEOPLE KNOW EACH OTHER.
YOU CAN'T UNDERESTIMATE THE 
INCUMBENTS ON THE ISLAND. 
>> THAT'S TRUE.
POLITICS IS VERY TRUE. 
>> Reporter:  I'M GOING TO HAVE 
TO CUT YOU OFF.
THAT IS PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND 
GREEN PARTY LEADER KEVIN BAKER. 
>> Rosemary:  CHARLOTTETOWN IS 
THE ONE PLACE THE GREENS COULD 
BUILD UP THEIR SUPPORT.
I THOUGHT THE GREEN PARTY LEADER
WAS HONEST IN HIS ASSESSMENT 
ABOUT THE REAL CHANCES.
I THINK YOU WERE WITH ELIZABETH 
MAY A COUPLE OF DAYS AGO.
YOU WERE ALL OVER THE COUNTRY IN
ABOUT A WEEK.
SO IS THIS -- I KNOW SHE'S 
INDICATED IN THE PAST THAT SHE 
IS SORT OF INTERESTED IN 
RETIRING REGARDLESS OF HOW 
THINGS GO.
IF SHE HADN'T SAID THAT, WOULD 
THIS BE THE MAKE-OR-BREAK MOMENT
FOR ELIZABETH MAY IF SHE CAN'T 
GET MORE THAN ONE, TWO, THREE 
SEATS?
>> I GET THE SENSE ELIZABETH MAY
WOULD RATHER RETIRE MORE THAN 
GREEN PARTY WOULD LIKE HER TO 
RETIRE.
IF HER HUSBAND IS ELECTED IN THE
INTERIOR, SHE MIGHT STAY LONGER.
I WAS IN FREDERICTON, THIS IS 
THE MOST VIABLE SEAT.
FREDERICTON SOUTH PART OF THE 
GREEN PARTY RIDING IS HELD 
PROVINCIALLY.
THAT WOMAN, I THINK YOU 
INTERVIEWED MARCUS HARVEY WHO 
WAS ON WITH ANDREW SCHEER, HE 
HAS COME OUT AND SAID HE IS 
SUPPORTING JENICA ATWIN IN THAT 
RIDING. 
>> Rosemary:  HE WAS A DIE-HARD 
CONSERVATIVE AND HE FLIPPED.
>> SHE HAS CONVINCED HIM.
I SAT ON HIS FRONT PORCH WITH 
ELIZABETH MAY AND JENICA ATWIN 
AS THE TWO WOMEN TRIED TO 
CONVINCE HIM.
AFTER WE LEFT HIS FRONT PORCH WE
GOT INTO A TESLA, BECAUSE SHE'S 
RUNNING A GREEN CAMPAIGN.
WE GOT BACK TO THE CAMPAIGN AND 
SHE WAS CAMPAIGNING IN 
CHARLOTTETOWN WHERE THEY'RE 
TRYING TO SAWF  -- OFFSEAT THE 
CANDIDATE THERE.
WHEN DOORKNOCKING HE THOUGHT HE 
SHOULD JOIN.
>> Rosemary:  THE GREEN CAMPAIGN
IS VERY LOCAL.
WE HAVE SOME RESULTS -- THE 
COUNTING HAS STARTED IN 
ST. JOHN'S EAST.
WE'RE GOING TO GO TO PETER COWAN
BACK IN ST. JOHN'S EAST.
HE HAS SOME NEWS.
I SEE A THUMBS UP.
LET'S GO TO YOU, PETER.
>> Reporter:  ROSEMARY, 
ELECTIONS CANADA IS KEEPING 
EVERYONE'S BLOOD PRESSURE HIGH.
WHAT WE'RE HEARING FROM THE 
N.D.P. VOLUNTEERS IS THE REASON 
WE HAVEN'T SEEN RESULTS UNTIL 
NOW IS AT THE VERY LAST MINUTE 
THERE WERE QUITE A FEW YOUNG 
PEOPLE WHO WANTED TO VOTE, THEY 
NEEDED TO BE SWORN IN AND ADDED 
TO THE VOTERS' LIST AND THAT 
TAKES MORE PAPERWORK AND TIME.
THEY'RE NOT ABLE TO OPEN UP THE 
BALLOT BOXES AND START COUNTING 
UNTIL EVERYONE HAS COUNTED THEIR
VOTE.
THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT HAS 
HAPPENED.
HOPEFULLY WE'LL SEE MORE OF 
THOSE RESULTS COME IN AND 
EVERYONE CAN HOPEFULLY RELAX.
>> Rosemary:  THANKS, PETER, FOR
THE UPDATE.
LET ME GO TO DAVID COCHRANE WHO 
MIGHT HAVE SOME NEWS.
>> WE DO HAVE NEW RESULTS FROM 
SOMEWHERE.
I DON'T THINK IT'S IN ST. JOHN'S
EAST.
IT'S PROBABLY SOMEWHERE ELSE IN 
THE REST OF ATLANTIC CANADA.
MVERJTS . 
>> Rosemary:  I THINK IT'S IN 
MALPEQUE.
>> IT'S INTERESTING.
WAYNE EASTER, WHO HAS BEEN 
THERE, THIS IS HIS NINTH TERM, 
BUT HE ACTUALLY SAID HE'S MORE 
CONCERNED ABOUT THE GREEN 
OPPONENT IN THIS ELECTION THAN 
HE HAS TRADITIONAL CONSERVATIVE 
AND THAT'S BECAUSE ANNA KEENAN 
IS A GOOD CANDIDATE.
62% OF THE VOTE WENT TO WAYNE 
EASTER'S RIDING.
LOGAN MCLELLAN WAS NOT EVEN BORN
WHEN -- BOBBY MORRISSEY WAS A 
LONG-TIME PROVINCIAL M.L.A. IN 
2015.
EARLY, EARLY WE'LL CAUTION FROM 
OUR BENCH, BUT LOGAN MCLELLAN 
JUST 26 YEARS OLD IN THE 
FINANCIAL PLANNING INDUSTRY, HE 
WITH A SUPER LEAD. 
>> Rosemary:  THANKS FOR THAT.
THE RESULTS COMING IN FROM OTHER
PROVINCES IN ATLANTIC CANADA.
THE VOTES ARE STILL BEING 
COUNTED IN ST. JOHN'S EAST.
VASSY IS HERE WITH ME.
YOU HAD -- I JUST WANT TO GO 
BACK TO THE GREEN PARTY FOR A 
MOMENT.
YOU HAD AN INTERESTING INTERVIEW
WITH ELIZABETH MAY EARLY ON THAT
I DO ACTUALLY THINK -- IT WAS 
BEFORE THE CAMPAIGN STARTED, BUT
I THINK IT WAS AN INITIAL 
SETBACK FOR THE CAMPAIGN BECAUSE
IT LED TO OTHER POSITIONS THAT 
WERE UNCLEAR. 
>> Vassy:  YEAH, INTERESTING.
WE DON'T HAVE A CRYSTAL BALL.
I DON'T KNOW WHAT'S GOING TO 
HAPPEN.
BUT IF YOU CONTRAST THE GREEN 
CAMPAIGN WITH ELIZABETH MAY AND 
JASMEET SINGH, IF YOU LOOK AT 
WHAT EXPECTATIONS THEY CAME IN 
WITH, I THINK THE ANSWER WOULD 
BE DIFFERENT IN THOSE CASES.
PART OF THE PROBLEM FOR 
ELIZABETH MAY WAS SHE WASN'T 
CLEAR INITIALLY ON A COUPLE OF 
POSITIONS AND SHE GOT A TON OF 
SCRUTINY FOR THAT BECAUSE 
MOMENTUM WAS BEHIND HER CAMPAIGN
COMING INTO THE LAST 40 DAYS.
EVERYONE WAS PAYING A LOT OF 
ATTENTION TO WHAT SHE WAS SAYING
AND WHAT POSITION SHE WAS TAKING
AND WHETHER OR NOT THEY WERE 
CLEAR.
WE WERE NOT PAYING THAT 
ATTENTION TO JASMEET SINGH AT 
THAT JUNCTURE.
WHEN HE STARTED TO ASCEND IN THE
POLLS AND THE POPULARITY, IT WAS
SO LATE IN THE GAME THAT HE 
MISSED THAT PART.
HE WAS ABLE TO CAPITALIZE ON IT 
IN A DIFFERENT WAY THAN 
ELIZABETH MAY.
AS A RESULT THAT MAY IMPACT WHAT
WE SEE TONIGHT.
I DON'T KNOW.
>> Rosemary:  THE WAY CAMPAIGNS 
GO, AS YOU ATTRACT MORE 
ATTENTION, YOU ATTRACT MORE 
SCRUTINY.
THE TWO POSITIONS -- MAYBE I'LL 
BRING CHANTAL IN HERE.
THE ONE WAS SHE WAS PRO-LIFE BUT
HER PARTY WAS OPEN TO WOMEN'S 
RIGHTS.
AND SHE HAD THIS CANDIDATE WHO 
LEFT AND WENT -- 
>> OR THE REVERSE.
>> Rosemary:  SHE SEEMED 
CONFUSED THAT THOSE TWO THINGS 
WERE RADICALLY DIFFERENT.
I'LL GIVE YOU 30 SECONDS AND 
BRING IN DAVID COCHRANE. 
>> EVEN ON THE DAY OF THE 
ELECTION LAUNCH, SINGH HAD HIS 
MESSAGE MORE FOCUSED AND 
TOGETHER THAN ELIZABETH MAY.
IF YOU'RE GOING IN WITH MOMENTUM
FOR THE FIRST TIME, YOU SHOULD 
BE READY FOR MORE SCRUTINY.
IT LOOKED FOR THE FIRST TWO 
WEEKS THAT THEY WEREN'T.
THAT I THINK KIND OF TOOK HER 
OUT OF THE GAME.
FOR SURE IN THE SEPARATISTS, NOT
THE SOVEREIGNISTS, SCREAMED, YOU
DON'T KNOW ANYTHING ABOUT THIS 
PLACE. 
>> Rosemary:  LET ME SHOW YOU 
WHAT THE MAP LOOKS LIKE RIGHT 
NOW.
YOU CAN SEE ON THE BOARD AT THE 
BOTTOM OF THE SCREEN WE'VE GOT 
LIBERALS LEADING IN SEVEN 
RIDINGS AND THE CONSERVATIVES 
WITH TWO.
DAVID COCHRANE. 
>> WE'RE GOING TO UPDATE YOU ON 
THE RESULTS IN NEWFOUNDLAND AND 
LABRADOR.
WHILE WE WAIT FOR ST. JOHN'S 
EAST.
WE'RE GOING TO SHOW YOU THE 
RESULTS IN ST. JOHN'S 
SOUTH-MOUNT PEARL.
HE HAS A LEAD OVER ANONSEN.
WE'VE GOT AN UPDATE IN 
ST. JOHN'S EAST.
A BUNCH OF YOUNG PEOPLE SHOWED 
UP AND NEEDED TO BE SPORN IN.
HERE IN BONAVISTA-BURIN-TRINITY,
THIS IS WHAT PEOPLE DIDN'T 
EXPECT.
SHARON VOKEY WHO IS THE FORMER 
COMPETITIVE DIRECTOR OF THE 
PROVINCIAL PARTY.
THAT'S A STRONGER SHOWING FROM 
THE CONSERVATIVES IN THAT AREA 
THAN A LOT OF PEOPLE WOULD HAVE 
EXPECTED. 
>> Rosemary:  IAN HAS RESULTS. 
>> Ian:  THIS IS A RIDING IN THE
CENTRAL PART OF THE PROVINCE.
AS YOU CAN SEE THE CONSERVATIVES
IN THE LEAD.
JUST ONE POLL REPORTING.
JUST A LEAD OF THREE.
ONE THING I WANT TO TALK ABOUT 
QUICKLY IS LIBERAL STRATEGISTS 
WERE POINTING OUT TO ME THERE 
ARE PARTS OF RIDINGS IN THE 
MIRAMICHI-GRAND LAKE AREA.
ONE WENT GREEN, ONE WENT 
PEOPLE'S ALLIANCE.
SO A LOT OF RIGHTEST SUPPORTERS.
>> Rosemary:  IAN IS TRACKING 
THINGS IN NEW BRUNSWICK.
DAVID HAS SOME NEWS. 
>> ROSIE, WE HAVE OUR FIRST 
PROJECTED MEMBER.
IT WILL BE SCOTT SIMMS RETURNING
TO OTTAWA.
HE HAS A BIG RURAL RIDING.
HE SAID IT WAS TOO BIG TO GO 
DOOR TO DOOR.
HE WENT STORE TO STORE.
>> Rosemary:  THIS IS OFTEN THE 
FIRST RIDING WHERE WE GET AN 
ELECTED PERSON, ELECTED M.P.
SCOTT SIMMS WINS THAT POOL.
>> Ian:  LET'S TALK ABOUT FUNDY 
ROYAL.
IT'S A RIDING I TOOK A LOOK AT, 
WHERE THERE ARE PEOPLE FROM THE 
LIBERALS AND THE CONSERVATIVES 
AND IF YOU THINK THERE COULD BE 
CHANGE IT COULD HAPPEN HERE.
IT WOULD COME ADDS A SURPRISE TO
NO ONE THAT ROB MOORE, THE 
FORMER CONSERVATIVE M.P. IS IN 
THE LEAD.
IN THE THIRD PLACE THE GREENS.
JUST ONE POLL REPORTING, BUT 
LET'S KEEP AN EYE ON THE POLLS, 
NOT JUST HERE BUT ELSEWHERE IN 
THE PROVINCE. 
>> Rosemary:  NOT JUST WHETHER 
THEY WIN SEATS, BUT WHAT THEY DO
TO OTHER PEOPLE'S CHANCE TO WIN 
SEATS.
IT'S EARLY, BUT THE CONSERVATIVE
VOTE ACROSS THE ATLANTIC IS UP.
AGAIN, EARLY RESULTS AND THE 
PERCENTAGE OF VOTES WILL MEAN 
YOU'LL BE ON YOUR WAY TO WINNING
SEATS.
DAVID'S GOT MORE RESULTS.
>> WE'LL GO TO CAPE BRETON.
THIS IS A RIDING WHERE THERE WAS
CONTROVERSY EARLY IN THE 
CAMPAIGN.
THE CONSERVATIVES CALLED FOR HIM
TO BE FIRED.
NOW HE HAS A NARROW EIGHT-VOTE 
LEAD OVER EDDIE ORRELL.
NOW THERE IS A LOT OF 
WELL-ORGANIZED MEMBERS OF THE 
CONSERVATIVE.
NICK WHALEN IN THIRD PLACE OF 
ONE POLL REPORTING.
>> Rosemary:  CONSERVATIVES 
DON'T THROW A PARTY BECAUSE 
YOU'VE GOT NEWFOUNDLAND BACK 
YET.
MEGAN, I'LL GET YOU TO WEIGH IN 
ON WHAT YOU'RE SEEING BROADLY IN
THE ATLANTIC.
>> P.E.I. IS A STRONGHOLD AND WE
DON'T EXPECT TOO MUCH, BUT IT'S 
WITHIN A TWO-PARTY RACE.
KEVIN BAKER HAS DONE A GREAT JOB
WITH THE GREEN BRAND AND IT IS 
GOING TO MATTER IN FUTURE 
ELECTIONS, EVEN IF THEY DON'T 
WIN SEATS.
I THINK FOR DAVID KUNE VERY 
POPULAR AND RESPECTED.
THE QUESTION IS IT PLAYS MORE 
BECAUSE THERE ARE MORE PARTIES.
A LOT IS HAPPENING. 
>> Rosemary:  HARD TO SEE ANY 
REAL TRENDS FROM THIS SO FAR.
AGAIN, THESE ARE EARLY POLLS 
REPORTING.
REMEMBER, WE HAVE ONLY ONE 
PERSON ELECTED AT THIS STAGE.
>> THE ONE TREND THAT WE HAVE IS
IT'S SLOW.
WE'RE GOING TO GO TO 
NEW BRUNSWICK TO SAINT 
JOHN-ROTHESAY.
LONG IS RUNNING AS A BIT OF A 
MAVERICK.
HE'S BROKEN RANK WITH THE 
GOVERNMENT, WANTING REFORM ON 
S.N.C.-LAVALIN.
HE'S RUNNING AN INDIVIDUAL 
CAMPAIGN, A MASSIVE VIK.
HIS CAMPAIGN SIGNS SAY "STANDS 
FOR THEM OR STANDS FOR YOU."
HE'S HOPING HE CAN MAVERICK HIS 
WAY BACK TO OTTAWA.
>> Rosemary:  HEATHER HAS SOME 
MORE RESULTS. 
>> LET'S START WITH CENTRAL 
NOVA.
THIS IS A RIDING WE'RE GOING TO 
BE WATCHING VERY CLOSELY.
SEAN FRASER STARTING THE NIGHT 
WITH AN EARLY LEAD.
TIED RIGHT NOW WITH THE GREENS.
THIS WILL BE A REAL SURPRISE FOR
THE GREENS, BUT WE'RE STARTING 
THE NIGHT.
I DO WANT TO HIGHLIGHT THE THIRD
PARTY CANDIDATE, YES, THE GEORGE
CANYON, THE COUNTRY MUSIC STAR.
THEY ROPED IN THEIR STAR 
CANDIDATE.
WE'RE GOING TO TALK A LOT MORE 
ABOUT HIM TONIGHT.
REALLY WHAT TO KEEP IN MIND IS, 
YES, IT'S LIBERAL-HELD NOW.
BUT THIS IS MCCAY COUNTRY.
THIS IS PETER MCCAY'S COUNTRY.
THIS IS ELMER, AND BRIAN 
MULRONEY TO GET HIS SEAT.
WE'LL WATCH THAT RIDING CLOSELY.
MY GOODNESS, I'M LOOKING FORWARD
TO GETTING REAL TIME ANALYSIS ON
THIS.
ROGER KUSNER HELD THAT RIDING 
EVERY YEAR.
JUST SAY ALFIE, EVERYONE KNOWS 
HIM.
>> Rosemary:  HE IS WELL-KNOWN, 
SO HE HAS THAT NAME-RECOGNITION 
EDGE.
WE'LL SEE WHETHER THIS IS A 
ROGER KUSNER SEAT OR A LIBERAL 
SEAT.
I'LL TELL YOU THE LIBERAL VOTE, 
EARLY, EARLY VOTES, BUT THE 
POPULAR VOTE DOES SEEM TO BE 
DOWN.
IT'S SOFTER IN NEW BRUNSWICK AND
NOVA SCOTIA, WHICH IS THE PLACES
YOU WOULD EXPECT THAT TO HAPPEN.
LET'S GO BACK TO CHARLOTTETOWN, 
P.E.I., CHARLOTTE MARTIN.
SHE'S GOT THE PREMIER WITH HER.
>> Reporter:  THANKS.
I'M HERE WITH P.E.I. PREMIER 
DENNIS KING.
WE'RE TALKING A LOT ABOUT A 
MINORITY GOVERNMENT AND THE REAL
POSSIBILITY THIS ELECTION COULD 
GO THAT WAY.
YOU'RE THE LEADER OF A MINORITY 
CAMPAIGN.
YOU WERE ALL HUGGING AND I 
BARELY GOT YOU TO SAY ANYTHING 
BAD IN THE LEADERS' DEBATE.
WHAT IS YOUR THOUGHTS?
>> STILL A LOT OF VOTES TO 
COUNT.
I THINK YOU HAVE TO PUT THE 
DIFFERENCES ASIDE AND TAKE THE 
VERDICT FROM THE PEOPLE.
THE PEOPLE OF CANADA ARE GOING 
TO TELL THE PARTIES THIS IS WHAT
WE WANT OUR PARLIAMENT TO BE 
REFLECTED AS AND THEY EXPECT YOU
TO GO TO WORK AND FIGURE IT OUT 
AND GO TO WORK FOR PEOPLE.
IT'S TIME TO PUT THOSE ATTITUDES
ASIDE.
>> Reporter:  SOME OF THOSE 
DIFFERENCES ARE DEEP WHEN YOU'RE
LOOKING AT THE DIFFERENCES 
BETWEEN THE LIBERAL PARTY AND 
THE CONSERVATIVE PARTY.
HOW DO YOU GET PAST SOME OF 
THOSE FUNDAMENTAL ISSUES?
>> I THINK IT STARTS BY 
RECOGNIZING THAT CANADA IS A BIG
FABRIC, THERE'S MANY PARTS THAT 
MAKE UP THIS QUILT THAT IS 
CANADA.
SAME THING WE HAVE IN PRINCE 
EDWARD ISLAND.
WE HAVE DIFFERENCES OF OPINION 
AND DIFFERENCES OF PHILOSOPHY, 
BUT AT THE END OF THE DAY YOU 
HAVE TO PUT THAT ASIDE AND MAKE 
THINGS WORK, FIND COMPROMISE, 
WORK TOGETHER, FIGURE A FEW 
THINGS OUT, AND MAKE IT ABOUT 
PEOPLE.
IT'S GOING TO BE INTERESTING TO 
SEE IF THAT CAN BE DONE.
I THINK CANADIANS ARE EXPECTING 
WHATEVER THE RESULT HERE TONIGHT
FOR A PARLIAMENT TO WORK FOR 
CANADIANS AND IT'S UP TO 
EVERYONE ELECTED TO DO THAT. 
>> Reporter:  THAT'S WITH P.E.I.
PREMIER DENNIS KING.
>> Rosemary:  THAT'S GOOD ADVICE
FROM THE PREMIER.
WE'LL SEE IF EVERYONE PAYS 
ATTENTION TO IT.
I SHOULD TELL YOU THE LIBERAL 
VOTE DOWN ABOUT 10 PERCENTAGE 
VOTES IN TERMS OF VOTE SHARE.
THEY HAD EVERYTHING HERE, SO 
THEY CAN AFFORD TO LOSE SOME 
BROAD BASE SUPPORT.
ROGER, DOES THAT SURPRISE YOU?
THE SUPPORT WOULD BE DOWN IN 
PLACES LIKE NEW BRUNSWICK AND 
NOVA SCOTIA?
>> NO, AS I SAID BEFORE, WE HAD 
LIGHTNING IN A BOTTLE IN 2015.
EVERYTHING CAME TOGETHER.
TEN YEARS OF A CONSERVATIVE 
GOVERNMENT.
GOVERNMENTS WEAR OUT.
THERE WAS A PUSHBACK AGAINST 
PRIME MINISTER HARPER.
EVERYTHING SORT OF CAME 
TOGETHER.  FOR US TO WIN FUNDY 
ROYAL AND SOUTHWEST 
NEW BRUNSWICK -- AND I KNOW 
MEGAN CAN SPEAK TO THIS AS WELL,
I SERVED THE LAST FOUR YEARS 
WITH 31 OTHER COLLEAGUES AND WE 
KNOW WE'RE GOING TO LOSE SOME 
THIS EVENING.
I CAN SAY THEY ALL WENT OUT AND 
WORKED HARD FOR THEIR 
CONSTITUENCIES AND FOUGHT HARD 
FOR THEIR CONSTITUENCIES AND THE
RIDINGS.
WE'LL LOSE SOME PEOPLE TONIGHT, 
BUT HOPEFULLY WE'LL SUSTAIN A 
STRONG VOTE AND STRONG PRESENCE 
AND CONTRIBUTE NATIONAL.
>> Rosemary:  THIS IS THE 
BRUTALITY OF POLITICS.
>> IT'S A TOUGH NEIGHBOURHOOD.
WITH MEGAN, WHEN I HEARD THAT WE
HAD AN OPPORTUNITY TO BEAT MEGAN
IN HER RIDING, IT WAS MIXED 
EMOTIONS.
ANNE FILLMORE IS A GREAT MEMBER 
OF PARLIAMENT -- 
>> BUT THIS IS HEALTHY.
FOR ONE REGION OR ONE AREA TO BE
ONE PARTY IS NOT VERY HEALTHY.
EVERY SINGLE SEAT IN ATLANTIC 
CANADA IS LIBERAL RIGHT NOW, AND
I DON'T THINK THAT DOES ATLANTIC
CANADA WELL.
YOU CAN SAY THAT FOR OTHER PARTS
OF CANADA, PICK YOUR PLACE.
THE COLOUR MAP HERE IS REALLY 
EXCITING. 
>> Rosemary:  YEAH, I THINK -- 
CORY, I'LL GET YOU TO SPEAK TO 
THIS.
THAT IS SOMETIMES HOW THEY FEEL 
WHEN THEY CHOOSE A MINORITY 
GOVERNMENT, THEY WANT TO REIGN 
EVERYONE IN.
PARTICULARLY WHEN WE GET TO 
QUÉBEC WE'LL SEE THAT, THAT THEY
WANT DIFFERENT REPRESENTATION IN
OTTAWA.
>> OR AS I THINK THERE IS SOME 
INDICATION IN THE POLLING THAT 
IT'S A NONE-OF-THE-ABOVE VOTE.
WE'VE SEEN THE CAMPAIGNS GO 
THROUGH ERRORS.
IT'S UNUSUAL THAT YOU SEE MAIN 
PARTY SUPPORT GO DOWN OVER THE 
COURSE OF THE CAMPAIGN.
EVEN THOUGH THE N.D.P. SUPPORT 
HAS COME UP SOMEWHAT, I THINK 
IT'S PROBABLY A REASONABLE 
ASSUMPTION THAT THEY'RE GOING TO
END THE NIGHT WITH FEWER SEATS 
THAN THEY HAD IN PARLIAMENT.
IT FEELS LIKE LESS OF AN 
ENDORSEMENT OF MINORITY 
GOVERNMENTS AND MORE OF A 
FRUSTRATION WITH SOME OF THE 
CURRENT OPTIONS.
THAT'S UNFORTUNATE IN A BUNCH OF
WAYS.
>> Rosemary:  I WANT TO SHOW 
SOME TAPE OF JUSTIN TRUDEAU.
HE'S BEEN WATCHING RESULTS.
MAYBE HE'S WATCHING US NOW WITH 
HIS FAMILY IN MONTREAL.
HE'S THERE WITH HIS WIFE AND HIS
THREE KIDS, THEY'RE ALL THERE 
WATCHING.
I IMAGINE THEY DON'T ALL STAY 
UP.
THEY WERE OUT VOTING WITH HIM IN
PAPINEAU.
WE ALREADY HAVE A YAWN.
HE MAY NOT SEE WHAT HAPPENS TO 
HIS DAD AT THE END OF THE NIGHT.
WE'LL PROBABLY GET TAPE FROM ALL
THE LEADERS WHO WANT TO LET US 
IN.
>> Ian:  A COUPLE OF RIDINGS IN 
NEW BRUNSWICK, REPORTING THEIR 
FIRST RESULTS.
ONE POLL IN EACH CASE.
LET'S BEGIN WITH 
TOBIQUE-MACTAQUAC, THE 
CONSERVATIVES HAVE A SMALL LEAD.
ACADIE-BATHURST IS AN 
INTERESTING RIDING.
THIS WAS GAUDOIN'S RIDING.
SINGH DID MAKE A VISIT TO 
ACADIE-BATHURST AND TOOK THE 
CANDIDATE AROUND.
HE IS IN SECOND PLACE.
IT'S A FOUR-WAY RACE. 
>> Rosemary:  AGAIN, THE EARLY 
RESULTS HERE, BUT YOU'RE 
STARTING TO SEE THEM ON YOUR 
BOARD.
LIBERALS INTO DOUBLE DIGITS AND 
THE CONSERVATIVES COMING UP AT 
EIGHT.
THEY SEEM TO BE DOING WELL.
THIS IS GOOD SIGNS FOR THEM.
>> YOU WANT TO WATCH 
CUMBERLAND-COLCHESTER.
IS THIS A LIBERAL RIDING, 
CONSERVATIVE, OR A BILL CASEY 
RIDING.
VOTERS FOLLOWED HIM THROUGH 
DIFFERENT PARTIES AND BACK AS A 
LIBERAL.
WHERE DO THEY GO NOW?
DO THEY GO TO THE LIBERAL, 
N.D.P., FORMERLY N.D.P., LENORE 
ZANN.
SCOTT ARMSTRONG WHO USED TO BE 
THE M.P., HE WAS AN EARLY LEAD.
LET'S GO NEXT TO CAPE 
BRETON-CANSO.
WE'RE GOING TO BE FOLLOWING THIS
CLOSELY.
THIS HAS FLIPPED, THE LONG-TIME 
PROVINCIAL POLITICIAN, KEEP IN 
MIND THIS IS A RIDING IN ITS 
CURRENT CONFIGURATION HAS NOT 
ELECTED A CONSERVATIVE M.P. 
>> Rosemary:  LET'S GIVE YOU A 
SENSE OF WHAT'S HAPPENING AND 
WHY YOU'RE SEEING THE NUMBERS 
BOUNCING AROUND.
THIS IS WHY THEY'RE TOO CLOSE TO
CALL.
YOU CAN SEE THAT THE MARGIN 
THERE IS IS 14, THREE VOTES 
APART.
ALL OF THESE RIDINGS JUST TOO 
CLOSE TO CALL RIGHT NOW.
THAT'S WHY THOSE NUMBERS ARE 
START TO MOVE AROUND A LITTLE 
BIT.
MAYBE THE CONSERVATIVES WILL 
HOLD THEM, MAYBE NOT.
RIGHT NOW, 3, 10, 14 VOTES 
APART.
LET ME SHOW YOU THE MAP ON THE 
FLOOR TO SHOW YOU WHERE YOU ARE.
A LITTLE TIP OF ORANGE WITH JACK
HARRIS LEADING IN ST. JOHN'S 
EAST.
I THOUGHT I SAW A DOT OF ORANGE 
IN THE MIDDLE, BUT MAYBE I'M 
CRAZY.
LOTS OF RED.
THE CONSERVATIVES PICKING UP 
WHERE YOU WOULD EXPECT THEM TO 
BE LEADING IN NEW BRUNSWICK AND 
NOVA SCOTIA.
VASSY, YOUR THOUGHTS. 
>> Vassy:  TAKEN WITH A NOTE OF 
CAUTION, AS CORY MENTIONED, 
ANYTHING IN THE DOUBLE DIGITS 
FOR THE CONSERVATIVES IN THE 
ATLANTIC IS A GOOD START TO 
THEM.
VERY MUCH SO.
SPEAKING WITH PEOPLE ON THE 
CAMPAIGN, IF THEY'RE ABLE TO GET
SOMETHING IN THE DOUBLE DIGITS 
OR 10 AND ABOVE SEATS, THEY 
CONSIDER THAT A GOOD START AND A
GOOD OMEN, THAT WOULD BE A GOOD 
SIGN FOR THE CONSERVATIVES, WITH
THE OTHER ADDED NOTE OF CAUTION 
WHICH CHANTAL ADDED, WHICH 
SOMETIMES ATLANTIC CANADA IS NOT
A DRIVER OR AN INDICATOR HOW THE
REST OF THE COUNTRY WILL PLAY 
OUT.
THAT'S ON THE HIGH END OF THE 
EXPECTATIONS FOR THE 
CONSERVATIVES.
>> Rosemary:  THE LIBERALS HAD 
ALL THE SEATS IN 2015.
LET ME SHOW YOU WHERE YVONNE 
JONES IS NOW.
SHE IS ELECTED IN HER RIDING OF 
NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR.
LET'S GO TO DUNCAN McCUE BECAUSE
THERE AREN'T -- I'M NOT SURE HOW
MANY INDIGENOUS CANDIDATES 
THERE -- 
>> 62.
>> Rosemary:  LOOK AT YOU.
THAT'S OUR FIRST ONE ELECTED.
>> YVONNE JONES IS INUIT AND SHE
SERVED AS THE PARLIAMENTARY 
SECRETARY TO THE MINISTER OF 
INDIGENOUS AFFAIRS.
I WANT TO PICK UP ON SOMETHING 
THAT WAS POINTED OUT.
IT'S OFTEN THOUGHT THAT 
INDIGENOUS FOLKS IN THIS COUNTRY
ARE TOO SMALL A NUMBER TO MAKE A
DIFFERENCE, BUT THE ASSEMBLY OF 
FIRST NATIONS HAS SAID THERE ARE
63 RIDINGS, PRIORITY RIDINGS, 
WHERE THE INDIGENOUS COULD MAKE 
A DIFFERENCE.
YVONNE JONES DOING WELL IN THE 
ATLANTIC.
THAT'S GOT TO BE A SHOT FOR THE 
LIBERALS.
THERE HAS TO BE SOME CRITICISM 
FOR THE LIBERALS.
JUSTIN TRUDEAU INSPIRING 
INDIGENOUS VOTERS IN 2015 TO 
COME OUT IN THE HIGHEST TURNOUT 
INDIGENOUS VOTERS HAVE HAD.
DID HE LIVE UP TO THE PROMISES?
HE MADE A PROMISE THAT IT WAS 
GOING TO BE THE MOST IMPORTANT 
RELATIONSHIP, NO RELATIONSHIP 
MORE IMPORTANT TO HIM.
THERE HAS BEEN CONCERN IN THIS 
CAMPAIGN THAT JUSTIN TRUDEAU 
JUST HAS NOT CARRIED ON WITH 
THOSE INDIGENOUS PLATFORMS AND 
PROMISES THAT HE MADE.
SO YVONNE JONES BEING ELECTED.
THAT'S A GOOD AND EARLY SIGN FOR
THE LIBERALS AS HOW THEY MAY DO 
WHEN WE LOOK AT THE NORTHERN 
RIDINGS. 
>> Rosemary:  THE INDIGENOUS 
YOUTH IN THIS COUNTRY THE 
FASTEST-GROWING DEMOGRAPHIC.
SURELY THEY COULD PULL THEIR 
POWER AND SHOW PEOPLE.
PROBABLY NOT ENOUGH DISCUSSION 
OF INDIGENOUS ISSUES THROUGHOUT 
THIS CAMPAIGN, BUT AS PEOPLE ARE
WORRIED ABOUT THE DIFFERENCE 
BETWEEN JUSTIN TRUDEAU AND 
ANDREW SCHEER WHO DOESN'T TALK 
ABOUT IT VERY MUCH AT ALL, THAT 
WOULD BE SOMETHING THAT WOULD 
MOTIVATE THEM AS WELL.
WE'LL DIG INTO THAT.
I'M GOING TO GO TO ANDREW CHANG 
WHO WILL GIVE US AN IDEA.
[ PLEASE STAND BY ]
>> THE GREENS IN A LOT OF THESE
RIDINGS ARE FASCINATING TO SEE
THEM NOT TAKING FIRST OR SECOND
PLACE BUT IN A SOLID THIRD PLACE
POSITION.
A LOT OF THOSE N.D.P. VOTES
GOING IN THAT DIRECTION.
AND OF COURSE, THE CONSERVATIVES
ARE THOSE WHO ARE ABLE TO PARLAY
THEIR INCREASE IN THEIR SHARE OF
THE POPULAR VOTE INTO ACTUAL
LEADS IN SEATS AS WE STAND RIGHT
NOW.
LET'S TALK ABOUT THOSE SEATS.
I TALKED ABOUT THE LIBERALS.
THEIR PATH TO A MAJORITY
GOVERNMENT, IF THAT'S IN THE
CARDS FOR THEM, THEY A CAN
AFFORD TO LOSE 16 SEATS ACROSS
THE COUNTRY.
RIGHT NOW THEY'RE IN TENTH.
WHAT DOES THAT MEAN?
THEY'RE STILL WITHIN THAT 16
THRESHOLD BUT KEEP IN MIND,
WE'RE ONLY THROUGH ATLANTIC,
CANADA RIGHT NOW AND NOT EVEN
ALL OF THE ATLANTIC CANADA SEATS
REPORTING.
WE DON'T HAVE RESULTS FROM ALL
THEM JUST YET AND ALL OF THE
REST AND CANADA THE FACT THEY'RE
AT MINUS 10 THEY HAVE AN UPHILL
BATTLE FOR THE REST OF THE
COUNTRY.
IF THEIR GOAL IS TO FORM A
MAJORITY GOVERNMENT.
IT'S NOT THEY CAN'T MAKE UP THAT
GROUND BUT IT'S UPHILL.
THE CONSERVATIVES HAVE A BIG
MOUNTAIN TO CLIMB.
PLUS 72 IN TERMS OF FORMING A
MAJORITY.
THEY'RE AT PLUS NINE.
IT'S NOT EXACTLY A HOME FREE BY
ANY STRETCH.
STILL, REALLY EARLY.
>> Rosemary: THE VOTE SHARE
DOESN'T INDICATE THE LIBERALS
VOTE SHARE GOING DOWN IS GOING
TO THE GREENS OR N.D.P.
IT'S A TRANSFER TO THE
CONSERVATIVES.
>> Ian: THEY'RE THE BIG
BENEFICIARY.
>> Rosemary: THERE'S NO REASON
TO PANIC BUT IT'S NOT THE BEST
START FOR THE LIBERALS AND NOT
DOING THE SPLITTINGS WE HAD
ANTICIPATED FOR ATLANTIC,
CANADA.
IAN HAS SOME RESULTS NOW.
>> Ian: YOU KNOW, A LOT OF THESE
RESULTS AT THIS POINT IN NEW
BRUNSWICK ARE JUST ONE POLL-POLL
REPORTING.
IT'S AN OPPORTUNITY TO SAY LOOK
AT THIS, THIS IS INTERESTING.
ONE OF THE FIRST RESULT POLLS
ACTUALLY TURNED INTO A LITTLE
BIT MORE.
WE NOW HAVE THE LIBERAL IN THE
LEAD BUT LOOK HOW CLOSE THE
CONSERVATIVES ARE.
THIS IS A RIDING THAT BERNARD
VALCORE WON FOR THE
CONSERVATIVES IN 2011.
BUT IN 2015, THE CONSERVATIVES
DROPPED TO THIRD PLACE AND
THEY'RE DOING PRETTY WELL SO FAR
TONIGHT WITH THREE POLLS
REPORTING.
AND FOR A COUPLE OF REASONS THIS
IS INTERESTING, DOMINIQUE
LEBLANC HAS NOT BEEN ABLE TO
CAMPAIGN.
I JUST CHECKED AND UNFORTUNATELY
HE IS STILL IN HOSPITAL ALTHOUGH
HIS CAMPAIGN MANAGER SAYS HE IS
DOING ALL THINGS CONSIDERED
RELATIVELY WELL.
A BIG STORY WE'RE GOING TO WATCH
THROUGH THE EVENING IS HOW THE
GREEN PARTY DOES HERE.
NOT THAT THEY WILL HAVE ENOUGH
VOTES TO WIN, THEY MAY, BUT NOT
THAT WE'RE EXPECTING THAT.
LOOK HOW WELL THEY'RE DOING
HERE.
THIS IS A PART OF THE PROVINCE
WHERE PROVINCIALLY, I THINK IT
MIGHT HAVE BEEN THE FIRST RIDING
IN SACKVILLE TO BRING IN
N.D.P.-MLA MANY YEARS AGO.
THEY HAVE A GREEN M.L.A. NOW AND
A LOT OF SUPPORT IN THAT
COMMUNITY, ROSIE, FOR THE GREEN
PARTY.
>> Rosemary: SOMETHING TO WATCH
FOR.
DOMINIQUE LeBLANC, HEALTHY AND
READY TO GO AND HE WOULD LEADING
THE CAMPAIGN IN THE ATLANTIC
PROVINCES FOR THE LIBERAL PARTY.
>> THE NUMBER FIVE.
THE NUMBER LIBERAL INCUMBENTS.
THAT'S THE CASE IN WEST NOVA
WHERE COLIN FRASIER WENT BACK TO
HIS LAW PRACTISE IN YARMOUTH,
AND FOR THE CONSERVATIVES, CHRIS
DYENTREMONT OVER JASON DEVEAU AS
WE WEST WEST NOVA.
HALIFAX WEST IS ONE THEY WOULD
HELD.
JEFF REGAN HAS HELD THIS TERM
SINCE 2000.
HE IS THE SPEAKER KINS 2015 AND
THAT REGAN NAME IN NOVA SCOTIA
IS FATHER THE FORMER PREMIER,
HIS WIFE, KELLY, A CABINET
MINISTER PROVINCIALLY.
SOUTH SHORE-SAINT MARGARET.
SHE'S THE FIRST FEMALE CABINET
MINISTER EVER FROM NOVA SCOTIA.
THAT IS BERNADETTE JORDAN NAMED
TO CABIN AFTER SCOTT BRISON
LEFT.
AND SHE, IN HER SECOND GO, WAS A
LEAD TO START.
>> Rosemary: THANK YOU FOR THAT,
HEATHER.
YOU WILL NOTICE THE BOTTOM OF
THE SCREEN THAT THINGS HAVE
FLIPPED A BIT.
THE LIBERALS LEADING ELECTED 19
CONSERVATIVES IN EIGHT AND
THAT'S BECAUSE SOME OF THOSE
CLOSE TO CALL RACES THAT I WAS
SHOWING YOU EARLIER HAVE FLIPPED
THE OTHER WAY.
VERY EARLY STAGES HERE.
I WOULD IMAGINE THE PARTIES ARE
STILL WATCHING CLOSELY TO SEE IF
THEY CAN HIT THEIR TARGETS.
FOR THE CONSERVATIVES IT'S
DOUBLE DIGITS AND LIBERALS
HOLDING ON TO WHATEVER THEY'VE
GOT.
>> David: WE'RE GOING TO LOOK AT
CHARLOTTETOWN WHERE THE GREENS
COULD HAVE A REAL IMPACT IN THAT
RACE.
THEY HAVE SEAN CASEY WITH A
20-VOTE LEAD OVER ROBERT
CAMPBELL.
DARCY, THE INTERIM LEADER IS
RUNNING THIRD AND THE FEAR HERE
FOR THE LIBERALS IS THE GREENS
COULD SPLIT THE VOTE AND HELP
THE CONSERVATIVES OR WIN IT
OUTRIGHT.
AND THE NUMBERS ARE ROLLING IN
IN ST. JOHN'S, EAST.
JACK HARRIS IS UP TO 500-VOTE
LEAD OVER NICK WHALEN.
THE N.D.P. LEAD WIDENS.
IF THAT KEEPS ARGUE, THEY COULD
BE IT FOR JACK HARRIS.
WE'LL LOOK AT SYDNEY, VICTORIA,
WHICH IS JAMIE BATIST AND ONE OF
THOSE FORMER PC MLA RUN THE
FEDERAL POLITICS BEHIND JAMIE
BATTISTE.
>> Rosemary: THANK YOU, WE'RE
GOING TO SYDNEY, VICTORIA, NOVA
SCOTIA WITH KAYLA HOUNSELL.
THINGS ARE VERY CLOSE.
HOW ARE PEOPLE FEELING TONIGHT?
>> Reporter: WELL, YOU KNOW,
ROSIE, I THINK THIS CAMPAIGN
HEADQUARTERS ARE FEELING
CONFIDENT.
I HAVE HAD A CHANCE TO SPEAK
WITH EDDY HIMSELF QUITE A BIT
TODAY.
HE IS BEEN IN AND OUT OF HIS
CAMPAIGN HERE.
HE TOLD ME HE WAS FEELING GOOD
BUT HE WAS CLEAR FROM CHATTING
WITH HIM HE KNOWS HE IS IN A
TOUGH RACE TONIGHT AND THAT IS
OF COURSE WHAT WE'RE SEEING
HERE.
LARGELY BECAUSE THIS IS A
LIBERAL STRONGHOLD.
ALSO, BECAUSE WHEN HE HAS BEEN
ON THE DOOR STEPS, HE KNOCKED ON
20,000 DOORS AND HE HAS BEEN
HEARING FROM PEOPLE WHO ARE
RELUCTANT TO EMBRACE ANDREW
SCHEER.
IT'S A SITUATION WHERE WE LIKE
YOU EDDIE BUT WE'RE CONCERNED
ABOUT THE IDEAS OF YOUR LEADER,
COMPARING HIM TO STEPHEN HARPER,
THE HARPER CLOSED DOWN THE
VETERANS AFFAIRS OFFICE HERE IN
CAPE BRETON AND ALSO MADE
CHANGES TO E.I. THAT EFFECTED
SEASONAL WORKERS HERE.
THERE IS CONCERN ABOUT THAT.
BEYOND THAT, THIS RIDING HAS
BEEN HELD BY THE LIBERALS FOR 19
YEARS.
ONE OF THE FIVE NOVA SCOTIA
LIBERAL M.P.s DECIDING NOT TO
REOFFER THIS TIME AROUND.
SO, THE CONSERVATIVE'S STRATEGY
HAS BEEN TO RUN PROVINCIAL
POLITICIANS, EDDIE ORRELL IS ONE
OF THREE PROGRESSIVE
CONSERVATIVE MLAs WHO WILL
RESIGN IN THE PROVINCIAL
LEGISLATURE AND TRY FEDERALLY
THIS TIME AROUND.
THIS RIDING HASN'T VOTED
CONSERVATIVE SINCE 1974 AND IT
HAS VOTED LIBERAL IN 11 OF THE
LAST 12 FEDERAL ELECTIONS.
>> Rosemary: OK, GOOD CONTACT.
THERE'S A NICE VIBE THERE.
WHO KNOWS WHAT WILL HAPPEN.
I LIKE THE MUSIC IN THE
BACKGROUND.
WE'LL CHECK BACK WITH YOU A
LITTLE BIT LATER.
I WANT TO SHOW YOU THE
TOO-CLOSE-TO CALL BOARD.
THE NUMBERS HAVE BOUNCED AROUND
AT THE BOTTOM OF THE SCREEN.
SOME OF THE PLACES WHERE WE WERE
A FEW VOTES APART HAVE FLIPPED
THE OTHER WAY.
THEY'VE FLIPPED INTO THE RED
COLUMN.
AGAIN, YOU CAN SEE THAT WE ARE
NOT IN ANY DEFINITIVE STAGE WITH
ANY OF THOSE RIDINGS.
HALIFAX, SYDNEY-VICTORIA.
KINGS-HANTS, 527 APART.
THOSE ARE TIGHT MARGINS.
I WOULDN'T EXPECT ANYTHING ON
THE BOTTOM OF THE SCREEN TO BE
SOLID YET AT THIS STAGE.
THERE ARE 14 RIDINGS IN FACT IN
ALL OF ATLANTIC, CANADA THAT HAS
A MARGIN OF LESS THAN 50.
THAT'S CLOSE TO CALL.
AND IT MIGHT GIVE US AN
INDICATION OF HOW TIGHT TONIGHT
WILL BE IF IT'S A WARNING ON
THAT AT ALL.
MANY OF YOU WERE ASKING WHERE HE
WAS.
HE IS HERE.
HE FILLED HIS EMPTY CHAIR.
PETER MANSBRIDGE HAS MADE IT
NOW.
GOOD TO SEE YOU.
>> Peter: IT'S TOUGH BEING
RETIRED.
YOU TEND TO FALL ASLEEP A LOT.
 [LAUGHTER]
I WAS DOWN STAIRS MEETING WITH
YOUNG PEOPLE, THERE WERE
HUNDREDS OF THEM IN THE A TREE
YUM WHO HAVE COME TO WATCH THE
PROGRAMME, WATCHING YOU RIGHT
NOW, AND WE'RE ALL VERY INVOLVED
IN GETTING OUT THE VOTE ON THE
PART OF YOUNG PEOPLE TODAY.
THAT IS TERRIFIC.
IT'S A GREAT PART OF THE
DEMOCRACY THAT WE SAW UNFOLD
ACROSS THE COUNTRY TONIGHT AND
WHO ARE VERY MUCH RESPONSIBLE
FOR IT IN THE TORONTO AREA.
>> Rosemary: YOU SPENT TIME IN
THE ATLANTIC PROVINCES FOR YOUR
DOCUMENTARY THAT YOU AIRED LAST
FRIDAY.
WHAT WAS THE VIBE YOU GOT THERE?
>> Peter: WELL, I WAS MAINLY
AROUND FREDERICTON AND IAN HAS
MENTIONED FREDERICTON IS AN
INTERESTING PLACE TO WATCH
TONIGHT.
THE GREENS ARE, YOU KNOW,
THEY'RE A FACTOR IN THAT RIDING
AND COULD HAVE AN IMPACT ON WHAT
ENDS UP HAPPENING.
YOU KNOW, THE BOARD YOU JUST
SHOWED OF THE TOO-CLOSE-TO CALL,
IF THAT'S AN INDICATION OF THE
NIGHT WE'RE GOING TO HAVE, THAT
BOARD IS GOING TO BE VERY, VERY
LONG BY THE END OF THE EVENING.
IT'S WHY WE GO ACROSS THE
COUNTRY.
WHICH ARGUES TO THIS FACT THAT
THERE'S ENTIRELY POSSIBLE, WE
WON'T HAVE A RESULT TONIGHT.
THERE ARE JUST TOO MANY THINGS
UP IN THE AIR IF IT REMAINS
CLOSE.
>> Rosemary: YEAH.
AND THAT'S WHY THE LIBERALS AND
THE CONSERVATIVES CAN LOOK AT
THAT, WHICH IS AT THE BOTTOM OF
THE SCREEN THERE, AND BOTH BE
VERY HOPEFUL HOW THIS NIGHT IS
GOING TO END.
>> Peter: AT THAT POINT AND
THOSE NUMBERS, THEY CAN ALL TAKE
SOMETHING OUT OF THOSE.
>> Rosemary: TOTALLY.
>> Peter: IT'S NOT THE END OF
THE WORLD FOR ANYBODY.
AND IT'S NOT THE BEGINNING OF A
NEW WORLD FOR ANYBODY YET
EITHER.
>> Rosemary: NOT QUITE YET.
I'LL GIVE YOU A SENSE OF HOW THE
VOTE SHARE IS SPLITTING IN THE
ATLANTIC PROVINCES THOUGH.
IT'S INTERESTING BECAUSE WE HAD
ANTICIPATED WE WOULD SEE THE
N.D.P. AND THE GREEN PARTY
SPLITTING THE VOTE IN DIFFERENT
WAYS.
IT DOESN'T REALLY SEEM TO BE
WHAT IS HAPPENING THERE.
IT'S REALLY THE LIBERALS' VOTE
LOSS IS TRANSFERRING ALMOST
DIRECTLY TO THE CONSERVATIVES
AND IN THE CASE OF THE N.D.P.,
THEIR LOSSES IN TERMS OF OVER
ALL SUPPORT SWITCHING OVER TO
THE GREEN PARTY.
YOU KNOW, VOTERS DO UNEXPECTED
THINGS AND THAT'S WHAT WE'RE
SEEING A LITTLE BIT TONIGHT.
I'M GOING TO GO TO CORY NOW IF I
CAN.
AGAIN, LOTS OF CLOSE TO CALL.
I DON'T THINK THE NUMBERS WILL
STAY AT FIVE BUT WE'LL SEE HOW
CONSERVATIVES THE VIEWING THAT.
ARE THEY WORRIED OR LOOK AT THE
BOARD AND THEY'RE OK?
>> WELL, I WAS WORKING
DIFFERENTLY WHEN IT WAS NINE.
I THINK NINE IS A REALLY
ACCEPTABLE NUMBER FOR THE
CONSERVATIVES AND -- YOU KNOW,
IF IT'S BETWEEN 8 AND 12 FOR THE
CONSERVATIVES COMING OUT OF
ATLANTIC, CANADA, I THINK
THERE'S HOPE ALIVE THAT IS QUITE
STRONG AND REALISTIC FOR THE
CONSERVATIVES WINNING THE
LARGEST NUMBER OF SEATS.
WHEN IT STARTS DIPPING DOWN INTO
LOWER SINGLE-DIGITS IT'S A STEEP
HILL THAT YOU HAVE TO CLIMB AND
OTHER CHALLENGING MARKETS IN
ORDER TO GET TO THAT THRESHOLD.
I THINK WE'LL BE RIDING A ROLLER
COASTER, ROSIE, BECAUSE I'M ON
PINS AND NEEDLES WATCHING THAT
NUMBER GO UP AND DOWN.
>> Rosemary: AND AGAIN, NO
REASON FOR ANYBODY TO PANIC
HERE.
BECAUSE EVERYBODY STILL --
THINGS ARE CLOSE EX THIS IS
AND WE'RE GOINGTO BOUNCE AROUND.
THE FACT THERE ARE SO MANY THAT
ARE CLOSE TO CALL, WHAT DOES
THAT INDICATE TO YOU?
>> IT'S TOO EARLY TO READ
ANYTHING -- TO REALLY SAY THIS
IS THE PATTERN FOR THE REST OF
THE NIGHT.
YOU WERE SAYING THE LIBERAL VOTE
GOING TO THE CONSERVATIVES.
I'M NOT FROM THE REGION BUT MY
UNDERSTANDING IS IT'S USUALLY
THE TWO MAIN PARTIES AND PEOPLE
DO FLIP BACK AND FOURTH.
IT MAY BE A BIT DIFFERENT IN
PLACES LIKE ONTARIO WHERE N.D.P.
ARE OFTEN GO TO THE LIBERALS BUT
I THINK -- AND ATLANTIC, CANADA,
THERE IS A TRADITION OF IF YOU
DIDN'T VOTE FOR THE
CONSERVATIVES, THIS YEAR YOU MAY
VOTE FOR THE LIBERALS THE NEXT
TIME BECAUSE THOSE ARE THE TWO
DOMINATING FORCES.
>> Rosemary: IT DOES SHOW THE
TWO OTHER PARTIES, AND
PARTICULARLY THE GREENS, WHERE
THERE WAS SOME PROVINCIAL
SUPPORT.
AT LEAST NOT YET.
>> CAN'T PUNCH THROUGH BUT ARE A
PROBLEM FOR THE N.D.P. THAT
SPENT YEARS TRYING TO GET A REAL
FOOTHOLD THERE AND IS NOT
GETTING IT BACK TONIGHT AT THIS
RATE.
>> Rosemary: DAVID COCHRANE HAS
RESULTS.
>> David: WE HAVE TWO IN
KINGS-HANTZ.
HE IS OFF TO A LEAD OVER THE
CONSERVATIVE CANDIDATE, GONE BUT
NOT FORGOTTEN.
TWO OF 223 REPORTING.
TAKE A LOOK AT FREDERICTON.
AND LOOK AT THIS, IT'S EARLY,
BUT LOOK AT THIS THREE-WAY
SPLIT.
A THREE-VOTE LEAD OVER THE THIRD
PLACE.
A REAL STRONG PRESENCE BY THE
GREENS WHERE THEY COULD WIN THE
SEAT OUTRIGHT OR BLEED ENOUGH
PROGRESSIVE SUPPORT AWAY FOR THE
LIBERALS TO HAND IT BACK TO THE
CONSERVATIVES.
SO MATT DECOURCEY IT'S EARLY AND
HE IS IN TIGHT.
>> Rosemary: THAT NOT BE
UNEXPECTED.
WE'LL GET LEADERS OF THE LEADERS
WATCHING RESULTS THROUGH THE
NIGHT AND SEEING WHERE THEY ARE.
THIS TIME IT'S JAGMEET SINGH
WITH SUPPORTERS AND HIS WIFE.
THEY'RE WATCHING IN BRITISH
COLUMBIA.
EXTRA POINTS FOR THEM BECAUSE
THEY'RE WATCHING OUT BROADCAST.
IT DOESN'T REALLY MATTER.
THEY'RE GOING TO WATCH THROUGH
THE NIGHT AND OF COURSE REACT AS
RESULTS COME IN.
HE IS ALL THE WAY OUT ON THE
WEST COAST.
REMEMBER, HE HAS ONLY WILL BE
BEEN INTHE HOUSE OF COMMONS FORA
YEAR-AND-A-HALF NOW.
HE OPTED TO WAIT A YEAR AND A
HALF TO RUN FOR THE RIDING OF
BURNABY SOUTH.
HE HAS ONLY BEEN AN M.P.
BRIEFLY.
CERTAINLY HAS DONE BETTER THAN
MOST PEOPLE EXPECTED.
JAMIE HAS BRIEF IMPRESSIONS FROM
THE PEOPLE WATCHING ALONG WITH
HER AT THE WATCH PARTY.
>> Reporter: THANK YOU, ROSIE.
AS WE WATCH ALL THESE RESULTS
COMING IN, WE'RE TALKING
LEADERS.
HOW DID THEY DO?
I'M GOING TO START WITH RYAN
McMANN, IT WAS A FIRST TIME
THAT YOU VOTED IN 2015, YOU
MENTIONED EARLIER THAT YOU VOTED
FOR JUSTIN TRUDEAU.
WHY?
>> WELL, OTHER THAN ANYONE BUT
CONSERVATIVE WAVE THAT HIT IN
2015, I MEAN, THERE WAS
>> IT FEELS LIKE THE IT WORE OFF
AND WHEN WILL WE SEE THE VAINER
TRACK.
>> WELL I THINK JODY
WILSON-RAYBOULD WAS A FACTOR IN
THAT.
WHEN SOMEONE PRESENTS THEMSELVES
AS A FEMINIST AND TWO VERY
STRONG, CAPABLE WOMEN END UP
LEAVING.
WE'RE SEEING A LACK OF
AUTHENTICITY ACROSS THE BOARD
AND IT'S HARD TO PUT YOUR FINGER
ON WHO THESE PEOPLE ARE.
SO THAT'S TROUBLING.
>> MARK, CAN YOU JUMP IN ON
THAT?
DO YOU FEEL LIKE WE SAW A LACK
OF AUTHENTICITY ACROSS THE
BOARD?
>> WELL, THIS IS A REFERENDUM ON
JUSTIN TRUDEAU'S LEADERSHIP.
THAT IS WHAT THIS IS B IT WAS A.
IT WAS HARD TO BELIEVE THREE
YEARS AGO, MAYBE TWO YEARS AGO
OR A YEAR AGO THAT HE WASN'T
GOING TO JUST WALTZ INTO A
SECOND MAJORITY.
ANDREW SCHEER HAS DONE A
REASONABLY GOOD JOB OF TRYING TO
AVOID ALL THE MINES AND JUST NOT
MAKE TOO MANY MISTAKES.
IT'S A SITUATION WHERE I THINK
THE SHEEN CAME OFF THE LIBERAL
LEADER PRETTY QUICK.
HE GOT ELECTED ON THE BASIS OF
PROMISES OF PROGRESSIVE NATURE,
PROMISES TO INDIGENOUS PEOPLE
AND WOMEN.
SHE BROKE ALL OF THEM.
>> I THINK SOME PEOPLE MIGHT
DISAGREE WITH YOU WHEN --
>> I HOPE SO.
>> THAT'S WHAT WE'RE GOING TO
TALK B WHEN YOU TALK ABOUT
ANDREW SCHEER, HE DIDN'T AVOID
ALL THOSE LANDMINES.
DID ANYBODY SHINE DURING THIS
ELECTION CAMPAIGN, MAYOR NENSHI?
>> YES, JAGMEET SINGH AND THE
CHALLENGE THAT I HAVE IS THIS
ELECTION HAS BEEN WAY TOO MUCH
ABOUT PERSONALITY AND WAY TOO
MUCH ABOUT LEADERSHIP.
MR. SCHEER AND MR. TRUDEAU HAVE
GREAT TEAMS AND WE NEVER HEARD
FROM THEM.
THE MINISTERS, THE CANDIDATES,
RIGHT.
AND, THAT NARROW-MINDED FOCUS,
WHICH WAS CAUSED BY THE LIBERALS
AND CONSERVATIVES GOING AFTER
THE OTHER LEADERS PERSONALLY,
KEPT US FROM TALKING ABOUT THE
ISSUES.
THERE'S SOME REAL TERRIBLE
ELECTION PROMISES AND SOME VERY
GOOD ONES AND WE HARDLY TALK
ABOUT ANY OF THEM.
>> WE'VE NEVER HAD AN ELECTION
WHERE WE TALK ABOUT ISSUES?
>> THAT'S NOT TRUE.
>> HE COULD GET IN TROUBLE OF
SAYING THAT AND WE HAVE TO GO
BACK TO ROSARIES BUT WE'RE GOING
TO KEEP TALKING ABOUT THOSE
ISSUES TONIGHT AND I HOPE YOU
COME BACK TO US SOON.
>> Rosemary: THANK YOU, JAMIE.
WE SHOULD REMIND PEOPLE THAT ALL
THOSE PEOPLE AT THE TABLE COME
WITH INTERESTING PERSPECTIVE
THAT WE CAN DIG INTO A LITTLE
BIT MORE AS WELL.
IF WE GO BACK TO THEM.
THAT MIGHT COLOUR WHAT THEY'RE
SAYING AS WELL.
WHERE ARE WE GOING NOW?
ANDREW?
>> Andrew: ALL RIGHT.
LET'S DO IT.
SO, I WANT TO HELP FOLKS
VISUALIZE A POINT IN TERMS OF
HOW THE VOTE IS SPLITTING.
JUST TO GIVE YOU A LITTLE BIT OF
CONTEXT, WE ONLY HAVE 130,
135,000 VOTES IN THE SYSTEM
WHICH IS A SMALL FRACTION FOR
ALL OF ATLANTIC, CANADA.
ANDS CAN SEE THE BOTTOM OF THE
SCREEN, IT ADDS UP TO 31.
THERE ARE 32 RIDINGS IN SO WE'RE
STILL MISSING RESULTS.
FOCUS ON THE RED BAR FOR NOW.
WHAT YOU WANT TO LOOK AT IS THE
FACT THEY'RE DOWN.
THE LIBERALS ARE DOWN 14.2
PERCENTAGE POINTS.
THE CONSERVATIVES ARE UP BY
ALMOST THAT AMOUNT.
IF YOU ARE TRYING ANSWER THE
QUESTION, WHERE IS THAT LIBERAL
VOTE GOING RIGHT NOW, THAT GIVES
YOU AT LEAST A SHADE OF THE
ANSWER AND YOU CAN SEE A SIMILAR
STORY WITH THE N.D.P. AND THE
GREEN RESULTS, RIGHT.
THE N.D.P. IS DOWN ONE AND A
HALF PERCENTAGE POINTS AND THE
GREENS UP 2-POINT9.
IT GIVES YOU A SENSE OF HOW
THOSE VOTES ARE BALANCING OUT F
YOU WONDER WHY THESE NUMBERS ARE
SO VOLATILE, IT HAS TO DO WITH
THE TOTAL NUMBER OF VOTES WE'VE
BEEN COUNTING SO FAR BUT ALSO,
THINK OF WHAT OUR DECISION DESK
HAS TO DO IN TERMS OF TRYING TO
CRUNCH THE NUMBERS GOING TO PAN
OUT.
RIGHT NOW, SO YOU SEE THE
LIBERALS LEADING OR ELECTED IN
24 RIDINGS.
THERE ARE ONLY EIGHT WE'RE SURE
ABOUT BASED ON THE HISTORICAL
DATA, THE POLLING DATA AND THE
RESULTS AS THEY COME IN NOW.
THERE ARE EIGHT RIDINGS WE'RE
SURE.
THAT LEAVES 16 UP IN THE AIR.
THE CONSERVATIVES LEADING IN SIX
RIDINGS BUT NONE OF THOSE SIX
ARE WE SURE ABOUT.
SO A LOT OF THESE RACES STILL
VOLATILE.
IF YOU ARE WONDERING WHY IT
DROPPED FROM NINE DOWN TO FIVE,
THEN IT WAS UP TO SEVEN,
TRICKLED UP TO EIGHT AND NOW
IT'S BACK DOWN TO SIX.
GIVES YOU A BIT OF THE ANSWER.
>> Rosemary: THAT'S IMPORTANT TO
KEEP IN MIND BECAUSE IT LOOKS
CRAZY AT THE BOTTOM OF THE BOARD
AS THINGS BOUNCE AROUND RAPIDLY.
WE STILL HAVE A LOT OF
TOO-CLOSE-TO CALL SO THE NUMBER
WILL MOVE THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT.
IN ABOUT AN HOUR OR SO, WE WILL
START TO GET RESULTS FROM THE
REST OF THE COUNTRY BUT FOR NOW
WE'RE LOOKING AT WHAT IS
HAPPENING IN ATLANTIC, CANADA
AND IAN HAS MORE RESULTS.
>> Ian: THE CONSERVATIVES I
TALKED TO IN NEW BRUNSWICK SAID
IF THEY CAN GET FIVE SEATS THIS
TIME AROUND IN NEW BRUNSWICK,
THAT WOULD BE PRETTY GOOD DAY.
ANYTHING MORE THAN FIVE WOULD BE
GREAT.
LET'S TAKE A LOOK AT THE PARTY
STANDINGS RIGHT NOW IN THIS
EARLY COUNTING PERIOD IN NEW
BRUNSWICK.
YOU SEE THAT THE LIBERALS ARE
LEADING -- ELECTED IN ONE BUT A
TOTAL OF FIVE AND CONSERVATIVES
FOUR.
IT ADDS UP TO NINE IS THAT
MONCTON, STRANGELY, HAS NOT
REPORTED A SINGLE POLL.
I WANT TO SHOW YOU A COUPLE OF
RIDINGS WITHIN NEW BRUNSWICK.
NO ONE SUGGESTED THIS WOULD GO
THE CONSERVATIVE WAY.
NOW LOOK, IT'S REALLY CLOSE, 41
VOTES SEPARATING THE
CONSERVATIVES FROM THE LIBERALS
HERE AND ALSO NOT MANY POLLS
REPORTING JUST 17 OF 156.
BIG RESULT FOR THE GREENS.
THE GREEN AND THE N.D.P. ARE
NECK-AND-NECK BETWEEN THIRD AND
FOURTH PLACE.
MIRAMICHI-GRAND LAKE.
THIS WAS A RIDING THE LIBERALS
WERE CONCERNED ABOUT.
CLOSE IN THE COUNTING.
SO INTERESTING.
WE CAN EASILY EXPECT SOME
FLIPPING IN THE PARTY STANDINGS
IN NEW BRUNSWICK AS MORE VOTES
GET COUNTED.
WHERE IS MONCTON.
I KNOW WHERE IT IS
GEOGRAPHICALLY BUT HOW COME WE
HAVEN'T HEARD FROM IT?
IT'S REALLY STRANGE.
>> Rosemary: WE'LL SEE IF WE CAN
GET AN ANSWER FOR YOU ON THAT
ONE.
MONCTON, CHECK IT OUT.
HEATHER HAS SOME RESULTS.
>> Heather: LET'S CHECK BOTH OF
THE PROVINCES, WE HAVEN'T LOOKED
IN P.E.I. FOR A WHILE SO THE
LONGEST SERVING M.P. ON THE
ISLAND AND ONE OF THE
LONGEST-SERVING MEMBERS OF THE
HOUSE, LAWRENCE MCCAULEY, WE
HAVE HIM ELECTED FOR HIS TENTH
TERM IN THE EASTERN MOST RIDING
OF PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND.
THREE ON NOVA SCOTIA.
IN NOVA SCOTIA THAT, BOY THE
N.D.P. IS WATCHING CLOSELY.
THEY THINK THERE'S A LOT OF
ENTHUSIASM.
THERE WERE NASTY SURPRISES IN
2015.
THIS IS ONE.
ANDY FILMORE WHO DEFEATED MEGHAN
HE IS IN THE EARLY STAGES WITH A
LEAD OVER THE N.D.P. CANDIDATE
THIS TIME AROUND.
AS WE LOOK, THIS WAS PETER
STAUFFER REECE RIDING AND HE IS
THE BRAND NOW AND IN DEED WAS
THE LEAD AS HE BEGAN HIS QUEST
FOR A SECOND TERM.
AND MEGHAN WAS TELLING ME BEFORE
OUR BROADCAST, THERE'S A LOT OF
ENTHUSIASM FOR DARTMOUTH-COLE
HARBOUR.
EMMA MARTIN IS RUNNING SECOND
BUT WE'LL WATCH HER NUMBERS.
DEREN FISHER, HE IS SECOND TERM,
LONG TIME MUNICIPAL POLITICIANS.
HE HAS THE LEAD IN THE EARLY
STAGES AFTER JUST FIVE POLLS.
>> Rosemary: THANK YOU, HEATHER.
HE WANT TO LOOK IF I CAN AT THE
TOO-CLOSE-TO CALL BOARD.
THAT IS GIVING YOU THE VOLUME
VOLATILITY.
THOSE ARE THE CLOSEST.
LOOK AT FREDERICTON.
THIS IS MATT DECOURSEY AND HE IS
TIED WITH ANDREA JOHNSON.
I REALISE WE'RE JUST IN THE
EARLY RESULTS BUT THAT'S
ASTOUNDING.
THERE ARE NINE RIDINGS WHERE
THERE'S A MARGIN OF ONLY 100
VOTES AND THERE ARE 1 WHERE
13 WITH AMARGIN OF 200 VOTES.
IF THE POLLS ARE TRUE AND THINGS
STARTED TIGHT AND THEY'RE ENDING
TIGHT, THOSE ARE THE RIDINGS
WHERE WE'RE STARTING TO SEE AN
ILLUSTRATION OF THAT.
>> ALL OF THE NEWFOUNDLAND AND
LABRADOR SEATS ARE NOW SETTLED.
THE CBC DECISION DESK IS
PROJECTED THEM ALL ELECTED AND
THE FINAL ONE IS ST. JOHN'S,
EAST, WHERE JACK HARRIS IS GOING
BACK TO OTTAWA.
HE HAS 1,371 VOTE-LEAD OVER NICK
WHALEN, THE ONE-TERM LIBERAL
MEMBER OF PARLIAMENT.
THE DECISION DESK HAS SEEN
ENOUGH.
HAS LEAD HAS BEEN WIDEN.
JACK HARRIS COMING BACK TO WORK
WITH JAGMEET SINGH.
EDDIE WHIRL HAS MOVED OUT OVER
JAMIE DATTISTE.
HE GOT IN A LOT OF TROUBLE WITH
HIS TWITTER ACCOUNT AND SOME
UNFORTUNATE COMMENTS ABOUT
INDIGENOUS WOMEN.
THE CONSERVATIVES WANTED HIM
FIRED.
EDDIE ORRELL MAY DO IT FOR THEM.
>> Rosemary: LET'S GET REACTION
TO JACK HARRIS.
>> CONGRATULATIONS JACK HARRIS.
THIS IS GOOD, OBVIOUSLY IT'S
GOOD FOR THE N.D.P.
IT'S GOOD FOR NEWFOUNDLAND AND
LABRADOR JUST TO HAVE ANOTHER
VOICE THERE IN PARLIAMENT AND
ANOTHER PERSPECTIVE IN
PARLIAMENT.
>> Rosemary: WHAT DO YOU THINK
THAT DOES?
HOW DOES IT CHANGE THE
CONVERSATION?
>> WELL, A PRETTY QUIET ISSUE,
MUCH EARLIER IN THE MANDATE, WAS
AROUND SUPREME COURT JUDGE
APPOINTMENTS.
WHETHER OR NOT ATLANTIC, CANADA,
SHOULD HAVE AN APPOINTMENT FROM
ATLANTIC, CANADA.
AND YOU DIDN'T HEAR ANYTHING
ABOUT IT IN THE HOUSE OF
COMMONS, IT WAS A SILENT ISSUE.
IF LIBERALS APPOINTING THE COURT
AND IT'S ALSO ALL LIBERALS IN
ATLANTIC, CANADA AND SO IF THERE
HAD BEEN AN OPPOSITION MEMBER OR
TWO WE COULD HAVE HEARD A DEBATE
ABOUT THAT ON THE FLOOR.
MAYBE QUESTIONS FROM QUESTION
PERIOD.
IT'S HARD TO STAND UP WHEN YOU
ARE THE GOVERNING PARTY AND SAY
WHAT ABOUT MY REGIONS.
REGIONS ARE NOT WELL SERVED.
>> SOME OF THEM HAVE DONE THAT.
SCOTT SIMS DID IT AND PAID A
PRICE.
I MEAN, HE STILL GOT RE-ELECTED.
>> ON THAT POINT, WITH 32 OF 32
THE FISHERIES, NO DISCUSSION IN
THIS ELECTION ABOUT FISHERIES
POLICY AND RURAL AND ATLANTIC
CANADA ARE BIG ISSUES.
WHEN YOU DO HAVE A SPLIT
LEGISLATURE FROM A REGION, THOSE
ISSUES CAN GET ON THE TABLE MORE
THAN THEY DID --
>> Rosemary: THERE'S A WAY TO
PUT PRESSURE ON THE GOVERNMENT
IN A WAY YOU DIDN'T EXPECT.
>> IT DOESN'T SPEAK TO BEING,
FEELING THIS IS BEING TOTALLY
IGNORED BY THE GOVERNMENT.
BECAUSE ATLANTIC, CANADA VOTERS
ARE NOT SHY AT EXPRESSING ANGER
AT THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT.
25 OUT OF 32, MAYBE 26 WHEN
MONCTON COMES IN BECAUSE IT'S A
FAIRLY LIBERAL RIDING.
>> Rosemary: YEAH.
>> IT'S HARD TO THINK THAT IT
CAN GET ANY BETTER EXCEPT ON A
YEAR LIKE 2015.
>> Rosemary: AGAIN, AS I SAY,
THERE ARE LOTS OF TOO-CLOSE-TO
CALLS THERE.
IT MIGHT BOUNCE AROUND.
AT THIS STAGE, IT ISN'T A
REPUDIATES OF WHAT THE LIBERALS
HAVE DONE FOR CANADA.
I'M SURE THE CROWD WENT WILD
ABOUT THE JACK HARRIS WIN.
 [LAUGHTER]
>> WELL, WE DON'T HAVE THE CROWD
IN HERE AS OF YET.
YOU HAVE TO REMEMBER THE TIME
DIFFERENCE.
THEY'RE COMING IN A BIT.
WE KNOW THEIR CAMPAIGN TEAM ARE
EXTREMELY HAPPY ABOUT THIS LET
ME TELL YOU THE REASON WHY.
WHAT THEY WERE DOING, THEY WERE
WATCHING JACK HARRIS' RIDING AND
A FEW OTHERS IN THE ATLANTIC
PROVINCES.
SO, JACK HARRIS FOR THEM SHOWS
THAT THEY MAY HAVE SOME MOMENTUM
PICKING UP BECAUSE THEY DID SUCH
A GOOD JOB TOWARDS THE END OF
THAT CAMPAIGN.
SOME OTHER ONES THAT THEY'RE
WATCHING, ROSIE, ARE
DARTMOUTH-COLE HARBOUR, RIGHT
NOW, THE LIBERALS ARE LEADING IN
THAT RIDING AND ALSO HALIFAX,
CCADIE-BARTH HURST.
IF THEY TOOK THOSE RIDINGS,
THINGS SURGE AS YOU'VE BEEN
HEARING ABOUT THROUGHOUT THE
CAMPAIGN, ACTUALLY TAKING PLACE.
WHEN I LOOK AT THOSE OTHER
RIDINGS, OTHER THAN JACK HARRIS'
RIDING IT APPEARS THOSE OTHER
RIDINGS ARE STILL BEING LED BY
OTHER PARTIES, MOSTLY LIBERALS.
SO, THEY'RE GOING TO KEEP THEIR
EYE ON THAT BUT THEY ARE REALLY
HAPPY THAT THEY'VE SENT JACK
HARRIS BACK TO THE HOUSE OF
COMMONS.
>> Rosemary: THANK YOU, HANNAH.
HANNAH IS IN B.C. WHERE THE
HEADQUARTERS WILL BE.
I SHOULD TELL YOU, THE N.D.P.
SUPPORT IS DOWN OVER ALL IN
ATLANTIC, CANADA.
SO THEY MAY GET A SEAT OUT OF
THIS BUT I'M NOT SURE THEY'RE
GOING TO BE ABLE TO GET MUCH
MORE THAN THAT AT THIS STAGE.
MAYBE THE JAGMEET SINGH IMPACT,
THE UP RISING OR WHATEVER YOU
WANT TO CALL IT, HAS TRANSFERRED
INTO THIS PART OF THE -- THE
SINGH SURGE.
THANK YOU.
THAT'S WHAT IT'S CALLED.
LET'S GO TO ST. JOHN'S EAST.
PETER COWAN IS HERE.
>> Reporter: YOU WERE WORKING
HARD IN ORDER TO GET OUT AND
VOTE.
FOUR YEARS AGO, NICK WHALEN BEAT
JACK HARRIS, TONIGHT JACK HARRIS
BEAT NICK WHALEN.
>> PEOPLE REALISE THERE WAS A
STRONG BASE FOR NEW DEMOCRATS.
WE SAW A SOLID CAMPAIGN FROM
JAGMEET SINGH.
WE KNOW THAT EVERY NEW DEMOCRAT
THAT IS GOING TO BE ELECTED WILL
BE THERE TO SPEAK FOR PEOPLE.
I THINK THAT RESOUNDED WELL.
WE'RE ALSO SEEING WE'RE THE
VOICE OF CHANGE AND PEOPLE ARE
LISTENING.
>> Reporter: WITH THE PROSPECT
OF A MINORITY GOVERNMENT, WHAT
ROLE DO YOU THINK THAT ONE
N.D.P. -- RIGHT NOW IT IS ONLY
ONE N.D.P. WITHIN ATLANTIC,
CANADA.
WHAT SORT OF ROLE DOES HE PLAY?
>> CERTAINLY IN A MINORITY
SITUATION, IT MEANS THAT WE CAN
CRAFT BETTER POLICY, IT CAN BE
BETTER BALANCED POLICY.
WE'LL SEE THE NEEDS OF MORE
PEOPLE REFLECTED IN OUR
LEGISLATURE AND I THINK THAT
WOULD BE IMPORTANT.
>> Reporter: THANK YOU, VERY
MUCH.
WE'LL LET YOU GO AND ENJOY THE
PARTY.
THEY JUST BROUGHT AN ACCORDION
IN.
THAT'S A SIGN THE PARTY WILL
BEGIN.
>> Rosemary: THAT'S WHY WE LOVE
THIS LAND BECAUSE ACCORDIONS
APPEAR WHEN YOU NEED THEM.
THANK YOU, PETER AND THANK YOU
TO THE LEADER OF THE N.D.P. AS
WELL.
APPRECIATE IT.
IAN HAS SOME RESULTS.
>> Ian: YES, SO ONE OF THINGS WE
SHOULD CAUTION PEOPLE, AND WE'VE
TALKED ABOUT THIS BEFORE, YOU
LOOK AT THE BOTTOM OF THE SCREEN
AND YOU SEE THAT BOARD AND
THINK, WELL, THIS IS A GOOD IDEA
OF WHAT THE LEAD IS FOR THE
LIBERALS.
SOME OF THESE RIDINGS ARE SO
CLOSE AND NEW BRUNSWICK IS AMONG
THE FACES THAT HAS THOSE CLOSE
RIDINGS.
WE HAVE FOUND MONCTON.
IT'S NOT JUST THE PLACE WHERE
CHAMPLAIN MALL IS.
IT'S A PLACE WHERE THEY'RE
COUNTING VOTES.
YOU KNOW, GINETTE PETITPAS
TAYLOR AND THE GREENS ARE DOING
SO WELL THERE.
THIS IS A RIDING THAT'S GONE
BACK AND FOURTH BETWEEN LIBERALS
AND CONSERVATIVES FOR THE LONG
TIME.
LET'S A COUPLE OF MORE RIDINGS
WITH MORE POLLS REPORTING AND A
REALLY SLIM LEAD.
OUR BOARD IS NOT CAPABLE OF
REFLECTING THE FACT THAT THE
LIBERALS AND THE CONSERVATIVES
ARE TIED IN MIRAMICHI-AND
SOMEONE ON TWITTER SAID I HAD IT
WRONG WITH THE GREENS.
THE GREENS ARE GETTING WAY MORE
VOTES THAN THEY'RE GETTING.
THEY'RE GETTING VOTES IN SOME
RIDINGS.
AND THE NUMBER OF VOTES THEY'RE
GETTING COULD DETERMINE WHO ENDS
UP OR HELP DETERMINE WHO ENDS UP
WINNING THIS RIDING.
>> Rosemary: THEY ARE UP ACROSS
THE ATLANTIC REGION.
SO AGAIN, CAUTION THAT IT
DOESN'T ALWAYS MEAN YOU WIN A
SEAL THE BUT YOU ARE STEALING
SUPPORT FROM ELSEWHERE AND THAT
COULD BE THE N.D.P.
IT SEEMS TO BE AT THIS STAGE.
THEY'RE UP ABOUT FOUR POINTS
FROM LAST TIME AROUND.
>> FOR THE GREENS, COMING UP
SECOND CAN POSSIBLY BE A WIN.
ALTHOUGH, FREDERICTON IS MOVING
AROUND AND BOUNCING ABOUT.
THERE'S ONLY 10 POLLS REPORTING
BUT THERE ARE FEWER THAN 20
VOTES SEPARATING AND THE GREENS.
THE OTHER RIDING THAT IS REALLY
INTERESTING WHERE THE GREENS
CAME IN SECOND.
CBC IS SUGGESTING THAT IT'S
GOING TO BE DOMINIQUE
LeBLANC'S SEAT.
ON THE GROUND, ANOTHER RIDING I
VISITED WITH ELIZABETH MAY
DRIVING IN THE BACK SEAT OF A
TESLA, DRIVEN BY A VOLUNTEER.
HE STOPPED IN THAT RIDING AND
LOCAL PEOPLE SUGGESTED THAT
DOMINIQUE IS NOT DOING WELL, HE
IS IN MONTREAL FOR CANCER
TREATMENT AND HE HASN'T BEEN
THAT PRESENT IN THE RIDING.
ALSO, THEY'RE COMFORTABLE
PARKING THEIR BALLOT SOMEWHERE
ELSE BECAUSE THEY DON'T FEAR A
CONSERVATIVE COMING IN INTO THAT
RIDING.
THE LIBERALS HAVE TRIED TO MAKE
THIS CAMPAIGN A FIGHT BETWEEN
THEM AND THE CONSERVATIVES BUT
IN SOME RIDINGS, STRATEGIC
VOTING DOESN'T WORK THAT WAY.
THERE'S A SAFETY IN CASTING YOUR
BALLOT FOR ANOTHER PARTY AND
THAT'S WHAT WE'RE SEEING WITH A
LOT OF GREEN SUPPORTERS IN
ATLANTIC, CANADA.
>> Rosemary: I THINK I WANT
ROGER TO TALK ABOUT DOMINIQUE IN
JUST A MINUTE BUT ANDREW WANTS
IN THERE.
>> Andrew: IT'S CONVERGING ON
WHAT THE POLLS WERE PREDICTING
AND CONVERGING BACK TO NORMALCY.
YOU KNOW, YOU LOCK AT SOME OF
THESE NEWFOUNDLAND RIDINGS WHERE
WE HAVE THE MOST RESULTS, LAST
TIME THEY WON BY AN AVERAGE
MARGIN OF 50% AND WE'RE LOOKING
AT MORE LIKE SIX, 14, 13, THAT
KIND OF THING.
ACROSS THE REGION, THE LIBERALS
BEAT THE STORIES BY 40% LAST
NIGHT AND IT WILL BE MORE LIKE
10 PERCENTAGE POINTS.
I THINK I'M GOING TO BE VERY
INTERESTED TO SEE THE TURNOUT
NUMBERS THOUGH BECAUSE THAT IS
THE LIBERAL FEAR IS THAT THEIR
VOTERS WON'T BE AS MOTIVATED AS
THEY WERE AT LAST TIME AROUND
AND THAT'S THE BEST HOPE FOR THE
CONSERVATIVES TO CATCH.
>> Rosemary: ALL POLLS ARE
REPORTING NOW IN ATLANTIC,
CANADA.
FIRST REPORTING ANYWAY, SO
THAT'S 32 OUT OF 32 REPORTING.
AND IN THREE RIDINGS, THE GROANS
ARE IN SECOND AND IN FREDERICTON
AND IN MONCTON, I'M GOING TO GO
TO HEATHER NEXT.
I'M GOING TO COME TO YOU, ROGER,
DON'T YOU WORRY.
HEALTH HAS SOME RESULTS.
FIRST RESULTS FROM QUEBEC.
>> Heather: THAT'S RIGHT.
WE HAVE THE MAGDALEN ISLANDS.
IT'S AN HOUR AHEAD SO IT GIVES
US -- CHANTEL PERKS UP.
YOU REMEMBER, 2015, BECAUSE IT'S
2015.
THERE WAS IN THE CABINET
MINISTER.
AGAIN, JUST ONE OF THE 214 POLLS
REPORTING IN THIS LARGE AND
VARIED RIDING BUT THIS IS A
RIDING, IF YOU LOOK THROUGH
HISTORY, P.C., LIBERALS, BLOC,
LIBERAL, N.D.P., LIBERAL, IT
JUST INDICATES WE COULD BE IN
FOR SOME SURPRISES.
THIS IS OUR FIRST LOOK AT A
CABINET MINISTERS IN QUEBEC
TONIGHT.
>> Rosemary: IT'S AN INCREDIBLE
PLACE TO GO.
>> IT'S INCREDIBLE TO GO BUT FOR
SOME REASON, AS FAR AS THEY MAY
BE FROM THE MEDIA CENTERS AND
QUEBEC, THEY HAVE GONE WITH THE
TREND.
ON THE NIGHT OF THE ORANGE WAVE
IN 2011, THE MAGDALENE ISLANDS
WERE ORANGE.
IF THE LIBERALS KEEP THAT SEAT,
THEY WILL FIND THAT ENCOURAGING.
>> Rosemary: GOOD TO KNOW.
ROGER, LET ME COME BACK TO YOU
ON THE GREEN RISE IN MONCTON.
WHETHER THERE WAS SOMETHING
GOING ON THERE WITH THE FACT
THAT DOMINIQUE LeBLANC,
BECAUSE OF HIS HEALTH JUST
COULDN'T BE PRESENT.
SURELY THERE WERE OTHER LIBERALS
OUT THERE CAMPAIGNING FOR HIM?
>> YES.
THE SEAT HAS TRADITIONALLY BEEN
A LIBERAL SEAT.
ANGELA WON IT IN '97 AS A N.D.P.
AND CROSSED OVER AND JOINED THE
CONSERVATIVES AND DOM BEAT HER
IN 2000.
WE CAME IN TOGETHER IN 2000.
THERE WAS A COHORT OF 26
LIBERALS THAT WERE NEWLY ELECTED
IN 2000.
DOM IS THE LAST GUY STANDING.
MARK IKEING AND I WERE IN THAT.
LARRY BAGNELL WAS DEFEATED BUT
HE IS BACK IN WE ALL WISH DOM
THE BEST IN HIS RECOVERY.
THE LeBLANC NAME HAS DEEP
ROOTS WITHIN THAT COMMUNITY.
HE ALWAYS USED TO KID THAT HE
ONLY PUT LeBLANC SIGNS UP
BECAUSE THEY STILL SUPPORTED
ROMEO UP THERE.
IT'S GREAT.
HE HAS GOTTEN GREAT SUPPORT
THERE AND I THINK IT CARRIES A
GREAT DEAL OF EQUITY AND RESPECT
IN HIS NAME.
>> Rosemary: ROMEO LeBLANC,
HIS FATHER AND FORMER
GOVERNOR-GENERAL.
HE HAS INTEL FROM THE WAR ROOMS
WHO ARE WATCHING THIS.
THE TIGHTNESS OF THIS AND OUR
THINKING WHAT?
>> THE TIGHTNESS IS CERTAINLY
SOMETHING TO TALK ABOUT.
I HIGHLIGHT ON THAT RIDING IS
SOMETHING THAT THEY'RE PAYING
ATTENTION TO.
OVER ALL NUMBERS LIKE ANDREW
POINTED OUT, SEEM TO MATCH UP
WITH PUBLIC OPINION POLLS.
THEY ALSO MATCH UP WITH INTERNAL
POLLING, RIGHT.
THERE WAS AN EXPECTED RANGE FOR
THE LIBERALS, PARTICULARLY THAT
THEY THOUGHT THEY WOULD LOSE
ANYWHERE FROM FIVE TO EIGHT
SEATS.
IF YOU DON'T SEE THE
CONSERVATIVES RISE ABOVE THAT
THEY'RE NOT GOING TO PANIC.
FOR THE CONSERVATIVES A
SEVEN-SEAT GAIN OVER THERE IS
NOT TERRIBLE AND KEEP THEM
LOOKING AT THE NEXT REGION TO
COME.
THEY'RE NOT PANICKING EITHER.
I WOULD JUST HIGHLIGHT THAT THIS
IS PRETTY MUCH AS EXPECTED FOR
BOTH PARTIES.
AGAIN, HIGHLIGHTS THE INCREASE
SIGNIFICANCE OF THE START
ROLLING WEST.
>> Rosemary: IT WILL HAPPEN IN
UNDER AN HOUR WHEN 263 RIDINGS
WILL START REPORTING FROM QUEBEC
ALL THE WAY TO ALBERTA AND
THAT'S WHEN THINGS ARE GOING TO
GET FAST AND FURIOUS AND WE'LL
SEE WHETHER THE CLOSENESS OF
THINGS STARTS TO REPLICATE
ACROSS THE COUNTRY.
THERE'S ONE FELLOW THAT IS
STANDING BY WAITING FOR THOSE
RESULTS.
QUITE A LOT OF PRESSURE ON HIM
BECAUSE HE IS THE LEADER OF A
NEWLY FOUNDED PARTY.
THE PEOPLE'S PARTY OF CANADA.
THEY'RE WAITING TO SEE WHETHER
ANY SORT OF INCREASE IN SUPPORT
FOR THAT PARTY, WHICH HAS BEEN
POLLING AT AROUND 2% FROM THE
BEGINNING OF THE CAMPAIGN, COULD
EAT AWAY AT THE CONSERVATIVES'
SUPPORT IN ANY PLACE ACROSS THE
COUNTRY.
UNCLEAR WHETHER IT WILL ACTUALLY
DO THAT.
BUT THOMAS DAIGLE AS WELL SOUTHF
QUEBEC AND HE SPOKE WITH MAXIME
BERNIER.
>> Reporter: WE'RE BACKSTAGE
WITH THE LEADER MAXIME BERNIER,
WHO IN 2015, WON THE SEAT BY
20,000 BALLOTS.
MANY PEOPLE WERE TALKING TO IN
THIS RIDING SAYING THIS WAS A
HARDER CAMPAIGN FOR YOU THIS
TIME.
WOULD YOU AGREE THIS IS BEEN A
HARDER CAMPAIGN THAN BEFORE?
>> ABSOLUTELY.
YOU KNOW, I DID CAMPAIGN HERE
AND I'M VERY HAPPY WITH WHAT WE
DID AS A LEADER OF THE PARTY.
THE SMEAR CAMPAIGN THAT THE
CONSERVATIVE PARTY OF CANADA DID
AGAINST US WASN'T HELPFUL.
WE WILL ALWAYS FIGHT FOR WHAT WE
BELIEVE IN-PERSONAL
RESPONSIBILITY AND RESPECT AND
FAIR YES AND I'M PLEASED WE DID
A CAMPAIGN BASED ON IDEAS THAT
WAS IMPORTANT FOR US.
I BELIEVE THAT THE PEOPLE WILL
BE THERE IN A COUPLE OF HOURS
FROM NOW.
I'M CONFIDENT I CAN LEAD THE WAY
OF THE RIDING.
>> Reporter: IT'S THE FIRST TIME
YOU ARE RUNNING NOT AS A
CONSERVATIVE BUT A THE PEOPLE'S
PARTY.
WHAT IS A WIN FOR YOU TONIGHT?
>> YOU KNOW, I HOPE THAT WE'LL
HAVE MORE THAN ONE CANDIDATE
ELECTED.
WE'LL SEE.
ALSO, YOU KNOW, EVERYBODY WE'RE
SEEING THAT ARE AROUND 1.8% AND
WE'LL SEE IF WE HAVE A HUGE
PARTY RATE THAT WILL HELP US.
WE'LL SEE WHAT WILL HAPPEN.
>> Reporter: THEY SAY YOU WANT
TO DEFEND THOSE VALUES.
WHAT HAS BEEN THE REACTION WHEN
YOU ARE DOOR-KNOCKING AND
TALKING ABOUT LESS IMMIGRATION,
WHEN YOU TALK ABOUT A DIFFERENT,
PERHAPS WEAKER FIGHT AGAINST
CLIMATE CHANGE AND FOR THOSE
VALUES?
>> IT IS.
I WAS TELLING THE TRUTH TO
PEOPLE ACROSS THE COUNTRY.
OUR PROGRAMME IS VERY DIFFERENT
THAN THE OTHER LEADERS.
WE ARE DOING POLITICS
POTENTIALLY AND PEOPLE
APPRECIATE THAT.
IT'S BASED ON IDEAS.
IT'S BASED ON A SMALLER
GOVERNMENT.
A GOVERNMENT THAT WILL RESPECT
THE CONSTITUTION.
A GOVERNMENT THAT WILL RESPECT
THE TAXPAYERS.
IF YOU ARE REAL CONSERVATIVE WHO
BELIEVES IN FREEDOM AND LESS
GOVERNMENT, WE ARE THE ONLY
PARTY HERE IN CANADA.
>> Reporter: THANK YOU, VERY
MUCH.
>> THANK YOU.
>> Reporter: HIS FATHER WAS
HARRY POTTER FOR 13 YEARS AS
WELL AND TONIGHT HE FINDS OUT
WHETHER HE KEEPS IT IN THE
FAMILY.
>> Rosemary: THANK YOU, THOMAS.
THE BERNIER NAME IS STRONG.
I'M GOING TO GET YOU TO WEIGH IN
ON WHETHER YOU THINK HE HAS DONE
ANY DAMAGE AT ALL TO THE
CONSERVATIVES IN ANY PART OF THE
COUNTRY?
>> I THINK HE PROBABLY HAS.
WE'RE GOING TO HAVE TO SEE
RIDING BY RIDING.
IT'S NOT DIFFERENT THAN THE
GREEN VOTERS WERE IN CERTAIN
RIDINGS WHERE THERE'S A
PARTICULAR SITUATION WHERE
THERE'S A PARTICULARLY STRONG
CANDIDATE, WHERE THAT NUMBER CAN
GET BUMPED UP HIGHER.
WE SAW THAT IN THE BYELECTIONS
EARLIER THIS YEAR WHERE IT WAS
VERY UNEVEN.
IN TERMS OF WHAT THEIR VOTE
TURNOUT WAS AND SUPPORT LEVELS.
SO, YOU KNOW, I THINK YOU ARE
NOT GOING TO SEE IN THE MARITIME
PROVINCES, THE PEOPLE'S PARTY
BEING MUCH OF A FACTOR.
WHEN WE GET INTO RIDINGS AROUND
HIS RIDING IN QUEBEC, IT WILL BE
INTERESTING TO SEE WHETHER HE
HAS ANY COATTAILS AND IT WILL BE
INTERESTING TO SEE SOME SOME OF
THE CLOSE RAILSES THAT WE'RE
RACING IN THE 905 ANDTHE LOWER L
THE PEOPLE'S PARTY VOTE BE IN
THE DIFFERENCE MARGIN BETWEEN
LIBERALS AND THE CONSERVATIVES.
>> Rosemary: IT ONLY HAS TO BE
3% OR SOMETHING IN.
>> A COUPLE POINTS CAN MAKE THE
DIFFERENCE IN THOSE.
MY GUESS IS THAT HE WILL COST US
SOME SEATS.
I'M WILL TELL.
HOPEFULLY NOT TOO MANY AS
WE'RE -- I'M CHEERING FOR ANDREW
TO WIN.
>> Rosemary: I REALISE YOU ARE.
>> A BIG SURPRISE FOR EVERYONE
AT HOME I'M SURE.
>> Rosemary: IT'S THE ONLY
LEADER THAT WILL SCRUM WITH US
THROUGH THE EVENING.
PRETTY MUCH EVERYBODY ELSE IS
HIDING OUT AND WATCHING RESULTS
QUIETLY.
DAVID COMMON IS TRACKING RESULT.
HE IS TALKING TO VOTERS FROM THE
G.T.A. IN ALONG THE 905 AND
TOWARDS TORONTO.
I HAVE NO IDEA WHERE HE IS NOW.
HE DOESN'T STOP MOVING.
TELL US WHERE YOU ARE AND WHAT
YOU ARE FINDING OUT THERE TODAY?
>> Reporter: WELL, ROSIE, WE'RE
IN MISSISSAUGA AT A VOTING
STATION.
YOU CAN SEE PEOPLE ARE COMING
AND THERE'S BEEN A CONSISTENT
LINE OF EBBS AND FLOWS.
NOT AS MANY PEOPLE RIGHT NOW
COMPARED TO SOME OF THE LINES
WE'VE SEEN OVER THE PAST FEW
MINUTES.
50 MINUTES LEFT TO VOTE IN
ONTARIO.
REALLY IN THAT BLOC FROM QUEBEC
TO ALBERTA AND ELECTIONS CANADA
TWEETING OUT IF YOU ARE IN LINE
WHEN THE POLLS CLOSE, AS LONG AS
YOU ARE IN LINE YOU CAN VOTE.
IF YOU ARE WATCHING AND DIDN'T
VOTE YET AND THINKING WHETHER
YOU SHOULD OR NOT, YOU HAVE TIME
IN THAT QUEBEC TO ALBERTA
CORRIDOR.
HERE IN THE 905, THESE ARE
RIDINGS THAT ARE SO CRITICALLY
DEFINITIVE OR COULD HOLD THAT
POTENTIAL VERY, VERY TIGHT GOING
INTO THIS RACE.
PARTICULARLY HERE IN MISSISSAUGA
AND WHEN WHEN YOU LOOK AT THE
CONSERVATIVES IF THEY WANT TO
WIN MORE SEATS IT'S IN RIDINGS
LIKE THIS THEY HAVE TO DO IT.
IF THEY DON'T DO IT HERE, THEY
WILL KEEP THE MOMENTUM.
>> Rosemary: THAT'S GREAT.
IT'S GOOD TO SEE PEOPLE OUT AND
VOTING.
EVEN IF THEY'RE IN A LINEUP.
LET ME UPDATE PEOPLE THAT MAKING
WATCHING TONIGHT AND ARE WORRIES
IT IS NOT EXTENDING VOTING HOURS
ANYWHERE IN CANADA AT THIS
STAGE.
THERE HAS BEEN SOME STAFFING
PROBLEMS.
IN TORONTO, IN OTTAWA AND NOW
ALSO APPARENTLY IN GUELPH.
THEY'RE NOT EXTENDING THE HOURS.
IF YOU ARE IN LINE AT 9:30, SO
WHAT TIME IS IT NOW?
THERE'S TIME TO GO HERE.
YOU CAN STAY IN THE LINE.
YOU HAVE 45 MINUTES.
YOU CAN STAY IN THAT LINE AND
YOU WILL STILL GET TO VOTE.
SORT OF WHAT HAPPENED IN ST.
JOHN'S EAST.
YOU WILL GET IN LINE, THEY'LL
LET YOU VOTE.
THEN THEY'LL GO AND CLOSE THE
DOOR.
IT MIGHT BE SLOWER IN SOME OF
THOSE PLACES.
SOME POLLING STATIONS IN TORONTO
ON OTTAWA AND SOME IN GUELPH.
NOT A WIDESPREAD ISSUE.
THERE WERE STAFFING PROBLEMS
THERE SO IF YOU ARE IN LINE AT
9:30, STAY THERE.
THEY'LL LET YOU IN AND YOU CAN
CAST YOUR BALLOT.
WE'VE GOT SOME RESULTS COMING
IN.
THE GREEN PARTY IS UP TO 8.3%
ACROSS ATLANTIC, CANADA.
>> ROSIE, THEY'RE ON THE BOARD
AND WE'RE GOING TO SHOW YOU
WHERE.
A SPLIT MATING COSTING SEATS TO
THE CONSERVATIVES.
JENICA ATWIN HAS A LEAD OVER
ANDREA JOHNSON AND MATT
DECOURCEY AND YOU HAVE AN URBAN
RURAL SPLIT IN THIS RIDING THAT
COULD VERY MUCH SHAPE HOW THIS
OUTCOME WILL GO.
THE CONSERVATIVE CANDIDATE HAS
SKIPPED SOME ALL-PARTY,
ALL-CANDIDATE DEBATES IN
FREDERICK THROUGHOUT THIS
ELECTION.
SHE FOCUS OND THE RURAL AREAS OF
THE RIDING.
RIGHT THERE THE GREEN, A SIGN OF
STRENGTH BUT ONLY 15 OF 158
POLLS REPORTING.
>> Rosemary: THIS IS THE ONLY
RACE THAT IS REMAINING RIGHT NOW
WHERE THE MARGIN IS UNDER 100
VOTES.
STILL VERY, VERY TIGHT.
LET ME GO TO ROGER AND GET HIS
PERSPECTIVE WHETHER THAT
SURPRISES YOU THAT MATT
DECOURCEY WOULD BE IN THIRD
SPOT.
WERE THEY WORRIED ABOUT HIM?
>> WE WERE AWARE OF THE SEAT FOR
QUITE SOME TIME NOW.
IT ROW REFLECTS WHAT WEPT ON
DURING THE LAST PROVINCIAL
ELECTION.
WE KNOW IT WAS GOING TO BE IN
PLAY.
MATT IS A GREAT PARLIAMENTARIAN,
GREAT PARLIAMENTARY SECRETARY
AND MINISTER OF FOREIGN AFFAIRS.
WE KNEW IT WAS GOING TO BE A
BATTLE.
THE GREEN CANDIDATE IS VERY
CAPABLE.
THIS ONE WILL GO DOWN TO THE
WIRE.
WHEN WE TALK ABOUT FOUR-WAY
BATTLES OR THREE-WAY BATTLES,
THIS IS REALLY ONE THAT WILL
STAND OUT IN ATLANTIC.
>> Rosemary: PETER.
>> Peter: THAT'S WHAT I WAS
MENTIONING BECAUSE I WAS THERE
IN FREDERICTON.
SITTING IN THAT FARMER'S MARKET
THERE A COUPLE OF SATURDAYS AGO,
I HAD A NUMBER OF PEOPLE MENTION
TO ME.
LOOK, WE'VE GROWN UP, IT'S
EITHER RED OR BLUE.
AND WE'VE BEEN DISAPPOINTED
ELECTION AFTER ELECTION.
THIS TIME WE'RE GOING TO TRY
ANOTHER COLOUR.
SO THAT'S, YOU KNOW, THAT'S
OBVIOUSLY ONE OF THE VOTERS THAT
WENT FOR THE GREENS HERE
TONIGHT.
LET ME MAKE ANOTHER POINT.
BACK UP SOMETHING THAT CHANTEL
SAID EARLIER.
LIBERALS LOOKING AT THIS, I
MEAN, WHAT DO THEY HAVE NOW, 26.
THERE'S NOTHING WRONG WITH THAT.
THAT'S PRETTY GOOD.
AND WHEN YOU CONSIDER THAT LAST
TIME AROUND IN ATLANTIC, CANADA,
IN EACH PROVINCE, THEY WERE WELL
OVER 50% OF THE VOTES.
AND THEY'RE SITTING 43% OF THE
VOTES ACROSS ATLANTIC, CANADA.
IN ANY OTHER YEAR THAT'S A BIG
NUMBER.
>> Rosemary: IT'S WHEN YOU START
OUT WITH EVERYTHING AND YOU LOSE
ANYTHING THAT EVERYBODY SAYS
THIS IS A TERRIBLE NIGHT.
I TAKE YOUR POINT.
AND WE'LL GO BACK TO THOSE
TOO-CLOSE-TO CALL RIDINGS TO
GIVE YOU A SENSE OF WHERE THINGS
ARE AT.
I WANT TO TELL YOU SOME MORE
THINGS ABOUT SOME POLLING
PROBLEMS.
THERE'S ONE EXTENSION OF POLLING
TIMES, OF TIME TO VOTE AND THAT
IS IN THE RIDING OF THUNDER BAY
IN NORTHERN ONTARIO.
POLLS WILL STAY OPEN THERE.
IF YOU ARE THERE FOR ONE
ADDITIONAL HOUR, THERE WAS
PROBLEMS WITH THE VOTER
REGISTRATION CARDS.
THE WRONG TIMES WERE ON THEM.
IN ORDER TO CORRECT THAT, THAT
THE POLLS STATIONS IN THAT
RIDING WILL STAY OPEN ANOTHER
HOUR.
IAN HAS SOME RESULTS NOW.
>> Ian: IT SOUNDED LIKE
MICROWAVE POPCORN.
DO YOU WANT BUTTER?
 [LAUGHTER]
WELL, WHEN THE POLLS CLOSE IN
ONTARIO, ONE OF THE THINGS WE'RE
GOING TO LOOK AT CLOSELY ARE
THOSE LIBERAL-CONSERVATIVE
BATTLE GROUNDS.
THE N.D.P. CAN PLAY A ROLE IN
THOSE AS WELL.
IN THE 905, WE HEAR ABOUT THE
905 SO OFTEN AND WHY?
FIRST OF ALL, THERE ARE A LOT OF
RIDINGS THERE, MORE THAN 30.
IT'S MORE THAN EACH OF THE
ATLANTIC PROVINCES, ALSO, VOTERS
THERE SEEM WILLING TO CHANGE
THEIR VOTE FROM ELECTION TO
ELECTION.
AND OFTEN, APPEAR TO PERFORM AS
A BLOC.
LET'S LOOK AT WHAT HAPPENED IN
2015 IN TORONTO AND IN THE AREA
OUTSIDE OF TORONTO.
NOT SOLID RED BUT IF YOU LOOK AT
THE PROVINCIAL ELECTION THREE
YEARS LATER, THE COLOURS ARE
VERY DIFFERENT.
AS DOUG FORD BECAME PREMIER IN
ONTARIO, HE HAD THE SUPPORT OF
THE 905.
WHAT IS GOING TO HAPPEN TONIGHT?
WELL, CONSIDER THESE TWO
CONFLICTING THINGS.
ON THE ONE HAND, DOUG FORD'S
POWER BASE IS THE 905 AND THE
OTHER HANDSOME OF THINKS
POLICIES, EDUCATION CUTS HAVE
BEEN UNPOPULAR.
HE STAYED OUT OF THE CAMPAIGN.
THE LIBERALS TRIED TO DRAG HIS
NAME INTO THE CAMPAIGN AS MUCH
AS POSSIBLE.
WE'LL SEE HOW THAT PLAYS OUT.
ONE THING WE KNOW, QUITE OFTEN
FOR THE PARTY THAT WANTS TO FORM
GOVERNMENT, THE PATH TO POWER IS
THROUGH THE 905.
>> Rosemary: THEY VOTE AS A
BLOCK AND WE KNOW THAT DOUG FORD
DID STAY OUT OF THE ELECTION
UNTIL JUST A FEW DAYS AGO WHEN
HE MADE AN APPEARANCE AT THE
FURTHEST POINT IN ONTARIO WHERE
HE HAD TO TAKE SOME QUESTIONS.
HE DID STAY OUT OF ANDREW
SCHEER'S HAIR SO THAT WAS ONE
THING.
HEATHER IS GOING TO GIVE US A
SENSE OF WHAT SHE IS GOING TO
WATCH FOR WHEN THE QUEBEC
RESULTS ROLL IN.
>> Heather: THE QUESTION PUT
BEFORE QUEBEC VOTERS IS SIMPLE
AND IT'S ONE THAT THEY HAVE
HEARD BEFORE.
WHICH PARTY CAN BEST REPRESENT
QUEBEC.
QUEBEC INTERESTS.
THE ANSWER WE EXPECT TO GIVE
BACK TONIGHT FROM MANY OF THEM
IS THE BLOC QUEBECOIS.
THE BLOC IS BACK.
IT HAS RISEN IN THE POLLS SINCE
THE LEADERS' DEBATE AND IT HAS
TAKEN A WRECKING BALL TO THE
PLANS AND THE STRATEGIES OF BOTH
THE LIBERALS AND THE
CONSERVATIVES.
THE BLOC COULD PROVE TONIGHT
BOTH SPOILER AND KING MAKER IN
TERMS OF WHICH PARTY FORMS A
GOVERNMENT, WHETHER IT'S A
MINORITY OR MAJORITY GOVERNMENT
AND COULD HOLD THE BALANCE OF
POWER AT THE END OF THE NIGHT.
IF FRANCOIS HAS TAPPED INTO THE
SAME NATIONALISM THAT PROPELLED
FRANCOIS LEGAULT'S OFFICE, HE
ADOPTED HIS PLATFORM AND
UNCONDITIONALLY SUPPORTING IT
AND MUCH OF HIS SAME LANGUAGE.
AS A RESULT, HERE WE ARE TONIGHT
WITH A QUEBEC-ONLY PARTY THAT
WAS BASICALLY A SPENT FORCE
POISE TO DELIVER A TOUR DE FORCE
RESULT THAT FEW SAW COMING.
>> Rosemary: THAT'S A BIG STORY
TO WATCH IN QUEBEC.
HOW WELL THE BLOC DOES.
THEY WERE DOMINATING BETWEEN
1993 AND 2008.
CAN THEY MAKE A REPEAT OF THAT?
WHAT KIND OF INCREASE CAN WE
LOOK AT?
THEY STARTED AT 10 SEATS.
SOMETHING TO KEEPOUR EYE ON AS
WE GET CLOSER TO RESULTS COMING
IN.
LET ME SHOW YOU FREDERICTON
RIGHT NOW.
IN FREDERICTON, THE GREENS ARE
LEADING WITH 35% OF THE VOTE.
THIS IS A REAL THREE-WAY RACE AT
THIS STAGE.
BETWEEN THE GREEN PARTY, THE
CONSERVATIVES AND MATT DECORUCEY
AND THIS IS THE DIFFERENCE THAT
THE GREEN PARTY, THE N.D.P.
ANYONE CAN MAKE WHEN THEY COME
UP AND THEIR SUPPORT INCREASES,
THEY CAN DAMAGE THE TWO
TRADITIONAL PARTIES THAT YOU MAY
HAVE EXPECTED TO GET AHEAD.
LET ME SHOW YOU THE TOO-CLOSE-TO
CALL RACES.
THAT'S WHAT HAS BEEN MOVING THE
NUMBERS AROUND AT THE BOTTOM OF
YOUR SCREEN.
SO THESE ARE THE PLACES WHERE
THINGS ARE STILL VERY TIGHT.
A LOT LESS TIGHT THAN THEY WERE
BEFORE.
NOW WE'VE ONLY GOT ONE RIDING
AND IT'S THE QUEBEC RIDING OF
THE MADELEINE ISLANDS WHERE THE
MARGIN IS 11 VOTES.
THREE IN THE LIBERAL FAVOUR AND
ONE IN FAVOUR OF THE GREENS IN
FREDERICTON AND ONE FOR THE
CONSERVATIVES.
SO, THAT NUMBER AT THE BOTTOM OF
THE SCREEN WITH THE LIBERALS
LEADING OR ELECTED IN 25 SEEMS
MORE STABLE THAN 30 MINUTES AGO.
OF COURSE, WE'LL KEEP TRACK ON
THOSE TOO CLOSE TO CALL.
DUNCAN McCUE HAS THINGS TO SAY
NOW.
>> IT IS A REALLY POSITIVE
RESULT FOR THE GREEN PARTY WITH
JANICA ATWIN.
THIS IS VERY MUCH FOR ELIZABETH
MAY AN IMPORTANT QUESTION ABOUT
HER LEADERSHIP.
THE PARTY, WHILE THEY ARE --
SHOWS ADORED BY MANY IN THE
PARTY IT'S A QUESTION OF WHETHER
ELIZABETH MAY IS THE RIGHT
LEADER TO TAKE THEM TO THE NEXT
STAGE.
THEY'LL WATCH THESE RESULTS IN
NEW BRUNSWICK VERY EAGERLY TO
SEE IF THEY CAN BREAK THROUGH IN
SOMEWHERE ELSE, OTHER THAN IN
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND SOUTHERN
VANCOUVER ISLAND IN PARTICULAR,
AND -- AGAIN, THE LEADERSHIP OF
THE GREENS IS GOING TO BE A
QUESTION TONIGHT.
>> Rosemary: YEAH.
AND MAYBE, YOU KNOW, ELIZABETH
MAY WILL BE FINE WITH THAT BUT
MAYBE NOT.
IF THEY CAN PICK SOMETHING UP
THAT WOULD BE A BOOST.
FREDERICTON, EVERYBODY KNEW THAT
IT WOULD BE AN IMPORTANT RIDING
TO WATCH.
JUSTIN TRUDEAU WENT TWICE.
ELIZABETH MAY WENT TWICE.
ANDREW SCHEER WENT EVEN ONCE
TOO.
SO EVERYBODY WAS CONCENTRATED ON
THAT SAME PLACE AND THEY ALL
KNEW IT WAS A POTENTIAL FOR A
THREE-WAY RACE IN FREDERICTON.
HEATHER HAS RESULTS.
>> Heather: LET'S CHECK BACK
QUICKLY ON THE GASPE LAND AND
THE EASTERN MOST POINT OF
QUEBEC, BECAUSE THINGS HAVE
CHANGED.
WE NOW HAVE THE BLOC CANDIDATE
LEADING, MINISTER OF NATIONAL
REVENUE.
WE HAVE GUY BERNATCHEZ, HE HAS
BEEN THERE SINCE 2017.
EARLY GOING, JUST A COUPLE OF
POLLS IN BUT AS CHANTEL
INDICATED THIS IS ONE TO WATCH
AS BEING INDICATIVE OF WHAT
HAPPENS THROUGH THE COURSE OF
THE NIGHT.
AGAIN, FOR THE BLOC, ON THE
BOARD AND LEADING EARLY ON IN
THE GASPESIE.
>> Rosemary: SOMETIMES MADELEINE
ISLANDS SETS THE TREND.
THE MAP OF CANADA AT THIS STAGE.
LOTS OF RED STILL ON THE FLOOR
IN THE ATLANTIC, CANADA.
A LITTLE TIP OF ORANGE IN ST.
JOHN'S, EAST WITH JACK HARRIS
HAS RECLAIMED HIS SEAT TONIGHT.
THAT ONE IN FREDERICTON, THAT
SPOT OF GREEN WE'RE STILL
WATCHING THAT CLOSELY.
THE CONSERVATIVES PICKING UP
SOME OF THE PLACES THAT THEY
HAVE TRADITIONALLY HELD IN NEW
BRUNSWICK.
THAT WOULD BE AN ENCOURAGING
SIGN FOR THEM TONIGHT.
AND THE BLOC QUEBECOIS NOW
LEADING ON THE TIP OF QUEBEC AND
WORE GOING TO START TO GET INTO
THOSE RESULTS SOON.
IAN HAS MORE TO TELL US RIGHT
NOW.
>> Ian: LET'S LOOK AT THE CHANGE
THAT IS HAPPENING IN NEW
BRUNSWICK AND MAY HAPPEN IN SOME
OF THE RIDINGS WHERE WE HAVE NOT
PROJECTED A WINNER.
THERE IS A LEAD THERE.
RIGHT NOW, THE LIBERALS, WHO HAD
RUN THE TABLE LAST TIME AROUND,
ARE LEADING HORRY ELECTED IN
FIVE FEWER RIDINGS.
OF THE 10 RIDINGS IN NEW
BRUNSWICK.
LET'S LOOK A COUPLE OF THE CLOSE
ONES.
THIS IS MIRAMICHI-GRAND LAKE AND
NOT ONE I HEARD BETWEEN THE
CONSERVATIVES AND LIBERALS IN
TERMS OF ONE THAT MIGHT CHANGE.
IF CONSERVATIVES CAN HANG ON
HERE, I THINK THEY WOULD BE VERY
HAPPY.
AND THE ONE YOU JUST MENTIONED A
MOMENT AGO, THE HUGE SURPRISE
AND RELATIVELY SMALL LEAD.
LESS FEWER THAN 200 VOTES BUT
STILL A LOT OF VOTES HAVE BEEN
COUNTED HERE.
I TALKED TO DON WRIGHT, A
PROFESSOR AT UNB AND HE GAVE ME
THE HEADS-UP ON HOW WELL THE
GREENS WERE DOING IN THIS AREA.
HE SAID AMONG THE FACTORS FOR
THAT, REALLY STRONG PROVINCIAL
CANDIDATE, REALLY STRONG
PROVINCIAL LEADER IN THE PARTY,
REALLY STRONG LOCAL CANDIDATE.
ALSO, TWO FLOODS IN A ROW IN A
LOT OF AREAS.
INTERESTING, RIGHT.
CLIMATOLOGISTS WOULD TELL YOU
YOU CAN'T ASSOCIATE THOSE WITH
CLIMATE CHANGE DIRECTLY BUT
PEOPLE KNOW WHAT THEY FEEL AND
THERE'S A LOT OF EMOTION IN NEW
BRUNSWICK ON THE CLIMATE CHANGE
ISSUE.
>> Rosemary: THAT WAS THE GUY ON
FACE-TO-FACE AND IT WAS FLOODING
AND HOW THEY WOULD MITIGATE THAT
AND WHAT KIND OF THINGS THEY
WOULD DO FOR CLIMATE CHANGE.
I'M GOING TO GET A LAST SWAP FOR
ROGER BECAUSE YOU WILL STICK
AROUND SO WE CAN HAVE A
CELEBRATION AFTER REGARDLESS OF
THE RESULTS.
CELEBRATION WE MADE IT THROUGH A
TIGHT ELECTION.
 [LAUGHTER]
JUST YOUR LAST THOUGHT ON HOW
THE LIBERALS WOULD LOOK AT THIS
MAP AND WHAT THEY'RE THINKING?
>> WE KNEW THEY WERE IN TOUGH
AND WE KNEW THAT WHEN THE LAST
TIME WE HELD ALL THE SEATS?
NOVA SCOTIA, LIKE I SAID
EARLIER, IN '93 WE LOST THEM IN
'97, WE'RE CERTAINLY LOOKING WE
ARE THAN THAT NOW.
>> Rosemary: YOU ARE LEADING IN
10 OUT OF 11 OF THEM, THAT'S
GOOD.
>> SOME TIGHT BATTLES.
I'M GLAD I'M ON THIS SIDE OF IT
THIS TIME AROUND.
I'LL TELL YOU.
I'VE ENJOYED IT MORE AT DESK AS
THREATENING AS THIS MIGHT BE.
I THINK THE LEADER, YOU KNOW,
THE BIG THING, WHATEVER HAPPENS
TONIGHT, WHATEVER COMES DOWN
TONIGHT, THAT PEOPLE COME
TOGETHER AND WE FIND A WAY.
THIS IS A TOUGH CAMPAIGN AND I
FOUND IT A BIT NASTY.
WE GOT TO FIND A WAY TO PUT THAT
STUFF ASIDE.
WE HAVE TO FIND A WAY TO DEAL
WITH SOCIAL MEDIA AND GET TO THE
TRUTH OF THE MATTER AND GET TO
THE ISSUES OF THE MATTER AND GET
TO WHAT MATTERS FOR CANADIANS SO
WE CAN CONTINUE TO BUILD THIS
GREAT COUNTRY.
>> Rosemary: OK, ROGER, GOOD
WORDS TO LEAVE YOU ON.
>> I WAS HAPPY TO BE WITH THE
OPENING ACT FOR BOB RAE.
 [LAUGHTER]
>> Rosemary: WE'LL SEE IF HE CAN
PERFORM UP TO YOUR STANDARDS,
ROGER.
IN 30 MINUTES, WE'LL GET READY
FOR A HAIRY TIME.
263 SEATS WILL POUR IN FROM
QUEBEC TO ALBERTA INCLUDING TWO
TERRITORIES.
HOW THE NEXT TWO HOURS UNFOLD
WILL SHAPE THE FUTURE OF OUR
COUNTRY.
THIS IS YOUR TIME.
THIS IS YOUR CHOICE.
TAKE A LOOK AT THIS --
[♪♪♪]
>> I WONDER WHAT THE HISTORY
BOOKS WILL SAY ABOUT THIS MOMENT
AND ABOUT US?
WILL IT BE MORE THAN A POLITICAL
BATTLEGROUND?
AS WE WAIT AND LOOK TO OUR
LEADERS TO SEE IF WE CAN BE.
I WONDER WHAT THEY'LL SAY WE
FELT DIVIDED?
WITH SO BEING BACKGROUNDS TRYING
TO SQUEEZE EVERYBODY IN THE SAME
PICTURE?
OR THEY SAY THAT NO ONE WAS
LISTENING.
THE ILLUSION OF A PLAN AND THE
CHOICE BETWEEN DIPLOMACY AND
DISTRACTION, DYSFUNCTION AND
INACTION.
OR THEY SAID WE WERE JUST SO
TIRED OF ALL THE YELLING AND
FIGHTING AND FIGURING OUT AND
THE HOPE ON THE HORIZON AND THE
HOLOGRAM.
[♪♪♪]
IS THAT WHAT THEY SAY?
HAVE YOU TRIED TO HAVE OUR VOICE
HEARD AND THOUGHT TO HAVE
ANYTHING CHANGED?
OR MAYBE THEY CAN THINK OF
SOMETHING ELSE?
MAYBE THEY SAY WE WERE INSPIRED.
ALL OF US.
BEAUTIFUL AND BROKEN PIECES TO
BE THE MEANING OF CANADIANS.
COAST TO COAST TO COAST LIKE
OVER OUR HEAD AND LIKE EDUCATION
FOR OUR YOUTH AND THE COST OF
PROGRESS AND HOW WE TREAT THE
EARTH.
LOOK, I DON'T KNOW WHAT THEY
WERE RIGHT ABOUT US BUT THE ONE
THING I KNOW, IS THE ONLY PART
OF THE NARRATIVE NOT DEPENDING
ON THE FUTURE, IS THIS MOMENT.
THIS TIME.
THIS PLACE.
AND WE CAN SHIFT AND MOVE A
MOUNTAIN OR MAKE IT A DIFFERENCE
AND MORE THAN JUST A CLICHE.
IT'S A CALLING.
[♪♪♪]
. 
>> Rosemary:  GOOD EVENING.
I'M ROSEMARY BARTON AND WELCOME 
TO OUR CBC NEWS ELECTION 
HEADQUARTERS.
THERE ARE 263 POLLS ABOUT TO 
CLOSE.
THERE ARE PLACES THAT YOU NEED 
TO WIN IF YOU WANT TO FORM 
GOVERNMENT.
THE PICTURE OF WHERE THIS 
GOVERNMENT IS HEADED IS ABOUT TO
GET A WHOLE LOT CLEARER.
THUNDER BAY-RAINY RIVER IS A 
DELAY.
WE'VE GOT REPORTERS ACROSS THE 
COUNTRY WHERE THE LEADERS AND 
THE VOTERS ARE.
WE'LL BE ON TOP OF THE RESULTS 
FROM COAST TO COAST TO COAST AND
WHAT THEY COULD MEAN FOR THE 
FUTURE OF CANADA.
RESULTS HAVE ALREADY STARTED 
COME FROM EAST TO WEST AS THEY 
ALWAYS DO.
338 RIDINGS AT STAKE TONIGHT.
YOU CAN SEE ALREADY, LET US GIVE
YOU A SNAPSHOT, THE WAY ATLANTIC
CANADA VOTED IN THE NUMBERS AT 
THE BOTTOM OF YOUR SCREEN.
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS WE'LL 
SEE HOW THE REST OF THE COUNTRY 
WILL CHOOSE.
CERTAINLY THERE WAS SOME TIGHT 
RESULTS COMING IN FROM ATLANTIC 
CANADA.
TO HELP NAVIGATE ALL OF THAT FOR
YOU AND US, IAN HANOMANSING, 
HEATHER HISCOX, DAVID COCHRANE, 
AND ANDREW CHANG ARE GOING TO 
TRACK ALL OF THOSE NUMBERS.
IT'S AN AWFUL LOT OF WORK.
ANDREW, HIS TASK IS THE BIG 
PICTURE, THE BIG PICTURE OF 
CANADA, WHAT'S HAPPENING ACROSS 
THE COUNTRY.
AND HE DOES THAT WITH THE CANADA
VOTES FLOOR.
>> Andrew:  AND SO A BIT OF 
CONTEXT HERE.
IT WOULD HAVE BEEN VIRTUALLY 
IMPOSSIBLE FOR THE LIBERALS TO 
REPLICATE THEIR FLAWLESS 
PERFORMANCE IN 2015, SWEEPING 
ALL THE RIDINGS IN THE ATLANTIC 
REGION.
ANY LOSS IS NOT A SURPRISE.
RIGHT NOW THEY'RE DOWN SEVEN 
SEATS.
THE NUMBER TO KEEP IN MIND IS 
THEY CAN AFFORD TO BE DOWN 16 
SEATS AND HOLD ON TO THE 
MAJORITY GOVERNMENT.
WHAT DOES MINUS 7 MEAN?
THEY HAVE SOME LOSSES.
THE MORE UPHILL BATTLE THEY WILL
FACE IN QUÉBEC, ONTARIO, AND 
B.C. IF THE NIGHT GOES THAT LONG
AND THE ELECTION RELIES ON THOSE
RESULTS COMING IN.
CONVERSELY I WANT YOU TO PAY 
ATTENTION TO THE CONSERVATIVE 
NUMBER.
THEY HAD A BIG MOUNTAIN TO 
CLIMB.
PLUS 72 IS THE NUMBER THEY WOULD
NEED TO HIT.
RIGHT NOW THEY'RE AT PLUS 5, 
WHICH WE CAN CHARACTERIZE AS A 
SLUGGISH START.
THEY WILL HAVE TO FIGHT TOOTH 
AND NAIL IN THOSE SKI SWING 
SUBURBAN RIDINGS IN ONTARIO AND 
ALSO PERFORM STRONGLY IN B.C. IF
THEY HAVE A HOPE.
YOU CAN SEE AT THE BOTTOM OF 
YOUR SCREEN LIBERALS LEADING OR 
ELECTED IN 26 RIDINGS, 
CONSERVATIVES IN FIVE.
WHAT THIS GRAPHIC IS SHOWS YOU 
THE CERTAINTY.
WE ARE CERTAIN OF 17 OF THE 36 
RIDINGS IN WHICH THE LIBERALS 
HAVE LEADS.
THAT LEAVES NINE OTHER RIDINGS.
THE VOTE MARGINS WERE RELATIVELY
SMALL, STILL ONLY A COUPLE 
HUNDRED VOTES.
THOSE ARE RIDINGS THAT STILL 
COULD IN THEORY FLIP IN OTHER 
DIRECTION.
YOU LOOK AT THE CONSERVATIVE 
CERTAINTY.
CERTAIN ABOUT THREE OF THE FIVE 
IN WHICH THEY'RE CURRENTLY 
LEADING.
STILL THE NUMBERS IN FLUX AND IT
MEANS, AS YOU POINTED OUT, A LOT
IN PLAY IN QUÉBEC, A LOT IN PLAY
IN ONTARIO. 
>> Rosemary:  MAYBE THINGS ARE 
AS CLOSE AS THE POLLS WERE 
SUGGESTING.
THANKS FOR THAT, ANDREW.
ANDREW WILL BE BACK AS THE MAP 
CONTINUES TO CHANGE TO GIVE YOU 
A SENSE OF WHERE THINGS ARE AT.
DAVID COCHRANE'S TASK IS TO LOOK
AT 60 SWING RIDINGS WE 
IDENTIFIED EARLY ON.
>> WE'VE HAD SOME RESULTS FROM 
SOME OF THEM.
THESE ARE 60 RIDINGS THAT COULD 
MAKE-OR-BREAK THESE CAMPAIGNS.
MANY ARE KEY FOR ANY PARTY TO 
FORM GOVERNMENT AND THE RIDINGS 
THAT WERE HELD BY ALL OF THE 
MAJOR PARTIES AND INDEPENDENTS, 
LIKE JANE PHILPOTT AND JODY 
WILSON-RAYBOULD.
WE'RE WATCHING THOSE RIDINGS AND
ZERO IN ON THE G.T.A. AND 
EVERYONE NEEDS A BREAKTHROUGH.
IN QUÉBEC WE'RE WATCHING THE 
BLOC.
AND IN WESTERN CANADA ENERGY AND
PIPELINE POLITICS IS GOING TO BE
FUELLING VOTER DECISION.
AND THE WILD WEST, 
BRITISH COLUMBIA, KEY FOUR-WAY 
RACES NOT SETTLED INTO LATE INTO
THE NIGHT.
MILTON THE KEY RIDING IN 
ONTARIO.
IT IS ONE THE LIBERALS THINK 
THEY CAN STEAL.
WHEN YOU LOOK AT THE CANDIDATES,
IT IS CHANGING FAST.
IT IS BRINGING IN NEW RESIDENTS.
THERE IS THE FORD FACTOR.
THERE IS A REAL CHALLENGE FOR 
MILTON AND ALL AROUND THE 905.
>> Rosemary:  I WAS OUT IN 
MILTON A WEEK AGO AND IT WAS THE
EXACT ISSUE, THERE WAS A LOVELY 
FAMILY STRUGGLING WITH THE FACT 
THAT LISA RAITT IS A GOOD 
CANDIDATE.
HEATHER, YOU'RE GOING TO SET US 
P. 
>> I WANT TO HIGHLIGHT THREE 
RIDINGS, ALL HELD BY CABINET 
MINISTERS AND UNDER ATTACK.
IN QUÉBEC, THE RIDING OF QUÉBEC.
JEAN DUCLOS.
EVEN THE POPULARITY THERE IS NOT
CERTAIN.
THE BLOC FEELS CONFIDENT.
A TIGHT THREE-WAY RACE, THE KIND
WE EXPECT TO SEE THROUGHOUT THE 
PROVINCE.
LOOKING AT MANITOBA, LIBERALS 
MADE A BREAKTHROUGH THERE 
WINNING SEVEN OF THE EIGHT 
RIDINGS IN AND AROUND WINNIPEG.
THEY ARE IN PLAY, INCLUDING JIM 
CARR'S RIDING.
IT IS THE SAME ISSUE NEXT DOOR 
IN SASKATCHEWAN.
CONSERVATIVES THERE HAVE TWO 
GOALS.
THEY WANT A PRIME MINISTER FROM 
SASKATCHEWAN AND THEY WANT TO 
BEAT RALPH GOODALE.
CAN HIS PERSONAL POPULARITY 
OUTWEIGH A NASTY CAMPAIGN.
WE'LL HAVE TO SEE.
THERE ARE STILL SOME VERY GOOD 
STORY LINES TO COME. 
>> Rosemary:  I SHOULD SAY 
ANDREW SCHEER WENT TO RALPH 
GOODALE'S RIDING TO CAMPAIGN.
THAT DID NOT GO OVER WELL WITH 
ANY LIBERAL.
THEY THOUGHT THAT WAS A THUMB IN
THE NOSE TO MR. GOODALE.
>> Ian:  I WANT TO PITCH A NEW 
SHOW OF COCHRANE'S CORNER.
I'M LOVING IT.
I'M ALSO LOOKING AT SOME RIDINGS
TONIGHT.
RIGHT NOW LET'S THINK ABOUT TWO 
RIDINGS IN TWO PROVINCES WITH 
SIMILAR STORY LINE.
CONSERVATIVE M.P.s WHO LOST IN 
2015 WHO ARE HOPING TO GET BACK.
LET'S BEGIN WITH 
NEWMARKET-AURORA.
LAST TIME TONY VAN BYNEN BEAT 
THE TWO-TIME M.P.
EDMONTON-MILLWOODS.
CAN WE SEE THE CONSERVATIVES DO 
IN ALBERTA WHAT THE LIBERALS DID
IN ATLANTIC CANADA IN 2015 RUN 
THE TABLE.
AMARJEET SOHI WON THIS BY 80 
VOTES.
IT CAME AS A SURPRISE.
TIM UPPAL WAS THE PERSON HE 
BEAT.
HE ALREADY LIVES IN OTTAWA, SO 
IF HE DOES GO BACK, HE DOESN'T 
HAVE FAR TO COMMUTE.
>> Rosemary:  HE DID TAKE SOME 
CRITICISM, BUT OTHER PEOPLE DO 
THAT TOO.
CHANTAL, I ALSO WANT TO TELL YOU
THAT WE ARE 20 MINUTES AWAY FROM
POLLS COMING IN ACROSS THE 
COUNTRY.
WHAT ARE YOU WATCHING FOR WITH 
THESE ONES?
>> THE BIG SWAP, WHAT HAPPENS TO
THE CONSERVATIVES IN QUÉBEC 
BECAUSE, YES, THE BLOC IS 
CHANGING EVERYONE'S 
CALCULATIONS, BUT WHEN YOU TALK 
TO VOTERS, THERE WERE TWO 
THINGS.
THEY WERE HAPPY TO VOTE FOR THE 
BLOC, BUT WHEN THEY VOTE FOR THE
BLOC, THEY TELL YOU HOW THEY 
DISLIKE THE PRIME MINISTER.
IN THIS CASE THEY WOULD TELL YOU
HOW THEY DIDN'T LIKE ANDREW 
SCHEER OR HIS CAMPAIGN.
>> Rosemary:  INTERESTING. 
>> THAT BECAME OMINOUS, WHAT WAS
FIRST ENTERTAINING FOR THE 
CONSERVATIVES STARTED TO BECOME 
WHAT IF WE'RE SET BACK IN QUÉBEC
AND WE LOSE THE GROUND THAT 
STEPHEN HARPER WORKED SO HARD TO
KEEP FOR US.
FORTRESS QUÉBEC, IF THERE'S A 
BREACH THERE, IT'S GOING TO BE 
HARD ON CONSERVATIVE MORALE AND 
NOT BODE WELL FOR THE FUTURE.
>> Rosemary:  THEY WON 12 SEATS 
IN 2015, AND THE SUPPORT IS VERY
CONCENTRATED, IN AND AROUND 
QUÉBEC CITY AND THOSE KINDS OF 
REGIONS.
DO YOU THINK THAT -- THEN I'M 
GOING TO COME TO ANOTHER GUY WHO
JUST SAT DOWN.
DO YOU THINK THE PERFORMANCE AT 
THE FRENCH DEBATE, DID THAT 
COLOUR THINGS FOR PEOPLE?
>> THE TVO DEBATE WHICH DIDN'T 
HAVE MAXIME BERNIER AND 
ELIZABETH MAY, SO YOU GOT TO SEE
ONLY FOUR LEADERS, WAS 
DEVASTATING FROM ANDREW SCHEER.
IT WAS FROM A LEADING CANDIDATE 
THE WORST PERFORMANCE IN A 
DEBATE THAT I HAVE SEEN I THINK 
IN ALL OF THE YEARS THAT I 
COVERED FEDERAL POLITICS.
>> Rosemary:  OKAY.
THERE YOU GO.
ALL RIGHT.
SO ON THAT HAPPY NOTE, LET'S 
BRING IN SOMEONE WHO'S REPLACED 
ROGER KUSNER.
HE CALLED HIMSELF THE OPENING 
ACT.
>> NO ONE CAN REPLACE HIM. 
>> Rosemary:  LET'S TRY.
LET'S SEE WHAT BOB RAE, AN 
N.D.P. M.P., THE LEADER OF THE 
ONTARIO N.D.P., THE INTERIM 
LEADER OF THE PARTY.
THE LIST GOES ON. 
>> THAT'S JUST THE BEGINNING.
>> Rosemary:  YOU'RE JUST 
WALKING IN AND LOOKING AT THE 
BOARD AND THE RESULTS.
WHAT SPRINGS TO MIND IN TERMS OF
WHAT WE'RE SEEING HERE AND HOW 
YOU INTERPRET THAT?
>> I HEARD WHAT ROGER HAD TO SAY
AND I AGREE WITH IT COMPLETELY.
WE WERE STARTING WITH A BAD 
SITUATION OF HAVING ALL THE 
SEATS.
YOU CAN'T LOOK PERFECT AFTER 
THAT.
I THINK FOR ME ELECTION NIGHTS 
ARE ALWAYS TOUGH BECAUSE YOU SEE
GOOD PEOPLE NOT WIN WHO YOU 
THOUGHT MADE A GOOD 
CONTRIBUTION. 
>> Rosemary:  FROM ALL PARTIES. 
>> THAT'S WHAT HAPPENS ON 
ELECTION NIGHTS.
I THINK ON THE WHOLE I THINK WE 
CAME OUT OF ATLANTIC CANADA 
BETTER THAN MIGHT HAVE BEEN 
EXPECTED WITH A STRONGER RESULT.
SOME RESULTS ARE STILL I THINK 
GOING BACK AND FORTH.
I NOTICED FROM MY SCREEN THAT IT
GOES FROM 25 TO 24.
SO THERE'S SOME CLOSE RACES.
>> Rosemary:  YES.
>> I THINK WE ALL RECOGNIZE THAT
THE MEAT OF THE MATTER FOR US IS
GOING TO BE QUÉBEC AND ONTARIO 
AND OBVIOUSLY IN 
BRITISH COLUMBIA.
WE'LL SEE HOW THAT GOES.
IT'S A VERY STRANGE ELECTION 
BECAUSE IT'S -- YOU KNOW, ON 
ELECTION NIGHT IN 2015 WHEN THE 
LIBERALS WON 32 SEATS, YOU ONLY 
HAD TO SIT THERE TO SAY 
SOMETHING'S GOING ON HERE.
THIS IS AMAZING.
>> Rosemary:  YES.
>> YOU CAN DO NOT VERY WELL IN 
ATLANTIC CANADA AND WELL IN 
QUÉBEC AND DIFFERENTLY 
ELSEWHERE.
IT'S A REGIONALIZED RESULT.
IT WAS VERY HARD TO READ A 
TREND.
IT WAS VERY HARD TO READ A TREND
DURING THE ELECTION.
IT WAS VERY HARD FOR PEOPLE TO 
GET TRACTION.
IT'S GOING TO BE AN INTERESTING 
NIGHT.
WHAT CAN I SAY?
>> Rosemary:  AND POTENTIALLY A 
LONG ONE.
BOB, WE'RE GLAD YOU'RE WITH US.
AT THIS HOUR THE GREENS ARE UP 
TO 10% NOW ALL OVER ATLANTIC 
CANADA, WHICH BEGS THE QUESTION 
IS THE GREEN PARTY IN SOME WAY 
MAYBE EVEN REPLACING THE N.D.P. 
IN TERMS OF SUPPORT IN THAT PART
OF THE COUNTRY.
AGAIN, THEY'RE ON THE BOARD WITH
ONE LEADING, THAT IS THE TIGHT 
RACE IN FREDERICTON.
TANYA FLETCHER IS IN 
FREDERICTON.
>> Reporter:  AS YOU SAW HER 
ANXIOUSLY LOOKING OVER MY 
SHOULDER, SHE'S LOOKING AT THE 
COUNT UP ON THE BOARD.
HOW ARE YOU LOOKING TO SEE HOW 
YOUR PARTY IS DOING?
>> Elizabeth May:  I'VE BEEN 
CAMPAIGNING THROUGHOUT THE 
ATLANTIC REGION AND JENICA 
ATWIN'S CAMPAIGN HAS BEEN ONE OF
THE ONES WHERE WE HAD VERY HIGH 
HOPES AND WE REMAIN WITH HIGH 
HOPES.
[ LAUGHTER ]. 
>> IT WILL BE GREAT TO HAVE A 
CAUCUS THAT REPRESENTS AT THE 
FEDERAL LEVEL MORE THAN 
BRITISH COLUMBIA M.P.s.
I'M LOOKING FORWARD TO GOOD 
RETURNS TONIGHT.
>> Reporter:  WHAT IS A 
REALISTIC SUCCESS AND WHAT WOULD
BE A FAILURE?
>> Elizabeth May:  EITHER THE 
CONSERVATIVES OR THE LIBERALS 
FORMING A MAJORITY WOULD BE A 
VERY LARGE FAILURE FOR CANADA.
THIS COULD ALSO LEAD TO POLICY 
LURCHES.
IT WOULD BE GOOD TO HAVE A WOMAN
COME IN.
IN ANY CASE, WE ARE COMMITTED AS
A PARTY TO DOING THE BEST FOR 
CANADA.
A GOOD RESULT FOR US IS ONE 
WHERE WE CAN PLAY A SIGNIFICANT 
ROLE OF INFLUENCE IN A MINORITY 
PARLIAMENT. 
>> Reporter:  LET'S SAY YOU 
BREAK EVEN, YOU DON'T LOSE ANY, 
YOU DON'T GAIN ANY, WHAT DOES 
THAT SAY ABOUT THE PARTY?
THIS CAMPAIGN, THE TIMING WAS 
CRITICAL LOOKING AT THE CLIMATE 
STRIKES.
IF YOU CAN'T GAIN THAT MOMENTUM 
AND LEVERAGE IN CAMPAIGN, WHEN 
IS THE TIME FOR THE GREENS?
>> Elizabeth May:  WAY TOO EARLY
FOR ME TO COMMENT.
WE HAVE SIGNIFICANT GAINS TO BE 
MADE ACROSS THE COUNTRY.
I DON'T THINK ANYONE WAS 
PREDICTING THE POSSIBILITY OF A 
GREEN SEAT IN NEW BRUNSWICK.
LET'S SEE WHAT THE NIGHT HOLDS. 
>> Reporter:  WHAT ARE YOU 
HOPING FOR IN B.C. 
>> Elizabeth May:  A LOT MORE 
M.P.s COMING BACK WITH ME TO 
OTTAWA.
>> Reporter:  ELIZABETH MAY, 
LEADER OF THE GREEN PARTY.
SHE'S GOING TO BE WATCHING THE 
RESULTS WITH HER SUPPORTERS 
THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT.
>> Rosemary:  THANKS, TANYA AND 
THANKS TO ELIZABETH MAY FOR 
MAKING TIME.
I SHOULD SAY ELIZABETH MAY WAS 
OUT IN FREDERICTON ON SATURDAY.
>> THE ELIZABETH MAY DECISION 
DESK ISN'T READY TO MAKE A CALL 
AND NEITHER ARE WE, BUT WE CAN 
TELL YOU THE GREENS ARE IN FIRST
PLACE IN WHAT IS A SURPRISING 
AND IMPRESSIVE RESULT.
JENICA ATWIN IS 600 VOTES AHEAD 
OF THE CONSERVATIVE ANDREA 
JOHNSON.
I'M GOING TO MOVE ON TO 
SYDNEY-VICTORIA WHERE EDDIE 
WARREL HAS THE LEAD.
THE CONSERVATIVES WANTED HYMIE 
DEFEATED.
THERE IS A REMATCH -- MORE THAN 
HALF OF THE POLLS REPORTING.
LONG IS CAMPAIGNING WITH SIGNS 
THAT SAY "I WILL STAND FOR THEM 
AND I'M STANDING FOR YOU."
IT'S NOT THE TEAM TRUDEAU STUFF.
SAINT JOHN IS WHERE THE PIPELINE
WOULD HAVE GONE.
>> Rosemary:  GOOD TO KNOW.
IAN HAS MORE RESULTS FROM 
ATLANTIC CANADA.
>> Ian:  IF ANYBODY IN 
BRITISH COLUMBIA IS WONDERING 
WHAT'S HAPPENING, TAKE A LOOK AT
WHAT'S HAPPENING IN 
MIRAMICHI-GRAND LAKE.
EVERY VOTE MATTERS.
IT'S BEEN GOING BACK AND FORTH 
THROUGH THE EVENING.
ABOUT 40% OF THE POLLS ARE 
REPORTING IN MIRAMICHI-GRAND 
LAKE.
WE'VE SEEN THE LEAD GO BACK AND 
FORTH AND NOW IT'S THE LEAD OF 
36 CONSERVATIVES, AS YOU CAN 
SEE, HAVE THAT LEAD. 
>> Rosemary:  I SHOULD TELL YOU 
ALL FIVE ATLANTIC CABINET 
MINISTERS FOR THE LIBERAL PARTY 
WILL BE RE-ELECTED.
THAT WILL BE GOOD NEWS FOR THE 
LIBERALS, AND AGAIN REASSURING 
FOR THEM THAT THEY HAVEN'T -- 
THEY HADN'T UPSET EVERYONE IN 
ATLANTIC CANADA.
IT REMAINS IN POCKETS.
HEATHER HAS MORE RESULTS. 
>> LOOKING AGAIN AT TWO OF THOSE
RIDINGS WHERE THE INCUMBENT IS 
NOT RUNNING FOR RE-ELECTION.
THE RACE IS CLOSE IN CAPE 
BRETON.
THERE IS A LEAD OF 542 VOTES.
AS DAVID WAS JUST REFERENCING.
THIS IS NOT A TEAM SCHEER 
CABINET.
THIS IS A ALFIE CANDIDATE.
HE'S 16 YEARS IN POLITICS.
HE HAS BEEN THE FORMER SPEAKER 
TRAILING NARROWLY.
AND IN CUMBERLAND-COLCHESTER, 
THERE HAS BEEN CAMPAIGNING BY 
ALL CANDIDATES.
LENORE ZANN IS LEADING OVER 
SCOTT ARMSTRONG.
>> Rosemary:  THANK YOU, 
HEATHER, APPRECIATE THAT.
WE ARE JUST OVER 10 MINUTES AWAY
FROM POLLS CLOSING IN 263 
RIDINGS FROM QUÉBEC TO ALBERTA, 
INCLUDING TWO TERRITORIES.
I SHOULD UPDATE YOU AGAIN, THERE
IS ONE RIDING WHERE THINGS WILL 
BE DELAYED, THAT IS THE RIDING 
OF THUNDER BAY-RAINY RIVER, IT 
GOES N.D.P., GOES LIBERAL.
IF YOU ARE THERE YOU WILL HAVE 
AN EXTRA HOUR TO VOTE BECAUSE OF
PROBLEMS WITH VOTER REGISTRATION
PROBLEMS.
THERE HAVE BEEN SOME MINOR 
PROBLEMS AT POLLS IN TORONTO, 
OTTAWA, AND GUELPH.
KEEP IN MIND IF YOU ARE IN LINE 
THERE AND YOU ARE WORRIED ABOUT 
THE CLOCK TICKING DOWN TO POLLS 
CLOSING AT 9:30, YOU CAN STAY IN
LINE AND CAST YOUR BALLOT.
IF YOU ARE IN THE LINE, THEY 
WILL TAKE YOU IN, ELECTIONS 
CANADA SAYS.
WE'LL STAY ON TOP OF ANY OTHER 
ISSUES THAT MIGHT HAVE.
JAYME POISSON IS BACK WITH HER 
WATCH PARTY WHO ARE TALKING 
ABOUT AND THINKING ABOUT WHAT TO
EXPECT. 
>> Reporter:  WITH THE POLLS 
COMING IN QUÉBEC, WE'RE TALKING 
ABOUT BILL 21.
THAT IS THE BILL THAT PREVENTS 
PUBLIC SERVICE WORKERERS FROM 
WEARING RELIGIOUS SYMBOLS.
MAYOR NENSHI, HOW DO YOU THINK 
THE PARTIES DID ON THIS?
>> TERRIBLE.
THIS IS A BILL THAT IS 
FLAGRANTLY UNCONSTITUTIONAL, 
THAT IN THIS COUNTRY WE ARE 
ASKING PEOPLE TO CHOOSE BETWEEN 
THEIR FAITH AND THEIR JOB.
IT IS THE WORST THING HAPPENING.
ALL THE MUMBLES WE HEARD FROM 
THE COUNTRIES ABOUT DIGNITY AND 
HUMAN RIGHTS AND THEY WON'T DO A
DARN THING ABOUT IT.
>> Reporter:  WHAT WOULD YOU 
LIKE TO HAVE HEARD?
>> IN THE 2015 ELECTIONS THERE 
WERE TALK ABOUT HIJAB BANS AND 
ONE PARTY STOOD UP AND SAID 
THAT'S NOT RIGHT AND HE WON THE 
ELECTION.
THERE'S OPPORTUNITIES TO 
INTERVENE IN COURT CASES, 
OPPORTUNITIES TO CUT OFF FEDERAL
FUNDING TO PROVINCES THAT HAVE 
DISCRIMINATORY LAWS.
WE HAVEN'T SEEN ANY OF THAT 
COURAGE YET.
TRUDEAU SAID MAYBE LATER -- 
>> Reporter:  I WILL SAY HE SAID
THEY MAY INTERVENE LATER.
RYAN, CAN I ASK YOU, WERE YOU 
DISAPPOINTED?
>> YEAH, ESPECIALLY AFTER THE 
MOSQUE BOMBING IN QUÉBEC JUST 
TWO YEARS AGO.
THIS WAS A CHANCE FOR LEADERSHIP
TO REALLY SHOW SOME COURAGE AND 
TO STAND BEHIND THOSE IN THE 
COMMUNITY THAT ARE LOOKING AT 
THIS BILL HAVING MASSIVE IMPACTS
ON THEIR LIFE.
I CAN'T IN GOOD FAITH UNDERSTAND
WHY, OTHER THAN LOSING THE 
PROVINCE OF QUÉBEC, WHICH PRETTY
MUCH BLOWS YOUR CHANCES OF 
FORMING GOVERNMENT, WHY THEY 
WOULDN'T HAVE TAKEN A STRONGER 
STANCE ON THIS.
THE SHOOTING IN CHRISTCHURCH HAS
ONE NAMED ETCHED IN IT, 
ALEXANDER BISSONNETTE.
>> Reporter:  I WILL ASK YOU -- 
>> I JUST KIND OF SHOW UP.
>> YOU MIGHT NOT BRAG ABOUT 
THAT. 
>> Reporter:  QUESTION FOR YOU.
DO YOU THINK WE COULD SEE 
SIMILAR BILLS ACROSS THE 
COUNTRY?
>> NO, I DON'T THINK SO.
I DON'T THINK QUÉBEC RESIDENTS 
ARE RACIST, BUT I DO THINK OVER 
THE YEARS IN ORDER TO MAINTAIN A
UNIQUE AND SEPARATE CULTURE AND 
SURROUNDED BY ANGLOPHONES AND IN
A STRONG CULTURE TO THE SOUTH, 
THEY ARE SOMEWHAT XENOPHOBIC.
TRUDEAU CAN'T AFFORD TO LOSE THE
SEATS HE HAS THERE, AND HE'S 
LIKELY TO LOSE SOME OF THEM.
SCHEER WANTS TO KEEP THE SEATS 
THAT HE WANTS AS WELL.
I THINK IT'S A HUGE FAILING ON 
THE PART OF THE LIBERAL 
GOVERNMENT THAT THIS ALIENATION,
THE SOVEREIGNTY MOVEMENT AND 
SEPARATIST MOVEMENT IN ALBERTA 
HAS RISEN TO HEIGHTS WE HAVEN'T 
SEEN IN DECADES.
>> Reporter:  MARIE, FINAL WORD 
TO YOU. 
>> THERE IS A LACK OF FORTITUDE.
HERE IS THE GOOD NEWS FOR 
MEMBERS OF THE PUBLIC.
IT DOESN'T MATTER IF THE FEDERAL
GOVERNMENT INTERVENES IN A COURT
CASE, BECAUSE BOTH SIDES OF THE 
CASE WILL BE ARGUED.
THE CIVIL LIBERTIES UNION HAS 
INTERVENED.
THIS TELLS YOU MORE ABOUT THE 
LEADERSHIP THAN IT DOES ABOUT 
THE CONSTITUTIONALITY OF THE 
FLAW. 
>> Reporter:  OKAY.
A LACK OF INTESTINAL FORTITUDE.
I THINK THAT'S A LINE I'M GOING 
TO STEAL.
>> Rosemary:  THANKS, JAYME.
QUÉBEC IS A KEY BATTLEGROUND 
WITH 78 SEATS ON THE LINE.
THE BLOC QUÉBÉCOIS AS WE'VE BEEN
TALKING ABOUT COULD BE THE 
SPOILER IN ANY PARTY'S MAJORITY 
OR MINORITY PLANS.
REMEMBER, THEY STARTED OFF WITH 
JUST 10 SEATS.
NOT EVEN PARTY STATUS.
HERE IS YVES-FRANÇOIS BLANCHET'S
40 DAYS IN 40 SECONDS.
>> WHAT THE BLOC QUÉBÉCOIS 
PROPOSES IS A FRIENDSHIP, IS 
WORKING ONLY FOR THE BENEFITS OF
QUÉBEC.
WITH 70% OF THE POPULATION OF 
QUÉBEC SUPPORTING BILL 21, 
QUÉBEC DOES NOT NEED TO BE TOLD 
WHAT TO DO OR NOT.
WE HAVE BECOME AGAIN A 
SIGNIFICANT PLAYER IN POLITICS.
WE WILL NOT BE PART OF A 
COALITION OF ANY KIND BECAUSE 
OUR LOYALTY IS TO QUÉBECERS.
>> Rosemary:  ALL RIGHT.
AS WE WAIT FOR RESULTS COMING 
OUT OF QUÉBEC IN FIVE MINUTES' 
TIME.
LET'S BRING IN ALLISON 
NORTHCOTT.
>> Reporter:  SUPPORTERS HAVE 
STARTED TO ARRIVE AT THE 
HEADQUARTERS.
THERE IS A LOT OF ANTICIPATION.
THE ENERGY IS BUILDING, AND A 
LOT OF HIGH HOPES BECAUSE THE 
BLOC COULD MAKE BIG GAINS IN 
QUÉBEC.
THERE ARE PEOPLE WEARING QUÉBEC 
FLAGS DRAPED AROUND THEIR 
SHOULDERS, THEY LISTENED TO 
INTERVIEWS ON THE STAGE BEHIND 
ME.
THE BLOC WENT IN WITH 10 SEATS.
THAT'S NOT ENOUGH FOR OFFICIAL 
PARTY STATUS.
POLLS SUGGEST THEY COULD WIN 
MUCH MORE THAN THAT.
THEY HAVE HIGH EXPECTATIONS.
THEY SAY THEY WANT QUÉBEC 
INTERESTS REPRESENTED IN OTTAWA,
SOMETHING THEY SAY THEY HAVEN'T 
GOTTEN FROM THE PREVIOUS LIBERAL
GOVERNMENT.
THEY'RE PINNING THEIR HOPES ON 
YVES-FRANÇOIS BLANCHET.
THEY'RE WAITING FOR THE RESULTS 
TO COME IN AND SEE HOW THE 
TRACTION IN THE POLLS PLAYS OUT.
>> Rosemary:  WE'LL SEE HOW THAT
UNFOLDS.
YOU WILL BE THERE THROUGH THE 
NIGHT IN MONTREAL AT THE BLOC 
QUÉBÉCOIS HEADQUARTERS.
FOUR MINUTES AWAY FROM POLLS 
CLOSING IN QUÉBEC, ONTARIO, 
MANITOBA, SASKATCHEWAN, ALBERTA,
NORTHWEST TERRITORIES, NUNAVUT.
LET'S GET "AT ISSUE" TO WEIGH IN
ON WHAT THEY THINK.
ANDREW, I HAVEN'T HEARD FROM YOU
IN A WHILE.
>> IT'S A GIVEN THEY'RE GOING TO
SWEEP MOST OF THE WEST.
THAT'S THE MOST FUNDAMENTAL 
FACTOR OF CANADIAN POLITICS.
IT'S A GIVEN THEY'RE GOING TO DO
POORLY IN QUÉBEC.
IF THEY'RE GOING TO HAVE ANY 
HOPE OF COMING CLOSE TO A 
PLEURALITY IN THIS ELECTION, 
IT'S GOING TO BE IN ONTARIO.
THE DOUG FORD FACTOR IS HURTING 
THEM.
WE'RE GOING TO HAVE TO WAIT AND 
SEE WHETHER THE TIDE COMES IN OR
OUT.
>> Rosemary:  HOW ABOUT YOU, 
ALTHIA?
>> IT'S A BEST-CASE SCENARIO FOR
ALL THE POLITICAL PARTIES.
THE LIBERALS THOUGHT THEY MIGHT 
LOSE THREE TO FOUR SEATS AND IT 
LOOKS LIKE THAT'S HAPPENED.
MS. MAY WAS LOOKING TO WIN IN 
FREDERICTON.
THAT'S HAPPENED.
THE N.D.P. WAS HOPING TO WIN IN 
ST. JOHN'S EAST.
THE CONSERVATIVES WERE TARGETING
EIGHT SEATS, SIX IS NOT SO BAD.
IT DOES STATUS QUO.
IN 2000 WHEN THE LIBERALS WON, 
THEY HAD 19 SEATS.
THIS IS NOT SO BAD. 
>> Rosemary:  THIS MAY NOT BE 
DEPRESSING, BUT IT'S NOT 
ENCOURAGING. 
>> IT'S LIKE STATUS QUO.
>> Reporter:  YOU HAVE TO FIND 
THAT SUPPORT SOMEWHERE ELSE.
CHANTAL, WHAT ARE YOU GOING TO 
WATCH FOR?
>> ON THOSE CONSERVATIVE SEATS, 
WHAT I FIND MAYBE DISQUIETING 
FOR THEM AS THEY WATCH THIS, 
THOSE SEATS DID NOT COME EASILY.
THERE ARE STILL THREE WHERE NO 
ONE HAS BEEN ELECTED, WHICH 
TELLS YOU IT'S A HARD CLIMB.
THAT PROBABLY DOESN'T BODE ALL 
THAT WELL FOR WHAT MAY HAPPEN IN
ONTARIO.
LIKE ANDREW, I'M GOING TO BE 
WATCHING ONTARIO.
BECAUSE IF THE CONSERVATIVES 
HAVE THE SAME KIND OF NIGHT IN 
ONTARIO, THEY'RE NOT FORMING 
GOVERNMENT ANY TIME SOON. 
>> Rosemary:  MAYBE I'LL GO TO 
CORY BEFORE I START THINGS OFF 
FOR THE NEXT ROUND OF RESULTS TO
COME IN.
THE CONSERVATIVES I WAS TALKING 
TO IN THE LAST COUPLE OF WEEKS 
DIDN'T THINK THE 905 WAS DOING 
WELL.
THEY WERE HOPING THERE WERE 
PLACES IT MIGHT COME BACK, BUT 
THINGS WERE SLIPPING OUT OF 
THEIR HANDS.
IS THAT A FAIR ASSESSMENT?
>> YEAH, I THINK THAT'S A FAIR 
ASSESSMENT.
I THINK THERE'S A LOT OF 
CHALLENGES FOR THEM IF WE'RE 
LOOKING TO WHAT'S COMING UP 
NEXT.
I THINK MORE IMPORTANT FOR THE 
LONG-TERM ELECTORAL VIABILITY 
FOR THE CONSERVATIVE PARTY IS TO
DEFEND THE BRIDGE HEADTHAT 
THEY'VE BEEN BUILDING IN QUÉBEC.
THEY'RE GOING TO LOSE KEY SEATS 
TO MAXIME BERNIER, WHICH WAS 
UNAVOIDABLE, BUT IS PROBLEMATIC.
BUT WHEN WE GET INTO ONTARIO, 
THERE ARE KEY SEATS THAT YOU 
HAVE TO HAVE IN YOUR COLUMN IF 
YOU WANT TO HAVE A CHANCE OF 
FORMING A GOVERNMENT THAT'S 
CONSERVATIVE.
YOU HAVE TO WIN THE MILTONS, 
MISSISSAUGAS.
YOU HAVE TO WIN KEY RIDINGS 
AROUND OTTAWA AND EASTERN 
ONTARIO.
IF YOU CAN'T WIN THOSE SEATS, 
YOU CAN'T FORM GOVERNMENT.
PROTECTING THE BRIDGEHEAD IN 
QUÉBEC SPEAKS TO LONG-TERM 
ELECTORAL VIABILITY IN A WAY 
THAT THE OTHERS DON'T. 
>> Rosemary:  THAT'S ALSO A 
THING FOR THE N.D.P. IF THEY GO 
DOWN TO TWO SEATS.
IF THEY CAN'T PROTECT SOME BASE 
OF SUPPORT OF N.D.P., THAT SHOWS
THAT WAS NOT A REAL OR STABLE 
THING.
I KNOW CHANTAL WANTS TO SAY 
SOMETHING.
AS THE NEXT HOUR UNFOLDS.
LOTS OF POLLS STARTING TO UNFOLD
ACROSS THE COUNTRY.
MASSIVE RESULTS COMING IN.
WATCH THIS.
[♪♪♪] 
>> Rosemary:  WELCOME TO CANADA 
VOTES.
TONIGHT MARKS THE CULMINATION OF
40 DAYS AND 40 NIGHTS OF A 
RELENTLESS CAMPAIGN.
A CAMPAIGN OF PROMISES, 
POLICIES, ATTACKS, AND SOME 
SURPRISES.
>> THE ELECTRIC OF QUÉBEC.
>> PUTTING PEOPLE FIRST.
>> ADDRESSING THE CLIMATE 
CRISIS.
>> Rosemary:  NOW IT IS VOTING 
TIME. 
>> I VOTE.
>> I VOTE.
>> I VOTE BECAUSE IT IS A 
PRIVILEGE.
>> BECAUSE DEMOCRACY IS SACRED.
>> I VOTE BECAUSE I'M CANADIAN. 
>> Rosemary:  THE POWER IS IN 
YOUR HANDS AND TONIGHT WE FIND 
OUT THE RESULTS.
THIS IS ELECTION NIGHT 2019.
GOOD EVENING.
I'M ROSEMARY BARTON AND WELCOME 
TO OUR CBC NEWS ELECTION 
HEADQUARTERS.
WE ARE NOW AWAITING THE BIGGEST 
WAIVE OF RESULTS WE ARE GOING TO
GET TONIGHT.
POLLS HAVE CLOSED FROM QUÉBEC 
ALL THE WAY TO ALBERTA.
LET ME SHOW YOU WHAT THAT IS ON 
THE MAP.
THOSE ARE KEY BATTLEGROUNDS.
WE'VE BEEN TALKING ABOUT ONTARIO
AND QUÉBEC CENTRAL TO FORMING 
GOVERNMENT HERE.
YOU NEED TO START PICKING UP 
SEATS BIG TIME.
YOU CAN SEE THIS IS WHAT THE MAP
LOOKS LIKE RIGHT NOW.
LOTS OF RED IN THE ATLANTIC 
PROVINCES.
THE CONSERVATIVES ON THE BOARD 
WITH SIX.
ONE CONFIRMED ELECTED, FOUR FOR 
THE N.D.P. IN ST. JOHN'S EAST.
ONE BLOC QUÉBÉCOIS LEADING.
THAT IS THE MAGDALEN ISLANDS.
WE ARE STANDING BY TO BRING YOU 
ALL OF THESE RESULTS AS THEY 
COME IN FAST AND FURIOUS.
OUR RESULTS DESK, IAN, HEATHER, 
DAVID, ANDREW.
 "AT ISSUE" IS HEAR TO HELP 
DISSECT WHAT IS HAPPENING.
WE HAVE MEGAN LESLIE, VASSY 
KAPELOS.
LET'S START WITH PETER 
MANSBRIDGE.
YOU HAD A BUNCH OF TITLES.
>> Peter:  YEAH, LOVE THOSE 
TITLES.
THE THING ABOUT THESE NEXT TWO 
HOURS, WE'RE GOING TO SEE THESE 
HUNDREDS OF RIDINGS COMING IN.
WE'RE GOING TO HAVE A PRETTY 
GOOD IDEA HOW THE EVENING IS 
UNFOLDING.
THAT MEANS IT'S A TWO-SPEECH 
NIGHT.
THEY'VE GOT THE I WIN, I LOSE.
>> Rosemary:  AND MAYBE THE I'M 
NOT SURE WHAT'S GOING TO HAPPEN,
SEE MY LAWYER SPEECH. 
>> Peter:  WITH THE I LOSE IS 
WHAT DO I DO NOW AND WHAT DOES 
MY PARTY THINK I SHOULD DO.
WE HINTED AT IT EARLIER TALKING 
ABOUT ELIZABETH MAY.
SHE'S GOING TO HAVE SOME BIG 
DECISIONS.
SURE, IT LOOKS LIKE SHE'S GOING 
TO WIN A SEAT IN ATLANTIC 
CANADA, BUT SHE'S NOT GOING TO 
DO WHAT A LOT OF THAT PARTY 
EXPECTED TO HAPPEN IN THIS 
ELECTION. 
>> Rosemary:  OKAY.
WE'LL COME BACK TO PETER.
DAVID IS WATCHING THE SWINGING 
SIXTY.
HERE IS THE 60 RIDINGS WE 
WATCHED.
>> THE FIRST FROM ONTARIO IS 
YORK CENTRE.
IT'S AN INTERESTING RIDING 
BECAUSE IT'S ONE OF THE RIDINGS 
ANDREW SCHEER WENT TO EARLY IN 
THE MICHAEL LEVIT.
RACHAEL WILLSON HAD SOME 
COMMENTS ON ABORTION.
THIS IS THE WON THEY ARE MOST 
WORRIED ABOUT IN THE CITY 
ITSELF. 
>> Rosemary:  I WAS GOING TO 
BRING IN BREAKING NEWS.
ANDRÉ PRATT, THE SENATOR FOR 
QUÉBEC WHO USED TO BE THE 
EDITOR-IN-CHIEF WHO HAD BEEN 
APPOINTED TO THE SENATE AS 
JUSTIN TRUDEAU AS AN INDEPENDENT
HAS TENDERED HIS RESIGNATION 
FROM THE SENATE SAYING IT WILL 
BE EFFECTIVE AT 9:30 IMMEDIATELY
EASTERN TIME.
HE SAYS, IT SADDENS ME TO BETRAY
THE TRUST THAT YOU AND THE PRIME
MINISTER HAVE TRUSTED IN ME, BUT
IT WOULD BE MORE OF A BETRAYAL 
TO CONTINUE PERFORMING A TASK 
THAT I CANNOT PERFORM TO THE 
LEVEL OF EXCELLENCE EXPECTED.
>> CAN I GIVE A BIT OF 
BACKGROUND ON THIS?
HE HANDED HIS RESIGNATION LETTER
AHEAD OF THE VOTE.
IT'S NOT TODAY, THIS AFTERNOON.
HE WANTED THIS TO BECOME PUBLIC 
ONLY BEFORE THE RESULT OF THE 
ELECTION IS KNOWN, BUT ONLY 
AFTER THE PEOPLE HAVE VOTED 
BECAUSE HE DOESN'T WANT IT TO BE
CONSTRUED AS A REACTION TO WHAT 
IS GOING TO HAPPEN OVER THE NEXT
HOUR AND A HALF. 
>> Rosemary:  VERY INTERESTING 
BREAKING NEWS.
LET'S GO TO HEATHER FOR SOME 
RESULTS.
>> SORRY.
RESULTS COMING IN.
THE ISLAND OF MONTREAL RIDINGS.
THIS IS PABLO RODRIGUEZ.
AND IN PIERRE BOUCHARD -- 
PIERRE-BOUCHER-LES 
PATRIOTES-VERCHÈRES, THIS IS 
GOING TO BE KEY, THE FRANCOPHONE
RIDINGS AND THE SOUTH SHORE, THE
SUBURBS SOUTH AND EAST OF 
MONTREAL COULD BE DETERMINATIVE.
>> Rosemary:  I NOTICE THERE'S 
NO ORANGE ON THAT BOARD IN ANY 
OF THOSE RESULTS.
WE'LL HAVE TO SEE WHETHER THE 
N.D.P. COLLAPSES IN QUÉBEC.
>> Ian:  LET'S LOOK AT ONTARIO.
THE FIRST TWO ARE THE PARTIES 
THAT WON IN 2015.
HAMILTON WEST.
IT HAS BEEN THE LIBERALS WINNING
LAST TIME AROUND.
AND KENORA IS INTERESTING.
BOB NALT WON THAT.
RUDY TURTLE IS IN THE LEAD AND A
PRETTY BIG LEAD, ALTHOUGH JUST 
ONE OF THE POLLS.
AND FINALLY SUDBURY, THIS IS A 
RIDING THAT THE LIBERALS WON 
LAST TIME AROUND AND THEY'RE 
LEADING ALSO WITH JUST ONE POLL 
REPORTING. 
>> Rosemary:  AND OF COURSE THE 
ONE WHERE BOB NAULT IS LOSING, 
THAT IS WHERE JASMEET SINGH WENT
TO TO SPEAK ABOUT THE ISSUE OF 
GRASSY NARROWS.
THEY'RE STILL WORKING ON THAT OR
THEY WERE WHEN THE LIBERALS WERE
WORKING AS GOVERNMENT. 
>> WE HAVE RESULTS FROM 
WINNIPEG.
THE SINGH SURGE WAS A REAL 
THING.
IF THE LAST TWO WEEKS WERE GOOD 
TO MAKE UP FOR THE LAST TWO 
YEARS THAT WERE NOT GOOD.
THE INCUMBENT HAS A 56-VOTE 
LEAD.
HE ONLY WON THIS SEAT BY 61 
VOTES.
IF YOU'RE GOING TO GET A LIFT, 
HE NEEDS TO SHOW UP IN 
ELMWOOD-TRANSCONA.
>> YOU MENTIONED NO ORANGE ON 
THE BOARD.
THESE ARE THREE RIDINGS THAT 
WERE HELD BY THE N.D.P., THE 
LAST VESTIGES OF THE ORANGE 
WAVE.
IN 
RIMOUSKI-NEIGETTE-TÉMISCOUATA-
LES BASQUES, CHANTAL IS LEADING.
IN LONGUEUIL-SAINT-HUBERT, THERE
IS A LOT OF TRADING AND JERSEY 
SWAPPING.
I HOPE WE GET TIME TO SEE WHO IS
WHAT.
RIGHT NOW EARLY GOING, IT IS THE
LIBERAL IN THE LEAD.
IN JONQUIÈRE, THIS WAS KARINE 
TRUDEL WHO WAS TRYING TO GET 
AHEAD.
THEY ARE TARGETING THE BLOC 
QUÉBÉCOIS.
ONE OF THE POLLS REPORTING.
GIVEN THE SPLIT AND THE VERY 
TIGHTNESS OF THAT RACE IN 2015, 
THAT IS ONE TO WATCH. 
>> Rosemary:  SO FAR WHAT WE'RE 
SEEING IS THERE IS A DIRECT 
TRANSFER FROM THE BLOC'S 
INCREASES FROM THE N.D.P.
THAT IS WHAT HAPPENED IN 2011 
AND ALL THE BLOC SUPPORT WENT TO
THE N.D.P.
SO TO SEE IT GO BACK, THAT IS 
NOT BODING WELL FOR THE N.D.P.
IAN HAS SOME RESULTS. 
>> Ian:  I MENTIONED THIS IN 
NEW BRUNSWICK, THEY'RE MORE 
INTRIGUING THAN ANYTHING AND IT 
RAISES QUESTIONS OF WHAT WE 
MIGHT SEE IN THIS RIDING.
LET'S START WITH THUNDER 
BAY-SUPERIOR NORTH.
PATTY HAJDU IS MINISTER AND ONE 
POLL REPORTING.
WE HAVE ANNA BETTY 
ACHNEEPINESKUM IS IN THE LEAD.
THERE ARE TWO POLLS HERE AND 
ACTUALLY IT'S A SIGNIFICANT LEAD
FOR DEAN ALLISON.
>> Rosemary:  WE SEE THE 
CONSERVATIVES TRYING TO PULL UP 
AND DAVID COCHRANE HAS MORE 
RESULTS. 
>> WE'VE GOT ONE PURPLE ON THE 
BOARD AND THAT IS IN BEAUCE 
WHERE MAXIME BERNIER IS TRYING 
TO MAKE HIS WAY BACK TO OTTAWA.
BERNIER HAS MADE IT A TRICK WITH
DIRTY TRICKS WITH THE 
CONSERVATIVES.
QUÉBEC CITY IS A TOUGH PLACE FOR
LIBERALS.
HERE IS KING-VAUGHAN IN ONTARIO.
IF THE CONSERVATIVES ARE GOING 
TO WIN THE MOST SEATS, THEY MUST
WIN RIDINGS LIKE THIS ONE, DEB 
SCHULTE AHEAD.
>> Rosemary:  EARLY RESULTS 
STILL FROM ALL OF THESE BIG, BIG
POPULACE AND VOTE-RICH 
PROVINCES.
KEEP YOUR EYES ON THE NUMBERS.
LET'S GO TO VASSY AND SEE WHAT 
PEOPLE ARE TALKING ABOUT.
>> Vassy:  PRIOR TO THE CAMPAIGN
I REMEMBER SITTING DOWN WITH A 
CABINET MINISTER WHO SAID WE 
NEED 5.5 MILLION VOTES TO WIN A 
MAJORITY.
WE THINK WE CAN AND WILL PICK UP
SEATS IN QUÉBEC.
THE TRAJECTORY THROUGH THE 
CAMPAIGN WITH THE BLOC CHANGED, 
TO THE POINT IN THE LAST TWO 
WEEKS THEY WERE SAYING MIGHT WE 
LOSE?
THAT CHANGED THE 
MINORITY/MAJORITY CALCULATION 
FOR THE LIBERALS.
IT MOVED A MAJORITY OUT OF 
SIGHTS.
IF THEY ARE TO OUTPERFORM IN 
QUÉBEC, THAT'S A BIG DEAL. 
>> Rosemary:  WHAT WERE THEIR 
EXPECTATIONS.
I HEARD THE CONSERVATIVES SAY 
THE BLOC COULD GET TO 30 OR 40.
>> Vassy:  BOTH THE LIBERALS AND
THE CONSERVATIVES WERE LOOKING 
FOR THE BLOC BETWEEN 30 AND 40.
>> Rosemary:  WE'LL SEE WHERE 
THAT GOES, THOUGH.
RIGHT NOW AT ANY RATE IT DOES 
SEEM TO BE HURTING THE N.D.P. 
MOST.
OF COURSE THEY DON'T HAVE A TON 
OF SEATS IN QUÉBEC ANYMORE.
I THINK THEY ONLY HAVE -- 
>> STILL, IT'S THEIR BIGGEST 
CAUCUS.
>> Rosemary:  YES, IT'S THEIR 
BIGGEST CAUCUS. 
>> IF THEY DON'T HAVE A LOT IN 
QUÉBEC, THEY HAVE VERY LITTLE 
ANYWHERE ELSE.
>> Rosemary:  LET ME GO TO MEGAN
ON THAT.
I THINK THAT RAISES THE POINT 
CORY WAS MAKING.
IF ALL YOUR SEATS ARE 
TRANSFERRED TO THE BLOC 
QUÉBÉCOIS BECAUSE THAT'S HOW YOU
WON THEM IN THE FIRST PLACE, WAS
THAT A REAL THING OR NOT GIVEN 
ENOUGH ATTENTION?
>> THE BLOC PARTY IS PROGRESSIVE
AND A LOT OF THE VALUES THEY 
HAVE, WITH ONE MAJOR EXCEPTION, 
ALIGNED WITH N.D.P. VALUES.
I UNDERSTAND WHY QUÉBECERS WOULD
MOVE BACK AND FORTH BETWEEN THE 
N.D.P. AND THE BLOC.
EARLIER DUNCAN WAS TALKING ABOUT
WHERE INDIGENOUS VOTERS WIELD 
CONSIDERABLE INFLUENCE.
IN THIS TIME ZONE AND THESE 
RESULTS THAT WE'RE ABOUT TO GET,
I ACTUALLY WOULD LOVE TO TALK 
ABOUT ENVIRONMENT AND ISSUES 
THAT COULD DETERMINE ELECTIONS.
WE SAW THE CLIMATE STRIKES, YES,
THOSE WERE STUDENTS, SO NOT A 
LOT OF VOTERS THERE.
THESE ARE RIDINGS WHERE VOTERS 
ARE HIGH PERCENTAGE 35 AND 
UNDER.
NUNAVUT, TORONTO CENTRE, LAURIER
ST. MARIE, I WILL BE INTERESTED 
TO SEE WHAT HAPPENS BECAUSE THEY
WANT ACTION ON CLIMATE.
IT MEANS DIFFERENT THINGS IN 
DIFFERENT RIDINGS WHERE THEY 
WANT TO PUT THEIR VOTE.
IT WILL BE INTERESTING THESE 
DOWNTOWN URBAN RIDINGS.
>> Rosemary:  THAT IS THE 
CONVERSATION, IS THIS ABOUT 
CLIMATE CHANGE AND IF WE KNOW 
WE'RE RUNNING OUT OF TIME TO DO 
SOMETHING, IS THIS THE MOMENT TO
SEIZE THAT.
>> WE'RE GOING TO GO TO 
SASKATCHEWAN AND LOOK AT A SEAT 
THE N.D.P. WON.
THEY HAVE A CHALLENGE.
THIS WAS ERIN WEIR'S SEAT.
HE WAS KICKED OUT OF THE CAUCUS 
OF INTERNAL CONDUCT.
THERE IS AN EARLY LEAD.
THIS IS 
GLENGARRY-PRESCOTT-RUSSELL.
PIERRE LAMEAUX RAN THERE.
THE SUBPLOT IS AMANDA SAMARD WHO
LEFT DOUG FORD'S CAUCUS BECAUSE 
OF CUTS.
WE'RE BACK IN BEAUCE, AND THE 
CONSERVATIVE CANDIDATE HAS MOVED
AHEAD OF MAXIME BERNIER, THE 
LEADER OF THE PEOPLE'S PARTY OF 
CANADA.
EXPECT TO SEE A MAYOR STRATEGY.
>> Rosemary:  THE CONSERVATIVES 
AND THE LIBERALS TRY TO STEAL 
MUNICIPAL CANDIDATES.
I WISH YOU COULD HAVE SEEN 
VASSY'S FACE WHEN WE POPPED UP 
THAT BEAUCE RESULT.
IT FLIPPED QUICKLY.
>> Vassy:  WE SHALL SEE.
>> Rosemary:  I SHALL TELL YOU 
THAT IT'S EARLY IN ONTARIO, SO 
AS WE SEE THESE NUMBERS START TO
MOVE AROUND, LESS THAN 4,000 
VOTES HAVE BEEN COUNTED.
THERE'S A LOT TO COME.
IAN IS GOING TO UPDATE US.
>> Ian:  LET'S LOOK AND SEE WHAT
THOSE VOTE TOTALS ARE TELLING 
US.
THE EARLY STORY IS THE LIBERALS 
ARE DOWN BY 5 PERCENTAGE POINTS.
THEY HAVE ROOM TO GO DOWN AND 
STILL HAVE A DECENT TOTAL OF 
SEATS IN ONTARIO.
CONSERVATIVES NEED TO BUILD ON 
WHAT WAS NOT A VERY GOOD SHOWING
IN 2015.
THEY ARE UP A LITTLE BIT, BUT 
NOT UP AS MUCH AS THEY WOULD 
LIKE.
WILLOWDALE HAS HISTORICALLY BEEN
GOOD FOR THEM.
SIMCOE NORTH, BRUCE STANTON, ONE
OF THOSE M.P.s WHO KEEPS ON 
WINNING, HE'S GOING FOR A SIXTH 
WIN.
WITH ONE POLL REPORTING, HE IS 
IN A SMALL LEAD.
>> Rosemary:  THE LIBERALS 
PICKED UP 80 OF THE SEATS IN 
ONTARIO.
THAT WAS KEY FOR THEM FORMING A 
MAJORITY.
>> I WANT TO LOOK AT THE 
NORTHWEST AND THE FAR EAST OF 
QUEBEC, BEGINNING WITH HOW THE 
VOTE IS CHANGING.
WE'RE LOOKING AT BLOC NUMBERS 
33.9%.
WE HAVEN'T SEEN THAT SUPPORT 
SINCE 2008.
LIBERAL POPULAR SUPPORT DOWN A 
LITTLE BIT FROM WHAT IT WAS FOUR
YEARS AGO AND THERE YOU SEE THE 
REST OF THE PARTIES.
LET'S TAKE A LOOK AT A COUPLE OF
THE PARTIES.
AS WE LOOK UP TO ONE OF THE 
RIDINGS WHERE THE N.D.P. 
INCUMBENT DID NOT RUN FOR 
RE-ELECTION, WHICH IS 
ABITIBI-TÉMISCAMINGUE.
AS WE GO TO THE FARTHEST EAST 
RIDING MANICOUAGAN, IT IS 
MARILENE GILL.
THESE ARE EARLY NUMBERS, BUT A 
STRONG START FOR DAVE SAVARD.
>> THE STORY OF QUÉBEC COULD 
VERY WELL BE THE STORY OF THE 
BLOC.
WE'RE GOING TO TAKE A LOOK AT 
THE LEADER NOW.
HE HAS A 151-VOTE LEAD OVER THE 
LIBERALS.
IF HE WINS THIS SEAT, HE WOULD 
BE THE FIRST BLOC LEADER TO WIN 
A SEAT IN THE HOUSE OF COMMONS 
SINCE 2008.
WE'RE GOING TO TAKE A LOOK AT 
ONTARIO SEATS.
THIS IS CAMBRIDGE.
THIS IS HELD BY THE FORD 
CONSERVATIVES THAT THE LIBERALS 
HAVE HELD AT THE FEDERAL LEVEL.
IT IS ONE OF THOSE KEY 
BATTLEGROUNDS OUTSIDE OF 
TORONTO.
THE CONSERVATIVES NEED TO WIN 
THIS IF THEY'RE GOING TO FORM 
GOVERNMENT.
MISSISSAUGA-LAKESHORE.
THIS IS A REMATCH.
I WAS THERE WITH ANDREW SCHEER.
THEY HAD A GOOD RALLY IN 
MISSISSAUGA-LAKESHORE.
ABOUT 450 PEOPLE.
THEY WERE ALL EXTREMELY 
CONFIDENT, BUT IT WAS A WINE 
BAR.
>> Rosemary:  BOB RAE HAS BEEN 
THERE.
>> IN THE 905, THE KEY WORRY THE
LIBERALS HAD WAS THAT THE N.D.P.
VOTE WOULD EAT INTO THEIR VOTE, 
BUT IF YOU LOOK AT THE FIRST 
COUPLE OF POLLS, THE N.D.P. VOTE
IS NOT THERE.
I THINK THAT IS BECAUSE PEOPLE 
ARE VOTING STRATEGICALLY.
IN THOSE RIDINGS WHERE PEOPLE 
SAY, LOOK, WE HAVEN'T GOT A 
CHANCE OF WINNING HERE -- FOR 
EXAMPLE, IN CAMBRIDGE, THAT HAS 
BEEN A THREE-WAY FIGHT GOING 
BACK INTO FEDERAL-PROVINCIAL 
POLITICS FOR AS LONG AS I'VE 
BEEN THERE, WHICH IS A COUPLE OF
DECADES.
IT'S INTERESTING TO SEE HOW 
THAT'S TURNING OUT.
IT'S TOO EARLY TO SEE THERE'S A 
TREND, BUT IT'S AN INTERESTING 
FOOTNOTE. 
>> Rosemary:  YOU'RE QUITE 
RIGHT.
THE SUPPORT FOR THE N.D.P. IS 
DOWN 3.2% IN ONTARIO, AND IT 
CAN'T BE DOING THAT IF THE 
N.D.P. WANTS TO RECLAIM ANY OF 
THE SEATS THAT IT PREVIOUSLY HAD
PARTICULARLY IN THE G.T.A.
THAT'S ALSO BAD NEWS TO HAVE THE
N.D.P. PERFORMING AT A CERTAIN 
LEVEL.
LET ME SHOW YOU WHAT THE MAP OF 
CANADA LOOKS LIKE RIGHT NOW.
YOU CAN SEE LOTS OF RED, BUT 
LOOK AT THE LIGHT BLUE.
THAT IS WHY THE BLOC IS LEADING 
OR ELECTED IN 12 RIDINGS.
12 IS ENOUGH TO GIVE YOU 
OFFICIAL PARTY STATUS.
THEY'RE MOVING IN THE RIGHT 
DIRECTION.
IT GIVES YOU MORE MONEY AND 
POWER IN THE HOUSE OF COMMONS.
IF WE START EXTRACTING WEST, WE 
CAN SEE THE N.D.P. STARTING TO 
PICK UP IN PLACES THEY 
TRADITIONAL DO WELL IN ONTARIO 
AND MOVING INTO MANITOBA.
THERE IS AN ORANGE SPOT IN 
ALBERTA.
LET'S KEEP OUR EYE ON THAT.
THE CONSERVATIVES DOING WELL IN 
ALL THE PLACES YOU WOULD EXPECT,
SASKATCHEWAN, MANITOBA, AND 
ALBERTA.
THAT ORANGE SPOT IS PEACE RIVER.
WE'LL BRING YOU OTHER RESULTS 
FROM THE OTHER TWO TERRITORIES, 
NUNAVUT AND NORTHWEST 
TERRITORIES.
ANDREW CHANG IS GOING TO COME IN
AND GIVE US A BIG PICTURE OF 
WHAT WE'RE SEEING AS WE SEE THE 
LIBERALS STARTING TO PULL AWAY.
>> Andrew:  WE'VE GOT ABOUT 1 
MILLION VOTES IN THE SYSTEM.
IF YOU'RE FOLLOWING ALONG AT THE
BOTTOM OF YOUR SCREEN, YOU'RE 
SEEING THE NUMBERS START TO 
CLIMB AS WE GET PRELIMINARY 
RESULTS FROM ATLANTIC CANADA ALL
THE WAY TO THE EDGE OF THE 
ALBERTA BORDER WITH 
BRITISH COLUMBIA.
AS THOSE NUMBERS CLIMB YOU MIGHT
BE ASKING CAN ANY PARTY HIT 170.
THAT IS THE TARGET IN ORDER TO 
FORM A MAJORITY GOVERNMENT.
THIS IS ONE WAY WE CAN ANSWER 
THAT QUESTION.
38.5%.
THINK ABOUT THAT AS A FEELING.
THAT IS THE CEILING ANY PARTY 
WOULD HAVE TO SMASH THROUGH TO 
FORM GOVERNMENT.
IN CANADIAN HISTORY EVERY TIME 
THEY'VE MANAGED TO CROSS THAT 
THRESHOLD, THEY'VE FORMED A 
MAJORITY.
WE HAVE NEVER SEEN A PARTY FALL 
SHORT OF THAT AND FORM A 
MAJORITY.
IT HAS NEVER HAPPENED IN 
CANADIAN HISTORY.
THE LIBERALS IN EXCESS OF THAT.
THE QUALIFIER IS THAT MOST OF 
THE VOTES ARE SKEWED TOWARDS 
ATLANTIC CANADA.
WE WILL SEE THAT DROPPING DOWN 
TO 40 AND POTENTIALLY 39 AND 
EVEN FURTHER DEPENDING ON THE 
WAY THE REST OF THE VOTES TURN 
OUT.
LET'S TAKE A LOOK AT THE SEAT 
CHANGE.
I WAS TALKING ABOUT HOW THE 
LIBERALS CAN AFFORD TO BE DOWN 
16 AND STILL HOLD ONTO THEIR 
MAJORITY.
THEY ARE STILL IN THAT WIGGLE 
ROOM AND THE CONSERVATIVES UP 
EVER SO SLIGHTLY.
THEY WERE LOOKING FOR A MUCH 
STRONGER PERFORMANCE, 
PARTICULARLY IN ONTARIO.
A LOT OF THE RIDINGS IN ONTARIO 
AND ALBERTA STILL TO COME IN AS 
WELL, WHICH WE KNOW IS A 
TRADITIONAL POWER BASE FOR THE 
CONSERVATIVES. 
>> Rosemary:  THAT'S GOOD TO GET
THE BIG PICTURE AS WE DIVE INTO 
RESULTS.
IF YOU'RE A VOTER, YOU WANT TO 
KNOW HOW YOUR VOTE PERFORMED, 
BUT IT'S GOOD TO GET A BIG 
PICTURE.
>> WE SHOWED THAT THE N.D.P.S 
ARE TRAILING IN QUÉBEC.
BUT I WANT TO SHOW YOU SOME 
OTHER RIDINGS.
IN BERTHIER-MASKINONGÉ, THE 
LIBERAL CANDIDATE IS LEADING 
OVER THE BLOC CANDIDATE ROUT 
ELLEN BROSSEAU WHO WAS A 
BREAKTHROUGH CANDIDATE.
HERE IN SAINT-HYACINTHE-BAGOT, 
THE BLOC ARE LEADING.
AND IN DRUMMOND THERE IS A LEAD 
OVER THE BLOC FOR THE LIBERALS.
>> Rosemary:  IT IS SUPER EARLY.
>> THAT IS ONE OF THE SEATS THEY
DEFINITELY THOUGHT THEY WOULD 
HOLD IN QUÉBEC. 
>> THE POPULAR VOTE FOR THE BLOC
IS COALESCING IN TERMS OF 
INCREASING THEIR SHARE.
NOT TRANSLATING INTO PICKUPS.
THERE ARE A COUPLE OF RIDINGS I 
WANT TO HIGHLIGHT FOR YOU.
THERE IS A VOTE SHARE UP.
IF YOU LOOK AT THE SEAT COUNT 
WHICH WOULD PUT IT UP SLIGHTLY 
AND INTO OFFICIAL PARTY STATUS 
REALM, BUT NOT A HUGE SURGE OF 
PICKUPS.
WHERE THERE ARE INTERESTING 
RIDINGS WHERE THE BLOC IS TAKING
A LEAD, IN THE EAST, THIS IS 
BROME-MISSISQUOI.
MONIQUE ALLARD IS LEADING.
DAVID GRAHAM IS THE LIBERAL 
LUMENT IN  -- THE BLOC CANDIDATE
HAS A SMALL LEAD, BUT THIS IS 
ONE TO WATCH AS A KEY BLOC 
PICKUP THEY HOPE FOR THEM.
>> Rosemary:  THOSE ARE RIDINGS 
WHERE WE WOULDN'T EXPECT THE 
CONSERVATIVES.
I SHOULD TELL YOU THAT THE 
LIBERALS ARE NOW LEADING IN 20 
RIDINGS IN QUÉBEC.
THEY'RE ON THEIR WAY TO A GOOD 
NIGHT.
IAN HAS MORE RESULTS.
>> Ian:  LET'S TAKE A CLOSER 
LOOK AT VOTE SHARING.
IT IS STILL EARLY, BUT YOU CAN 
SEE THE CONSERVATIVES ARE IN 
FIRST PLACE THERE.
I'LL LEAVE THE ANALYSIS TO SOME 
OF YOU, BUT IT FEELS TO ME THE 
CONSERVATIVES WOULD BE HOPING TO
HAVE A BIGGER VOTE SHARE.
LET'S SEE HOW IT'S PLAYING OUT 
IN THREE RIDINGS.
FIRST OF ALL, A COUPLE OF 
RIDINGS THAT WERE WON BY PARTIES
THAT ARE NOT LEADING, BUT OF 
COURSE THIS IS TWO POLLS OF 314,
BUT YOU SEE THE LIBERALS IN THE 
LEAD.
THIS IS INTERESTING, 
HAMILTON-MOUNTAIN HAS BEEN AN 
N.D.P. RIDING FOR A WHILE.
RIGHT NOW AGAIN, STILL EARLY, 
BUT WE'LL KEEP AN EYE ON.
THAT AND FINALLY BEACHES-EAST 
YORK, THIS IS A RIDING WHERE THE
LIBERALS, WERE LEADING.
NATHANIEL ERSKINE-SMITH BROKE 
RANKS OVER JODY WILSON-RAYBOULD.
>> SO THE QUESTION THAT I'M 
REALLY HUNG UP ON NOW IS WHETHER
THE LIBERALS ARE AHEAD RIGHT 
NOW.
LET'S LOOK AT THEM, WHETHER THEY
CAN FORM A MAJORITY GOVERNMENT, 
GIVEN THE WAY THINGS ARE SHAKING
DOWN.
WE KNOW THIS MUCH, THEY ARE 
LEADING OR ELECTED IN 85 RIDINGS
ACROSS THE COUNTRY.
THAT IS SHORT OF 170.
YOU SAY, THERE ARE STILL 166 
RIDINGS TO COME.
MAYBE SOME OF THOSE WILL END UP 
IN THE LIBERAL CAMP, SHOULDN'T 
THOSE COUNT TOWARDS THE 170.
LET'S CRUNCH THOSE NUMBERS.
LET'S SAY THAT EVERY RIDING IN 
WHICH THE LIBERALS WON IN 2015, 
LET'S SAY THEY WIN IT AGAIN.
OF THOSE REMAINING RIDINGS IN 
WHICH WE DON'T HAVE RESULTS NOW,
85 PLUS 94, THAT GETS THEM PAST 
170.
NOW, THAT'S REALLY IMPORTANT 
BECAUSE THIS WOULD SUGGEST TO 
US, GIVEN HOW THINGS ARE GOING 
THE LIBERALS COULD BE ON TRACK 
TO FORM A MAJORITY GOVERNMENT.
THIS IS NOT JUST A NUMBER WE'RE 
THROWING OUT.
THIS IS BASED ON THE SPECIFIC 
RIDINGS TO COME FOR WHICH WE 
DON'T HAVE RESULTS, BASED ON HOW
THEY'VE GONE IN THE PAST AND 
POLLING DATA, AND WAIT TO SEE 
THE RESULTS TO PROJECT WITH 
CERTAINTY HOW THIS NIGHT IS 
GOING TO END, BUT THIS IS A 
REALLY INTERESTING WAY ON HOW TO
CALCULATE THE NUMBERS BASED ON 
HOW THESE RIDINGS GO IN THE 
PAST.
>> Rosemary:  THE LIBERALS GOT 
THE MAJORITY IN THE LAST 
ELECTION WITH 39.5% OF THE VOTE.
MORE THAN THEY NEEDED FOR A 
MAJORITY SHARE, BUT IT WASN'T A 
HUGE AMOUNT.
PETER MANSBRIDGE WANTED TO 
COMMENT.
>> Peter:  THE LIBERALS ARE 
CLEARLY DOING WELL IN ONTARIO 
AND QUÉBEC.
THEY'RE ON THE PATH TO WHERE 
THEY WANT TO END UP IN TERMS OF 
A VICTORY, BUT THE INTERESTING 
THING IN TERMS OF THE COUNTRY IS
WHEN YOU'RE LOOKING AT THAT BIG 
MAP ON THE FLOOR WHETHER YOU'RE 
GOING TO SEE ANY RED OR MUCH RED
WEST OF THE MANITOBA-ONTARIO 
BORDER.
THAT'S WHERE WE'RE GOING TO 
DEVELOP INTO THE SITUATION OF 
TWO CANADAS.
WE HAVEN'T SEEN IT QUITE AS 
CLEAR SINCE 1972 WHEN JUSTIN'S 
FATHER, PIERRE TRUDEAU, WON 
SEATS THERE.
THAT WAS A WESTERN ALIENATION 
STORY. 
>> Rosemary:  THAT WAS A VERY 
TIGHT RESULT, TWO SEATS. 
>> Peter:  TWO SEATS AND NO 
DECISION MADE DURING THAT NIGHT 
AND TRUDEAU DID HIS FAMOUS THE 
UNIVERSE IS UNFOLDING AS IT 
SHOULD SPEECH TO REPORTERS.
THAT WILL BE SOMETHING TO WATCH.
THE LIBERALS HAVE A COUPLE OF 
SEATS GOING FOR THEM IN 
MANITOBA, BUT THEN YOU GET TO 
THIS WIDE SWATH, YOU SEE IT ON 
THE MAP, A LOT OF BLUE AND IN 
B.C.
WHEN IT CLOSES IN 30 SECONDS.
>> Rosemary:  BOB RAE, IF YOU 
CAN GO QUICKLY. 
>> I THINK THE WITNESS 
PROTECTION PROGRAM FOR DOUG FORD
WAS A BAD IDEA BECAUSE I THINK 
ACTUALLY HE HAD MORE SUPPORT IN 
ONTARIO THAN THE SCHEER PEOPLE 
UNDERSTOOD.
TO KEEP HIM LOCKED UP IN A ROOM 
FOR 90 DAYS WAS ABSURD.
I'M NOT A BIG SUPPORTER OF THE 
FORD APPROACH TO LIFE, BUT I 
RECOGNIZE THE STRENGTH OF MY 
OPPONENTS WHEN I SEE IT.
I THINK IT WAS A BIG MISTAKE BY 
THE CONSERVATIVE PARTIES TO DO 
THAT.
>> Rosemary:  IT IS 10:00 
EASTERN, WHICH MEANS THAT B.C. 
AND YUKON'S POLLS HAVE JUST 
CLOSED.
THAT'S 43 MORE SEATS THAT WE ARE
WAITING TO HEAR MORE FROM.
THAT WILL BRING US UP TO 338.
WE HAD THAT DELAY IN THUNDER BAY
AND ONTARIO.
ALMOST ALL POLLS CLOSE NOW IN 
THIS COUNTRY.
WE'RE STARTING TO GET A PRETTY 
CLEAR PICTURE WHERE THE COUNTRY 
IS HEADED.
IT REMINDED ME AT THE END OF 
2015 WHEN YOU WERE THERE WITH 
STEPHEN HARPER AND THINGS WERE 
NOT GOING WELL, YOU WENT AND GOT
THE FORDS TO TRY TO SEE IF YOU 
CAN TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THEIR 
SUPPORT.
[ PLEASE STAND BY ]
... AND I THINK IT WAS A 
MISTAKE.
BECAUSE I THINK MOBILIZING 
CONSERVATIVE VOTERS WILL SEE AS 
THE NIGHT UNFOLDS, IN ONTARIO, 
IT IS SOMETHING THAT DOUG FORD 
WAS ABLE TO DO SUCCESSFULLY, 18 
MONTHS AGO AND I THINK WE'RE NOT
SEEING SIGNS OF THAT SAME LEVEL 
OF ENTHUSIASM FOR ANDREW SCHEER 
TONIGHT.
WE SHOULD PUT AS CAVEAT YOU WERE
PART OF HIS CAMPAIGN.
YOU WERE DOUG FORD'S FAN.
>> I WAS A CAMPAIGN MANAGER, BUT
I'M ALSO SOMEBODY WHO SPENT HIS 
CAREER WORKING IN FEDERAL 
POLITICS AND HAS A DEEP VESTED 
INTEREST IN THE CONSERVATIVE 
PARTY FROM COAST TO COAST.
>> Peter: PROPPED UP BY BOB RAE.
>> Rosemary: I KNOW, WHAT 
COALITION IS HAPPENING HERE 
TONIGHT.
[LAUGHTER].
>> BUT IT'S ALSO THE STRATEGY OF
LOCKING UP THE PREMIER OF 
ONTARIO IN HIS BASEMENT.
LITERALLY AT SOME POINT BECOMES 
INSULTING FOR THE PEOPLE WHO 
ACTUALLY ARE LOYAL TO HIM.
AND SAY, WELL, YOU KNOW, WHO ARE
THESE PEOPLE WHO ARE LOCKING UP 
MY LEADER?
IT'S NOT CALLED FORD NATION FOR 
NO REASON.
>> Peter: YOU'RE BRINGING IN THE
PREMIER OF ALBERTA.
>> IN HIS BACKYARD.
I TRIED TO GAIN THIS HAPPENING 
IN MY HEAD IN QUÉBEC.
>> TO ME, IT MADE NO SENSE.
>> Rosemary: WANT TO WEIGH?
>> THE STRATEGY SEEMS TO BE 
FAILING IN THE ELECTION IS THE 
FEAR CAMPAIGN -- WHICH IS A 
TRADITIONAL LIBERAL PLAYBOOK, BE
SCARED OF THE TORIES, YOU HAVE 
TO VOTE LIBERAL.
THEY HAD MORE SUCCESS IN 2015 
WITH A DIFFERENT STRATEGY, WHICH
WAS A POSITIVE PLATFORM AND THAT
SEEMED TO ROUND UP THE LEFT VOTE
FOR SUCCESSFULLY THAN THIS TIME.
>> WITH 9 NEW DEMOCRATS LEADING 
OR ELECTED, IT'S NOT A TOTAL 
FAILURE YET.
>> Rosemary: LET'S GO TO MIKE 
CRAWLEY.
HE COVERS QUEEN'S PARK AND THE 
PREMIER REGULARLY.
I'M SURE YOU'VE BEEN LISTENING 
IN.
THE CONSENSUS SEEMS TO BE IT WAS
A MISTAKE TO NOT LET DOUG FORD 
BE DOUG FORD IF YOU WILL AND TRY
AND TAP INTO THAT SUPPORT THAT 
OBVIOUSLY EXISTS FOR HIM.
THAT'S HOW HE BECAME PREMIER.
ANY THOUGHTS ON THAT?
>> Reporter: YEAH, THE QUESTION 
IS, WOULD IT ACTUALLY HAVE MADE 
THINGS A BIT WORSE IF PREMIER 
DOUG FORD WAS OUT FRONT AND 
CENTRE REMINDING ONTARIANS ABOUT
THE WAY HE IS RUNNING HIS 
GOVERNMENT HERE.
LOOK, THE LIBERALS DIDN'T TRY TO
MAKE THIS ELECTION ABOUT DOUG 
FORD FOR NO REASON AT ALL.
THEY HAD POLLING DATA THAT WAS 
TELLING THEM THAT PEOPLE WERE 
MORE RELUCTANT TO VOTE FOR 
ANDREW SCHEER'S CONSERVATIVES 
BECAUSE OF THE WAY PREMIER DOUG 
FORD WAS PERFORMING.
AND THE CONSERVATIVES HAD THE 
SAME DATA, TOO.
THAT'S WHY DOUG FORD ADJOURNED 
THE LEGISLATURE UNTIL NEXT WEEK 
AFTER THE ELECTION.
THAT'S WHY HE WASN'T OUT THERE 
CAMPAIGNING WITH ANDREW SCHEER.
THAT'S WHY ANDREW SCHEER DIDN'T 
TALK ABOUT DOUG FORD.
SO YOU KNOW, I THINK CLEARLY 
THESE TWO STRATEGIES WERE 
WORKING AGAINST ONE ANOTHER.
THE CONSERVATIVES WERE TRYING TO
MAKE UP GROUND, BUT YOU KNOW, IT
WOULD SEEM TO ME FROM THE EARLY 
INDICATIONS THAT IT WORKED FOR 
THE LIBERALS TO TRY TO DRAG DOWN
THE FEDERAL CONSERVATIVES BY 
ASSOCIATION WITH DOUG FORD.
>> I THINK THAT'S A REALLY GOOD 
POINT.
THERE IS ALWAYS A RISK TO 
LETTING DOUG FORD BE DOUG FORD.
SO OBVIOUSLY WEIGHED IT, AND 
THAT'S NOT GOING TO WORK.
MIKE CRAWLEY, WE'LL CHECK IN 
LATER.
I SEE YOU'RE AT HEADQUARTERS 
THERE AND SEE IF SHE CAN PULL 
OFF A WIN.
>> BOB RAE TALKS ABOUT DOUG FORD
BEING IN PROTECTION.
WE'RE GOING TO LOOK AT RIDINGS 
WHERE THE STRATEGY MAY HAVE 
WORKED, IN WHITBY, ARE CHIVAS 
LEFT.
HAMILTON EAST, STONEY CREEK, 
THIS IS KIND TO THE NEW 
DEMOCRATS, BUT BRATNA HOLDING 
ON.
NOW, GUELPH IS A RIDING THE 
LIBERALS WERE ABLE TO HOLD ONTO 
UNDER MIKE MICHAEL IGNATIEFF, 
BUT THEY ARE RUNNING SECOND.
LLOYD LONGFIELD HOLDING ON WITH 
THE 155-VOTE LEAD.
AND MILTON, THE GOLD MEDAL 
RIDING.
ADAM VAN KOEVERDEN WITH AN 
EIGHT-VOTE LEAD OVER LISA RAITT.
>> Rosemary: GOOD TO WATCH.
>> THE GREENS AND THE NEW 
DEMOCRATS IN MILTON, IT'S A 
TWO-WAY FIGHT.
I THINK THAT'S AN IMPORTANT 
THING TO NOTICE.
THERE HAS BEEN THIS ATTEMPT TO 
REALLY FOCUS ON WHAT IS THE 
CHOICE.
IN THAT RIDING IT'S A FOCUSED 
CHOICE BETWEEN ADAM AND LISA.
>> Rosemary: IAN HAS MORE 
RESULTS.
>> Ian: WE'RE GOING TO LOOK AT 
THE GREEN PARTY.
ELIZABETH MAY TELLING A REPORTER
IN BRITISH COLUMBIA IT WAS STILL
EARLY, TOO EARLY AFTER THE 
ATLANTIC CANADA RESULTS TO 
ASSESS WHERE THE GREENS ARE.
SHE PROBABLY HAD IN MIND A 
LITTLE EARLY SUCCESS.
THE VOTE CHANGE, THE 
CONSERVATIVES ARE UP BY 3 
PERCENTAGE POINTS.
NOT, I DON'T THINK, WHAT THEY 
WERE HOPING FOR IN THE PROVINCE.
THE GREENS UP 2.9 PERCENTAGE 
POINTS.
BUT FOR THEM, THAT'S A BIG 
CHANGE.
LET'S SEE HOW THAT'S PLAYING OUT
IN A COUPLE OF RIDINGS.
THIS IS THE FIRST OF 223 POLLS 
REPORTING, BUT IT IS A 
SIGNIFICANT ONE FOR THE GREENS 
IN LEAD.
WE'LL KEEP AN EYE ON THAT RIDING
OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO.
IN PARRY SOUND-MUSKOKA, THIS IS 
A CONSERVATIVE RIDING AND 
CONTINUES TO BE A CONSERVATIVE 
RIDING.
LOOK AT THE GREENS, PRETTY 
STRONG THIRD IN PARRY 
SOUND-MUSKOKA.
>> Rosemary: THE FLOOR IS 
STARTING TO CHANGE.
WE DON'T HAVE RESULTS YET FROM 
BRITISH COLUMBIA.
WE'LL KEEP OUR EYE ON THE MAP 
FOR THAT PART, BUT IN 
SASKATCHEWAN, THE CONSERVATIVES 
ARE LEADING IN 10.
BUT RALPH GOODALE IS STILL IN 
FRONT.
THERE WERE CONCERNS HE MIGHT NOT
BE ABLE TO PULL IT OFF.
THE RACE IS TIGHT.
ALBERTA, ALL THE SEATS SO FAR 
SEEM TO BE LEANING BLUE, 
CONSERVATIVE, WHICH WOULD NOT BE
SURPRISING, ALTHOUGH THERE WOULD
BE LOSSES THERE FOR THE 
LIBERALS.
TELL ME WHAT YOU'RE HEARING.
>> Vassy: THERE IS NO WAY TO 
OVERSTATE THE SIGNIFICANCE OF 
ONTARIO.
WE KNEW GOING INTO THIS THAT THE
PATH WAS THROUGH ONTARIO.
TWO THINGS TO FOCUS ON THAT BOB 
AND OTHERS BROUGHT UP, THE 
POTENTIAL IMPACT OF THE -- YOU 
PUT IT AS STRATEGIC VOTING 
MESSAGE, IT WAS IN THE LAST 
SEVEN DAYS, YOU HAVE TO VOTE FOR
US!
DID THAT WORK?
>> I'VE BEEN A VICTIM OF THAT.
>> Vassy: I'M SURE YOU HAVE.
>> Rosemary: IT CAN WORK.
>> Vassy: THAT'S AN INTERESTING 
ANALYSIS, AND ONE THAT YOU 
DIDN'T HEAR THROUGH THE MEDIA IN
THE FIRST SIX WEEKS OF THE 
CAMPAIGN.
THERE WAS HOW COULD THEY EVER 
ASSOCIATE WITH DOUG FORD?
WE KNOW SPEAKING WITH 
CONSERVATIVES JUST BEFORE THE 
CAMPAIGN, PEOPLE IN THE 905 WERE
AT THE DOORS AND HEARING FROM 
PEOPLE THEY DID NOT WANT TO 
ASSOCIATED WITH DOUG FORD.
THAT ASSOCIATION HAS BEEN DRAWN.
IT WAS A SPECIFIC CONCLUSION 
THAT THE FEDERAL CONSERVATIVES 
DREW, THAT THEY COULDN'T AFFORD 
TO.
AND WE DON'T KNOW HOW MUCH WORSE
THE OUTCOME WOULD HAVE BEEN, 
HOWEVER, I TAKE THE POINT THERE 
IS A LARGE CONSTITUENCY OF 
SUPPORT FOR DOUG FORD.
I WAGER IT'S A STRATEGIC VOTING 
MORE THAN THAT.
>> Rosemary: THAT'S FAIR TO SAY.
THE LIBERALS LEADING IN 124 
RIDINGS.
THE CONSERVATIVES 94.
THE BLOC 28.
MOST PARTIES PREDICTED THEY 
WOULD GET BACK TO THIS SPACE.
THEY HAD 10 IN 2015.
SO THIS IS A BIG GAIN FOR THE 
BLOC QUEBECOIS TONIGHT.
THE N.D.P. STILL DOESN'T HAVE 
ENOUGH SEATS RIGHT NOW TO FORM 
OFFICIAL PARTY STATUS, TO GET 
OFFICIAL PARTY STATUS.
NOW THEY'VE JUST GOT IT.
YOU HAVE TO HAVE 12.
THEY NEED TO HOLD ONTO THAT 
TONIGHT.
GREENS HAVE BEEN LEADING OR 
ELECTED IN ONE AND IT'S STILL 
LOOKING GOOD FOR THEM IN 
FREDERICTON.
OUR CBC NEWS DECISION DESK IS 
READY RIGHT NOW TO MAKE A CALL.
>> CANADA YOUR NEXT GOVERNMENT 
WILL BE A LIBERAL GOVERNMENT, 
JUSTIN TRUDEAU WILL HANG ON AS 
PRIME MINISTER.
SO AFTER A CONTENTIOUS, 
SOMETIMES NASTY CAMPAIGN, JUSTIN
TRUDEAU MAY IN FACT NEED THE 
SUPPORT OF OTHER PARTIES TO 
GOVERN THE COUNTRY.
BUT WE DON'T KNOW HOW THAT'S 
GOING TO SHAKE DOWN.
ALL WE'RE WILLING TO SAY RIGHT 
NOW, CANADA IS GETTING A LIBERAL
GOVERNMENT.
JUSTIN TRUDEAU IS GOING TO BE 
VERY PLEASED.
THEY'RE AT LIBERAL HEADQUARTERS,
SOME EXCITEMENT STARTING AS THEY
REALIZE THEY HOLD ONTO 
GOVERNMENT.
SALIMAH SHIVJI IS IN MONTREAL AT
LIBERAL HEADQUARTERS.
LET'S CHECK IN.
>> Reporter: AS YOU CAN HEAR, 
THE CHANTS BEHIND ME, FOUR MORE 
YEARS.
A PRETTY HAPPY CROWD HERE.
THAT CALL CAME QUICKLY, MORE 
QUICKLY THAN THEY WERE EXPECTING
A COUPLE OF WEEKS AGO.
THE CHANCE AT FOUR MORE YEARS AS
THE NUMBERS WERE CREEPING UP, 
THERE WERE CHEERS PEELING OUT 
FROM THE CROWD.
WHEN THEY GOT TO 50, 100 AND 
THEN WHEN THE CALL CAME FROM US 
AND FROM RADIO-CANADA, IT'S A 
PRETTY HAPPY CROWD HERE.
IT WAS INTERESTING, THE ROOM WAS
EMPTY AT THE BEGINNING WHEN THE 
POLLS CLOSED IN THE EASTERN TIME
ZONE.
THE LIBERAL TEAM WAS WATCHING, 
CAMPED AWAY, WATCHING THE 
RESULTS FROM THE ATLANTIC 
REGION, BUT THEY WERE REALLY 
ENCOURAGED BY THE RESULTS COMING
IN.
THEY WERE EXPECTING THE LOSSES 
AND THEN THEY STARTED TRICKLING 
IN HERE.
SO PRETTY EXCITED ROOM SO FAR 
WAITING TO HEAR WHETHER IT WILL 
BE A MINORITY OR MAJORITY 
GOVERNMENT.
YOU CAN FEEL THE EXCITEMENT 
BUILDING.
WHAT A CHANGE FROM JUST A HALF 
HOUR AGO, 45 MINUTES AGO, WHEN 
IT WAS QUITE EMPTY AND THERE WAS
STILL NAIL-BITING AS THE TEAM 
WAS WAITING TO SEE WHAT WAS 
GOING TO HAPPEN IN QUÉBEC.
THEY WEREN'T AS WORRIED ABOUT 
WHAT WAS GOING TO HAPPEN IN THE 
ATLANTIC.
THEY WERE EXPECTING THE LOSSES.
IT WAS QUÉBEC THAT WAS THE WILD 
CARD AND THEY WERE FEELING 
CONFIDENT ABOUT THEIR CHANCES IN
ONTARIO.
>> Rosemary: OKAY.
>> Reporter: THEY'RE STILL 
WAITING TO HEAR.
>> Rosemary: LET ME EXPLAIN WHY 
WE'RE ALL STILL WAITING TO TELL 
THEM MORE ABOUT WHAT THIS 
GOVERNMENT WILL LOOK LIKE.
AS WAS THE CASE IN ATLANTIC 
CANADA AND PART OF THE NIGHT, 
THERE ARE MANY RIDINGS THAT ARE 
STILL TOO CLOSE TO CALL.
59 RIDINGS WITH A MARGIN OF LESS
THAN 50 VOTES.
I'LL GET THAT BOARD TO YOU.
THAT MEANS GIVEN HOW TIGHT SOME 
OF THE RACES ARE -- 59 RIDINGS, 
THAT'S A WHOLE BUNCH, WE'RE NOT 
READY TO SAY LIBERAL MINORITY OR
MAJORITY, BECAUSE THOSE THINGS 
ARE STILL IN PLAY.
THAT'S HOW TIGHT THIS RACE IS.
ALL WE'RE GOING TO TELL YOU 
RIGHT NOW, THE LIBERAL 
GOVERNMENT, JUSTIN TRUDEAU HANGS
ON FOR A SECOND MANDATE AND 
WE'LL BE ABLE TO FIRM THAT UP 
SOON.
THIS IS A GOOD SPOT FOR YOU.
>> Andrew: YOU HIT THE NAIL ON 
THE HEAD, RIGHT?
THERE ARE SO MANY RIDINGS STILL 
IN PLAY.
THIS 130 NUMBER COULD GO SKY 
HIGH OR HOLD STAGNATE.
LET'S TRY TO CHECK THAT 
QUESTION.
WHERE THEY CAN HIT 38.5% AND 
HISTORICALLY, BASED ON THE 
HISTORICAL PRECEDENT, WE'VE 
NEVER SEEN A PARTY NOT HIT THAT 
MARK AND STILL FORM A MAJORITY 
GOVERNMENT.
RIGHT NOW, THE LIBERALS ARE 
UNDER THAT MARK.
WHAT WE SAW A FEW MOMENTS AGO, 
THEY WERE TRENDING AT 40%.
BUT I WAS WATCHING THAT NUMBER 
AND IT FELT LIKE EVERY FIVE 
MINUTES THEY WENT DOWN A TICK, 
DOWN A TICK.
THEY'VE BEEN DROPPING THE MORE 
RESULTS FROM ONTARIO AND QUÉBEC,
THAT NUMBER HAS BEEN DROPPING.
THESE NUMBERS SUGGEST THE 
LIBERALS NOT TRENDING TOWARDS A 
MAJORITY GOVERNMENT.
STILL HAVE B.C. RESULTS TO COME.
LET ME SHOW YOU THE SEAT CHANGE 
NUMBERS.
THIS IS ANOTHER METRIC WE CAN 
TRY TO GAUGE -- AND THIS IS 
HARDER MATH CALCULATION, WHEN I 
SAY HARD, I DON'T MEAN 
DIFFICULT, BUT IT'S MUCH 
CLEARER.
THE LIBERALS CAN AFFORD TO LOSE 
16 SEATS AND HOLD ONTO THE 
MAJORITY.
IF THEY LOSE MORE THAN THAT -- 
RIGHT NOW, THEY'RE DOWN 20 
SEATS, SO THOSE TWO THINGS 
COMBINED, IT LOOKED LIKE THE 
LIBERALS MAY BE ABLE TO FORM A 
MAJORITY A FEW MINUTES AGO, 
RIGHT NOW, THAT DOOR APPEARS TO 
BE CLOSING.
BUT AGAIN, ROSIE, THIS ALL 
HINGES ON SO MANY OF THE RIDINGS
THAT ARE SO CLOSE TO CALL.
DOZENS OF RIDINGS WITHIN 50 TO 
100 VOTES.
THAT'S AS NARROW AS IT GETS.
CONSERVATIVES UP.
NOT NEARLY AS MANY AS THEY HOPED
IF THIS WAS A GOOD NIGHT FOR 
THEM.
THE BLOC QUEBECOIS, THEY ONLY 
NEEDED TO BE PLUS TWO TO 
RECAPTURE THE STATUS.
NOW THEY'RE UP MORE THAN THAT.
18.
AND THE N.D.P., THEY'RE DOWN 14.
IF THEY LOSE MANY MORE THAN 
THAT, THEY WOULD BE THREATENED 
WITH LOSING PARTY STATUS, BUT OF
COURSE, THOSE B.C. RIDINGS -- 
>> Rosemary: PLACES WE EXPECT 
THEM TO DO WELL.
THERE ARE STILL MANY CLOSE CALLS
AND A LOT OF RIDINGS NOT 
REPORTING IN BRITISH COLUMBIA, 
WHICH IS WHY WE'RE NOT READY TO 
SAY WHAT FORM THIS LIBERAL 
GOVERNMENT WILL TAKE.
>> Ian: ISN'T THIS A TIME YOU'RE
NOT ON THE DECISION DESK?
>> Rosemary: I WOULD BE TERRIBLE
AT THAT JOB [LAUGHTER].
>> Ian: THEY'RE CAREFUL AND 
MAKING SURE THEY DON'T DO THAT 
PROJECTION UNTIL THEY KNOW THERE
IS GOING TO BE A LIBERAL 
GOVERNMENT.
WE'LL STRESS, WE DON'T KNOW IF 
IT'S MAJORITY OR MINORITY.
LET'S LOOK AT THE SEAT CHANGE, 
KEEPING IN MIND A LOT OF THESE 
STILL IN PROGRESS.
YOU CAN SEE THE CONSERVATIVES 
ONLY AHEAD WHEN YOU CONSIDER 
ELECTED AND LEADING -- PRIMARILY
LEADING I WOULD THINK -- BY PLUS
4 SEATS.
I WANT TO SHOW YOU THREE RIDINGS
IN THE 905.
AND IN THE 905 THIS IS WHERE THE
CONSERVATIVES IN PARTICULAR 
NEEDED TO PICK UP SEATS.
NEWMARKET-AURORA, IF TONY VAN 
BINNON WAS TO HOLD ONTO THIS, HE
WAS THE MAYOR OF NEW MARKET, HE 
WOULD LIKE TO BECOME THE M.P.
THIS IS A RIDING THE LIBERALS 
WON THE LAST TIME AROUND.
WITH A DIFFERENT M.P., THIS WAS 
FANTINO'S RIDING AND FRANCESCO 
WON IN 2015.
AND FINALLY OAKVILLE, ANITA, 
FIRST TIME SHE'S RUNNING, 
ALTHOUGH THIS WAS A LIBERAL WIN 
BACK IN 2015.
AND A SMALL LEAD, 79 VOTES, SO 
THERE ARE A BUNCH OF THESE 
RIDINGS THAT COULD CHANGE.
>> Rosemary: THAT'S WHY WE'RE 
NOT GOING FURTHER DOWN THE ROAD 
YET, OTHER THAN JUST A LIBERAL 
GOVERNMENT.
LOOK AT THE CONSERVATIVE NUMBER,
NOW THEY'RE AT 100, BUT IN 2015,
THEY WON 99 SEATS.
SO IF THEY'RE NOT ABLE TO PULL 
IN OTHER NUMBERS, WINNING KEY 
SEATS IN BRITISH COLUMBIA, 
THAT'S GOT TO BE A DISAPPOINTING
NIGHT FOR THEM, BEYOND THE FACT 
THEY'RE NOT FORMING GOVERNMENT.
>> Heather: AS YOU SAY, IT'S 
DRAMATIC AND THESE ARE TIGHT IN 
THE RIDING IN QUÉBEC, WE TAKE A 
LOOK AT THE SEAT CHANGE, THE 
BLOC UP 22 FROM FOUR YEARS AGO 
WHEN THEY HAD 10 AND DIDN'T HAVE
OFFICIAL PARTY STATUS.
WE'RE IN THE 30+ RANGE, BUT NOT 
ALL DECIDED.
THIS IS ONE THAT IS GOING BACK, 
IT'S 2015 ALL OVER AGAIN.
YOU HAVE THE BLOC INCUMBENT 
DUVAL FLIPPING BACK AND FORTH 
WITH THE LIBERALS AGAIN, JUST 10
OF THE POLLS REPORTING.
LONGUEUIL ST. HEBERT IS ONE OF 
THE RIDINGS WE TALKED ABOUT A 
LOT, BECAUSE THERE IS JERSEY 
SWAPPING AND PARTY SWAPPING.
HEBERT HAS A SOLID LEAD.
HE IS THE FORMER HEALTH MINISTER
PROVINCIALLY, BUT WENT TO THE 
FEDERAL LIBERALS BECAUSE HE 
WANTS A HEALTH CARE NETWORK FOR 
SENIORS.
HE THOUGHT THAT WAS THE BEST WAY
TO PUT HIS MAIN PLATFORM AHEAD.
RIGHT NOW, HE'S LEADING ON THE 
SOUTH SHORE.
BUT THE 450 RANGE, THE 
FRANCOPHONE RIDINGS, THAT'S WHAT
WE'RE WATCHING.
>> Rosemary: THERE ARE TWO 
MINISTERS, AMERJEET SOHI.
MORE RESULTS.
>> COUPLE OF THE LIBERAL 
CABINETS.
KARINA GOULD HAS THE LEAD OVER 
THE CONTENDER.
THIS IS ONE OF THE SEATS THE 
CONSERVATIVES WERE GOING TO WIN.
SO FAR THE LIBERALS HOLDING.
ON THE TO PETERBOROUGH, MARYAM 
MONSEF.
THIS IS ONE OF THE SEATS IN THE 
SMALLER URBAN CENTRES WHERE THE 
CONSERVATIVES NEEDED TO BUST 
THROUGH A TIGHT ONE.
AURORA, THIS ONE IS PERSONAL.
SHE CROSSED THE FLOOR.
THIS IS ONE THE LIBERALS WANT 
BACK.
AS IS THIS ONE.
FOR A BUNCH OF REASONS.
MARKHAM STOUFFVILLE.
JANE PHILPOTT IS IN THIRD PLACE 
RUNNING AS AN INDEPENDENT.
>> Rosemary: IAN HAS MORE 
RESULTS.
>> BRITISH COLUMBIA WON'T 
DETERMINE WHICH PARTY WILL FORM 
GOVERNMENT, BUT MAY DETERMINE 
WHETHER IT IS A MAJORITY OR 
MINORITY.
VANCOUVER SOUTH, HARJIT SAJJAN, 
IS IN THE LEAD, JUST FIVE.
ONE POLL REPORTING.
VANCOUVER KINGSLEY, DONE DAVIES,
LONGTIME N.D.P.
WHO HAS SO MUCH SUPPORT IN THE 
AREA.
HE IS LEADING.
TAGGART, A FAMOUS BROADCASTER IN
BRITISH COLUMBIA.
CHARMING.
IT WILL BE INTERESTING TO SEE 
HOW SHE DOES IN THE RIDING.
NORTH ISLAND POWELL RIVER, THIS 
IS WITH ONE OF THE INTERESTING 
RIDINGS.
OVER THE YEARS, THE REFORM HAS 
DONE AS WELL AND A LOT OF US ARE
WONDERING HOW THE GREEN PARTY 
WILL DO.
BUT THIS MIGHT BE THE TOUGHEST 
ONE FOR THE GREENS IN THE 
INDUSTRIAL AREA.
>> Rosemary: EARLY RESULTS FROM 
BRITISH COLUMBIA, AS IAN SAYS, 
COULD MAKE OR BREAK WHAT KIND OF
GOVERNMENT JUSTIN TRUDEAU WILL 
BE HAVING FOR THE NEXT LITTLE 
BIT.
WE'LL SHOW YOU WHERE WE ARE.
LIBERALS LEADING OR ELECTED IN 
143 RIDINGS.
AND THE CONSERVATIVES NOW 
LEADING OR ELECTED IN 104.
THE BLOC IS ON THE BOARD WITH 
30.
IF DAMAGE HAS BEEN DONE, IT'S BY
THE BLOC AND LARGELY TO THE 
N.D.P., WHO IS ON THE BOARD WITH
20.
WE'LL GO BACK AND SEE IF THEY 
PICKED UP AND HELD ONTO ANY IN 
QUÉBEC.
LAST CHECK, THEY WERE HOLDING 
ONTO JUST ONE.
AND THE GREENS ARE ON THE BOARD 
WITH ONE, BUT WE'RE EXPECTING 
MORE TO COME FROM THEM ON 
VANCOUVER ISLAND.
THAT'S WHERE ALL THE HOPES ARE.
THEY HAVE, HOWEVER, INCREASED 
THEIR SHARE OF THE VOTE ACROSS 
THE COUNTRY BY 9%.
AND IN FACT, THAT COULD HAVE 
HURT OTHER PARTIES AS WE SAW 
THAT SUPPORT GO AHEAD.
NOW, OUR CBC NEWS DECISION DESK 
IS READY TO MAKE YET ANOTHER 
CALL.
CANADA, YOUR NEXT GOVERNMENT 
WILL BE A LIBERAL MINORITY 
GOVERNMENT.
WE'RE PROJECTING THAT AT THIS 
HOUR.
JUSTIN TRUDEAU WILL, AS WE SAY 
THERE, GET A SECOND MANDATE AS 
PRIME MINISTER, BUT HIS MAJORITY
FROM 2015 NO LONGER.
AND GIVEN THE WAY THIS CAMPAIGN 
HAS UNFOLDED, JUSTIN TRUDEAU MAY
INDEED NEED THE SUPPORT OF OTHER
PARTIES IN ORDER TO FIND A WAY 
TO GOVERN THE COUNTRY.
WE'LL HAVE TO SEE WHERE THE 
MARGINS GO AND WHERE THEY END TO
GET A SENSE OF WHERE THAT 
COOPERATION WOULD COME FROM AND 
HOW HE'S GOING TO GET IT.
LET'S GO TO SALIMAH SHIVJI WHO 
IS WITH HEADQUARTERS IN 
MONTREAL.
THEY'RE WATCHING US BEHIND YOU.
THEY'RE STILL VERY HAPPY.
>> Reporter: THEY ARE.
THEY ARE HAPPY HERE TONIGHT.
A LOUD CHEER WENT OUT WHEN YOU 
MADE THE CALL, EXCEPT FOR IT 
WASN'T AS LOUD AS WHEN WE FIRST 
PROJECTED THERE WAS GOING TO BE 
A LIBERAL GOVERNMENT.
THEY WERE HOPING FOR A MAJORITY 
HERE, BUT THE FACT THAT IT IS 
LIBERAL MINORITY GOVERNMENT -- 
[CHEERING]
-- MUTED RESPONSE.
YOU CAN HEAR THE CHEERS AGAIN.
THEY SWITCHED CHANNELS.
LIBERAL INSIDERS, STRATEGISTS, A
WIN IS BETTER THAN A LOSS.
THEY WANTED TO WIN.
THEY WANTED A MAJORITY, BUT 
THEY'LL TAKE THE MINORITY AND 
WAIT AND SEE WHO WILL HOLD THE 
BALANCE OF POWER AND WHO THEY'LL
HAVE TO WORK WITH TO GET 
LEGISLATION PASSED.
SO THE ROOM IS JOYFUL, VERY 
HAPPY THEY'LL RETURN TO 
GOVERNMENT.
PERHAPS A LITTLE MORE DIFFICULT 
TO GOVERN.
A WIN IS BETTER THAN A LOSS IS 
WHAT THEY'RE SAYING.
>> Rosemary: WE'LL SEE HOW BIG A
WIN.
WE'LL CHECK BACK WITH YOU.
WE'LL HEAR FROM JUSTIN TRUDEAU.
SO, AGAIN, THERE ARE PLACES IT'S
TOO TIGHT AND WE DON'T SEE THE 
PLACES WHERE THE LIBERALS CAN 
PICK UP SUPPORT.
WE CAN'T GET THEM TO 170.
BUT CAN WE GET THEM CLOSE?
MAYBE.
THAT'S A DETERMINING FACTOR IN 
HOW THEY GOVERN AS A MINORITY 
GOVERNMENT.
HOW HIGH CAN THEY GET THE 
NUMBER?
THERE WERE LIBERALS IN THE PAST 
COUPLE OF DAYS SUGGESTING 150 
AND GOING ALL THE WAY TO 160 
WHICH WOULD MAKE THEIR LIVES A 
LITTLE EASIER IN MINORITY 
GOVERNMENT.
THE LAST MINORITY WAS UNDER PAUL
MARTIN.
THEY TEND TO LAST BETWEEN 18-24 
MONTHS.
ANDREW IS GOING TO GIVE US A BIG
PICTURE ABOUT HOW THIS ACTUALLY 
BROKE DOWN AND EXPLAIN TO US 
BETTER WHY WE ARE WHERE WE ARE.
>> Andrew: THE WAY THE DECISION 
DESK IS CRUNCHING THE NUMBERS, 
IT'S NOT IN THE CARDS FOR THE 
LIBERALS TO FORM MAJORITY 
GOVERNMENT.
THIS IS ONE OF THEM WE'VE BEEN 
TALKING ABOUT OVER THE COURSE OF
THE EVENING, THE SIMPLE FACT 
THAT HISTORICALLY, WE'VE NEVER 
SEEN A PARTY FALL BELOW 38.5% 
AND STILL FORM A MAJORITY 
GOVERNMENT AND IT DOESN'T LOOK 
LIKE TONIGHT WILL BE AN 
EXCEPTION TO THE RULE.
ONE OTHER INTERESTING THING I'LL
POINT OUT, THE N.D.P. ARE DOWN 
ABOUT 5% IN THEIR VOTE SHARE.
THE GREENS ARE UP 5%.
LET'S TAKE A LOOK AT THE SEAT 
CHANGE.
ANOTHER WAY TO CRUNCH THIS ONE, 
THE LIBERALS COULD AFFORD TO 
LOSE 16 SEATS OVER THE COURSE OF
THE NIGHT.
I JUST SAW A LITTLE MINUS 16, 
RIGHT NOW, MINUS 17.
THAT GIVES YOU A SENSE OF WHY 
IT'S TAKEN AS LONG AS IT HAS TO 
MAKE THE CALL.
BECAUSE THERE ARE RIDINGS THAT 
ARE TOO CLOSE TO CALL, SO THESE 
NUMBERS CAN STILL GO UP AND 
DOWN.
BUT RIGHT NOW, THE LIBERALS 
OUTSIDE OF THE THRESHOLD THEY 
NEEDED TO BE WITHIN IN ORDER TO 
FORM A MAJORITY GOVERNMENT, 
WHICH IS WHY WITH WE CAN LOOK AT
THE BOARD AND SEE CLEARLY 
MINORITY IN THE CARDS.
>> Rosemary: IT'S DEPENDENT ON 
HOW BIG THAT IS.
IF YOU READY UP THE LIBERALS AND
THE N.D.P., YOU'RE TWO AWAY FROM
170.
YOU CAN START -- ONE AWAY.
YOU CAN START TO SEE HOW THEY 
ARE GOING TO GET PEOPLE TO FIND 
WAYS TO BUY INTO WHATEVER 
THEY'VE GOT TO DO TO MAKE THEIR 
GOVERNING A LITTLE EASIER.
NOT AS EASY AS A MAJORITY, BUT 
THE MORE SEATS, THE EASIER IT 
GETS.
>> Ian: WHAT HAPPENED WITH THE 
CONSERVATIVES IN ONTARIO THAT 
CHANGED THIS?
LET'S LOOK AT A COUPLE OF 
RIDINGS.
THE RESULTS AREN'T COMPLETE, BUT
THEY GIVE US AN INDICATION OF A 
COUPLE OF RIDINGS.
HERE YOU GO.
THIS IS A GOOD EXAMPLE OF WHY 
THIS IS STILL IN PROGRESS AND 
CAN CHANGE.
61-VOTE LEAD HERE WITH KIM RUDD,
NORTHUMBERLAND-PETERBOROUGH 
SOUTH.
JUST BEFORE I WAS GOING TO SPEAK
THE CONSERVATIVES WERE IN THE 
LEAD THERE.
HASTINGS, THEY ARE IN THE LEAD 
WITH 28 -- 224 POLLS.
WE'RE FINDING OUT WE NEED 
STRONGER GLASSES THE NEXT TIME 
THERE IS AN ELECTION.
WHICH PROBABLY ISN'T FOUR YEARS 
FROM NOW.
>> Rosemary: I'M GETTING TO YOU 
GUYS.
I KNOW YOU WANT TO TALK ABOUT 
1972.
IT'S COMING [LAUGHTER].
OR 1985.
HANG ON, I NEED TO GET RESULTS.
HANG ON.
>> WE'RE GOING TO SHOW YOU TWO 
SEATS WHERE THE LIBERALS HAD 
BREAKTHROUGHS BUT ARE TRAILING.
THIS ST. JEAN.
LOOK WHO IS LEADING IT, GILLES 
DUCEPPE'S SON.
AND HERE IN MARYANN MIHYCHUK, 
TRAILING WITH 25 POLLS REPORTING
TO  DANCHO.
>> SPOILER AND KING MAKER, WHICH
PARTY WOULD FORM GOVERNMENT, 
MINORITY OR MAJORITY?
HERE'S ONE OF THE RIDINGS.
THE BLOC TAKING FROM ALL 
PARTIES.
MASSE IS THE INCUMBENT FOR THE 
LIBERALS, BUT LEADING IS 
26-YEAR-OLD CHRISTINA MICHAUD 
WHO TALKS ABOUT DOING POLITICS 
DIFFERENTLY.
BLANCHET HAS RECRUITED YOUNG 
CANDIDATES.
TREMBLAY IS LEADING IN 
CHICOUTIMI-LE FJORD.
AND HIS ATTEMPT TO CREATE THE 
MULRONEY NATIONALIST COALITION.
HE WAS SEEN AS A SUCCESSFUL 
MEASURE OF THAT.
AGAIN, NOT LASTING AND GOING TO 
THE BLOC TODAY.
TAKING FROM THE CONSERVATIVES 
AND FROM THE LIBERALS AS THEY 
FORM THAT 33-SEAT BLOC.
>> Rosemary: YOU TWO READY.
FIRST I'D LIKE TO TALK ABOUT 
1972.
I WAS BORN FOUR YEARS LATER.
WE'LL START THERE.
[LAUGHTER].
BUT THAT WAS WHEN PIERRE 
TRUDEAU'S MAJORITY WAS REDUCED 
TO A MINORITY.
A TIGHT RACE.
BUT IT LEADS YOU TO BELIEVE THE 
SAME COMPARISON THAT JUSTIN 
TRUDEAU COULD NOT HOLD THE 
MAJORITY.
>> Peter: THIS IS A LITTLE 
DIFFERENT.
THIS IS CLOSER TO '79.
CLARK WINS, FOUR PERCENTAGE 
POINTS LOWER THAN THE POPULAR 
VOTE THAN TRUDEAU, BUT 20 SEATS 
GREATER.
BUT IT WAS A MINORITY GOVERNMENT
FOR THE CONSERVATIVES.
DEFEATED NINE MONTHS LATER BY 
THIS GUY'S MOTION IN THE HOUSE 
OF COMMONS.
BUT HE HAD TO TRY TO FIGURE OUT 
A WAY TO HOLD THAT MINORITY 
GOVERNMENT.
AND THAT'S THE PROBLEM JUSTIN 
TRUDEAU IS GOING TO HAVE HERE.
IF THESE NUMBERS ARE WHAT THEY 
ARE AT THE END OF THE EVENING --
AND THEY WON'T BE, BECAUSE 
THEY'RE GOING TO CHANGE -- BUT 
IF THEY'RE LIKE THIS, HE'S GOT 
TO PUT TOGETHER THE N.D.P., THE 
GREENS AND SOME OF THE BLOC.
>> Rosemary: BUT IT ALSO GOES 
BACK TO THE OTHER POINT ABOUT 
THE WAY THE COUNTRY IS DIVIDED.
IN THAT CASE, IT MIGHT LOOK MORE
LIKE 1980.
BECAUSE IF YOU DON'T HAVE MUCH 
SUPPORT HERE, WEST OF MANITOBA, 
YOU GOT A LITTLE BIT ON THE 
CORNER.
>> THE THING THAT YOU ALWAYS 
HAVE TO REMEMBER, A MAJORITY IS 
A MAJORITY.
AND A MINORITY IS A MINORITY.
IT DOESN'T MATTER IF YOU HAVE 
169 SEATS IF YOU DON'T HAVE A 
MAJORITY, YOU DON'T.
>> Rosemary: I KNOW, BUT IT'S 
EASIER.
>> NOT NECESSARILY, BECAUSE IT 
DEPENDS.
YOU HAVE TO GOVERN -- I CAN 
BORROW A PHRASE FROM JOE CLARK, 
YOU HAVE TO GOVERN AS IF YOU 
HAVE A MINORITY.
YOU HAVE TO REMEMBER THAT.
>> Peter: THAT'S RIGHT.
>> Rosemary: YOU CAN'T GET TOO 
COCKY.
>> YOU CAN'T SAY I WON REALLY 
CLOSE.
I ALMOST GOT A MAJORITY.
THAT'S TAKES YOU NOWHERE.
THAT'S THE HARD TRUTH ABOUT 
TONIGHT.
I MEAN, YOU KNOW, I DON'T THINK 
ANYBODY THAT I WAS TALKING TO 
WAS THINKING WE'RE GOING TO WIN 
A MAJORITY, BUT YOU GOT TO 
UNDERSTAND, THIS IS NOW, YOU'RE 
PLAYING A DIFFERENT GAME.
>> Rosemary: YEAH.
>> AND IT'S GOING TO HAVE 
DIFFERENT CONSEQUENCES.
>> THE LIBERALS WILL TELEGRAPH 
THIS AS A WIN.
THEY WILL NOT BE SAYING -- BUT 
THEY WILL BE FRAMING IT TODAY AS
NOT -- WE'RE A FEW INCHES SHORT 
OF A MAJORITY AND THEY WERE 
SAYING TO US OFTEN IN THE PAST 
24 HOURS, A BUCK AND A HALF.
THEY KNEW THIS WAS ANTICIPATED.
>> Rosemary: THEY'RE PRETTY GOOD
AT PROJECTING.
>> SENIOR CITIZENS ON THE -- 
>> Rosemary: STOP IT!
>> IF I CAN POINT OUT THOUGH, 
YES, IT IS A MINORITY GOVERNMENT
AND, YES, IT MAY BE THAT THE 
BLOC WILL BE NEEDED ON A 
DAY-TO-DAY BASIS, BUT IF YOU 
THINK FOR A SECOND THAT ANY OF 
THOSE THREE OPPOSITION PARTIES, 
THE BLOC, THE GREENS OR THE 
N.D.P. WANT TO GO IN AN ELECTION
ANYTIME SOON, OR THAT THERE IS A
TOPIC THAT WOULD, YOU KNOW, LIKE
ANDREW SCHEER'S BILL 1, THERE IS
NOTHING LIKE THAT.
>> Rosemary: NOTHING THAT WILL 
FALL APART.
>> AND THE CONSERVATIVES 
THEMSELVES ARE GOING TO HAVE TO 
ASK THEMSELVES SERIOUS 
QUESTIONS.
>> Peter: THEY'RE GOING TO BE IN
A LEADERSHIP RACE.
>> Rosemary: I WANT TO GO TO 
REGINA AND TALK TO KATIE.
THERE IS LOTS OF THINGS TO TALK 
ABOUT, WE'RE AT 108.
I THINK WE'RE LEADING IN ELECTED
IN 10s.
MAYBE THAT DEALS WITH THE 
CONCERNS.
WHAT IS THE MOOD THERE, KATIE?
>> Reporter: I THINK -- WELL 
RIGHT NOW, EVERY TIME THEY BRING
UP A CONSERVATIVE CANDIDATE THAT
IS ELECTED, THERE IS A LITTLE 
BIT OF APPLAUSE HERE, BUT FOR 
THE MOST PART, THERE ARE 
HUNDREDS AND HUNDREDS OF PEOPLE 
IN THIS ROOM.
AND IT HAS MOSTLY BEEN PRETTY 
SILENT.
THE MOMENT THAT CBC NEWS 
PROJECTED A LIBERAL GOVERNMENT, 
IT WAS STILL UNCLEAR WHETHER IT 
WOULD BE A MAJORITY OR MINORITY,
IT WAS ON THE BIG SCREEN.
AS SOON AS YOU DECLARED IT, 
ROSIE, THEY CHANGED THE CHANNEL.
THE ROOM WAS SILENT.
THIS IS OBVIOUSLY A 
DISAPPOINTING RESULT FOR ANDREW 
SCHEER.
AND NOW THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE 
GOING TO BE, NOT WELL, YOU KNOW,
DOES THE PARTY WITH THE MOST 
SEATS GET TO GOVERN?
WHICH ANDREW SCHEER HAD BEEN 
TRYING TO PLANT THE SEED F THE 
CONSERVATIVES WON MORE SEATS 
THAN THE LIBERALS, THEY WERE 
GOING TO PLOUGH THROUGH AND WIN 
THAT GOVERNMENT.
THAT QUESTION NOW APPEARS TO BE 
OUT THE WINDOW.
AND THE QUESTION WILL BE FOR 
ANDREW SCHEER, DOES HE CONTINUE 
ON AS LEADER?
WILL HE GET TO A SEAT COUNT 
WHERE HIS COLLEAGUES, HIS CAUCUS
WILL BE COMFORTABLE WITH HIM 
LEADING THE HELM INTO THE NEXT 
ELECTION?
AND IT'S GOING TO BE A MINORITY 
GOVERNMENT, SO WHO KNOWS WHEN 
THAT IS GOING TO HAPPEN.
BUT AT THIS POINT, ONE THING TO 
BE WATCHING FOR, ARE THE PETER 
MacKAY'S OF THE WORLD, ERIN 
O'TOOLE'S OF THE WORLD, ARE 
THOSE PEOPLE INTERESTED IN 
LEADING THE PARTY INTO THE 
FUTURE, DO THEY START TO ASSESS 
THEIR OPTIONS.
>> Rosemary: THANKS FOR THAT.
I WOULD WAGER THEY WERE STARTING
TO ASSESS THEIR OPTIONS TWO 
WEEKS AGO, BUT THAT'S JUST ME.
CORY, LET'S GET YOUR ASSESSMENT.
HE'S GAINED 10 -- WELL 11 SEATS 
AS OF NOW, FROM WHAT THEY HAD IN
2015.
HOW WOULD THE CONSERVATIVES 
RESPOND TO THAT?
>> WELL, I THINK WE WANT TO SEE 
WHAT HAPPENS WITH THE REST OF 
THE EVENING BEFORE WE JUMP TOO 
DEEP INTO THOSE WATERS, BUT YOU 
KNOW, I WILL SAY THIS.
THAT FOR MINORITY PARLIAMENT 
SITUATIONS WHICH WE'RE TALKING 
ABOUT, I AGREE WITH THE THINGS 
THAT PREMIER RAE SAID ABOUT HOW 
THAT DOESN'T MATTER.
BUT I WOULD ADD TO THAT, THIS 
MAY BE A VERY STABLE MINORITY 
GOVERNMENT, PHENO IT IS A MY -- 
EVEN IF IT IS A MINORITY 
GOVERNMENT BECAUSE THE N.D.P. 
ARE GOING TO BE BROKE.
>> THEY ARE.
>> THE BLOC WILL HAVE NO 
INCENTIVE TO GO BACK TO THE 
POLLS.
AND WE'LL SEE HOW THE REST OF 
THE NIGHT UNFOLDS, BUT YOU COULD
HAVE MULTIPLE PARTIES IN 
LEADERSHIP CONTESTS, WHETHER 
IT'S CONSERVATIVES OR THE GREEN 
PARTY.
IT COULD BE A STABLE MINORITY 
GOVERNMENT FOR QUITE SOME TIME 
AS A RESULT OF THAT.
>> Rosemary: LET'S SEE WHERE THE
NUMBERS END UP BEFORE 
DETERMINING WHAT HAPPENS TO 
ANDREW SCHEER AND WHETHER THE 
CONSERVATIVE PARTY WANTS TO GIVE
HIM ANOTHER KICK AT THE CAN.
GOOD NEWS FOR THE LEADER OF THE 
BLOC QUEBECOIS.
RIGHT NOW, WE CAN CONFIRM THAT 
YVES-FRANCOIS BLANCHET HAS BEEN 
ELECTED IN HIS RIDING.
REMEMBER, HE WAS PREVIOUSLY AN 
MNA, SO A PROVINCIAL 
REPRESENTATIVE IN THE NATIONAL 
ASSEMBLY IN QUÉBEC IN 2008 AND 
IN 2012.
THIS IS HIS FIRST FORAY INTO 
FEDERAL POLITICS AND HE HAS 
LARGELY REBUILT THE BLOC 
QUEBECOIS FROM WHERE IT WAS WHEN
IT WAS WIPED OUT IN 2011, IN 
LARGE PART, BY THE N.D.P., WHERE
THEY HAD NO OFFICIAL PARTY 
STATUS BACK IN 2011.
GILLES DUCEPPE ALSO LOST.
THIS IS A BIG RETURN FOR BLOC 
QUEBECOIS, LARGELY DUE TO THE 
LEADER YVES-FRANCOIS BLANCHET, 
WHO CAN CLAIM A VICTORY HERE.
LET'S GO TO MONTREAL AND THE 
BLOC HEADQUARTERS, ALISON 
NORTHCOTT IS THERE WITH 
REACTION.
>> Reporter: I'M WITH THE BLOC 
CANDIDATE FOR LAURIER.
WHAT DO YOU MAKE OF THE RESULTS 
YOU'RE SEEING?
>> IT'S REALLY EXCITING, BECAUSE
IT'S COMING BACK TO MORE A 
CULTURAL UPRISING.
THE PRIDE AND THE ANGER TOWARD 
THE PUBLIC FUNDING OF THE 
PETROLEUM INDUSTRY.
PEOPLE ARE QUITE ANGRY ABOUT 
THAT.
IN QUÉBEC, IT'S TRANSFORMING TO 
A NEED TO PUT MONEY ON THE GREEN
RESOURCES.
AND ME AS A SCREEN WRITER AND 
DIRECTOR, PUT MONEY BACK INTO 
THE CULTURAL BECAUSE WE NEED 
SOME.
>> Reporter: WHAT DOES IT MEAN 
FOR THE BLOC TO HAVE POTENTIALLY
THE NUMBER OF SEATS WE'RE SEEING
NOW?
IT STARTED WITH JUST 10.
>> IT MEANS WE'RE GOING TO BE 
HEARD MORE.
WE'RE GOING TO BE -- WE'VE 
BEEN -- IT'S ALWAYS PUSHING 
FORWARD.
IT'S LIKE THE EMISSIONS.
NOW IT'S 2015.
IN 2015 WE WERE ALL GOING TO 
BE -- WE HAVE TO ACT NOW.
THERE IS A CLIMATE URGENCY AND 
ALSO A CULTURAL URGENCY.
FRENCH IS MAIN BLOOD IN 
MONTREAL.
>> Reporter: THANK YOU VERY 
MUCH.
>> Rosemary: THANKS FOR THAT.
OBVIOUSLY, LOTS OF EXCITEMENT 
THERE.
THE HEADQUARTERS IN MONTREAL.
I'M GOING TO BRING IN FOR 
ANALYSIS, I'M GOING TO START 
WITH YOU.
N.D.P. LEADING OR ELECTED IN 21.
A LOT OF THEM HAVE BEEN LOST IN 
QUÉBEC.
I CAN SEE ONE LITTLE SPOT.
I'M NOT SURE WHERE THAT IS.
SOMEONE WILL COME IN MY EAR AND 
TELL ME.
WHAT DOES THIS TELL YOU AND WHAT
DO YOU MAKE OF CORY'S ANALYSIS 
THAT THE N.D.P. CAN'T AFFORD 
ANOTHER ELECTION?
>> I THINK WE'RE MISSING THE 
MARK ON THE WHOLE CONVERSATION 
AND MY CHEST IS GETTING TIGHT.
>> Rosemary: TELL ME!
DON'T LET THAT HAPPEN.
>> WE TALK ABOUT THE LEADER THAT
SHOULD OR SHOULD NOT RESIGN, 
LOOK AT THIS MAP.
THE VOTERS ARE SENDING US A 
MESSAGE AND WE'VE BEEN TALKING 
ABOUT HOW NOBODY GETS 
ENTHUSIASTIC ABOUT VOTING FOR A 
MINORITY.
AND HOW ARE PEOPLE GOING TO THE 
POLLS AND NOBODY REALLY CARES.
IT'S BOLOGNA.
LOOK AT THIS MAP.
THEY VOTED FOR YVES-FRANCOIS 
BLANCHET.
THE PEOPLE IN KENORA VOTED FOR 
CHIEF RUDY TURTLE.
>> Rosemary: CLIMATE CHANGE?
>> NO, IT'S NOT CLIMATE CHANGE, 
THEY DIDN'T GET THE COOPERATION 
WE EXPECTED WITH PROPORTIONAL 
REPRESENTATION AND THEY'RE 
FORCING COOPERATION ON US.
THAT'S WHAT'S HAPPENING.
THEY ARE TELLING US, WE HAVE TO 
FIGURE IT OUT.
THESE ARE HIGHLY MOTIVATED 
VOTERS AND NO LEADER SHOULD STEP
DOWN.
>> Rosemary: THAT'S A GOOD 
POINT, BUT TO MY POINT AROUND 
CLIMATE CHANGE, YOU COULD READ 
THE MAP THAT WAY.
YOU HAVE BIG SWATHS OF THE 
COUNTRY THAT WILLING AND 
PREPARED TO FIGHT CLIMATE CHANGE
AND PERHAPS ASK FOR SOMETHING 
MORE AGGRESSIVE THAN THE 
LIBERALS AND THEN YOU HAVE THIS 
POCKET THAT SAYS NO MORE.
>> WE ARE A COUNTRY OF REGIONS 
AND IT DOESN'T MAKE SENSE WE 
WORK, BUT WE DO.
BUT PEOPLE ARE VOTING FOR THEIR 
BELIEFS, THEIR VALUES, THEIR 
REGIONS, THEIR LOCAL ECONOMIES.
I MEAN THAT IS EXACTLY WHAT IS 
GOING ON HERE.
>> Rosemary: DUNCAN?
>> I WANT TO PICK UP ON THAT 
POINT.
MY HABITS AT CROSS COUNTRY 
CHECKUP DIE HARD, I LIKE TO 
LISTEN TO WHAT CANADIANS ARE 
HAVING TO SAY.
I'M GETTING A LOT OF PEOPLE 
RESPONDING AND TALKING ABOUT 
PROPORTIONAL REPRESENTATION AND 
THE FRUSTRATION WITH ELECTORAL 
REFORM.
CLYDE SAID I'D HAVE MORE 
ENTHUSIASM FOR THIS ELECTION IF 
I HAD A REFORMED ELECTORAL 
SYSTEM IN WHICH I COULD VOTE.
AND CLEARLY THERE WERE PEOPLE 
THAT WERE FRUSTRATED THAT JUSTIN
TRUDEAU RENEGED ON THIS ONE.
AND PERHAPS, WHAT WE'RE SEEING 
HERE IS CANADIANS SENDING A 
MESSAGE THEY WANT TO SEE 
COOPERATION.
THEY WANT -- I MEAN ANYONE 
LOOKING AT THE GREEN NUMBERS, 
YOU KNOW, THEY'VE BEEN ABOUT 8, 
9, 10%, YET AT THE MOMENT THEY 
ONLY HAVE ONE SEAT.
>> Rosemary: EXCEPT THAT SEAT IN
FREDERICTON, WOULD THEY HAVE GOT
THAT WITHOUT 
FIRST-PAST-THE-POST?
IT STARTS TO BE A CONVERSATION 
THAT DEPENDS ON WHERE YOU'RE 
GOING INTO TERMS OF ELECTORAL 
REFORM.
I DON'T KNOW THERE IS GOING TO 
BE ENOUGH PRESSURE ON ANYONE TO 
DO THAT THIS TIME AROUND 
FRANKLY.
I WANT TO BRING YOU UP TO DATE 
ON ONE MORE ELECTED --
>> SORRY, BUT IT'S NOT 
HAPPENING.
>> Rosemary: I AGREE WITH YOU.
BUT THE ONLY PARTIES THAT WOULD 
ADVOCATE, THE N.D.P. AND THE 
GREENS.
I HAVE TO DO THIS.
ANDREW SCHEER HAS BEEN 
RE-ELECTED IN REGINA.
THE CONSERVATIVE LEADER, THIS 
WILL BE HIS SIXTH CONSECUTIVE 
WIN IN SASKATCHEWAN.
EASY WIN FOR HIM.
FIRST ELECTED AT AGE 25.
HAS BEEN A POLITICIAN FOR MOST 
OF HIS LIFE.
SO HE HAS THAT GOOD NEWS.
>> WE HAVE THIS CONVERSATION 
EVERY TIME WE HAVE AN ELECTION, 
BUT IT IS NOT COMING BACK.
THE LIBERALS AND THE 
CONSERVATIVES ARE NOT BUYING IN.
AND IT WILL NOT BE A TOPIC I 
WATCH.
JAGMEET SINGH SAY A PROGRESSIVE 
GOVERNMENT WOULD DO ELECTORAL 
REFORM.
I THINK A LOT OF THE PEOPLE DID 
VOTE FOR THE N.D.P. TONIGHT 
WOULD NOT THINK WE WOULD GO BACK
TO ELECTION OVER ELECTORAL 
REFORM.
>> Rosemary: GOD, I DON'T THINK 
SO EITHER.
ALTHIA.
>> FRANKLY, THE GREENS AND THE 
N.D.P. ARE NOT SAYING THAT.
JAGMEET SINGH HAS REFUSED TO SET
OUT CONDITIONS FOR MINORITY 
GOVERNMENT, BUT HE'S PUT 
ELECTORAL REFORM WAY DOWN BELOW 
PHARMACARE AND HOUSING.
AND ELIZABETH MAY CLEARLY SAID 
IN THE SPRING HER NUMBER ONE 
THING WAS CLIMATE, NOT ELECTORAL
REFORM.
>> Rosemary: SO MEAGAN WANTS IT,
RIGHT?
I'M JUST KIDDING.
>> JUST THE IDEA OF COOPERATION,
RIGHT?
EVERY TIME I LOOK AT THIS.
>> Rosemary: THAT'S WHAT A 
MINORITY GOVERNMENT IS, THEY 
WANT YOU TO COOPERATE AND COME 
TO BETTER RESULTS.
I'M GOING TO SHOW YOU THE MAP AT
THE TOP OF THE SCREEN.
NORTHERN FRIENDS WONDERING WHERE
THEY ARE.
>> Ian: THEY'RE DIFFERENT AND 
COLOURFUL.
THERE ARE HUGE RIDINGS AND EARLY
RESULTS.
LET'S LOOK AT EACH OF THE THREE 
NORTHERN RIDINGS IN CANADA, 
BEGINNING WITH NUNAVUT.
IF THE N.D.P. WERE ABLE TO HANG 
ON HERE, THIS WOULD BE A GAIN 
FOR THEM.
I TALKED TO THE BUREAU IN 
IQALUIT TO GET THE PROPER 
PRONUNCIATION.
QAQQAQ.
A ONE-VOTE LEAD.
NORTHWEST TERRITORIES, WE SEE 
THE LIBERALS IN A BIG LEAD HERE.
MORE THAN DOUBLE THE N.D.P. WHO 
ARE IN SECOND PLACE.
AND THE FINAL NORTHERN RIDING IS
YUKON AND, AGAIN, PRETTY EARLY 
HERE, BUT WHAT DO WE HAVE?
JUST ONE POLL OF 91 REPORTING 
THE CONSERVATIVES IN THE LEAD IN
YUKON.
>> Rosemary: EARLY RESULTS 
THERE, BUT I WANT TO MAKE SURE 
ALL NORTHERN CANADIANS KNEW WE 
HADN'T FORGOTTEN ABOUT THEM.
WE'RE WATCHING AND THEY'RE 
COMING IN SLOWLY.
>> WE HAVE THREE RIDINGS WITH 
PROMINENT WOMEN INCUMBENTS ALL 
LOSING IN DIFFERENT STAGES OF 
VOTING.
ADAM VAN KOEVERDEN IS IN THE 
GOLD MEDAL POSITION ON THE 
PODIUM, OVER LISA RAITT.
NEXT RIDING OF MARKHAM, LEAD FOG
ARE THE LIBERALS, BUT LOOK AT 
THIRD.
IT'S JANE PHILPOTT, THE FORMER 
HEALTH AND INDIGENOUS SERVICES 
MINISTER.
AND SPEAKING OF SNC-LAVALIN, 
VANCOUVER GRANVILLE.
WTF IS GOING TO HAPPEN.
NOOR MUHAMMAD IS IN THE RIDING.
WITH THE CONSERVATIVES IN THE 
SECOND.
THIS IS ALL ABOUT THE VOTE 
SPLITS.
>> I WANT TO GIVE YOU UPDATES ON
THE CABINET MINISTERS.
RALPH GOODALE, MARYAM MONSEF, I 
WANT TO BRING IN VASSY FOR 
THOUGHTS.
>> Vassy: LIKE I WAS SAYING, 
THIS IS ON THE POSITIVE END OF 
WHAT THE LIBERALS WERE THINKING.
ESPECIALLY TOWARDS THIS WEEKEND.
THIS THEY COULD ACHIEVE, 
PARTICULARLY BECAUSE OF THE 
GAINS THEY FELT THEY MADE IN 
ONTARIO.
AT THIS JUNCTURE CAN THIS IS NOT
THE RESULT THAT THE 
CONSERVATIVES WERE HOPING FOR.
THEY HAD A WIDE RANGE OF 
PROJECTIONS AND COMING INTO THE 
WEEKEND, THEY FELT LIKE THEY HAD
LOTS OF GROUND, PARTICULARLY IN 
ONTARIO, BUT BECAUSE OF THE 
UNCERTAINTY AROUND THE MESSAGE 
OF VOTE-SPLITTING OR STRATEGIC 
VOTING, THEY FELT LIKE THERE 
STILL WAS A CHANCE.
THERE WAS A LEVEL OF OPTIMISM 
THEY DID NOT HAVE BACK IN 2015.
WHEN YOU COULD FEEL THEY KNEW 
THREE DAYS OUT, IT WAS A DONE 
DEAL.
I DIDN'T HAVE THAT SENSE THIS 
TIME, SO THIS WILL BE A VERY 
DISAPPOINTING RESULT FOR THEM.
I SUM IT UP, BUT SOMEONE TEXTED 
ME SAYING THIS REALLY SUCKS.
>> Rosemary: THAT'S NOT 
INAPPROPRIATE.
I WAS EXPECTING MORE POWERFUL.
>> THEY SAY THAT IN WAR ROOMS?
>> Vassy: WELL, THEY DID TO ME.
>> WE WILL NEVER SURRENDER.
THAT'S WHAT YOU'RE SUPPOSED TO 
SAY IN A WAR ROOM.
[LAUGHTER] 
>> Rosemary: I'M BEING REMINDED 
THAT THE VOTE SHARE IS 34.5 FORT
LIBERALS AND 33 FOR THE 
CONSERVATIVES WHICH IS -- WHICH 
WOULD BE A GOOD NIGHT FOR THE 
POLLSTERS.
>> Vassy: GO ÉRIC GRENIER.
>> Peter: LOOK AT THE NUMBERS ON
THE BOARD, RIGHT?
THERE IS A SPLIT OF 30 SEATS 
BETWEEN THE LIBERALS AND THE 
CONSERVATIVES, YET ONLY A POINT 
AND A HALF IN THE POPULAR VOTE.
IT'S ENTIRELY POSSIBLE, THE WAY 
THE B.C. NUMBERS ARE COMING, 
IT'S GOING TO BE EVEN CLOSER 
THAN THAT ON THE POPULAR VOTE.
>> IT WILL BE.
AND THE NUMBER TO KEEP OUR EYE 
ON IS WHAT GETS YOU TO 170.
HOW DO YOU MAKE IT TO 170 AND 
CAN YOU DO IT WITH ONE PARTY OR 
RELY ON TWO OR THREE.
>> Peter: WE JUST DECLARED WE 
DIDN'T NEED TO WORRY ABOUT THIS,
BECAUSE --
>> I DON'T' AGREE WITH THAT.
I DIDN'T DECLARE THAT.
THE PROBLEM IS, IF YOU'RE 
THINKING ABOUT HOW DO YOU MANAGE
THIS GOVERNMENT?
HOW DO YOU MAKE SURE IT'S STABLE
AND WORKS?
I THINK YOUR STYLE OF GOVERNMENT
IS GOING TO HAVE TO BE 
COOPERATIVE, LISTENING, BUT YOU 
HAVE HUGE CHALLENGES IN TERMS OF
THE PIPELINE ISSUE, CLIMATE 
CHANGE ISSUE, INDIGENOUS ISSUES.
YOU GO DOWN THE LIST AND SAY 
THESE ARE CHALLENGING FOR 
GOVERNMENTS.
IT'S GOING TO BE AN INTERESTING 
TIME.
I HOPE AS MUCH STABILITY AS 
POSSIBLE.
I DON'T THINK IT WILL BE A 
COALITION OR ANYTHING LIKE THAT.
I THINK IT WILL JUST BE A 
MINORITY GOVERNMENT.
>> Rosemary: I WANT TO SHOW YOU 
RESULTS FOR THE GREENS HERE.
THEY'VE MADE OTHER INROADS.
LET'S START IN ONTARIO.
LET ME SHOW YOU WHERE THE GREEN 
PARTY IS DOING WELL.
NO, WE'RE GOING TO ELIZABETH 
MAY.
SHE IS THE LEADER OF THE GREEN 
PARTY.
SAANICH GULF ISLAND, SHE IS 
LEADING THERE OVER THE LIBERALS 
BY 30 VOTES.
LET'S GO TO ANOTHER FIRST ROUND 
OUT HERE.
THIS IS ALSO NOT SURPRISING.
NANAIMO LADYSMITH.
THIS IS THE BYELECTION THEY WON 
WITH PAUL MANLY.
HE IS LEADING.
AND BACK TO THE EAST COAST, 
FREDERICTON, THERE IS A 
SIGNIFICANT ELITE FOR THE GREEN 
PARTY IN -- LEAD FOR THE GREEN 
PARTY, UP BY 1500 VOTES IN THAT 
RIDING.
SO DEFINITELY LEANING TOWARD 
BEING ELECTED, BUT WE'RE WAITING
FOR ADVANCE VOTES TO BE COUNTED 
IN FREDERICTON BEFORE WE MAKE A 
CALL THERE.
HAVEN'T HEARD FROM MY FRIEND 
ANDREW COYNE LATELY.
>> I FILED.
>> Rosemary: OH, WELL, THEN, PUT
THE COMPUTER AWAY.
>> WHO WON?
[LAUGHTER] 
>> WHO LOST, IT'S BOTH THE MAJOR
PARTIES.
ON PRESENT FORM, THE POLLSTERS 
HAVE BEEN DEAD ON.
THEY'RE BOTH GOING TO FINISH 
WITH LESS THAN THIRD OF A VOTE.
BOTH OF THEM SHOULD TAKE SERIOUS
LESSONS FROM THAT.
PARTICULARLY THE CONSERVATIVES.
IT'S FINE TO TALK ABOUT ANDREW 
SCHEER AS A LEADER, BUT IF YOU 
LOOK AT PLATFORM, THAT WAS A 
FAILURE OF VISION IN THE 
PLATFORM.
THEY ARE STUCK IN THE BASE-FIRST
STRATEGY.
THEY DON'T TRY TO REACH OUT TO 
VOTERS THEY ALREADY HAVE, THEY 
JUST TRY TO GIN -- 
>> Rosemary: YES, YES, THE 
CONSERVATIVES CAN'T GROW THEIR 
BASE.
>> THE PROBLEM THE LIBERALS 
HAVE, THE VOTE ON THE LEFT IS 
SKITTERING ALL OVER THE PLACE.
THE PROBLEMS THE CONSERVATIVES 
HAVE, THEY HAVE A SOLID BASE, 
BUT THEY CANNOT GROW IT AND THEY
DON'T TRY.
>> Rosemary: WHAT DO THEY DO TO 
TRY?
WHY CAN'T THEY FOR GOD'S SAKE 
THINK ABOUT CARBON PRICING?
WHY IS THAT THE BOOGEYMAN?
>> THERE IS A WHOLE RANGE OF 
ISSUES WHERE THE CONSERVATIVES 
HAVE DECIDED THEY DON'T WANT TO 
APPEAL TO THE SMARTY PANTS, THE 
CENTRAL CANADIAN VOTE.
>> Rosemary: URBAN.
>> THAT KIND OF VOTERS.
AND THAT IS FINE.
THEY'RE GOING TO OWN THE OTHER 
VOTERS, BUT THERE ARE MORE 
PEOPLE IN THE CITIES THAN THE 
COUNTRIES.
THERE IS A GROWING POPULATION 
AND IF THE CONSERVATIVES KEEP 
LOCKING THEMSELVES FROM THAT 
VOTE, THEY'RE GOING TO GET THE 
SAME RESULT.
>> Rosemary: WE CAN CONFIRM THAT
MAXIME BERNIER, THE LEADER OF 
THE PEOPLE'S PARTY OF CANADA HAS
IN FACT LOST HIS SEAT TONIGHT.
THE CONSERVATIVES STEALING IT 
AWAY WITH THEIR CANDIDATE.
HE HAS WON BY 38.9% OF THE VOTE 
OVER 28.5.
THERE YOU CAN SEE, MORE THAN 
2000 VOTES.
THE CONSERVATIVES TAKING THAT 
WAY FROM MAXIME BERNIER.
PRETTY DEVASTATING FOR THE 
LEADER OF THAT PARTY, WHO 
REMEMBER, SLAMMED THE DOOR ON 
THE CONSERVATIVES AFTER LOSING 
THE LEADERSHIP.
SAID THEY WERE MORALLY BANKRUPT.
HE WAS GOING TO FORM HIS PARTY 
AND HAVE CANDIDATES ACROSS THE 
COUNTRY AND STICK IT TO THE 
CONSERVATIVES.
DIDN'T WIN HIS OWN SEAT AND IS 
ONLY REGISTERING 1.6% OF THE 
VOTE FOR PEOPLE'S PARTY OF 
CANADA ACROSS THE ENTIRE 
COUNTRY.
CORY?
>> I'LL JUST QUICKLY COMMENT ON 
THAT.
I THINK THAT'S GOOD NEWS FOR THE
CONSERVATIVE MOVEMENT WRIT 
LARGE.
WE SPENT A GENERATION TRYING TO 
UNITE THE CONSERVATIVE MOVEMENT 
AND TO HAVE IT START TO SPLINTER
AGAIN IS SOMETHING THAT IS VERY 
UNHEALTHY FOR IT.
THAT SAID, I THINK THERE SHOULD 
BE SOUL-SEARCHING AND REFLECTION
AS TO HOW THAT SITUATION CAME TO
BE AND TRY TO BRING THOSE FOLKS 
BACK INTO THE POLL.
BECAUSE THEY'RE PARTY ACTIVISTS 
AND PEOPLE WHO ARE OF GOOD FAITH
WHO WANT TO IMPROVE THE COUNTRY.
>> Rosemary: IS THAT PARTY DEAD 
NOW?
>> I THINK THAT'S IT FOR THE 
PEOPLE'S PARTY.
IT MAKES IT HARDER FOR IT TO 
CONTINUE.
IT MIGHT TAKE A LITTLE WHILE, 
BUT IT'S HARD IF YOU DON'T HAVE 
A SEAT IN THE HOUSE OF COMMONS.
WITH THAT SAID, ALL DUE RESPECT 
TO ANDREW'S COMMENT, I THINK 
THERE ARE LOTS OF EXAMPLES OF 
CONSERVATIVE PARTIES THAT DO 
REACH OUT BEYOND THAT BASE.
AND I THINK ONE OF THE 
CHALLENGES IS HATING ON YOUR 
OPPONENT ONLY GETS YOU SO FAR IN
THIS BUSINESS.
YOU HAVE TO PRESENT A POSITIVE 
VIEW OF SOMETHING ELSE YOU'RE 
GOING DO.
TALKING ABOUT DOUG FORD.
LET'S TALK ABOUT THAT.
KATHLEEN WYNNE WAS ONE OF THE 
MOST UNPOPULAR POLITICIANS IN 
THE HISTORY IN THIS PROVINCE.
AND IF WE HAD JUST TALKED ABOUT 
HOW BAD SHE IS ON ELECTION, WE 
WOULD NOT HAVE ELECTED 
GOVERNMENT.
AND WE WERE ELECTED IN THE 416, 
905 AND PUT TOGETHER A 
SUBSTANTIAL MAJORITY.
BUT YOU KNOW, JUST THE HATING ON
THE OTHER GUY IS NEVER ENOUGH.
I APPRECIATE THAT POINT.
BUT I DON'T THINK THE 
CONSERVATIVE PARTY IS INHERENTLY
TRYING TO ALIENATE THE SMARTY 
PANTS OR ANY OF THAT.
I THINK THERE IS INTEREST IN 
GOOD FAITH TO REACH OUT TO 
EVERYONE, IT'S JUST SOME PEOPLE 
DO IT BETTER AND THE BETTER WAY 
IS THE WAY YOU WANT TO DO IT.
>> Rosemary: FAIR TO SAY THAT 
DIDN'T HAPPEN.
I CAN BRING IN THE TOTAL VOTES 
AND GIVE YOU A SENSE OF HOW MANY
CANADIANS VOTED FOR THEM.
BUT THAT IS THE PERENNIAL 
PROBLEM FOR THE CONSERVATIVE 
PARTY.
IF YOU CANNOT EXPAND IT, ALL YOU
CAN DO IS TRY TO DESTROY THE 
OTHERS.
IF THAT DOESN'T WORK, YOU'RE 
STUCK.
>> THIS SHOULD BE THE LAST 
ELECTION THAT ANY PARTY IN THIS 
COUNTRY BELIEVES IT CAN WIN 
WITHOUT HAVING A SERIOUS PLAN 
FOR CLIMATE CHANGE.
>> Rosemary: I AGREE.
>> IF THE ISSUE WAS BIGGER THAT 
YEAR THAN WHEN STÉPHANE DION 
LOST, IT WILL BE LARGER IN THE 
NEXT ELECTION.
AND IF THE CONSERVATIVES DO NOT 
TAKE FROM WHAT HAPPENED TONIGHT 
THEIR FAILURE TO THRIVE, FOR 
SOME VOTERS THEY'RE NOT EVEN 
GETTING A HEARING BECAUSE OF 
THAT POSITION, THEN THEY WILL 
HAVE MORE NIGHTS LIKE TONIGHT.
>> Rosemary: ALTHIA?
>> A FEW THINGS.
I THINK THAT MR. SCHEER COULD 
HAVE ADDRESSED A LOT OF THE 
HANDICAPS THAT HAPPENED IN THIS 
CAMPAIGN BY PREPOSITIONING 
HIMSELF, LIKE EXPLAINING HIS 
POSITION, ANTI-ABORTION POSITION
OVER THE SUMMER.
PERHAPS USING DIFFERENT LANGUAGE
WITH SAME-SEX MARRIAGE.
A LOT OF THEM LOOK TO THE TVA 
DEBATE AND SAID I DON'T SEE 
MYSELF IN YOUR PARTY.
THE HANDICAP IS SO MANY PEOPLE 
IN ALBERTA DON'T BELIEVE THAT 
THE CONSERVATIVE PARTY SHOULD 
HAVE A CLIMATE PLAN.
HOW MANY TIMES DID I GO DOOR 
KNOCKING IN CALGARY AND CHANGED 
THAT CLIMATE CHANGE, HUMANS 
CAUSE THAT, WE THINK ANDREW 
SCHEER IS TOO FAR ON THE LEFT ON
THE ISSUE.
AND ON THE P.P.C., THAT IS A 
MAXIME BERNIER PARTY.
HE IS THE LEADER.
THEY EMBRACED HIS PARTY 
PLATFORM.
>> Rosemary: I GOT TO GO.
I HAVE TO BRING NEWS.
THE PRIME MINISTER FOR THE 
SECOND TIME, JUSTIN TRUDEAU, HAS
BEEN RE-ELECTED IN PAPINEAU.
GIVE HIM THAT WIN.
HE'S BEEN ELECTED THERE FOUR 
TIMES.
FIRST ELECTED 2008.
HE IS THE LIBERAL LEADER SIX 
YEARS AGO.
ANDREW CHANG.
>> Andrew: LET ME GIVE YOU A 
SNAPSHOT OF HOW THE LIBERALS DID
ACROSS THE COUNTRY.
IT SHOWS THEIR PERFORMANCE.
THEY'RE DOWN IN DOUBLE DIGITS IN
EVERY SINGLE PROVINCE IN THE 
COUNTRY, EXCEPT ONTARIO AND 
QUÉBEC.
PERHAPS WHERE IT MATTERED MOST.
AND SO IF YOU'RE WONDERING HOW 
CAN THEY BE DOWN SO MUCH AND 
STILL MANAGED TO HOLD ONTO 153 
SEATS, THE KEY TO STOPPING THE 
BLEEDING IN EFFECT, WAS THEIR 
PERFORMANCE IN ONTARIO AND 
QUÉBEC.
AND CONVERSELY, THE 
CONSERVATIVES THEY NEEDED TO DO 
MUCH BETTER THIS THOSE TWO 
PROVINCES IN PARTICULAR.
THEY ACTUALLY DID QUITE WELL, 
EITHER APPROACHING DOUBLE DIGITS
OR EXCEEDING THEM IN EVERY OTHER
PROVINCE IN THIS COUNTRY, OTHER 
THAN ONTARIO AND QUÉBEC.
WHAT HAPPENED TO THE LIBERALS, 
YOU HAVE ALMOST A DEATH BY A 
THOUSAND CUTS, BUT IN NINE 
DIFFERENT PROVINCES.
THEY'RE DOWN IN NEWFOUNDLAND, 
NOVA SCOTIA, DOWN IN QUÉBEC, 
DOWN IN ONTARIO, DOWN IN 
ALBERTA, DOWN IN BRITISH 
COLUMBIA.
>> Rosemary: RIGHT, BUT NOT DOWN
SIGNIFICANTLY IN THE PLACES WITH
THE MOST SEATS AS YOU SAY.
>> Andrew: THAT'S RIGHT.
>> Rosemary: IF YOU LOSE THE 
SAME POINTS IN MANITOBA, IT 
DOESN'T HAVE THE SAME DAMAGE.
I WANT TO GO TO THE CANADA WATCH
PARTY TO GET REACTION.
>> SO WE'RE LOOKING AT A LIBERAL
MINORITY GOVERNMENT.
AND A SEA OF BLUE IN ALBERTA.
ONE UNCONFIRMED N.D.P. SEAT AND 
I HAVE THE MAYOR OF CALGARY, 
NAHEED NENSHI, LOOK AT THE MAP, 
WHAT DOES IT MEAN FOR ALBERTA?
I'M SUPER HAPPY TO BE TALKING 
ABOUT IT, BECAUSE AS AN ALBERTAN
I'M USED TO OTHER PEOPLE TALKING
ABOUT ALBERTA.
YOU WANT TO JUMP IN THIS, MARK?
I DISAGREE WITH WHAT I HEARD 
FROM ALTHIA.
THAT IS PART OF THE PROBLEM.
ALBERTANS ARE UPSET BECAUSE 
AFTER HAVING BEEN THE ECONOMIC 
ENGINE FOR SO LONG IN THE 
COUNTRY, WE FEEL OUR ISSUES ARE 
IGNORED AND CARICATURED AS 
PEOPLE WHO DON'T BELIEVE IN 
CLIMATE CHANGE OR ANDREW SCHEER 
IS TOO LEFT.
THAT'S NOT THE ISSUE AT ALL.
THE COUNTRY IS FIRING ON ALL 
CYLINDERS, EXCEPT ALBERTA.
WE SAY GIVE US SOME HELP, 
SUPPORT OUR ENERGY SECTOR, GET 
THE PIPELINES BUILT INSTEAD OF 
JUST TALKING ABOUT IT SO MUCH.
WE FEEL OFTEN WE'RE JUST 
SCREAMING INTO A VACUUM.
>> BUT THE TRUDEAU LIBERALS HAVE
BOUGHT A PIPELINE.
IS THAT NOT ENOUGH TO GET 
ALBERTA ON SIDE?
>> WELL, YOU KNOW, THE THING IS 
THAT A LOT OF FOLKS DON'T TRUST 
THEM.
SOME CONSPIRACY THEORISTS SAY 
THEY BOUGHT THE PIPELINE JUST TO
SHUT IT DOWN.
IF THEY WANTED TO SHUT IT DOWN, 
THEY COULD HAVE SHUT IT DOWN.
THE POINT IS, IT HASN'T BEEN 
BUILT YET AND YOU COMBINE THAT 
WITH BILL C-69, MAKING IT 
DIFFICULT TO BUILD ANY 
INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS, 
INCLUDING PIPELINES, IN THE 
FUTURE, YOU CAN SEE WHY PEOPLE 
ARE GETTING FRUSTRATED.
WHAT NEEDS TO HAPPEN WITH THIS 
OUTCOME, A LOT OF PEOPLE WERE 
WORRIED ABOUT THIS EXACT OUTCOME
IN ALBERTA BECAUSE THEY SAID, 
THIS WILL BE THE END OF TRANS 
MOUNTAIN.
IT BETTER NOT BE BECAUSE THE 
CONSERVATIVES WON'T LET THAT 
HAPPEN.
SO I THINK PRIME MINISTER 
TRUDEAU IS GOING TO HAVE TO FIND
HIS VOTES MOVING FORWARD ON 
THINGS THAT MATTER TO PEOPLE.
>> MARK?
EDITOR-IN-CHIEF OF SUN NEWS.
>> WE HAVE TWO NEWSPAPERS IN 
ALBERTA AND TWO NEWSPAPERS IN 
ONTARIO.
AND I THINK I CAN SAY THE PEOPLE
IN ONTARIO BY AND LARGE REALLY 
DON'T GET IT.
THEY REALLY -- THE REASON --
>> WHY DO YOU THINK THEY DON'T 
GET IT?
>> BECAUSE NOBODY IS HEARING 
THEM HERE.
>> THAT'S FAIR.
YEAH, WE HAD SOMEBODY ON TALK 
RADIO YESTERDAY TALKING ABOUT 
LIBERAL STRATEGIST SAYING 
ALBERTA WHINES ALL THE TIME, 
IT'S ALWAYS BEEN LIKE THAT.
NOT LIKE THIS.
NOT EVER.
>> AND WE LIKE TO COMPLAIN ALL 
THE TIME?
WE'RE SECRETLY VERY PROUD OF 
BEING THE ENGINE OF CANADA AND 
BEING ABLE TO HELP OUT.
AND WE'VE INVITED CANADIANS FROM
EVERY TO ALBERTA FOR THAT 
OPPORTUNITY.
>> THAT SOUNDS LIKE INDIGENOUS 
PEOPLE.
>> BUT THERE IS CERTAINLY A 
FEELING NOW, IN OUR TIME OF 
NEED, EVERYONE SAYS WE'RE 
WHINING.
AND THAT IS VERY DEEP AND VERY 
REAL.
WE'VE GONE BACK TO THE ELECTORAL
MAP PRE-2015.
THERE IS NOT A HUGE CHANGE, BUT 
THERE IS SOMETHING MUCH DEEPER 
HERE THAT I CAN FEEL EVERY DAY 
AND IT'S GOING TO TAKE A LOT OF 
FRANK CONVERSATIONS TO FIGURE 
OUT HOW TO MOVE FORWARD.
>> TALK TO ME ABOUT THE 
PERSPECTIVE FROM INDIGENOUS 
COMMUNITIES IN ALBERTA?
>> WELL, SPEAKING OF FRANK 
CONVERSATIONS, I THINK THIS BLUE
WAVE I THINK IS TROUBLING FOR 
MANY INDIGENOUS PEOPLE THAT ARE 
LOOKING FOR DEEP AND MEANINGFUL 
CONSULTATION ON TRANS MOUNTAIN.
AND YOU KNOW, WE CAN SAY WHAT WE
WANT ABOUT FREE, PRIOR AND 
INFORMED CONSENT, BUT THE TRUTH 
IS INDIGENOUS PEOPLE IN CANADA, 
WHETHER IT'S THIS PIPELINE OR 
ANY OTHER ISSUE, WE'RE 
ECONOMICALLY STARVED OUT OF THE 
REALITY IN CANADA.
AND WE DON'T HAVE A CHOICE.
SO, YES, THERE ARE SOME THAT 
HAVE CONCEPTED.
THERE ARE -- CONSENTED AND THERE
ARE MANY THAT HAVEN'T.
IF THIS IS THE MAKE-OR-BREAK 
ISSUE, THEN THIS COUNTRY OWES IT
TO THE INDIGENOUS PEOPLE ON THE 
CORRIDOR OF THIS PIPELINE TO 
SLOW DOWN AND ENGAGE PROPERLY.
[please stand by]
>> I SEE THAT PEOPLE REALLY WERE
LOOKING AT THE PLATFORM AND WHAT
YOU'RE HEARING IS THAT CANADIANS
WERE ENAMORED WITH THE LIBERAL
PLATFORM MORE THAN THE
CONSERVATIVE BUT IT WAS
SUBSTANTIVE EXI THINK IT WAS A
BAD JUDGMENT CALL TO BE FOCUSED
ON LEADERSHIP RATHER THAN
POLICY.
CANADIANS WERE STARVED FOR
SUBSTANCE.
I THINK THAT'S THE MESSAGE THAT
SINKS IN.
>> Rosemary:  THANKS FOR
WEIGHING IN AND I WANT TO TELL
YOU A COUPLE OF THINGS BEFORE I
GO TO IAN.
THE VOTE SHARE FOR THE LIBERALS
AND CONSERVATIVES IS 33.8 FOR
THE LIBERALS AND 3 3.9 FOR THE
CONSERVATIVES.
SO IF THAT'S NOT A TIE, I DON'T
KNOW WHAT IS.
CERTAINLY WE KNOW IT'S RESULTED
IN MORE SEATS FOR THE LIBERALS
BUT THE POLLS TURNED OUT TO BE
MORE ACCURATE.
>> Ian:  ANDREW COYNE WAS
TALKING ABOUT TRYING TO GET THE
CENTRAL CANADIAN SMARTY-PANTS
VOTE, AND MAYBE THEY WERE ABLE
TO DO THAT.
LET'S TAKE A LOOK AT HOW THINGS
ARE SHAPING UP, FIRST OF ALL,
LOOKING AT THE MAP OF ONTARIO
AND THEN DRILLING DOWN INTO THE
CITY OF TORONTO AND YOU SEE A
LOT OF RED THERE AND I WANT TO
LOOK AT A COUPLE OF RIDINGS THAT
THERE WERE SOME THOUGHTS,
DIFFERENT TIMES IN THE CAMPAIGN
AMONG THE N.D.P. THEY HOPED THEY
WOULD BE ABLE TO PICK UP.
THIS IS JACK LAYTON'S OLD RIDING
AND FOR LOTS OF REASONS, THE
N.D.P. WOULD LIKE TO HAVE WON
THIS ONE AND PARKDALE ALSO A BIG
LEAD IN A RIDING THAT --
ACTUALLY ELECTED IN A RIDING
THAT THE N.D.P. HAS WON IN THE
PAST BUT WON'T TONIGHT.
>> Rosemary:  THE N.D.P., SO
THEY WERE DOWN FROM 44 NOWS TO
24 SEATS.
THE VOTE SHARE IS DOWN 5% AND
WE'LL TALK MORE ABOUT WHETHER
THAT IS GOOD AT ALL.
DAVID COCHRAN.
>> David:  THE RIDING IN
DAVENPORT IS THE BEST HOPE FOR
WINNING A SEAT THIS TORONTO.
BUT RIGHT NOW 188 VOTES BEHIND
IN A REMATCH AND THEY SQUARED
OFF IN 2015, AND LEADS LIKE THAT
THEY SEPARATE AWAY AND LOOK, THE
N.D.P. 25 ON THE BOTTOM OF THE
SCREEN.
IT'S MORE OF A SINGH STAGE,
SOMEWHERE IN THE LOW 20S, BUT
NOWHERE NEAR THE PROJECTIONS OF
35 AND 40 SEATS.
>> Rosemary:  I THINK JASMEET
SINGH HAD BEEN THERE TO THAT
RIDING IN PARTICULAR TWO, THREE
TIMES, I WANT TO SAY BECAUSE
ANDREW CASH IS A STRONG
CANDIDATE BUT IF THEY CAN'T PUT
BACK A SEAT, THAT'S NOT GOOD.
>> MARKETDOWN IS SHOWING THAT
TONIGHT.
>> Rosemary:  TO HANNAH
THIBEDEAU IN BURNABY, BRITISH
COLUMBIA, AND WHAT ARE PEEPING
PEOPLESAYING ABOUT THIS?
THE VOTE SHARE IS DOWN ACROSS
THE COUNTRY AND YEAH, IF YOU
START OFF WITH LOW EXPECTATIONS,
THIS DOESN'T LOOK TERRIBLE
TONIGHT BUT THIS IS A LOT LESS
THAN TOM MULCAIR GOT WHEN HE WAS
BOOTED OUT?
>> Reporter:  ABSOLUTELY, BUT IF
YOU LOOK AT THE NUMBERS, THEY
WENT IN WITH 39 SEATS AND NOW
LOOKING LIKE 25, IF I LOOK AT
THE SCREEN, BUT IF YOU ADD THAT
TO THE LIBERALS 157, THAT MEANS
THAT THEY COULD HAVE A BALANCE
OF POWER, IF THE LIBERALS WANT
TO WORK WITH THEM ON CERTAIN
THINGS.
BUT WE HEARD FROM JASMEET SINGH
EARLIER IN THE CAMPAIGN THAT HE
LAID OUT HIS SIX PRIORITIES TO
HELP AND THAT INCLUDES FROM THE
NATIONAL PHARMACARE PLAN, CELL
PHONE AND INTERNET BILLS, AS
WELL AS ACTION ON CLIMATE AND
THOSE ARE THE TYPES OF THINGS,
YOU LOOK AT THE TWO PLATFORMS,
THE LIBERALS AND THE N.D.P., IT
SEEMS LIKE IT COULD BE SOMETHING
THOSE TWO PARTIES COULD WORK ON
TOGETHER.
SO I EXPECT THAT WHEN HE COMES
OUT, THIS IS GOING TO BE A WIN
FOR HIM.
YES, WE WENT INTO THIS ELECTION
CAMPAIGN SAYING HE MAY NOT
MAINTAIN OFFICIAL PARTY STATUS.
THAT'S 12 SEATS IN THE HOUSE OF
COMMONS.
HE'S GONE PASSED THAT, EXCEEDING
THE EXPECTATIONS INTO THIS AND
NOW WITH THAT TYPE OF POWER, IN
A MINORITY SCENARIO, I THINK
WHEN IT COMES TO JASMEET SINGH,
HE'S GOING TO BE PRETTY HAPPY
ABOUT THAT.
>> Rosemary:  HANNAH THIBEDEAU,
AT HEADQUARTERS.
I WANT TO ASK MEGAN.
I WOULD IMAGINE TOM MULCAIR
WOULD SAY, WELL, I GUESS HE'S
GOT TO GO BECAUSE HE DID A LOT
WORSE THAN I DID, TOUGH LUCK.
WOULD THAT BE FAIR TO SAY?
>> Megan:  YOU KNOW, OBVIOUSLY I
IMAGINE THE N.D.P. IS
DISAPPOINTED.
WE LOST SOME INTERESTING DYNAMIC
M.P.S, BUT LIKE HANNAH SAID, I
THINK THAT JAGMEET IS IN AN
INTERESTING POSITION TO BE
PROPOSITIONAL AND WORK WITH THE
LIBERALS, FIGURE OUT HOW DO WE
DO THIS AND HOW DO WE TAKE WHAT
CANADIANS ARE TELLING US AND
MAKE IT WORK?
AND WHETHER IT'S HOUSING OR
PHARMACARE OR ACTION ON CLIMATE
CHANGE, IT WILL BE AN
INTERESTING TIME ON ISSUES.
I DON'T THINK IT WILL BE
STANDING UP AND CHEST-BEATING.
I THINK PEOPLE WILL SEE ACTION
ON ISSUES, EXCITING.
>> Rosemary:  IF WE LOOK AT THE
SCREEN THERE, THE LIBERALS HAVE
CREPT UP TO 160.
SO THEY ARE NOW IN A PLACE WHERE
THEY DON'T REALLY NEED -- THEY
CERTAINLY DON'T NEED A COALITION
AND THEY CAN LOOK AROUND FOR
WHERE THEY WANT TO FIND SUPPORT.
THEY DON'T HAVE TO LOOK TO THE
BLOC QUÉBÉCOIS IF THEY DON'T
WANT TO AND THEY MAY END UP WITH
A CONSERVATIVE PARTY IN DISARRAY
AND THAT WILL BUY THEM SUPPORT,
AS WELL.
HEATHER HAS SOME RESULTS.
LOOK AT THIS.
>> Heather:  THIS IS NOT THE
>> Rosemary:  CHURCHILL RIVER IS
THE LARGEST IN THE PROVINCE AND
IT IS, IN FACT, LAST TIME THE
CLOSEST RACE IN THE PROVINCE AND
THE TWO MAIN CONTENDERS ARE
FANTASTICALLY IMPRESS.
>> Heather:  A LEAD OF 72 VOTES
AND THE CLOSEST RACE LAST TIME
AND LOOKS LIKE IT'S CLOSE AGAIN
BUT SHE'S TAKEN A LEAD OF CHIEF
OF THE BE LAC LA RONGE AND IT'S
QUITE A LEAD.
IF THAT IS THE ONE SPLASH OF
RED, REGINA-WASCANA IS BLUE.
THE CONSERVATIVES IN
SASKATCHEWAN SAID WE ALL WANT TO
BEAT HIM.
HE'S ANSWERING FOR ENERGY POLICY
AND SNC-LAVALIN, WESTERN
ABANDONMENT, JUST GENERAL
ANTI-TRUDEAU SENTIMENT AND
THERE'S BEEN A BIG THIRD-PARTY
CAMPAIGN AGAINST HIM, NASTY
BILLBOARDS SAYING SEND TRUDEAU A
MESSAGE, VOTE RALPH GOODALE OUT.
WE WON'T TAKE OUR EYES OFF THAT.
>> Rosemary:  THANK YOU, HEDGE,
HEATHER, LIBERALS WORRIED ABOUT
RALPH GOODALE, TRYING HARD TO
KEEP HIM, THE CONSERVATIVES ARE
PULLING AWAY AND BOB, WHAT DO
YOU MAKE OF WHAT'S HAPPEN THERE?
>> WELL, RALPH WAS A DEPUTY
LEADER WHEN I WAS INTERIM LEADER
AND AN EXTRAORDINARY --
>> Rosemary:  HE HASN'T LOST
YET.
>> I SPOKE TO HIM TONIGHT AT
5:00 AND HE WAS READY FOR THE
BATTLE.
I THINK THE THING THAT'S
INTERESTING ABOUT THAT RESULT AS
OPPOSED TO OTHERS, THE N.D.P.
VOTE IS VERY HIGH, 1500
PLUS RALPH'S VOTE AND THAT IS
INTERESTING.
I KNOW EVERYBODY TALKS ABOUT
STRATEGIC VOTING, BAD IDEA, BAD
IDEA, BAD IDEA.
YOU HAVE TO, I THINK, UNDERSTAND
WHAT THE CONSEQUENCES OF THIS
ARE.
WE HAVE LOST A FINE PERSON FOR
SASKATCHEWAN AND I HOPE THE VOTE
COMES BACK BUT A TERRIFIC GUY.
>> Rosemary:  REGULARLY CALLED
THE MINISTER OF EVERYTHING IN
OTTAWA.
>> ABSOLUTELY.
HE'S LIKE A PLAYER ON A BASEBALL
TEAM AND YOU COULD PUT HIM INTO
ANY POSITION AND ASK HIM TO DO
ANYTHING.
>> Rosemary:  SOLVES ANY
PROBLEM, YEP.
>> HE'S AND EXTRAORDINARY
PARLIAMENTARIAN.
>> Rosemary:  MAXIME BERNIER HAS
LOST IN THE BEAUCE AND HIS
POPULAR VOTE SHARE IS NOT GOOD
EITHER.
IT IS AROUND, I THINK, 1% ACROSS
THE COUNTRY.
HE HAD BEEN POLLING AT 2% SO
THAT WOULD BE ABOUT RIGHT AND
LET'S LISTEN IN TO MAXIME
BERNIER IN THE BEAUCE LOSING HIS
OWN SEAT TONIGHT.
(SPEAKING FRENCH).
>> TODAY, THE PEOPLE OF THE
BEAUCE HAVE DECIDED TO PUT THEIR
CONFIDENCE IN SOMEONE ELSE AND I
ACCEPT WITH HUMILITY AND I WANT
TO CONGRATULATE THE NEW MEMBER.
I BELIEVE THAT THE PEOPLE OF THE
BEAUCE HAVE DONE A GREAT JOB.
>> MY HEART GOES OUT TO OUR 315
CANDIDATES ACROSS THE COUNTRY.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
>> THERE'S COURAGE AND PASSION
IN DEFENDING OUR PRINCIPLES.
THE NASTY AND SHAMELESS ATTACKS
FROM OUR OPPONENT, MAKING HUGE
PERSONAL SACRIFICE TO OFFER AN
ALTERNATIVE DIFFERENT FROM THAT
ALL OF THE OTHER PARTIES.
BUT WHAT THEY DID WAS NOT IN
VEIN.
WHAT WE MANAGED TO ACCOMPLISH IN
ONLY ONE YEAR IS SPECTACULAR.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
(SPEAKING FRENCH).
>> WE HAD MORE THAN 315
CANDIDATES RUNNING ACROSS THE
COUNTRY AND THEY SHOWED
EXTRAORDINARY COURAGE AND
PASSION IN DEFENDING OUR
PRINCIPLES AND VALUES.
THEY DID THAT DESPITE SHAMEFUL
ATTACKS FROM OUR OPPONENTS.
THEY MADE HUGE PERSONAL
SACRIFICES IN ORDER TO OFFER
CANADIAN VOTERS AN OPTION BASED
ON PRINCIPLES, A DIFFERENT
OPTION FROM ALL OF THOSE ON
DISPLAY FROM THE OTHER PARTIES.
AND THEY DIDN'T DO THIS FOR
NOTHING.
THEY BUILT THE FOUNDATIONS OF A
MOVEMENT THAT IS ONLY GETTING
STARTED.
HUNDREDS OF THOUSANDS OF
CANADIANS GAVE THEIR SUPPORT TO
THE PEOPLE'S PARTY TODAY.
WE ARE THE PARTY THAT IS
BUILDING THE FASTEST IN CANADA
AND WE WILL CONTINUE TO GROW
OVER THE NEXT MONTH AND YEARS.
>> HUNDREDS OF THOUSANDS OF
CANADIANS SUPPORTED THE PEOPLE'S
PARTY TODAY.
WE ARE THE FASTEST GROWING PARTY
IN CANADIAN HISTORY AND WE WILL
CONTINUE TO GROW AND THE COMING
MONTHS AND YEARS.
THE ISSUES THAT WE RAISE DURING
THIS ELECTION WILL NOT
DISAPPEAR.
(SPEAKING FRENCH)
>> ON FAIR EQUALIZATION AND BIG
GOVERNMENT POLICIES, TAXES, ALL
THESE PROBLEMS WILL NOT
DISAPPEAR.
AND WE WILL BE THERE TO
CRITICIZE THE GOVERNMENT AND
OFFER BETTER SOLUTIONS.
(SPEAKING FRENCH)
>> THE QUESTIONS WE ROSE DURING
THIS CAMPAIGN WILL NOT DISAPPEAR
OVERNIGHT.
UNCONTROLLED IMMIGRATION, END
ALSO DEFICITS, UNFAIR
EQUALIZATION, POLICIES OF
INTERVENTION AND HIGH TAXES, ALL
OF THOSE PROBLEMS WILL NOT
DISAPPEAR.
AND WE WILL BE THERE TO
CRITICIZE THE NEXT GOVERNMENT
AND OFFER BETTER SOLUTIONS.
WE WILL CONTINUE TO FIGHT FOR
LIBERTY, RESPONSIBILITY, EQUITY
AND RESPECT.
WE WILL BE STRONGER THE NEXT
TIME.
THIS IS ONLY A BEGINNING FOR THE
PEOPLE'S PARTY OF CANADA.
>> Rosemary:  THAT'S MAXIME
BERNIER RESPONDING TO THE HIS
LOSSOF HIS OWN SEAT IN THE BEAU
CEAND HE WAS SAYING THIS WAS THE
BEGINNING OF A CONVERSATION,
THAT THEY WILL HOLD THE
GOVERNMENT IN CHECK, HARD TO SEE
YOU WILL DO THAT, YOU HAVE
ELECTED NO OTHER M.P.S AND THE
CANDIDATES THAT DID MANAGE TO
FIND, LOST ALL OF THEIR
DEPOSITS, SO THEY MAY NOT BE
THRILLED WITH YOU OR WORK FOR
YOU, SO WE'LL SEE WHETHER THE
CONSERVATIVES WANT TO REACH OUT
TO THEM AND I'M GOING TO IAN
NOW.
>> Ian:  LET'S GO TO ALBERTA.
IT SEEMS LIKE HOURS AGO, ROSIE,
WE WERE TALKING THE
CONSERVATIVES COULD RUN THE
PARTY THE WAY THE LIBERALS DID
IN 2015 IN ATLANTIC CANADA AND
LET'S LOOK TO SEE HOW THEY DID.
BLUE ALMOST EVERYWHERE IN THE
PROVINCE AND LET'S LOOK AT THE
ONE RIDING IN THE PROVINCE WHERE
WE DON'T HAVE A PROJECTED FINAL
RESULT AND THAT IS
EDMONTON-STRATHCONA, WHERE LINDA
DUNCAN REPRESENTED THAT RIDING
FOR A LONG TIME AND HER
SUCCESSOR IS IN A STRONG LEAD
BUT NOT ENOUGH FOR OUR DECISION
DESK TO PROJECT HER AS THE
WINNER.
EARLY WE WERE TALKING ABOUT
RALPH GOODALE, HOW TOUGH TO SELL
THE POLICY AND NOW AS THE
MINISTER OF NATURAL RESOURCES TO
DO IT IN EDMONTON AND HE DIDN'T
DO IT.
TIM UPPEL WILL GO BACK TO OTTAWA
AND HE WAS THE M.P. BEFORE AND
HE WILL BE THE M.P. ONCE AGAIN
FOR EDMONTON.
>> Rosemary:  THERE ARE TWO
CABINET MINISTERS, SO HE HAS NOW
BEEN DEFEATED AND RALPH GOODALE
TRAILING AND DAVID WITH RESULTS
THERE.
>> David:  THE TWO MAJOR
POPULATION CENTRES.
HERE IN CALGARY, KENT HEIR, WELL
BEHIND AND FORMER CABINET
MINISTER DEMOTED IS NOW DEFEATED
BY THE CONSERVATIVES AND IN
EDMONTON CENTRE, RANDY BLOSSUM,
HE IS BEHIND BY 2,000 VOTES AND
THIS CREATES AN INTERESTING
INTERESTINGSCENARIO.
THERE WAS A SEAT AT THE CABINET
TABLE AND NOW A LIBERAL
GOVERNMENT WITH NO ALBERTA
REPRESENTATION IN THE GOVERNMENT
WHATSOEVER.
>> Rosemary:  DUNCAN, WHAT DOES
THAT MEAN THEN?
IT MAKES JASON KENNEY'S LIFE
EASIER BECAUSE HE HAS AN
OPPONENT TO WORK OFF OF IT.
>> YES, BUT I'M THINKING THIS IS
WHAT EXACTLY ALBERTA VOTERS WAS
HOPING WOULDN'T HAPPEN, A
MINORITY LIBERAL GOVERNMENT WITH
THE N.D.P. PROPPING THEM UP AND
THE GREENS PROPPING THEM UP AND
WHAT NAHEED NENSHI WERE TALKING
ABOUT, DEBATING THE PIPELINE AND
THIS WILL BE A CENTRAL ISSUE AND
IT WILL BE A MAKE-OR-BREAK ISSUE
FROM THE RESPECT OF MANY
ALBERTANS.
IT WILL BE A FRUSTRATING EVENING
FOR THE BLUE PROVINCE EVER
ALBERTA.
WHEN I WAS THERE YESTERDAY, I
WAS TALKING WITH ALBERTANS
COMING UP TO ME AND TALKING
ABOUT WEXIT, WHICH SOUNDS -- I
MEAN, IT SOUNDS EXTREME, BUT IN
OTHER PARTS OF CANADA, THEY MAY
NOT UNDERSTAND THE DEPTH OF THE
FRUSTRATION AND THE ECONOMIC
DOWNTURN IN ALBERTA RIGHT NOW.
>> Rosemary:  THE PRIME MINISTER
DID GO TO CALGARY AS A PART OF
HIS LAST DITCH EFFORT TO TRY TO
SHOW ALBERTA THAT HE WILL PAY
ATTENTION AND NOW HAS TO DO THAT
EVEN MORE IF HE HAS NO
REPRESENTATION AND I KNOW ALTHEA
AND -- OK, CHANTAL.
>> Chantal:  I UNDERSTAND THE
CONCERNS ON THE TRANS MOUNTAIN
ISSUE.
THAT BEING SAID AND FOR ALL I
KNOW ABOUT THE DYNAMICS OF
MINORITY POLITICS, IT'S NOT THAT
SIMPLE THAT THE GREENS AND THE
N.D.P. AND THE BLOC COULD SAY,
YOU NEED TO STOP THE EXPANSION
OR WE'LL BRING YOU DOWN.
BECAUSE IF IT EVER CAME TO A
VOTE, IT'S NOT A VOTING ISSUE,
BY THE WAY.
>> Rosemary:  NO, IT'S NOT.
>> Chantal:  IF IT CAME TO A
CONFIDENCE VOTE, THE
CONSERVATIVES WOULD VOTE WITH
THE LIBERALS.
SO IT'S NOT IN PLAY AS A RESULT
OF THIS ELECTION.
>> Rosemary:  NO, YOU WOULD HAVE
TO FIND A WAY TO MAKE IT IN PLAY
BECAUSE IT'S A DONE DEAL AND I
DON'T KNOW HOW YOU BACK OUT.
>> THIS CREATES AN INTERESTING
PROBLEM FOR THE PRIME MINISTER.
WITHOUT RALPH GOODALE FOR A
WESTERN MINISTER, DOES HE PICK
SOMEBODY IN THE SENATE TO
REPRESENT WESTERN INTEREST?
THAT BARGAIN HE GAVE TO
CANADIANS IN 2015, THE
ENVIRONMENT AND THE ECONOMY WENT
HAND-IN-HAND DOESN'T SEEM TO BE
REFLECTED IN THE 2019 MAP.
AND I WENT DOOR-KNOCKING IN
CALGARY CENTRE AND SO MANY
PEOPLE WHO VOTED LIBERAL IN 2015
SAID WE CANNOT VOTE LIBERAL
AGAIN.
PEOPLE WHO THOUGHT THEY MIGHT
VOTE LIBERAL, EVERY SINGLE
PERSON REFUSED TO GIVE THEIR
NAME.
THEY WERE AFRAID TO IDENTIFY
THEMSELVES EITHER WITH A SIGN.
ONE WOMAN SAID HER HOME WAS
VANDALIZED WHEN SHE IDENTIFIED
HERSELF AS AN N.D.P. SUPPORTER.
THERE'S A GROUP THINK, I THINK,
THAT THERE'S AFRAID OF
IDENTIFYING THEMSELVES TO THEIR
NEIGHBOURS.
THAT BEING SAID, I WAS WITH THE
PRIME MINISTER, THE LIBERAL
LEADER AS WE CALLED HIM TWO DAYS
AGO IN CALGARY AND 1,000 PEOPLE
CAME OUT.
SO OUR SYSTEM DOES NOT REFLECT
WHAT PEOPLE VOTE FOR.
>> Rosemary:  AND EVEN BIGGER
THAN THAT, IF YOU LOOK AT THE
HUGE CLIMATE RALLY IN EDMONTON
AT THE LEGISLATURE JUST A FEW
DAYS AGO WHERE THOUSANDS OF
PEOPLE APPEARED, I KNOW MANY OF
THEM WERE YOUNG BUT I THINK IT
SHOWS SOMETHING ABOUT WHAT'S
HAPPENING IN ALBERTA.
I HAVE TO GET TO ANDREW AND THEN
KIM IN EDMONTON.
>> I ACCEPT WE'RE UNLIKELY TO
SEE PROPORTIONAL REPRESENTATION,
BUT I WONDER HOW MANY TIMES
WE'LL PLAY RUSSIAN ROULETTE WITH
THE COUNTRY'S FUTURE.
WHAT WE GET IS THE WEST IS
SOLIDLY BLUE AND 20% OF THE
POPULATION IN THE WEST THAT
VOTES LIBERAL AND DOES NOT GET
THE REPRESENTATION.
THE GREENS GOT ROUGHLY THE SAME
NUMBER OF VOTES AS THE BLOC BUT
A TENTH OF THE SEATS AND WE'RE
CREATING A FUNHOUSE DISTORTION
OF WHAT THE COUNTRY LOOKS LIKE.
WE HAVE DEEP ENOUGH DIVISIONS AS
IT IS, BUT OUR SYSTEM MAKES IT
LOOKS WORSE AND OVER REWARDS
PARTIES THAT GROUP THEIR VOTE ON
REGIONAL GRIEVANCES AND WE REAP
WHAT WE U.S.A.
 SOW.
>> Rosemary:  I WANT TO GO TO
KIM WHO IS IN EDMONTON, ALBERTA
AND SHE LIVES AN AS ALBERTAN AND
KIM, HOW ARE THEY RESPONDING TO
THIS MAP TONIGHT?
>> Reporter:  WELL, ROSEMARY,
THEY WERE HAPPY WHEN A LIBERAL
GOVERNMENT WAS DECLARED BUT
CLEARLY DISAPPOINTED BUT IT
DOESN'T LIKE LIKE SOJI WHO WAS
THE INCUMBENT, THE NATURAL
RESOURCE'S MINISTER WILL BE
RETURNING AS A MEMBER OF
PARLIAMENT.
IT'S BEEN A DIFFICULT CAMPAIGN
FOR SOJI, BECAUSE EVEN THOUGH
HE'S WELL KNOWN IN THE RIDING
AND A THREE-TERM CITY
COUNCILLOR, A BUS DRIVER AND
M.P. AND CABINET MINISTER, HE
WORE SOME UNPOPULAR BILLS, THE
BILLS WITH THE TANKER BAND AND
THE OVERHAUL OF THE REGULATORY
SYSTEM OF LARGE INDUSTRIAL
PROJECTS AND, OF COURSE, THE
TRANsMOUNTAIN PIPELINE
PROJECT, THE EXPANSION, THE
HALTING OF IT AND THE
CONSULTATION.
SO SOJI KIND OF WORE THAT WHOLE
THING CONTRIBUTING TO THE
HOSTILITY, ACTUALLY, THAT WAS
FELT ON THE DOORSTEP.
I TALKED TO PEOPLE HERE THAT
SAID PEOPLE WERE RELUCTANT TO
TAKE SIGNS, SPEAKING TO WHAT
ALTHEA WAS TALKING ABOUT, AND
DIDN'T WANT TO CLARIFY AS
LIBERAL SUPPORTERS AND TALK THAT
MAYBE THEY'RE SUPPORTERS DID NOT
COME OUT.
THERE IS NOT A LOT OF LOVE IN
JUSTIN TRUDEAU IN A LOT OF AREAS
OF ALBERTA, ACTUALLY, AND
CLEARLY RELATED TO ENERGY
ISSUES, THE FEELING OF
ALIENATION AND NOT PAID
ATTENTION TO.
>> Rosemary:  THAT WILL BECOME
ALL THE MORE DIFFICULT WITH THE
MAP AS IT LOOKS.
KIM IS AT SOJI'S HEADQUARTERS
WHERE HE LOST AND DAVID COCHRAN
HAS RESULTS.
>> David:  THE LIBERAL'S WOES
HAVE BUSTED THROUGH.
THIS WAS A SURPRISE WIN, QUAD
QUADRUPLED THAT VOTE.
IF YOU'RE LOOKING FOR A TRUE
VOTER TO MINORITY SEATING, IT'S
KELOWNA LAKE.
HEAVY ADVANCED POLLING.
25,000 VOTES, I BELIEVE, AND 600
VOTE LEAD OVER SIDHOU WITH 20
POLLS.
SOUTH SURREY WHITEROCK, THE
SUBURBS OF VANCOUVER, GORDY HOGE
WON THAT AND ONE MORE TO SHOW
YOU, LOOK AT THIS,
VANCOUVER-GRANDVILLE, 150 VOTES
FROM FIRST TO VOTE, ZACH SEAGUL
OVER TALIB AND REPLACING JODY
WILSON-RAYBOULD IN THIRD PLACE
RUNNING AS AN INDEPENDENT AND
ALL ABOUT THE SPLITS AND A THAT
ONE WILL GO DOWN TO THE FINAL
POLLS.
>> Rosemary:  THAT WILL BE
INTERESTING TO WATCH BECAUSE IF
THE LIBERALS COULD GET RID OF
MISS WILSON-RAYBOULD, THEY WOULD
APPRECIATE THAT, THAT'S FAIR TO
SAY, RIGHT?
I THINK THERE'S BITTERNESS THERE
SO THEY'LL BE WATCHING TO SEE
HOW THAT UNFOLDS AND IAN MORE
RESULTS -- NO, VASSY.
YOU'RE NOT IAN AT ALL.
[ Laughter ]
>> Vassy:  IN ALBERTA, AND N
NAHEED NENSHI, PUTTING
STRATHCONA ASIDE, IT'S MORE THAN
JUST A PROBLEM FOR THE PRIME
MINISTER.
THIS WEXIT THING IS NOT JUST A
JOKE.
THE FEELINGS OF FRUSTRATION ARE,
I DON'T THINK, PERCEIVED BY
PEOPLE IN THIS PART OF THE
COUNTRY TO THE DEPTH THERE.
IN THIS SITUATION, THEY WILL NOT
FEEL REPRESENTED IN GOVERNMENT,
IN MUCH OF ANY CAPACITY IS NOT
GOING DO ANYTHING BUT FURTHER
DIVISIONS THAT EXIST.
>> Rosemary:  YOU HAVE TO FIND A
SOLUTION TO THAT.
>> Vassy:  HE WILL, BUT I DON'T
KNOW IF THAT EXISTS FOR THE
LIBERALS AND ALBERTANS AND
THAT'S A HEARTBREAKING SITUATION
IF YOU THINK FROM A NATIONAL
UNITY.
I KNOW WE'VE BEEN IN DARKER
PLACES, YOU IT IS MORE
PRONOUNCED.
ON THE N.D.P., THAT IS NOT A
GREAT OUTCOME FOR THEM AT THIS
POINT.
THEY WERE HOPING FOR AN ACTUALL-
>> Rosemary:  THEY HAVE NO URBAN
RIDING.
THEY HAVE NOT BROUGHT BACK ANY
RIDINGS THEY ARE SEEKING AND NOT
PULLING OUT ALL OF THE STOPPING
AND ARE LEADING IN ONE SEAT IN
QUEBEC.
I AGO.
I THINK THIS IS A HARD NIGHT FOR
JASMEET SINGH AND BECAUSE YOU
START OFF NOWHERE AND GET TO 23,
HOW DO YOU KEEP THEM?
DO YOU KEEP THEM BECAUSE YOU
HOPE IT WILL GET BETTER?
>> Vassy:  HIS PERFORMANCE DID
CAPTIVATE A LOT OF VOTERS AND I
THINK -- AND I'M NOT AN EXPERT
ON THIS,
WE'LL BE LOOKING AT THE MESSAGE
THE LIBERALS HAD AND THAT IS
DON'T VOTE FOR THEM BECAUSE IT
WILL KEEP THE LIBERALS IN.
I DON'T KNOW IF THE SURGE CAME
TO LATE OR EXAGGERATED BUT I
KNOW THAT OUTCOME IS NOT ONE
THAT THEY WERE HOPING FOR.
>> Rosemary:  I REALIZE MOST OF
HIS SEATS IN QUEBEC TRANSFERRED
FROM THEM TO THE BLOC AND I
THINK IT IS FAIR TO ASK WHETHER
QUEBEC WAS READY FOR A PERSON OF
COLOUR TO BE LEADING A PARTY AND
WHETHER THAT WAS AN ISSUE ACROSS
THE COUNTRY.
I DON'T KNOW.
I THINK IT'S A QUESTION WE HAVE
TO START ASKING.
>> Chantal:  WHEN THOMAS MULCAIR
WAS FIRED, NONE OF THE
CANDIDATES RAN FOR THE
LEADERSHIP OF THE N.D.P., HAD TO
SHOW UP AS KEEPING THE N.D.P.
ALIVE IN QUEBEC.
AND UP TO A POINT, SINGH
PROBABLY CONTRIBUTED MORE TO
ENRICHING THE CONVERSATION IN
QUEBEC BY BEING WHO HE WAS THAN
ANY OF THE OTHER THREE.
SO I DON'T THINK THAT THE BLOC
TONIGHT HATE THE LIBERALS AND
THE N.D.P.
THE EASIEST WOULD BE THE N.D.P.
BUT HOW MANY CAMPAIGNS DID JACK
LAYTEN RUN BEFORE HE BECAME A
MIRACLE WORKER?
THREE?
>> Rosemary:  I AGREE, BUT WE'RE
SENDING A MESSAGE ABOUT TOM
MULCAIR WAS NOT AN N.D.P.ER AND
JASMEET SINGH IS AND THAT'S WHY
THEY'RE STICKING WITH HIM
LONGER.
NOW.
>> A COUPLE OF THINGS.
THE FIRST ONE IS THAT THE
SITUATION WITH RESPECT TO THE
RESOURCE-RICH PROVINCES IS
SERIOUS.
BECAUSE I THINK EVERYBODY HAD
THE INTENTION OF SAYING WE'LL
BUILD A PIPELINE AND WE'RE GOING
TO ENGAGE SERIOUSLY ON CLIMATE
CHANGE.
WE'LL DO BOTH AND I DON'T THINK
YOU WOULD HAVE TO SAY THE
EXECUTION WITH RESPECT TO
BUILDING THE PIPELINE HAS NOT
BEEN GREAT, FOR ALL KINDS OF
REASONS AND WE HAVE TO WORK AT
THAT.
THE WHOLE COUNTRY HAS TO
UNDERSTAND THAT THESE PROJECTS
HAVE TO TAKE ON A NATIONAL
ELEMENT THAT THEY HAD NOT HAD AT
THE MOMENT.
THE SECOND THING IS THAT I THINK
IT WOULD BE A TERRIBLE MISTAKE
FOR PEOPLE TO START QUESTIONING
LEADERSHIP.
I WOULD SAY EITHER OF ANDREW
SCHEER OR JASMEET SINGH.
>> Rosemary:  WHY?
>> IT'S THEIR FIRST ELECTION AND
JASMEET SINGH, IN MY OPINION,
DID FAR BETTER THAN ANYONE
EXPECTED HIM TO DO AT THE
BEGINNING THE CAMPAIGN AND I
THINK HE HAS A TREMENDOUS AMOUNT
TO CONTRIBUTE TO OUR LIFE AND I
DON'T AGREE WITH ANDREW SCHEER
BUT HE'S HAD ONE CAMPAIGN AND
YOU CAN'T KEEP EATING PEOPLE
ALIVE AFTER THEY'VE HAD ONE
ELECTION.
>> Rosemary:  I HAVE TO PUT THIS
ON HOLD BUT FIRST I HAVE TO SHOW
YOU THIS RESULT BECAUSE WE HAVE
ONE OF THE CANDIDATES STANDING
BY.
IN MILTON, IT WAS STOLEN AWAY
FROM LISA RAITT AND IT'S NOT A
BEER GLASS BUT A WATER GLASS
WITH DAVID COMMON AND DAVID,
OVER TO YOU AND THE NEW M.P. TO
COME.
>> David:  CONGRATULATIONS,
YOU'VE WON THE MEDALS AT THE
OLYMPICS AND YOU WON A SEAT IN
PARLIAMENT.
HOW DOES IT FEEL?
>> IT FEELS GOOD.
I KNOW YOU FROM THE OLYMPICS
BECAUSE WE WORKED AT THE
OLYMPICS TOGETHER.
>> David:  YOU WERE A LITTLE
MORE FIT, AS I RECALL.
AND YOU'VE WON IN A RACE THAT
SEEMED TO BE A CLOSE ONE,
EXPECTED TO BE A LOT CLOSER AND
WHAT DO YOU THINK MADE THE
DIFFERENCE FOR YOU?
>> PREPARATION, LIKE ANYTHING,
RIGHT?
>> David:  GET OUT THE VOTE.
>> YES, ALWAYS A CONSTELLATION
OF FACTORS.
WE LINED UP MOST OF THE THINGS
WE WANTED TO DO REALLY WELL AND
WE HAD A REALLY GOOD TEAM,
SEBASTIAN CLARK IS AMAZING, MY
CAMPAIGN MANAGER, JEFF
CARPENTER, AMAZING.
EVERYONE I'VE WORKED WITH OVER
THE PAST YEAR HAS BEEN
TOP-NOTCH.
THIS IS A CAMPAIGN THAT WILL
>> LISA IS A GOOD M.P. AND I
HAVE THE UTMOST RESPECT FOR HER
AND I HOPE WE CAN TALK ABOUT A
LITTLE BIT OF PLANNING AND
IMPORTANT.
WHEN I WAS ON BOARDS, IT WAS A
GOOD IDEA TO MAKE SURE THERE WAS
A PLAN IN PLACE.
THIS IS A QUICKLY GROWING
COMMUNITY.
>> David:  FASTEST IN THE
COUNTRY.
>> I'VE LIVED HERE VIRTUALLY MY
WHOLE LIFE AND THIS IS AN
AWESOME PLACE TO LIVE.
MY DOG LIKES GOING TO
RATTLESNAKE POINT IN THE MORNING
AND IT'S A GREAT PLACE TO WORK
AND LIVE AND I'M PROUD THAT
MILTON CHOSE ME TO GO TO OTTAWA
ON THEIR BEHALF.
>> David:  ENJOY THE PARTY.
A FORMER MEDALIST.
>> Rosemary:  I WOULD OFFER THE
ADVICE NOT TO CALL LISA RAITT
RIGHT AWAY, LET HER DEAL WITH
THE GRIEF AND SEE HOW IT GOES.
WE HAVE ANOTHER LEADER TO ELECT
RIGHT NOW AND IT IS ELIZABETH
MAY.
ELIZABETH MAY HAS BEEN ELECTED
AS M.P. FOR SAANICH-GULF ISLANDS
AND CAN CONFIRM SHE CAN HANG
AROUND AND THERE IS NO DOUBT HER
SEAT WOULD BE HELD TONIGHT AND
PETER ASKED FOR A MINUTE AND
OVER TO YOU.
>> Peter:  JUST A MINUTE.
[ Laughter ]
>> Peter:  TWO THINGS ABOUT
JUSTIN TRUDEAU.
ONE, THOSE TWO BIG HOLES IN HIS
GOVERNMENT, SASKATCHEWAN AND
ALBERTA, AS BOB RICE SAID,
THAT'S A HUGE PROBLEM, GIVEN
THOSE TWO HUGE RESOURCED-BASED
PROVINCES.
THE SPEECH COMING UP IS A BIG
SPEECH FOR HIM AND HE'S GOT TO
ADDRESS THAT AND IN SOME
FASHION, TO TRY TO CONNECT WITH
THE PEOPLE OF ALBERTA AND
SASKATCHEWAN.
AND SECOND, AND WE HAVEN'T
REALLY TALKED ABOUT IT, JUSTIN
TRUDEAU HAS HAD A TERRIBLE LAST
YEAR AND A HALF, STARTING WITH
THAT INDIA TRIP AND EVERYTHING
RIGHT THROUGH.
>> Rosemary:  SNC-LAVALIN, YES.
>> Peter:  AND THEN BROWNFACE,
BLACKFACE AND HE'S PRIME
MINISTER AT THE END OF THE
NIGHT.
HE'LL WIN 157 SEATS OR WHATEVER.
THAT'S NOT SMALL ACCOMPLISHMENT
GIVEN WHAT HE'S BEEN UP AGAINST.
>> Rosemary:  SO THAT WOULD
REFLECT BACK TO SOME OF THE
THINGS THAT CONSERVATIVES HAVE
SAID TO ME OVER THE COURSE OF
THE CAMPAIGN AND I'M SURE VASSY
HEARD THEM, TOO, IF YOU CAN'T
TAKE DOWN A GUY WHO HAS HAD A
DIFFICULT SIX OR SEVEN MONTHS,
WHERE WOULD YOUR OPPORTUNITY BE.
THERE WERE OBVIOUSLY WEAKNESSES
HERE.
EITHER THE STRATEGY FAILED OR
ANDREW SCHEER WOULD NEVER BE
ABLE TO DO IT OR WHAT IS IT
ISSUE?
>> CLEARLY, WHETHER THERE'S A
LEADERSHIP REVIEW OR NOT AND I
UNDERSTAND POINTS THAT THE
PREMIER RAITT WAS MAKING,
THERE'S A CASE TO HAVING A
LEADER STAY ON BUT WHATEVER
HAPPENS AND ALL OF THOSE
LEADERSHIP QUESTIONS, THOSE WILL
BE DECIDED.
OBVIOUSLY THERE WERE PROBLEMS
WITH THE CAMPAIGN AND I THINK
HAVING A BALLOT QUESTION ABOUT
JUSTIN TRUDEAU, NOT AS
ADVERTISED, AND THEN NOT REALLY
FULL AND FRANK ABOUT YOUR
CITIZENSHIP, ABOUT YOUR RESUME
AND YOUR ANSWERS TO SOCIAL
ISSUES, THOSE ARE THE KINDS OF
THINGS WHEN YOU DRAW A CONTRAST
AROUND SOMETHING LIKE THAT WITH
YOUR OPPONENT, YOU'RE ALSO
DRAWING IT WITH YOURSELF.
>> Rosemary:  THESE ARE ALL
EXCELLENT BUT HEATHER HAS A BIG
RESULT.
HEATHER?
>> Heather:  YES.
[ Laughter ]
>> Rosemary:  LONG NIGHT.
>> Heather:  FINAL NUMBERS FOR
RALPH GOODALE.
REGINA-WASCANA, MICHAEL CRAB IS
THE GIANT KILLER WITH 9,031
VOTES.
>> Rosemary:  I'LL CUT YOU OFF
BECAUSE RALPH GOODALE IS TALKING
AND THEN WE'LL COME BACK TO YOU.
IF WE HAVE AUDIO.
THERE WE GO.
>> SHAWN IS RIDING PRESENT AND
MOST RECENTLY CAMPAIGN MANAGER
AND MAC AND THE OTHER SEAN AND
SYBLE AND I'LL GET IN AWFUL
TROUBLE IF I LIST OFF THOSE
NAMES AND YOU'LL FORGIVE ME IF I
DON'T GO FURTHER DOWN THE LIST
BUT I WANT YOU TO KNOW THAT WHEN
YOU GET INTO A POLITICAL
CAMPAIGN, YOU DEVELOP A VERY
CLOSE BONDING AND IT'S INTENSE
FOR THOSE 40 DAYS OF AN ELECTION
CAMPAIGN BUT I HAVE BEEN SO
FORTUNATE THAT IT'S NOT JUST A
40-DAY TEMPORARY THING.
I HAVE GAINED FROM THIS
EXPERIENCE AND FROM ALL OF THE
OTHER CAMPAIGNS THAT HAVE GONE
BEFORE, A HUGE BODY OF DEEP
PERSONAL FRIENDS AND I WANT YOU
TO KNOW WHATEVER TRANSPIRES IN
THE FUTURE, THAT I WILL ALWAYS
TREASURE VERY, VERY, VERY DEEPLY
THOSE PERSONAL FRIENDSHIPS AND
THE BONDS THAT HAVE TIED US
TOGETHER.
BECAUSE THEY HAVE BEEN BUILT OUT
OF MUTUAL RESPECT AND TRUST,
COMMITMENT TO PRINCIPLES AND
IDEALS, LEAVING, AS THEY SAY IN
FOOTBALL, LEAVING IT ALL ON THE
FIELD, NEVER SPARING AN OUNCE OF
EFFORT, ALWAYS BEING WILLING,
ALL OF US TOGETHER, TO GO THE
EXTRA MILE, TO TRY VERY HARD TO
ACCOMPLISH THAT LITTLE BIT MORE
FOR THE PEOPLE THAT WE HAD THE
DUTY AND THE OBLIGATION TO
REPRESENT IN THIS RIDING.
I THANK THEM FOR THE MANDATES
THAT THEY HAVE GIVEN ME IN THE
PAST AND I THANK ALL OF YOU AND
ALL OF THE OTHER VOLUNTEERS THAT
YOU REPRESENT FOR WORKING SO
VERY HARD TO MAKE THAT POSSIBLE
OVER THE LAST 26 YEARS.
AND FROM THIS DAY FORWARD, LET'S
REMEMBER THAT ANY ONE CAMPAIGN
IS ONLY TEMPORARY.
THERE WILL BE NEW CHALLENGES TO
FACE IN THE WEEKS AND MONTHS AND
YEARS AHEAD AND THERE WILL BE
OPPORTUNITIES FOR ALL OF US, NOT
JUST TO CELEBRATE OUR FRIENDSHIP
AND CELEBRATE VICTORIES
ELSEWHERE, BUT TO ALSO
REASSEMBLE TO CELEBRATE THE
REJUVENATION, RECOVERY AND
VICTORY ONCE AGAIN OF THE
LIBERAL CANDIDATES IN
REGINA-WASCANA.
>> Rosemary:  THERE'S RALPH
GOODALE LOSING HIS SEAT AND A
CLASS-ACT, I THINK IT'S FAIR TO
SAY AND HE HAS ALWAYS BEEN.
HE WAS THE PUBLIC SAFETY
MINISTER, FIRST ELECTED TO
PARLIAMENT IN 1974 AS THE OWN
MEMBER TO HAVE SERVED WITH P
PIERRE TRUDEAU AND FIRST IN LINE
AFTER THE PRIME MINISTER TO
ASSUME DUTIES IF SOMEONE
HAPPENED TO THE PRIME MINISTER,
WHICH IS A CRITICAL ROLE AND HE
WAS THE CAMPAIGN COCHAIR, PART
OF THE BRAIN TRUST THAT CRAFTED
THE PLATFORM THAT HAS GOTTEN
THEM BACK INTO GOVERNMENT.
BUT MOSTLY, AND I'LL GO TO MEGAN
AND BOB ON THIS, MOSTLY ONE OF
THOSE MOMENTS, MEGAN, WHERE YOU
THINK OF THEIR CAREER AND
THEY'VE LOST THEIR JOB.
IT'S PART OF POLITICS AND THAT'S
WHY YOU DON'T SEE RALPH GOODALE
UP THERE SOBBING BECAUSE HE'S
BEEN UP THERE LONG ENOUGH TO
KNOW THAT'S WHAT HAPPENS.
IT DOESN'T MAKE IT ANY EASIER
FOR LIBERALS, ANY EASIER FOR
HIM.
>> Megan:  IT CAN HURT AND THERE
CAN BE TEARS BECAUSE YOU PUT A
LOT OF YOUR PERSONAL SELF INTO
IT.
I DON'T WANT TO SAY IT'S
POLITICS BECAUSE THAT'S THE WAY
IT WORKS.
YOU HAVE TO PUT A LOT OF SKIN IN
THE GAME AND SOMETIMES IT WILL
WORK OUT AND SOMETIMES IT WON'T.
RALPH HAS SEEN A LOT OF HIS
FRIENDS LOSE SEATS AND MAYBE WIN
AGAIN IN FUTURE ELECTIONS.
I THINK IT IS ASHAME TO LOSE HIM
AND HIS VOICE IN THE HOUSE OF
COMMONS AND THERE ARE A FEW
OTHERS, LISA RAITT.
I THINK EVEN THE CONSERVATIVE
PARTY LOSING HER VOICE IS A
REALLY IMPORTANT THING FOR US TO
THINK ABOUT AND WHAT THAT MEANS,
YEAH.
>> Rosemary:  I'LL GO TO BOB,
BECAUSE I WONDER, COULD YOU
SOLVE THE LIBERAL PROBLEM IN THE
WEST BY PUTTING A RALPH GOODALE
IN THE SENATE?
COULD YOU DO SOMETHING CRAZY
LIKE THAT DIDN'T I BET YOU RALPH
GOODALE WOULD BE OK WITH THAT?
>> RALPH GOODALE HAS A TRANSFORM
ABSOLUTEA LOT TO CONTRIBUTE.
HE WAS PARLIAMENTARIAN OF THE
YEAR AND HE WAS UP AGAINST A
VERY DIFFICULT SITUATION AND HE
LOST AN ELECTION.
THERE'S NO SHAME IN THAT.
>> Rosemary:  NO.
>> AN IMMENSE A LOT OF TALENT
AND SEGACITY, WISDOM,
THOUGHTFULNESS AND NEVER AFRAID
TO TELL YOU, YOU KNOW, THAT WAS
NOT VERY GOOD OR WHAT DID YOU DO
THAT FOR BECAUSE YOU HAVE TO
HAVE PEOPLE AROUND YOU WHO TELL
YOU THOSE THINGS RATHER THAN
SAY, YOU KNOW, EVERYTHING WAS
FANTASTIC.
SO I HOPE THAT RALPH -- NOT JUST
THAT RALPH LANDS ON HIS FEET BUT
THE PEOPLE WHO MAKE A
CONTRIBUTION LIKE HE'S MADE ARE
RECOGNISED FOR WHAT THEY DO.
>> Rosemary:  IT'S NOT UNHEARD
OF BECAUSE MICHAEL FORCHET, THEY
WERE HAPPY TO PUT HIM INTO
CABINET, IF I'M NOT MISTAKEN,
RIGHT?
>> THE PM MAY HAVE TO BE A
LITTLE MORE ORTHODOX ABOUT HOW
HE DID THE SENATE BECAUSE HE'LL
HAVE TO FIGURE OUT PRACTICALITY
THAT HAS TO PREVAIL.
>> Rosemary:  SURELY IF RALPH
GOODALE SENDS IN AN APPLICATION,
HE WOULD BE ACCEPTED.
[ Laughter ]
>> IT'S THE LIBERAL
REPRESENTATIVE.
>> Rosemary:  I KNOW, BUT I'M
COMING UP WITH IDEAS TO
REPRESENT WESTERN CANADA.
PETER?
>> Peter:  I STARTED COVERING
RALPH WHEN HE FIRST STARTED AND
HE LOST AND THIS ISN'T THE FIRST
TIME HE LOST.
HE LOST IN '79 AND '93 BEFORE HE
CAME BACK BUT THERE WAS ANOTHER
THING ABOUT HIS PUBLIC SERVICE
THAT WE TEND TO FORGET.
HE WAS SCAPEGOATED BY THE RCMP.
THAT WAS IN THE MIDDLE OF
THE '06 ELECTION AND MAY VERY
WELL HAVE COST THE LIBERALS THE
ELECTIONS.
WHEN THEY LAUNCHED AN
INVESTIGATION IN THE MIDDLE OF
THE CAMPAIGN INTO -- I CAN'T
REMEMBER WHAT IT WAS ABOUT.
>> Rosemary:  INCOME TRUST.
>> THAT'S RIGHT.
AND AFTER THE INVESTIGATION,
WHICH WAS WELL AFTER THE
ELECTION, WHICH THEY LOST, HE
WAS PROVEN TO HAVE BEEN INCIDENT
OF ALL CHARGES AGAINST HIM.
>> Rosemary:  THERE WAS IRONY
THAT HE ENDED UP AS MINISTER OF
PUBLIC SAFETY.
I WANT TO GET SOMEONE TO WEIGH
IN ON LISA RAITT BECAUSE SHE WAS
BE THE EQUIVALENT WITH A LOSS OF
THE PARTY BUT FIRST I WANT TO
SHOW YOU THE DEPENDENT, LEADING
IN A TIGHT RACE IN
VANCOUVER-GRANDVILLE, JODY
WILSON-RAYBOULD, PULLING AHEAD
FROM THIRD TO FIRST, LEADING
ONLY BY 199 VOTES.
THIS ISN'T OVER YET AND IT'S
VERY, VERY TIGHT IN THIS RACE
AND WE WILL CONTINUE TO WATCH TO
SEE WHAT HAPPENS.
BUT LET'S TURN IT BACK BECAUSE
WE HAVE HEARD FROM ADAM.
LISA RAITT, A DEPUTY LEADER AND
SOMEONE WHO COULD HAVE AT SOME
POINT, PERHAPS, LEAD THE
CONSERVATIVE PARTY AND THAT
WOULD BE VERY UPSET ABOUT THAT
IN THE CONSERVATIVE PARTY
TONIGHT.
>> Chantal:  ONE WOULD HOPE THEY
WOULD BE UPSET.
SHE WAS PART OF THE PROGRESSIVE
FACE AND THE BRIDGE-BUILDING
THAT THEY NEED IF THEY'RE GOING
TO EXPAND.
IT WON'T BE GOOD ENOUGH TO GET
BACK THE MAXIME BERNIER PEOPLE
BUT THROUGHOUT THE CAMPAIGN,
WOULD I NEVER UNDERSTOOD IS WHY
ANDREW SCHEER DID NOT RUN
ADVERTISING ALONGSIDE AND IN
PARTICULAR, LISA RAITT.
HE HAD A WOMAN ISSUE IN THE
PERCEPTION OF MANY VOTERS AND HE
NEEDED TO SHOWCASE SOME OTHER
COMPETENCE THAN JUST HIMSELF AND
SHE WOULD HAVE BEEN SOMEONE YOU
WANT TO SHOWCASE.
>> Rosemary:  PARTICULARLY
AROUND THE ABORTION STUFF.
>> Chantal:  THEY DON'T HAVE TO
LIKE EACH OTHER.
SO THERE'S A LOT OF TALENT THAT
WAS NOT USED PROPERLY AND THAT
CONTRIBUTES TO A DEFEAT IF
YOU'RE NOT GIVEN PROFILE.
>> LISA RAITT DID A LOT OF THE
PUBLIC SPEAKING FOR THE
CONSERVATIVE GOVERNMENT AND
CLEANED UP THE ABORTION MESS IN
LATE AUGUST.
SHE WAS ON CBC, THE HOUSE, AND
ON ALL OF THE TALK SHOWS HOPING
WITH THE WOMEN FRONT-I THINK
LISA RAITT IS LIKE THIS YEAR'S
MEGAN LESLIE.
SHE THOUGHT THAT ADAM VANCOUVER
DIDN'T WORK FOR THE PAST YEAR.
APPARENTLY HE WAS ONE OF THE
DOOR-KNOCKERS AND THAT HER
RIDING HAD NOT CHANGED AND
DIDN'T NEED TO WORRY ABOUT ALL
OF THE BROWN PEOPLE LIVING IN
THE SUBURBS AND WHAT HAS BECOME
MILTON.
AND SHE SPENT A LOT OF THAT
SUMMER, ACTUALLY, IN NOVA
SCOTIA, CAMPAIGNING FOR OTHER
CONSERVATIVE CANDIDATES AND THEN
CAME HOME AND THE MAN HAD
LEAP-FROGGED AHEAD OF HER.
>> I WOULD PICK UP ON BOTH
POINTS THAT IT IS A BIG LOSS FOR
A SCHEER-LEAD CONSERVATIVE
PARTY.
ANDREW SCHEER DID TRUST LISA
RAITT AND YOU SAW THAT.
SHE WAS VERY OFTEN THE PUBLIC
FACE IS THE FIRST PERSON THEY
PUT ON ANY PANEL OR ANY SCRUM
WHEN IT CAME TO S.N.C., SHE WAS
EFFECTIVE AT DELIVERING THEIR
MESSAGE.
THIS IS BIG FOR THE PARTY AS A
WHOLE, PARTICULARLY THE PROGRESS
PROGRESSIVE SIDE OF THINGS AND
IT SHOWED THEY HAD AN ISSUE,
PARTICULARLY ANDREW SCHEER WITH
FEMALE VOTERS WHO WERE NOT
NECESSARILY THRILLED WITH THE
OTHER OPTIONS, NOT TO SAY THAT,
BUT PARTICULARLY IF YOU'RE
LOOKING AT BUILDING THE PARTY
AND EXPANDING THE BASIS ANDREW
TALKED ABOUT EARLIER, THIS IS AN
IMPEDIMENT.
>> Rosemary:  SHE SUPER SMART ON
ALL THINGS.
>> LOOK, SHE'S CLEARLY A LOSS TO
THE TEAM AND HER ABILITY TO
COMMUNICATE, HER PUBLIC PROFILE.
BUT I THINK, YOU KNOW, IT GETS
TO SOME OF THE OTHER THINGS THAT
ARE MAYBE A LOSS TO THE TEAM AND
MAYBE CONTRIBUTING FACTORS TO
THE THINGS WE'VE SEEN TONIGHT.
THERE'S ONLY TWO OTHER, I THINK,
LEADERSHIP RIVALS OF STATURE
THAT ARE STILL IN CAUCUS.
I GUESS SHE'S OUT NOW BUT WHO
SURVIVED INTO THIS.
BUT THE PERSON WHO GOT 49% OF
THE VOTE IN THE LEADERSHIP WAS
DRIVEN OUT OF THE PARTY.
YOU HAVE A NUMBER -- KELLY LEICH
NOT IN THE PARTY.
I THINK THERE'S A
FENCE-BUILDING, BRIDGE-MENDING
PROCESS THAT HAS TO GO ON AFTER
ONE OF THESE RACES THAT IS
INCLUSIVE AND HEALING THE PARTY
AFTER A LOSS AND IS A BIG AND
IMPORTANT THING.
>> Rosemary:  LISA RAITT IS
STANDING BY WITH OUR REPORTER
AND LET'S GET REACTION.
LISA?
>> Reporter:  ABSOLUTELY.
A BIG UPSET HERE IN MILTON
TONIGHT WITH ADAM AND EDGING OUT
INCUMBENT, LISA RAITT AND I AM
WITH LISA RIGHT NOW AND LISA,
HOW ARE YOU FEELING AFTER IN IN.
>> I SERVED MILTON FOR 11 YEARS
AND A LOT OF PEOPLE WHO NEVER
MAKE IT INTO THE HOUSE OF
COMMONS AND I HAVE BEEN SO
PRIVILEGED TO BE THERE.
SO IT'S NOT THE WIN THAT WE
WANTED TO HAVE THIS EVENING, BUT
I'M AMONGST MY FRIENDS AND
FAMILY AND EVERYBODY THAT'S WITH
ME AND WE'LL TURN IT INTO A
CELEBRATION, A CELEBRATION OF
WHAT WE'VE BEEN ABLE TO
ACCOMPLISH.
>> Reporter:  WHAT DO YOU THINK
HAPPENED, CONSIDERING YOU HAVE
BEEN REPRESENTING FOLKS HERE FOR
THE LAST 11 YEARS?
>> I THINK THERE'S A LOT OF
THOUGHT PUT INTO WHAT THIS
ELECTION MEANT AND WHERE IT
WENT, BUT THAT'S NOT FOR
TONIGHT.
TONIGHT IS FOR THING EDMONTON
FOR 11 YEARS AND WISHING ADAM
WELL AND THANKING MY VOLUNTEERS
HERE THIS EVENING.
I'LL LET MY LEADER, ANDREW
SCHEER, ADDRESS THE NATION TO
TALK ABOUT WHAT CONSERVATIVES
WILL DO BUT IT'S ABOUT LOCAL AND
IT WILL STAY ABOUT LOCAL?
>> Reporter:  WHAT ABOUT
CAMPAIGNS?
THE LIBERALS PUT ON A STRONG
CAMPAIGN?
>> AND WE FOUGHT THEM STREET BY
STREET AND HOUSE BY HOUSE AND
MILONIANS HAVE SPOKEN AND THE
VOTER GETS IT RIGHT SO THANK YOU
FOR 11 YEARS.
I'M HONOURED AND I WISH ADAM THE
BEST.
>> Reporter:  AND HERE IN
MILTON, IT'S PART OF THAT 905,
IMPOSSIBLE TO TALK ABOUT THIS
REGION AND WITHOUT KNOWN AS THE
FORD FACTOR AND HOW DO YOU THINK
PLAYED INTO THIS?
>> YOU KNOW, I'M THINKING ABOUT
ALL OF THE POLLS WE HAD AND A
LOT OF INFORMATION LOCALLY THAT
WE'LL BE ABLE TO TAKE A LOOK AT
BUT THE REALITY IS THAT MILTON
DECIDED THEY WANTED TO VOTE FOR
ADAM AS THE LIBERAL AND NOT FOR
ME AND THAT'S HOW THE RESULT
CAME OUT, SO I'M NOT GOING TO
PUT TOO MUCH WORRY INTO WHAT
HAPPENED.
I KNOW THAT MY TEAM WAS STRONG,
THEY PUT IN A FANTASTIC CAMPAIGN
AND I WOULDN'T CHANGE ANYTHING
WE DID, ANY WAY AT ALL.
I'M PROUD OF THEM AND MY FAMILY
AND ALL OF THE SUPPORT AND I'M
THANKFUL FOR MILTON TO WHAT
THEY'VE GIVEN ME FOR 11 YEARS.
>> Reporter:  THAT WAS LISA
RAITT DEFEATED IN A BIG UPSET BY
THE LIBERALS.
>> Rosemary:  THANK YOU, LISA.
YOU MIGHT WANT TO HAN YOUR TELEX
OVER TO THE OTHER LISA BECAUSE
I'M GOING TO DO SOMETHING THAT
MIGHT MAKE HER A LITTLE UPSET
BUT IT'S NOT SUPPOSED TO BE.
MEGAN LESLIE, WHEN YOU LOST IN
2015 -- I WILL ASK LISA TO GIVE
HER TELEX TO THE OTHER LISA.
WHEN YOU LOST, YOU CAME ON
"POWER & POLITICS," I WAS
HOSTING THE SHOW AND LISA WILL
DO THIS FOR ME.
AND YOU HAD LOST AND LISA RAITT
CAME ON THE SHOW AND SHE SAID A
BUNCH OF LOVELY THINGS ABOUT YOU
AND YOU TEARED UP.
AND SHE'S NOT GOING TO DO IT.
SO I'LL LET YOU REPAY THE
FAVOUR.
SHE WILL TAKE IT.
NO PRESSURE ON ANYBODY.
LISA, I'M JUST REMINDING MEGAN
OF THE KIND LOSS YOU GAVE HER
AND MEGAN IS HERE NOW AND LET'S
SEE WHAT HAPPENS.
>> Megan:  THIS ISN'T A GAME.
THESE ARE REAL PEOPLE, THE
PEOPLE THAT PUT THEIR NAMES ON
THE BALLOTS.
LISA, WE CAN SEE YOU HERE AND
YOU ARE JUST -- YOU'VE BEEN A
STRONG VOICE FOR WOMEN, FOR
CONSERVATIVE WOMEN AND I'M
REALLY PROUD OF YOU.
I'M PROUD TO BE YOUR FRIEND AND
YOU JUST ARE THE MOST GRACEFUL
PERSON AND I LOVE YOU.
NOW.
>> OH, MEGAN, YOU'RE SO SWEET.
THE ONLY REASON I AGREED TO GO
ON NATIONAL IS BECAUSE I KNOW
YOU WERE THERE AND YOU'VE BEEN
DOING A FABULOUS JOB.
I APPRECIATE YOUR KIND WORDS.
I'M PROUD OF THE 11 YEARS I'VE
BEEN ABLE TO BE IN THE HOUSE OF
COMMONS AND HONOURED THAT THEY
SENT ME.
>> Megan:  CALL ME AND WE'LL GO
FOR A DRINK.
>> Rosemary:  MATCH-MAKING LIVE
ON TV.
I CONCUR WITH MEGAN, A CLASS ACT
AND I KNOW WE'LL SEE YOU AGAIN
AND GOOD TO SEE YOU TONIGHT.
THANKS FOR THAT, MEGAN, AS WELL.
>> TAKE CARE.
>> Rosemary:  A GOOD MOMENT TO
SHOW YOU HOW WOMEN HAVE DONE SO
FAR.
97 WOMEN CANDIDATES AND THIS IS
WHAT IT LOOKS LIKE RIGHT NOW ON
THE BOARD.
THE LIBERALS HAVE ELECTED 52.
SO THEY'RE UP TWO, IN FACT, AND
IMPROVED UPON THEIR FORTUNES
FROM LAST TIME.
IF JUSTIN TRUDEAU WANTS TO MAKE
A GENDER-BALANCED CABINET, HE
HAS A LOT TO CHOOSE FROM.
THE CONSERVATIVES UP FOUR, AS
WELL AND THEY HAVE ELECTED OR
LEADING IN 21 AND NINE MORE
WOMEN LOOK LIKE THEY'RE HEADING
TO PARLIAMENT HILL.
YOU MAY HAVE LOST A GOOD ONE
WITH CONSERVATIVES AND LISA
RAITT, BUT THEY PICKED UP SOME
AS WELL.
WHERE WILL WE GO NOW HERE?
DUNCAN?
>> YOU TALK ABOUT JUSTIN TRUDEAU
WANTING TO HAVE WOMEN IN HIS
CABINET AND LOOK AT WHAT
HAPPENED TO JANE PHILPOTT
TONIGHT.
SHE WON'T SUCCEED IN HER BID TO
AN INDEPENDENT.
SPEAKING WITH JANE PHILPOTT FOR
HER, THIS CAMPAIGN WAS ABOUT A
MATTER OF TRUST AND TRUTH.
WELL, UNFORTUNATELY, RUNNING AS
AN INDEPENDENT IS DIFFICULT WHEN
YOU DON'T HAVE THE RESOURCES AND
SO, WE'RE TALKING ABOUT SMART
WOMEN, STRONG WOMEN, AND I THINK
EVERYONE WOULD RECOGNISE THAT IN
JANE PHILPOTT BUT IT DIDN'T
WORK.
STANDING ON PRINCIPLE DIDN'T END
UP HELPING HER.
>> Rosemary:  WE HAVE ONE
INDEPENDENT ON THE BOARD AND
THAT'S STILL JODY
WILSON-RAYBOULD AND WE'LL
CONTINUE TO TRACK HOW SHE DOES
TONIGHT AS AN INDEPENDENT AND
ALTHEA WANTS IN.
YOU CAN PASS.
ANDREW WANTS IN, TOO.
>> THIS IS AN INTERESTING RACE.
IT'S A THREE-WAY RACE AS WE'VE
SEEN.
>> Rosemary:  FOR JODY
WILSON-RAYBOULD, YOU MEAN?
>> YES, AND THE LIBERALS.
AND YOU KNOW, HAVING
DOOR-KNOCKED IN THAT RIDING, AS
WELL.
AND YES, I SPENT ALL SUMMER
DOOR-KNOCKING.
IT'S NOT A HUGE SURPRISE THAT
THE CONSERVATIVES ARE DOING WELL
IN THAT RIDING.
>> JUST ON THE SNC-LAVALIN, IT
SEEMS THE ELEPHANT IN THE ROOM
TONIGHT.
WE TALKED ABOUT AN RCMP
INVESTIGATION AND THIS CAMPAIGN
BEGAN WITH AN RCMP INVESTIGATION
AND WE TALKED ABOUT THE TORIES
NEEDING TO EXPAND THEIR BASE.
THERE'S ANOTHER PARTY, THE
LIBERALS ARE GOING TO FINISH IN
PRESENT FORM WITH THE SMALLER
SHARE THAN THE CONSERVATIVES
DID.
A BIG PART, I THINK, DUE TO
SNC-LAVALIN, AND THE PRIME
MINISTER.
HE'S NOW IN A MINORITY
PARLIAMENT AND DOESN'T CONTROL
THE MAJORITY OR THE COMMITTEES.
YOU THINK WE'LL BE HEARING A LOT
MORE ABOUT SNC-LAVALIN ONCE
PARLIAMENT RESUMES.
I DON'T THINK THIS IS OVER BY A
LONG SHOT.
>> Chantal:  THAT PRESUMES THE
BLOC QUÉBÉCOIS WANTS TO PLAY IN
THAT MOVIE.
>> HE'S RIGHT ABOUT THAT.
I THINK THIS IS ONE OF THE WAYS
IN WHICH THE PRIME MINISTER IS
GOING TO HAVE TO DIG DOWN DEEP
AND THE HEALING PROCESS ABOUT
WHAT TOOK PLACE.
WE DIDN'T HAVE A CHANCE TO DEAL
WITH ANNE MCCLENNAN'S REPORT AND
WHAT ELSE UNFOLDS AFTER THAT, WE
DON'T KNOW.
BUT YEAH, I THINK THERE'S NO
QUESTION THAT SNC-LAVALIN HURT
THE LIBERAL PARTY AS WE WERE
HEADING INTO THE ELECTION.
BUT I ALSO THINK THAT IT'S AN
ISSUE THAT PLAYS DIFFERENTLY IN
DIFFERENT PARTS OF THE COUNTRY.
AND WE NEED TO UNDERSTAND THAT
AND THE HOUSE THAT WE'RE GOING
TO BE LOOKING AT IS A HOUSE THAT
WILL HAVE A STRONG
REPRESENTATION FROM QUEBEC THAT
WILL BE LOOKING AT SOME OF THE
ISSUES IN A VERY DIFFERENT WAY.
THAT'S A REALITY THAT WE'RE ALL
GOING TO HAVE TO DEAL WITH.
>> Rosemary:  THE BLOC LEADER
SAID DURING A NUMBER OF DEBATES
SAID HE HAD NO INTEREST IN GOING
AFTER THAT AND THAT HE WAS
ACTUALLY OFFENDED THAT IT WOULD
BECOME A THING BECAUSE THAT'S
HIS POSITION IN QUEBEC.
>> Chantal:  HE'S ALSO PREMIER
LEGAULT'S POSITION THAT THEY
SHOULD BE OFFERED THE
REMEDIATION AGREEMENT BUT THE
DYNAMICS OF THIS PARLIAMENT WILL
NOT BE CONDUCIVE TO REKINDLING
THE ISSUE.
>> WE HAVE THE RCMP INTENDING TO
LAUNCH AN INQUIRY THAT WAS
UNABLE TO TALK TO SEVERAL
WITNESSES.
>> Rosemary:  I'M DEFINITELY NOT
RELITIGATING SNC-LAVALIN.
I DID THAT FOR TOO MANY MONTHS
OF MY LIFE.
DAVID COCHRAN?
>> David:  THE ONE THING, THE
FALL-OUT, ONE OF THE THINGS THIS
ENGINES POSED BY THE PRIME
MINISTER'S OFFICE AND THE WAY HE
RAN THE CAUCUSES, THERE WASN'T
ENOUGH CAUCUS OUTREACH OR
BUILDING WITH THE BACK BENCH.
>> Rosemary:  AND HE ADMITTED.
>> David:  HOW IMPORTANT WILL
THAT BE WHEN YOU NEED TO BROKER
RELATIONSHIPS BETTER AND THERE
HAS BEEN A PERSISTENT COMPLAINT
AND THEY NEED TO BE MORE
REACTIVE TO EVENTS IN REAL-TIME
AND THIS WILL TEST THE ABILITY
TO ADAPT TO THAT.
(PLEASE STAND BY).
MINORITY, SO I NEED TO BE NICER 
TO YOU.
>> BUT SUNNY WAYS.
>> NO, DIDN'T HAPPEN.
>> Rosemary: PROBABLY DIDN'T 
WORK.
>> THEY ALL REALIZED THEY WERE 
WHERE THEY ARE BECAUSE OF 
STEPHEN HARPER.
IF THEY THINK IT'S IN SPITE OF 
JUSTIN TRUDEAU.
>> Rosemary: WEIGH IN ON THAT 
PART.
WHETHER HE CAN MANAGE THAT.
SO I DON'T THINK HE'S GOING TO 
BE QUITE -- YES, THE DICTATES OF
STAYING IN POWER WILL KEEP YOU 
IN LINE.
BUT THERE IS MUCH MORE UNHAPPY 
PEOPLE, MUCH LESS FEELING LIKE 
THAT HE OWE HIM THEIR LIV
LIVELIHOOD.
IT'S A NEBULOUS THING.
IT'S A STRONG MINORITY, BUT IS 
IT FRAMED BY TRUDEAU AND 
LIBERALS.
IS THERE A POSITION THAT THERE 
IS NO REPRESENTATION.
IS THERE RECOGNITION THEY WERE 
NOT ABLE TO PULL OUT ANOTHER 
MAJORITY OR IS IT FRAMING IT AS 
A WIN AND NOTHING ELSE?
>> Rosemary: IT HAS TO BE 
SOMETHING ELSE SLIGHTLY MORE 
HUMBLE SPEECH.
HAS TO BE ADMISSION THERE WERE 
PEOPLE THAT WANTED TO REIN YOU 
IN, PEOPLE IN THE COUNTRY THAT 
DIDN'T HEAR FROM YOU.
YOU TELL ME.
>> I THINK WE'RE CONFLATING TWO 
THINGS.
I THINK THE ONLY PERSON ON THE 
PANEL THAT HAS WORKED IN A PRIME
MINISTER'S OFFICE, YOU HAVE TO 
CONTROL THINGS FROM THE CENTRE.
AND I THINK YOU'RE GOING TO SEE 
A STRONG CENTRE BECAUSE IT'S 
REQUIRED TO MANAGE THAT 
SITUATION.
THAT DOESN'T MEAN THAT YOU HAVE 
TO BE A PARTISAN A-HOLE IN HOW 
YOU APPROACH EVERY ISSUE.
>> Rosemary: LOTS OF PEOPLE JUST
WENT LIKE THIS TO YOU.
[LAUGHTER] 
>> BUT IN FAIRNESS, BUT IN 
FAIRNESS, THAT'S WHY --
>> WE LOST 2015.
>> -- THIS IS RESPONSIBLE.
I WILL SAY THAT IS WHY WE LOST 
IN 2015.
AND YOU KNOW, HAVE THAT BE A 
CAUTIONARY TALE, IF YOU DO TAKE 
A PATH WHERE YOU ARE NOT 
ACCOMMODATING PARTS OF THE 
COUNTRY, THAT YOU AREN'T WELL 
REPRESENTED IN, THAT THERE WILL 
BE A PRICE TO BE PAID.
NOT JUST ON A PARTISAN BASIS, 
BUT AS ONE WOULD HOPE, THAT 
WHOEVER IS SITTING AS A PRIME 
MINISTER IS TRYING TO THINK 
ABOUT A GREATER GOOD.
THAT THIS IS NOT JUST ABOUT 
PARTISAN POLITICS, BUT HAVING A 
UNITED COUNTRY THAT IS 
FUNCTIONAL.
IT REMINDS ME OF 1993 WHERE WE 
HAVE THE REFORM PARTY DOMINATING
THE WEST AND A SEPARATIST PARTY,
A MAJORITY OF SEATS IN QUÉBEC.
I DON'T THINK THAT WAS VERY 
HEALTHY FOR THE COUNTRY.
I THINK WE WERE AT A MUCH BETTER
PLACE WHERE WE HAD NATIONAL 
PARTIES THAT WERE COMPETITIVE IN
EVERY REGION OF THE COUNTRY AND 
YOU HAD REPRESENTATION.
LOOK, I'M FROM SASKATCHEWAN.
PART OF ME IS HAPPY TO SEE RALPH
GOODALE LOSE, BECAUSE YOU WANT 
TO DO THAT WHEN YOU HAVE YOUR 
PARTISAN HAT ON.
BUT IT'S NOT GOOD FOR THE 
PROVINCE OF SASKATCHEWAN OR THE 
CABINET TO HAVE A VOICE LIKE 
RALPH GOODALE AROUND THE CABINET
TABLE.
IT DOESN'T ABROGATE YOUR DUTY.
>> I HAVE TO PUT EVERYONE ON 
HOLD BECAUSE YVES-FRANCOIS 
BLANCHET IS COMING UP TO THE 
STAGE.
HE'S TRIPLED REALLY HIS SEAT 
COUNT FROM THE PREVIOUS LEADER 
IN THE PREVIOUS ELECTION IN 
2015.
SO WE'LL LISTEN TO HIM AND 
CONTINUE THIS CONVERSATION AFTER
THAT.
BECAUSE THIS IS HOW DOES JUSTIN 
TRUDEAU APPEAL TO HIS HOME 
PROVINCE WHERE HE DOESN'T HAVE 
AS MANY SEATS AS HE DID BEFORE?
LET'S LISTEN IN TO YVES-FRANCOIS
BLANCHET.
[APPLAUSE]
>> [Speaking French]
>> Translator: I THINK WE'RE 
DOING WELL.
I THINK WE'RE FULL OF LIFE.
AND I LOOK AT YOU AND I SEE THAT
YOU'RE VERY YOUNG.
WE'VE COME A LONG WAY.
BUT WE WILL GO EVEN FURTHER.
FIRST OF ALL, I WOULD LIKE TO 
CONVEY SOME THANKS.
IN A FEW HOURS, MY FATHER WILL 
HAVE LEFT MY LIFE 21 YEARS AGO.
AND I KNOW HE HAD TO GREAT DEAL 
OF ADMIRATION FOR RENÉ LEVESQUE.
ALLOW ME TO THANK NANCY AND THE 
CHILDREN FOR THEIR PATIENCE AND 
ESPECIALLY FOR THEIR 
ENCOURAGEMENT.
AND FOR A QUÉBEC THAT IS SHINING
AT ALL TIMES.
I ALSO WANT TO THANK ALL THE 
ACTIVISTS AND CONSTITUENTS AND 
VOTERS, YOU WELCOMED ME WITH 
SUCH WARMTH THAT WENT WELL 
BEYOND MY EXPECTATIONS.
I WANT TO CONVEY MY GREETINGS TO
THE ACTIVISTS OF BLOC QUEBECOIS 
AND WANT TO THANK MY ADVISOR AND
FRIEND, MR. GILLES DUCEPPE.
MR. GILLES DUCEPPE HAS ALLOWED 
US TO BENEFIT FROM HIS SON, WHO 
HAS JUST BEEN ELECTED IN 
SAINT-JACQUES.
[LAUGHTER] FOR THE TRACE THAT HE
LEFT IN QUÉBEC, I ALSO WANT TO 
THANK BOUCHARD.
AND I HAVE SOME FRIENDLY 
THOUGHTS AND SOME GRATITUDE FOR 
A GREAT TEAM THAT RAN AN 
IMPOSSIBLE CAMPAIGN IN MONEY AND
HUMAN RESOURCES.
WE DID A LOT MORE WITH A LOT 
LESS THAN MANY OTHERS.
AND IN MANY, MANY REGARDS, IT 
WAS A VICTORIOUS CAMPAIGN.
I WANT TO KEEP FOR THE END MY 
FELLOW CANDIDATES.
WHAT COURAGE.
NOW, WITH HINDSIGHT I SUPPOSE 
YOU CAN SAY THIS WOULD HAVE 
LOOKED LIKE MAYBE AN EASY 
CHOICE, BUT IT'S IMPORTANT TO 
REALIZE THAT FOUR TO SIX MONTHS 
AGO WHEN WE WERE STILL JUST 
CRAZY PEOPLE, WELL, THERE IS 
CRAZY PEOPLE THAT SAID YES AND 
THEY'RE NOW GOING TO THE HOUSE 
OF COMMONS.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
THANK YOU, THANK YOU VERY MUCH.
THOSE PEOPLE SET ASIDE THEIR 
PROFESSIONAL LIVES AND THEY WON 
THROUGH A SOLEMN COMMITMENT TO 
QUÉBECERS.
SOME OF THEM WERE NOT CHOSEN 
TONIGHT, BUT THERE IS TREMENDOUS
GRATITUDE FOR ALL OF YOU, NOT 
ONLY FROM ME, BUT FROM ALL 
QUÉBECERS AND YOU HAVE MY 
LASTING FRIENDSHIP.
THE PEOPLE OF QUÉBEC AND CANADA 
HAVE CHOSEN A MINORITY 
PARLIAMENT TONIGHT.
NO PARTY AMONG THOSE WHO WERE 
ASPIRING TO A MAJORITY WON A 
MAJORITY OF SEATS.
NO PARTY WILL CONTROL THE HOUSE 
OF COMMONS.
IN QUÉBEC, THE BLOC QUEBECOIS 
DOES NOT WANT TO FORM A 
GOVERNMENT OR EVEN PARTICIPATE 
IN A GOVERNMENT.
HOWEVER, THE BLOC QUEBECOIS CAN 
COOPERATE WITH ANY GOVERNMENT.
IF WHAT IS PROPOSED IS GOOD FOR 
QUÉBEC, YOU CAN COUNT ON US.
IF WHAT IS BEING PROPOSED, HARMS
QUÉBEC, THE BLOC WILL STAND UP 
AND BLOCK IT.
IF THE GOVERNMENT CAN BE TALKED 
TO AND REFLECTS THE TEMPERAMENT 
OF QUÉBECERS, THEN THE BLOC WILL
ALSO BE A PARTY ONE CAN TALK TO.
EXCEPT IF WE'RE TALKING ABOUT 
PUTTING MORE OIL ACROSS QUÉBEC.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
EXCEPT IF IT MEANS COMPROMISING 
OUR VALUES, OUR LANGUAGE, OR 
QUÉBEC'S COMMITMENT TO SECULAR 
PUBLIC INSTITUTIONS.
I DON'T BELIEVE THAT QUÉBECERS 
AND CANADIANS ELECTED A MINORITY
GOVERNMENT BECAUSE THEY WANTED 
TO GO AND HAVE ANOTHER VOTE 18 
MONTHS FROM NOW.
I BELIEVE QUÉBECERS AND 
CANADIANS ARE ASKING US, ALL 
PARTIES IN ALL REGIONS OF THIS 
COUNTRY, DESPITE THE DEEP 
DIVISION THAT WE SEE IN THE 
ELECTORAL MATH TODAY, TO WORK 
TOGETHER.
THEY'RE ASKING US TO MAKE A 
STATE WORK EVEN THOUGH IT'S 
IMPERFECT.
A COUNTRY THAT FOR 37 YEARS HAS 
ABANDONED A QUARTER OF ITS 
POPULATION BECAUSE OF A 
CONSTITUTION THEY NEVER SIGNED 
ONTO.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
BUT THIS IS A PARLIAMENT WE WILL
HAVE TO MAKE WORK.
THE BLOC QUEBECOIS UNDERSTANDS 
THE MANDATE THAT HAS BEEN 
ENTRUSTED TO IT.
WE PROPOSE TO BE THE VOICE OF 
THE QUÉBEC NATION.
WHICH ENDED UP IN ITS ONLY REAL 
PARLIAMENT, THE NATIONAL 
ASSEMBLY.
WE ARE THE VOICE OF THE 
CONSENSUS THAT EXISTED IN THE 
QUÉBEC NATIONAL ASSEMBLY.
WE ARE SOLEMNLY COMMITTED TO 
CARRY OUT THAT MANDATE.
ALL OF THAT MANDATE.
WITHOUT ANY HESITATION.
WE UNDERSTAND THE DEPTHS OF THAT
MANDATE, BUT WE ALSO UNDERSTAND 
ITS LIMITATION.
THE MEMBERS, THE ACTIVISTS, AND 
THE VOTERS OF THE BLOC QUEBECOIS
KNOW THAT WE STILL BELIEVE THAT 
AS SOON AS POSSIBLE, IN ITS OWN 
WAY, QUÉBEC CAN CHOOSE TO HAVE 
ALL THE ATTRIBUTES OF 
SOVEREIGNTY.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
I DO, TOO.
BUT I HAVE LIMITLESS ADMIRATION 
FOR OUR ACTIVISTS WHO CAN BE 
IMPATIENT AT TIMES, BUT FOR ALL 
THOSE PEOPLE AND ALL THOSE 
FRIENDS WHO AGREE THAT QUÉBEC 
THIS TIME, AND THIS TIME -- FOR 
THIS TIME THE REALIZATION OF 
SOVEREIGNTY.
THE BLOC IS A SOVEREIGNTIST 
PARTY AND THE DESIRE FOR 
SOVEREIGNTY HAS BEEN PART OF ME 
EVER SINCE MY FATHER SANG THE 
SONG.
THE BLOC QUEBECOIS WILL LEARN 
AGAIN TO LISTEN TO QUÉBECERS IN 
THAT PERSPECTIVE.
IF THERE IS ONE THING THIS 
CAMPAIGN TAUGHT US, IT IS THAT 
WE REFLECT THE VOICE, THE PEOPLE
OF QUÉBEC.
WE RESPECT THEIR VALUES AND THEY
CAN GIVE US THEIR FULL 
CONFIDENCE.
WE MUST HOLD HUMILITY THAT HAS 
BROUGHT US TO WHERE WE ARE 
TONIGHT.
THE BLOC, THE PARLIAMENTARY 
WING, WILL BE HEADING TO 
PARLIAMENT SOON.
OUR WORK IS NOT TO MAKE CANADIAN
FEDERALISM WORK.
OUR MANDATE, OUR MANDATE AS 
DICTATED BY VOTERS, NOT TO 
PREVENT IT, BUT THE DEEP 
RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE 
CANADIAN FEDERATION AND THE 
QUÉBEC STATE DOESN'T MEAN BEING 
SERVILE.
HOWEVER, GOOD FRIENDS, 
PARLIAMENTARIANS, WELL, MAYBE 
ONE DAY WE'LL REALIZE THAT THIS 
IS THE WAY OF THE FUTURE.
PARTNERS, BUT EQUALS AND FREE.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
OUR MANDATE IN THE MEANTIME IS 
TO GET AS MUCH AS WE CAN FOR 
QUÉBECERS IN THE TIME WE ARE 
THERE.
WHILE WE WAIT FOR QUÉBECERS TO 
CHOOSE ANOTHER PATH.
ANDET IS BY BEING PATIENT AND 
THROUGH HUMILITY AND ONLY AT 
THAT PRICE CAN WE POSSIBLY SAY 
TONIGHT THAT QUÉBEC IS US.
TONIGHT, I ALWAYS HAVE THE GREAT
PLEASURE TO SPEAK TO THE OTHER 
LEADERS OF THE PARTIES.
IT IS WITH OBSTINATESY, THAT WE 
WERE ABLE TO RUN A POSITIVE 
CAMPAIGN, A CLEAN CAMPAIGN, A 
CAMPAIGN OF IDEAS.
A CAMPAIGN OF HEART.
QUÉBEC HAS JUST REWARDED US FOR 
THAT.
I DO HOPE WITHOUT GIVING ANYONE 
A LESSON, I DO HOPE THAT WE WILL
ALL, IN PARLIAMENT, HAVE 
RECEIVED AND UNDERSTOOD THE 
MESSAGE ASSOCIATED WITH THAT 
CHOICE.
I WANT TO CONGRATULATE MR. 
JUSTIN TRUDEAU, MR. JAGMEET 
SINGH, MS. ELIZABETH MAY, AND 
MR. ANDREW SCHEER AND MR. MAXIME
BERNIER.
I WILL MAKE MYSELF AVAILABLE TO 
LAY THE FOUNDATION OF A 
PARLIAMENTARY CULTURE THAT WILL 
ADOPT ANOTHER VALUE DEAR TO 
QUÉBECERS.
RESPECT.
RESPECT, YES, BUT ALSO RESPECT 
AMONG PARLIAMENTARIANS, RESPECT 
AND HUMILITY.
WE ARE THERE TO SERVE THE 
PEOPLE.
WITH THAT IN MIND AND IN THAT 
SPIRIT, WITHOUT COMPROMISING WHO
WE ARE, AND RESPECTING OR 
MANDATE AND ITS LIMITATIONS, OUR
DESIRE WILL BE TO COOPERATE.
AND I EXPECT THE SAME OF THE 
OTHER PARTIES.
HOWEVER, DO NOT EXPECT ANY 
COMPROMISE ABOUT THE POSITIONS 
AND OUR DESIRE TO DEFEND THE 
LANGUAGE AND VALUES OF 
QUÉBECERS.
IN THAT SPIRIT AS WELL, I 
BELIEVE IT IS APPROPRIATE TO 
CONVEY OUR GREETINGS TO THE 
MEMBERS OF THE NATIONAL 
ASSEMBLY.
AND TO MEET WITH PREMIER 
LEGAULT, THE PREMIER OF QUÉBEC.
FRIENDS, LET US NEVER FORGET 
THIS CAMPAIGN WHICH IS LIKE A 
VOW.
THE ONLY VOW OF OURS WILL BE 
ADDRESSED TO THE QUÉBEC NATION.
WHAT DID WE SAY TO THE QUÉBEC 
NATION?
WE SAID THE FRENCH IS US.
THE SECULARISM IS US.
THAT THE REGION IS US.
THAT SUPPLY MANAGEMENT IS US.
THAT SENIORS IS US.
THAT GETTING RID OF OIL IS US.
THAT CLEAN ENERGY IS US.
THAT INNOVATION IS US.
THAT QUÉBEC IS US.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
>> Rosemary: THAT IS 
YVES-FRANCOIS BLANCHET, LEADER 
OF THE BLOC QUEBECOIS.
TONIGHT, HE'S WALKING AWAY WITH 
32 SEATS TO REPRESENT THE PARTY,
BUILDING THE PARTY BACK TO WELL 
MORE THAN THEY NEEDED FOR 
OFFICIAL PARTY STATUS.
SAYING A COUPLE IMPORTANT 
THINGS.
THIS IS GOING TO BE IMPORTANT IN
A MINORITY GOVERNMENT.
SAYS THE BLOC WILL BE A PARTY 
THAT PEOPLE CAN TALK TO.
BUT ONE CONDITION, HE DOES NOT 
WANT A PIPELINE TO PASS THROUGH 
QUÉBEC IN ANY WAY, SHAPE, OR 
FORM.
OF COURSE, ENERGY EAST, WHICH 
DIED ANYWAY.
WHICH THE LIBERALS WOULD NOT 
REVIVE.
AND ALSO SAID HIS JOB AS BLOC 
QUEBECOIS WAS NOT TO MAKE SURE 
THAT FEDERALISM WORKS, BUT ALSO 
NOT TO STOP IT.
THAT, TOO, SOUNDS LIKE A 
CONCILIATORY MOVE.
IF SOMEONE DECIDES THEY HAVE TO 
WORK WITH THE BLOC, THERE ARE 
WAYS DO THAT.
DAVID COCHRANE HAS A FEW MORE 
RESULTS.
>> WE'RE GOING TO LOOK AT 
RIDINGS IN THE QUÉBEC THAT 
HELPED TELL THE BLOC STORY.
WE'RE GOING TO START IN A RIDING
THAT IS STILL CLOSE TOO CALL.
THE CANDIDATE HAS 558-VOTE LEAD 
OVER RUTH BROSSEAU.
THIS WAS ONE OF THE SEATS THEY 
THOUGHT THEY WERE GOING TO HOLD 
ONTO.
AND IN TROIS-RIVIERES, THIS WAS 
A SEAT THAT THE N.D.P. HELD THAT
THE LIBERALS AND THE 
CONSERVATIVES TARGETED FOR 
GAINS.
THEY WERE IN THERE EARLY IN THE 
CAMPAIGN MULTIPLE TIMES.
THE BLOC HAS EATEN EVERYONE'S 
LUNCH.
1600-VOTE LEAD WITH THE LIBERAL 
CANDIDATE SECOND.
>> Rosemary: INTERESTING.
I WAS IN TROIS-RIVIERES WHERE IT
SEEMED TO BE ANYBODY BUT THE 
N.D.P. THAT WIN THERE.
>> FURTHER TO THAT, THE QUESTION
BEGINNING TONIGHT WAS WOULD THE 
RISE OF THE BLOC COME AT THE 
SAME TIME AS THE DEMISE OF THE 
N.D.P. IN THE PROVINCE OF 
QUÉBEC?
IT'S NOT EXACTLY COMPARABLE, BUT
IN 2011, WHEN THE N.D.P. HIT THE
HIGH WATERMARK, THE BLOC WAS 
INTRODUCED TO 4.
-- REDUCED TO 4.
NOW WITH THE BLOC AT 32, WE HAVE
ONE N.D.P. MEMBER ELECTED.
THAT IS THE DEPUTY LEADER OF THE
PARTY, IN ROSEMONT.
YOU CAN SEE ELECTED BY A HUGE 
GAP OVER THE LIBERAL CANDIDATE.
BUT HE HAS NO MONEY, NO 
ORGANIZATION.
MAYBE THE ONLY LAST FAINT HOPE 
HE WILL BE JOINED BY PIERRE 
DUSSEAULT.
THIS IS SO CLOSE.
86% OF THE POLLS IN AT THIS 
POINT.
VERY TIGHT FOR THE LIBERAL 
CANDIDATE NOW IN SHERBROOKE.
HE WAS THE YOUNGEST M.P. EVER 
ELECTED IN 2011.
19 AT THE TIME.
STILL IN THE BALANCE, BUT IT'S 
NO WIN OPPORTUNITY FOR HIM.
>> IT WOULD BE GREAT TO HAVE A 
FRIEND FROM QUÉBEC.
THE BLOC HAS MADE SIGNIFICANT 
PICKUPS OBVIOUSLY AND MOSTLY TO 
THE DETRIMENT OF THE N.D.P.
32 LEADING AND ELECTED.
BUT THE LIBERALS HAVE ONLY LOST 
SIX AS CHANTAL IS KINDLY 
REMINDING ME ON THE SIDE.
THEY'RE DOWN A LITTLE BIT, BUT 
THEY'VE STILL PERFORMED WELL IN 
QUÉBEC.
OBVIOUSLY, IT HAS DAMAGED THEIR 
ATTEMPTS TO TRY TO FORM A 
MAJORITY GOVERNMENT.
BUT IT IS NOT DISASTROUS.
AND THEY ARE ABLE TO SAY THEY 
HAVE A SIGNIFICANT PRESENCE IN 
QUÉBEC, WHICH ULTIMATELY, MAY 
HELP THEM A LOT IF THEY'RE 
TRYING TO DEAL WITH THE PROBLEM 
OF BEING SHUT OUT OF PARTS OF 
WESTERN CANADA.
THAT'S SOMETHING THEY'RE GOING 
TO HAVE TO ADDRESS HEAD-ON.
JAGMEET SINGH, REMEMBER, HE ONLY
DECIDED TO SEEK A SEAT IN THE 
HOUSE OF COMMONS MORE THAN A 
YEAR AFTER HE BECAME LEADER.
HE WON THAT IN A BYELECTION 
EIGHT MONTHS AGO.
HERE HE IS.
HE'S WON HIS SEAT AGAIN IN 
BURNABY SOUTH, BRITISH COLUMBIA.
SO HE CAN SERVE AS N.D.P. LEADER
INSIDE THE HOUSE AND REPRESENT 
BOTH HIM AND HIS CAUCUS OF 25.
WHICH WE'VE ALREADY TALKED 
ABOUT, NOT THE STRONGEST 
PERFORMANCE FOR THE N.D.P. BY 
ANY MEASURE EITHER, BUT AGAIN, 
WE'VE STARTED OUT WITH LOW 
EXPECTATIONS FOR SINGH, SO HE 
DID AS DAVID COCHRANE SAID A 
COUPLE OF TIMES, TRADEMARKED IT,
THE SINGH SAVE IF YOU WILL.
LET'S TAKE A LOOK AT THE MAP ON 
THE FLOOR.
A SENSE OF WHAT THE COUNTRY 
LOOKS LIKE TONIGHT.
WE ARE GOING TO BE STANDING BY 
FOR MORE SPEECHES FROM LEADERS.
WE'VE HEARD FROM MAXIME BERNIER 
IN THE BEAUCE WHO LOST HIS OWN 
RIDING TONIGHT AND DEVASTATING 
PERHAPS PERFORMANCE BY THE 
PEOPLE'S PARTY OF CANADA WITH A 
LITTLE MORE THAN 1% NATIONALLY.
YOU CAN SEE WHAT WE'RE LOOKING 
AT IN TERMS OF HOW THE COUNTRY 
LOOKS.
THERE IS SUPPORT FOR THE N.D.P. 
ON THE FAR WEST COAST, A LITTLE 
BIT IN THE NORTH AND INTO 
ONTARIO.
THE CONSERVATIVES REALLY HOLDING
MOST OF WESTERN CANADA.
THE BLOC PICKING UP ALL THOSE 
SEATS IN QUÉBEC.
AND THE LIBERALS SPRINKLED 
THROUGHOUT.
BUT MISSING SEATS, SOME KEY 
SEATS IN ALBERTA AND 
SASKATCHEWAN.
AND, PETER, YOU HAVE SOMETHING 
TO SAY?
>> Peter: I DIDN'T.
BUT I COULD THINK OF SOMETHING.
>> Rosemary: SOMEONE TOLD ME YOU
DID.
BUT I CAN ALWAYS COUNT ON YOU.
>> Peter: WELL.
YOU KNOW, SERIOUSLY, A COUPLE OF
HOURS AGO WE TALKED ABOUT THE 
TWO-SPEECH NIGHT.
AND OBVIOUSLY, EVERYBODY HAS A 
COUPLE OF SPEECHES IN THEIR 
POCKET.
AND ADDRESS THE NATION.
THESE NEXT THREE ARE ALL KEY -- 
WELL, I GUESS NEXT FOUR, 
ELIZABETH MAY WILL PROBABLY 
SPEAK NEXT, RIGHT?
>> Rosemary: WE'RE WAITING.
BECAUSE THERE IS SOME CONFUSION 
AROUND WHEN ANDREW SCHEER WANTS 
TO COME OUT.
WE'RE STANDING BY.
>> Peter: THEY USUALLY GO IN -- 
>> Rosemary: USUALLY THE GUY WHO
WINS GOES LAST.
>> Peter: ELIZABETH MAY WILL BE 
HAPPY SHE'S GONE UP THREE SEATS,
BUT REALLY, IT MAY BE TIME.
AND SHE MAY GIVE US A SENSE OF 
THAT TONIGHT.
BUT FOR ANDREW SCHEER, AND FOR 
JAGMEET SINGH, THOSE ARE BOTH 
KEY SPEECHES.
EVERYBODY HERE IS BEING AROUND 
THE TABLE SUGGESTING THIS IS NOT
THE NIGHT TO QUIT OR THE KNIVES 
TO BE BROUGHT OUT, BUT THEY VERY
WELL MAY BE IN THE NEXT FEW 
DAYS.
>> Rosemary: I THINK IT'S FAIR 
SO SAY THEY HAVE ENOUGH ROOM TO 
THINK ABOUT THINGS, BECAUSE IT'S
NOT A TOTAL WIPEOUT.
SO WE MIGHT NOT HEAR ANYTHING 
TONIGHT FROM ANY OF THEM, BUT ON
THE OTHER HAND, THERE WOULD BE 
CASES TO BE MADE FOR CHOOSING 
DIFFERENT OPTIONS, DIFFERENT 
LEADERS GOING FORWARD.
WE'LL SEE HOW THAT UNFOLDS.
DUNCAN AND THEN OVER TO JAMIE.
>> I'LL SAY I'M HEARING, SEEING 
ONLINE SOMETHING THAT INDIGENOUS
PEOPLE IN PARTICULAR WOULD LIKE 
TO SEE IN JUSTIN TRUDEAU'S 
SPEECH, WHICH IS BEING MENTIONED
IN THIS CAMPAIGN.
INDIGENOUS PEOPLE SUDDENLY 
DROPPED OFF THE RADAR OF JUSTIN 
TRUDEAU AS COMPARED TO 2015, 
WHERE HE MADE AN AWFUL LOT OF 
PROMISES.
SO I THINK THERE WILL CERTAINLY 
BE INDIGENOUS PEOPLE WHO WILL BE
WATCHING CLOSELY TO SEE IF 
JUSTIN TRUDEAU IS GOING TO DEAL 
WITH ISSUES IN THE WAY HE 
PROMISED IN THE LAST CAMPAIGN, 
AND LIKEWISE, WHEN WE HAVE A 
MINORITY GOVERNMENT, LOOKING TO 
SEE IF HE'S GOING TO -- THE 
N.D.P. HAD AN EXTENSIVE PLATFORM
ON INDIGENOUS ISSUES, NOT ONLY 
COMMITTING TO THE U.N. 
DECLARATION ON THE RIGHTS OF 
INDIGENOUS PEOPLES, NOT ONLY 
COMMITTING TO MISSING AND 
MURDERED INDIGENOUS WOMEN AND 
GIRLS INQUIRY AND IMPLEMENTING 
ALL OF THOSE, BUT REALLY 
SPECIFIC PROMISES LIKE CELL 
SERVICE ON RESERVES, CLEANER 
WATER IN PLACES LIKE GRASSY 
NARROWS.
I THINK INDIGENOUS PEOPLE WILL 
BE WATCHING CLOSELY.
>> Rosemary: TO BE FAIR TO THEM,
THOSE ARE THINGS THE LIBERALS 
HAVE COMMITTED TO DOING.
I THINK YOU WOULD ALSO RAISE THE
ISSUE THAT INDIGENOUS ISSUES DID
NOT GET ENOUGH ATTENTION THROUGH
THIS ELECTION FROM ANY PARTY, 
RIGHT?
AND THAT IS NOT ACCEPTABLE TO 
MANY INDIGENOUS VOTERS ACROSS 
THE COUNTRY.
ONE LAST THOUGHT FROM YOUR WATCH
PARTY?
AND THEN WE'LL LET THEM GO GET A
GLASS OF WINE OR A SNACK.
>> I'M GOING TO START WITH 
LAWYER MARIE HENEIN.
I KNOW YOU WANT TO TALK ABOUT 
WOMEN.
97 OF 338.
>> IT'S LESS THAN 30 SECONDS 
WE'VE SPENT TALKING ABOUT IT IN 
SIX HOURS AND LESS THAN A THIRD 
OF THE NUMBER OF SEATS THAT WERE
AVAILABLE.
IT'S PROFOUNDLY DISAPPOINTING.
WE TALK ABOUT NATURAL RESOURCES.
I WOULD THINK 50% OF THE 
POPULATION IS ONE OF THE MOST 
NATURAL RESOURCES THAT WE HAVE.
AND IT'S TOO BAD IT'S A BYLINE.
IT'S DISAPPOINTING.
>> HOW DO YOU THINK WE ADDRESS 
THIS?
IT STRIKES ME THIS NUMBER DOES 
NOT MOVE SUBSTANTIALLY ELECTION 
TO ELECTION, WE'RE ALWAYS 
LOOKING AT A THIRD.
>> IT'S A CHRONIC PROBLEM IN 
CANADA.
IT REQUIRES A PROMOTION OF WOMEN
RUNNING.
IT REQUIRES A LOT OF DISCUSSION 
AND WE'RE NOT DOING A GOOD JOB 
OF IT.
IT SENDS AN AWFUL MESSAGE TO 
YOUNG WOMEN SEEING THIS.
>> WHAT MESSAGE WOULD YOU LIKE 
TO GIVE YOUNG WOMEN?
>> COME OUT AND TRY BECAUSE WE 
NEED YOU.
YOU'RE THE GREATEST NATURAL 
RESOURCES WE HAVE THIS THE 
COUNTRY.
>> ANY FINAL THOUGHTS?
>> I THINK THIS ELECTION PROOFS 
AS MUCH AS -- PROVES THE GREEN 
PARTY IS JUST A JOKE.
SHE HAD THE BEST CHANCE EVER TO 
MOVE INTO THE CENTRE AND HAVE 
PEOPLE IN CANADA UNDERSTAND ANY 
OTHER POLICY THAN SAY THE PLANET
KILL THE PEOPLE.
>> SHE DIDN'T CAMPAIGN ON FREE 
TUITION.
>> NOBODY KNOWS THAT.
THE ONLY THING SHE IS PASSIONATE
ABOUT IS THE ONE THING.
SHE'S A DISMAL FAILURE AS A 
LEADER.
IN ANY OTHER PARTY, SHE'D RESIGN
TONIGHT.
I EXPECT HER TO RESIGN IN THE 
COMING DAYS.
>> I'M JUST HAPPY THIS IS OVER 
[LAUGHTER].
I DON'T MEAN TONIGHT.
TONIGHT HAS BEEN GREAT.
>> I HAD SUCH A NICE TIME WITH 
YOU.
>> AT THE BEGINNING OF THE YEAR,
I SAID I LOVE ELECTIONS.
I HAVE RUN IN FOUR OF THEM.
I WASN'T LOOKING FORWARD TO THE 
PROVINCIAL ELECTION AND THIS 
ONE.
I'VE BEEN PROVEN RIGHT.
I WAS RIGHT THAT THE BLOC WOULD 
BE RESURGING AND EVERYBODY 
LAUGHED AT ME.
THE KIND OF DIVISIVE POLITICS 
WE'VE BEEN SEEING ISN'T GOING TO
WORK.
SO WHEN YOU HAVE THE 
CONSERVATIVES AND THEY CANNOT 
GROW BEYOND THAT EXCITED BASE, 
IT MEANS THEY HAVE TO REACH OUT 
MORE.
WHEN YOU HAVE THE LIBERALS, 
THEY'VE GOT TO REACH OUT TO THE 
WEST AND THINK ABOUT THE ECONOMY
MORE.
THEY CAN'T BE SIGNALLING THEIR 
VALUES ALL THE TIME.
I REALLY HOPE -- BECAUSE I'M 
OPTIMISTIC -- THAT THE LESSON 
EVERYONE TAKES FROM THIS 
ELECTION, LET'S ACTUALLY START 
GETTING TO WORK ON THINGS THAT 
MATTER TO CANADIANS, DITCH THE 
BEHAVIOR SUFFICIENT WHEN IT'S 
GOTCHA POLITICS AND GET ON WITH 
THE JOB OF MAKING THIS COUNTRY 
BETTER.
>> VERY OPTIMISTIC THOUGHT FROM 
YOU, MAYOR NENSHI.
>> AND FINAL WORD TO YOU.
>> INDIGENOUS COMMUNITIES ARE ON
THE FRONT LINES OF CLIMATE 
CHANGE AND, YOU KNOW, THEY HAVE 
BEEN TALKING ABOUT CLIMATE 
CHANGE FOR NEARLY TWO DECADES.
WE'VE SAT HERE TONIGHT HARDLY 
TALKED ABOUT THE YUKON, THE 
NORTHWEST TERRITORIES, NUNAVUT, 
NUNAVIK.
WE'RE NOT JUST TALKING ABOUT 
CLIMATE CHANGE THERE, WE'RE 
TALKING ABOUT FOOD SOURCES, FOOD
INSECURITY ISSUES.
AND WE WEREN'T BRAVE ENOUGH TO 
HOLD A CLIMATE DEBATE IN THIS 
COUNTRY.
AND TO ME IN 2019, CLIMATE 
CHANGE-DENIERS ARE BASICALLY 
FLAT EARTHERS.
SO IF WE'RE NOT BRAVE ENOUGH TO 
HOLD THE CLIMATE CHANGE DEBATE 
IN THIS COUNTRY AND HAVE A 
CONVERSATION, WE HAVE TO GO TO 
BED TONIGHT THINKING ABOUT THAT.
I HOPE ALL OF THE PARTIES SHOW 
MORE BRAVERY.
I MEAN, OVER A MILLION PEOPLE 
PARTICIPATED IN THE CLIMATE 
MARCH AND STRIKE.
>> INCREDIBLY INSPIRING.
>> WHAT DOES IT SAY TO THEM IF 
WE'RE NOT BRAVE ENOUGH TO HAVE 
THE CONVERSATION?
>> THAT IS A GOOD PLACE TO END 
THE PANEL.
I WANT TO THANK YOU FOR BEING 
HERE.
SUCH A PLEASURE FOR ME.
THANK YOU.
ROSIE, BACK TO YOU.
OUR COLLEAGUE VASSY KAPELOS ARE 
GOING TO RECORD A PODCAST PRETTY
SOON AND HOPEFULLY GET THAT OUT 
BY 6:00 A.M. TOMORROW.
>> JAMIE TRIED TO MAKE ME DO IT,
TOO, AND I SAID, JAMIE, I'M 
OLDER THAN YOU AND I NEED TO LIE
DOWN.
>> ARE YOU SURE?
>> GOOD, YOU GOT THE MAYOR.
THANKS, JAMIE WITH OUR HELP.
WE'RE GOING TO DIG INTO MORE 
RESULTS.
STILL WHY WE'RE ON AIR.
WE'RE WAITING TO HEAR FROM 
JAGMEET SINGH, ELIZABETH MAY, 
ANDREW SCHEER AND JUSTIN 
TRUDEAU.
ALL THOSE SPEECHES ARE IMPORTANT
BECAUSE THEY HELP US UNDERSTAND 
BETTER THE DIRECTION THEY'RE 
GOING TO TAKE UNDER THIS NEW 
MINORITY GOVERNMENT.
HOW THEY'RE GOING TO WORK 
TOGETHER IF THEY HAVE LINES IN 
THE SAND.
AND HOW THEY'RE FEELING ABOUT 
THE NIGHT.
ALL THOSE SPEECHES COMING TO 
YOU.
IAN, MORE RESULTS.
>> Ian: I THINK FIVE HOURS AGO 
WE WERE IN ATLANTIC CANADA -- I 
KNOW -- WE WERE ALL SO MUCH 
YOUNGER BACK THEN.
WE WERE TALKING ABOUT THE 
POSSIBILITY OF A GREEN 
BREAKTHROUGH IN ATLANTIC CANADA 
AND THEN ALL OF A SUDDEN, 
ATWIN -- WINS THE SEAT IN.
BUT YOU SEE THE VOTE ON 
VANCOUVER ISLAND AND THE GREENS 
UP BY JUST OVER ONE PERCENTAGE 
POINT.
I DON'T THINK ANYBODY EXPECTED 
THAT.
THERE WAS TALK ABOUT AN N.D.P., 
IF NOT COLLAPSE, THEN THE N.D.P.
RECEDING.
THAT CERTAINLY DIDN'T HAPPEN ON 
VANCOUVER ISLAND.
THEY ARE DOWN A LITTLE BIT, BUT 
BASICALLY STAYED SOLID AND THEY 
HAVE SOLID SUPPORT.
WHEN JAGMEET SINGH WENT TO THE 
HOUSE OF COMMONS IN THE 
BYELECTION, THAT SAME DAY PAUL 
MANLY BECAME THE SECOND ELECTED 
GREEN M.P. IN CANADA.
ANOTHER REASON FOR HIGH HOPES.
HE'S BEEN ELECTED TONIGHT.
BUT LOOK AT THIS VANCOUVER 
RIDING.
ALLISTER McGREGOR, WORKED WITH 
JEAN CROWDER.
THERE IS A LONG TRADITION OF 
N.D.P. STRENGTH ON VANCOUVER 
ISLAND.
AND IT CONTINUED TONIGHT.
BUT THAT GREEN BREAKTHROUGH DID 
NOT HAPPEN.
>> Rosemary: GOOD TO KNOW HOW 
THAT UNFOLDED.
>> STICK WITH VANCOUVER ISLAND, 
BECAUSE JAGMEET SINGH IN THE 
FINAL DAYS SPENT A LOT OF TIME 
THERE.
PUT OUT AN ATTACK PAMPHLET AGO 
GOING AFTER THE PREPARE.
IN ESQUIMALT, THE INCUMBENT HAS 
A 2400-VOTE LEAD OVER MERNER OF 
THE GREEN PARTY.
AND IN VICTORIA, THE 
MUNICIPALITY COUNCILLOR HAS HELD
THAT SEAT WITH 2400 VOTES.
DISAPPOINTING FOR THE GREEN 
PARTY.
LIZ MAY HAS INCREASED HER CAUCUS
BY 300% THIS YEAR, BUT FROM ONE 
TO THREE.
>> Rosemary: SOMETIMES THE BAR 
DOESN'T HAVE TO BE THAT HIGH, 
DAVID.
ANDREW CHANG?
>> Andrew: WELL, LET'S LOOK AT 
WHAT THE GREENS HAVE BEEN ABLE 
TO DO IF YOU TAKE THE WHOLE 
COUNTRY AS MULTIPLE PIECES AND 
BREAK IT DOWN PROVINCE BY 
PROVINCE.
SO WHAT THEY HAVE BEEN ABLE TO 
DO IS BUILD ON THEIR SHARE OF 
THE POPULAR VOTE ACROSS THE 
BOARD.
IN EVERY SINGLE PROVINCIAL CASE.
AND YOU KNOW, GRANTED 
SASKATCHEWAN, ALBERTA, YOU HAVE 
VERY SMALL GAINS, BUT THEY'RE 
GAINS ACROSS THE BOARD.
WHAT DOES THAT ADD UP TO?
THE GREENS HAVE MANAGED TO 
ALMOST DOUBLE THEIR SHARE OF THE
POPULAR VOTE.
YOU KNOW, MAYBE TWO WAYS OF 
LOOKING AT THAT.
ONE IS DOUBLE OF THE SMALL 
NUMBER, IT'S STILL A SMALL 
NUMBER.
BUT NATIONALLY, THEY HAVE ALMOST
A MILLION VOTES CAST IN THEIR 
FAVOUR.
YOU COMPARE THAT TO THE BLOC 
QUEBECOIS THAT HAS 1.2 MILLION 
VOTES, BUT THEY END UP WITH A 
10TH OF THE SEATS THAT THE BLOC 
HAS.
YOU CAN LOOK AS A SUCCESS FOR 
THE GREENS, BUT FALL SHORT OF 
THE BREAKTHROUGH THEY WERE 
HOPING FOR, BUT TWO SIDES TO 
THAT.
>> Rosemary: IN TERMS OF POPULAR
VOTE, IT'S NOT THAT FAR OFF FROM
WHERE THEY WERE IN -- A NUMBER 
OF VOTERS THEY GOT, NOT TOO FAR 
FROM WHERE THEY WERE IN 2008.
SO IT'S TRANSLATED INTO MORE 
SEATS, BUT ARE THEY GETTING MORE
PEOPLE OUT AND LISTENING TO 
THEIR MESSAGE?
NOT SURE.
LET'S BRING YOU UP TO DATE.
JODY WILSON-RAYBOULD HAS BEEN 
ELECTED AS RIGHT NOW THE ONLY 
INDEPENDENT IN THE NEXT HOUSE OF
COMMONS.
SHE HAS WON BY 1300 VOTES.
SHE QUIT CABINET OVER THE 
SNC-LAVALIN AFFAIR AND WAS 
EJECTED FROM CAUCUS AS WELL AS 
JANE PHILPOTT.
HER GOAL WAS TO DO POLITICS 
DIFFERENT.
ANITA BATHE IS AT JODY 
WILSON-RAYBOULD HEADQUARTERS.
I IMAGINE SHE'LL TALK AT SOME 
POINT?
>> SHE IS EXPECTED HERE IN THE 
NEXT HALF HOUR.
THE MOOD SHIFTED VERY QUICKLY.
PEOPLE WERE BITING THEIR NAILS, 
WORRIED THAT THE CONSERVATIVES 
OR THE LIBERAL CANDIDATE WAS 
GOING TO TAKE THE RACE.
BUT AS SOON AS JODY 
WILSON-RAYBOULD TOOK THE TOP 
SPOT, THE MOOD CHANGED 
INSTANTLY.
PEOPLE RUSHED ON THE FLOOR, 
STARTED CHANTING HER NAME, VERY 
EXCITED, BECAUSE THIS IS A HUGE 
FEAT.
IT'S VERY DIFFICULT IN CANADA 
FOR SOMEONE TO GET ELECTED AS AN
INDEPENDENT.
PEOPLE THROW THEIR SUPPORT 
BEHIND THOSE WITH THE SUPPORT OF
A PARTY.
AND JODY WILSON-RAYBOULD HAS 
MANAGED TO PULL THIS OFF.
THAT HAS EVERYBODY HERE WITH 
GIANT SMILES ON THEIR FACE, 
EXCITED AND WAITING FOR HER TO 
COME.
WHAT I CAN SAY, IT'S CLEAR THAT 
THE VOTE HAS BEEN SPLIT HERE.
YOU KNOW, LAST ELECTION THE 
LIBERALS TOOK 50% WITH THE 
CONSERVATIVES AND THE N.D.P. 
TAKING ABOUT A QUARTER EACH.
AND THIS TIME, YOU SEE A MUCH 
TIGHTER RACE.
IT WENT BACK AND FORT QUITE A 
BIT AND JODY WILSON-RAYBOULD HAS
ONLY MANAGED TO SQUEAK BY.
STILL A MASSIVE FEAT FOR HER.
YOU KNOW, SHE WAS ABLE TO RAISE 
MORE THAN $400,000 FOR THIS 
CAMPAIGN.
SHE HAD THE BACKING OF MORE THAN
400 SUPPORTERS.
AND THOSE SUPPORTERS AND 
VOLUNTEERS WERE DOOR-KNOCKING UP
UNTIL THE LAST FEW MINUTES, 
TRYING TO MAKE THE FINAL PUSH 
FOR HER.
NOW EVERYBODY IS WAITING FOR 
HER.
WE'RE TOLD SHE IS WATCHING AT 
HOME WITH HER MOM AND SISTER.
AND I IMAGINE HER SPEECH IS 
GOING TO BE A HAPPY ONE.
>> Rosemary: OKAY.
A VERY EXCITED ROOM THERE.
AND YOU'RE RIGHT, QUITE A FEAT 
FOR AN INDEPENDENT TO PULL THIS 
OFF.
IT IS DIFFICULT IF YOU DON'T 
HAVE THE ORGANIZATION, THE MONEY
RIGHT AT YOUR FINGER TIPS.
SO SHE'S MANAGED TO DO THAT, SO 
CREDIT WHERE CREDIT IS DUE.
WE'LL CHECK BACK WITH YOU.
THERE ARE PLACES THERE FOR JODY 
WILSON-RAYBOULD TO FIND ALLIANCE
ITS AND FRIENDSHIPS, PROBABLY 
NOT WITHIN THE LIBERAL PARTY, 
BUT SHE'S BEEN PRESENT AT SOME 
GREEN PARTY PARTIES AND HANGING 
OUT WITH ELIZABETH MAY A LITTLE 
BIT.
ELIZABETH MAY OFFERED TO LEAVE 
THE GREEN PARTY AS LEADER AND 
GIVE IT OVER TO JODY 
WILSON-RAYBOULD.
SHE DIDN'T WANT TO DO THAT, BUT 
THERE ARE ALLIANCES.
THE PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED 
STATES HAS TWEETED, AS HE DOES, 
THIS TIME CONGRATULATING JUSTIN 
TRUDEAU ON "A WONDERFUL AND 
HARD-FOUGHT VICTORY".
HE CONTINUES ON CANADA IS WELL 
SERVED AND I LOOK FORWARD TO 
WORKING WITH YOU TOWARD THE 
BETTERMENT OF OUR COUNTRIES.
WE KNOW HE'S SAID OTHER THINGS 
ABOUT JUSTIN TRUDEAU, BUT 
TONIGHT SENDING HIS 
CONGRATULATIONS.
I'LL UPDATE PEOPLE ON THIS OTHER
NEWS.
JAGMEET SINGH AND ANDREW SCHEER 
HAVE NOW PLACED CALLS TO JUSTIN 
TRUDEAU AND THEY'VE SPOKEN TO 
HIM ON THE PHONE, WHICH MEANS 
THAT WE'RE MOVING TOWARDS 
HEARING FROM THESE PEOPLE, 
BECAUSE GENERALLY THAT'S WHAT 
YOU DO, MAKE A CALL, SAY 
CONGRATULATIONS AND THEN COME 
OUT AND GIVE YOUR SPEECH.
I'LL GIVE VASSY A CHANCE TO 
WEIGH IN.
>> Vassy: I'LL PICK SOMETHING 
EXTRA OUT OF THAT AND LOOK 
TOWARDS WHAT WE MIGHT HEAR FROM 
MR. ANDREW SCHEER, BECAUSE HE'LL
SPEAK BEFORE MR. TRUDEAU.
THAT IS AROUND THE POPULAR VOTE.
WE TOUCHED ON THIS, BUT IT'S 
REALLY INTERESTING THAT THE 
CONSERVATIVES RIGHT NOW -- I'M 
JUST LOOKING AT THE LATEST 
NUMBERS -- THEY HELD 34.4%.
I'M INTERESTED TO SEE HOW THAT 
ENDS UP BEING FRAMED BY THE 
CONSERVATIVES.
IN THE SAME WAY I WAS LOOKING TO
SEE WITH MR. TRUDEAU IF THERE 
WOULD BE HUMILITY ALONG WITH THE
WAY HE DELIVERS -- CONVEYS THIS 
AS A WIN.
I'M WONDERING IF THERE WILL BE 
DESIRE ON THE PART OF THE 
CONSERVATIVES TO FRAME THIS AS, 
HEY, WE WON THE POPULAR VOTE, 
BUT -- 
>> Rosemary: ALLAH HILLARY 
CLINTON.
>> SPEAKING OF DONALD TRUMP, 
YEAH.
[LAUGHTER] AND WHETHER THERE 
WILL BE HUMILITY IN THE MESSAGE.
I'M INTERESTED IN SEEING HOW 
THEY FRAME THE WAY THEY AND 
THEIR PARTY ENDED UP TONIGHT.
>> Rosemary: THIS IS THE WAY THE
SYSTEM WORKS, RIGHT.
FOR NOW.
WE'LL SEE WHETHER ANDREW COYNE 
WANTS TO MAKE THE CASE AGAIN.
BUT YOU CAN HAVE A PERCENTAGE OF
THE VOTE THAT IS CLOSE, BUT IF 
YOU'RE GETTING SEATS IN PLACES 
WHERE THERE ARE MORE SEATS, IN 
URBAN CENTRES, YOU END UP WITH 
MORE SEATS.
THAT'S THE WAY THE MAP LOOKS.
IN ALBERTA, TO YOUR POINT, THEY 
HAVE 68.8% OF THE VOTE.
THAT'S PRETTY DEFINITIVE THAT'S 
WHERE PEOPLE WANT TO BE.
>> Vassy: IT IS DEFINITIVE, BUT 
YOU LOOK OUT IN THE MAP AND SEE 
THE NUMBERS.
AND YOU SEE ALMOST EQUAL PARTS 
OF CANADIAN SOCIETY FEELING VERY
DIFFERENTLY ABOUT THE OUTCOME 
THEY WANTED TONIGHT.
I IMAGINE THAT ALSO DOESN'T LEND
ITSELF TO THE EASIEST JOB FOR 
THE PRIME MINISTER GOING FORWARD
AND BRIDGING PEOPLE AND REGIONS 
TOGETHER.
IT NOT JUST ABOUT APPEALING 
TONIGHT.
IT'S GOING TO BE DIFFICULT TO 
DO.
>> Rosemary: THOSE SPEECHES, 
THAT'S WHY WE'RE HANGING AROUND 
UNTIL ALL HOURS, BECAUSE THE 
SPEECHES ARE IMPORTANT TO 
SETTING THE TONE OF WHAT YOU'RE 
GOING TO DO IN PARLIAMENT AND 
HOW YOU'RE GOING TO APPROACH 
THESE PEOPLE.
AND MORE IMPORTANTLY, APPROACH 
CANADIANS WHO EITHER CHOSE YOU 
OR DIDN'T CHOOSE YOU AND NOW 
FEEL A LITTLE ISOLATED AND 
WORRIED IF YOU'RE GOING TO PAY 
ATTENTION TO THEM.
WE ARE STANDING BY FOR JAGMEET 
SINGH.
WE WERE TOLD HE'S GOING TO COME 
IN ABOUT A MINUTE'S TIME.
AND THEN WE'LL HEAR ELIZABETH 
MAY.
THIS IS JUST THE SHOT IN THE 
ROOM.
THIS IS PROBABLY THEM JUST 
GETTING READY TO INTRODUCE 
JAGMEET SINGH AS HE COMES ONTO 
THE STAGE.
I'M GOING TO GET MEAGAN LESLIE 
TO DIP IN.
WHAT KIND OF MESSAGE WOULD WE 
EXPECT?
>> I EXPECT IT'S GOING TO BE 
POSITIVE.
I EXPECT IT IS GOING TO BE OPEN 
TO WORKING TOGETHER.
I THOUGHT BLANCHET'S SPEECH WAS 
IN THAT TONE, TOO.
MY ONLY EXPERIENCE WITH MINORITY
WAS AS M.P. WITH A COMMITTEE, I 
FELT I COULD GET THINGS DONE AND
ADVANCE MY AGENDA BY WORKING 
WITH OTHER PARTIES.
THE HOUSE OF COMMONS WAS A 
LITTLE ON THE TOXIC END, THOUGH.
THE GRAND STANDING AND THE 
GOVERNMENT ONLY LASTED A COUPLE 
OF YEARS.
BUT WE HAVE A CURRENT EXAMPLE OF
THINGS WORKING IN B.C.
AND REMEMBER THAT THE B.C. 
ELECTION, THERE WAS A LOT OF 
MUD-SLINGING.
THERE WAS A LOT OF NAME-CALLING 
AND IT WAS UGLY, YET THE N.D.P. 
AND THE GREENS HAVE BEEN ABLE TO
FIGURE OUT HOW TO MAKE IT WORK.
THEY'RE PROUD OF THE WORK 
THEY'RE DOING ON CLEAN B.C., SO 
WE CAN TAKE THAT AS A ROLE 
MODEL.
I EXPECT JAGMEET SINGH WILL BE 
POSITIVE AS DEMONSTRATED IN B.C.
>> Rosemary: YOU CAN SEE ALL THE
DIFFERENT ROOMS NOW READY TO 
HEAR FROM THE LEADERS.
WE'RE STANDING BY FOR JAGMEET 
SINGH.
THAT'S THE PERSON -- THERE IS 
LOTS OF JUMPING AT HIS RALLIES.
IT'S VERY INVIGORATING 
[LAUGHTER].
HERE HE IS WITH HIS WIFE COMING 
OUT TO TALK TO THE CROWDS AND 
GIVE US HIS SENSE OF WHAT THE 
RESULTS THAT HE'S RECEIVED 
TONIGHT SAY ABOUT THE PARTY, HIM
AND ABOUT HIS FUTURE AND WHERE 
HE SEES THIS MINORITY GOVERNMENT
GOING.
I REMEMBER DAVID COCHRANE 
TELLING ME HOW MANY MINORITY 
GOVERNMENTS?
>> NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR, 
P.E.I. NEW BRUNSWICK, AND B.C.
FOUR AT THE PROVINCIAL LEVEL.
ONE IN THE FEDERAL LEVEL.
>> Rosemary: REALLY?
>> CHANTAL IS NODDING.
SHE'S A WIKIPEDIA.
>> I DON'T THINK WE'VE SEEN MORE
THAN FOUR, PLUS THE FEDERAL 
GOVERNMENT COMING IN.
>> Rosemary: PETER, WELL, HE'S 
GOING TO START TALKING, BUT WHAT
KIND OF SPEECH WOULD YOU EXPECT 
FROM JAGMEET SINGH TONIGHT?
>> Peter: WELL, HE LOOKS LIKE 
HE'S IN A GOOD MOOD.
HE'S GOING TO TRY TO GIVE AN 
UPBEAT SPEECH.
THEY ALL SAID WE WERE WRITTEN 
OFF, AND HERE WE ARE IN FOURTH 
PLACE, BUT WE HAVE 25 SEATS.
>> WE'RE GOING TO MAKE A GO OF 
IT.
>> Rosemary: IT'S HARD -- I GET 
WHAT YOU'RE SAYING, THAT'S 
PROBABLY WHAT'S HE'S GOING TO 
SAY, BUT THAT'S A HARD THING TO 
SPIN.
>> Peter: SURE IT IS.
>> Rosemary: 1993 WAS THE LAST 
TIME N.D.P. WAS REDUCED TO 
FOURTH PLACE AND THEY STAYED 
THERE FOR THE NEXT 18 YEARS.
>> Peter: YEAH, BUT THIS ISN'T 
THE DAY OF 12 SEATS AND 8 SEATS.
IT WAS BRUTAL BACK THEN.
>> Rosemary: LET'S DIP INTO 
BURNABY WHERE JAGMEET SINGH IS 
ABOUT TO SPEAK.
WE'LL STAND BY FOR THE OTHER 
LEADERS TO COME OUT AS WELL.
HERE HE IS THE N.D.P. LEADER 
WINNING 25 SEATS TONIGHT IN THE 
COUNTRY.
[ ♪♪♪ ]
THANK YOU SO MUCH.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
THANK YOU.
WOO!
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
WOO!
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
THANK YOU, THANK YOU.
THANK YOU VERY MUCH, MY FRIENDS.
THANK YOU SO MUCH.
OH, MAN, THE LOVE.
THE LOVE IS REAL.
THANK YOU.
THANK YOU.
I APPRECIATE THE LOVE.
[Speaking French]
>> Translator: THANK YOU ALL 
VERY MUCH FOR BEING HERE, FOR 
YOUR INVOLVEMENT.
IT'S A REAL HONOUR TO BE HERE 
WITH YOU.
THANK YOU FOR EVERYTHING YOU 
DID.
MY FRIENDS, BEFORE I GO ANY 
FURTHER, I WANT TO ACKNOWLEDGE 
THE TRADITIONAL TERRITORIES 
WE'RE GATHERED UPON.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
THE UNCEDED SALISH TERRITORIES 
OF THE SQUAMISH, THE MUSQUEAM, 
THE FIRST NATIONS.
MY FRIENDS, THIS HAS BEEN AN 
INCREDIBLE NIGHT, AN INCREDIBLE 
CAMPAIGN, INCREDIBLE JOURNEY AND
IT IS SUCH AN AMAZING HONOUR TO 
BE HOME HERE IN BRITISH COLUMBIA
WITH ALL OF YOU.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
I ALSO WANT TO TAKE A MOMENT TO 
CONGRATULATE MR. TRUDEAU AND THE
LIBERAL PARTY FOR THE EVENING'S 
RESULTS.
I WANT TO CONGRATULATE THEM.
THE NEW PRIME MINISTER.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
AND I SPOKE WITH MR. TRUDEAU, 
THE PRIME MINISTER, EARLIER 
TONIGHT.
AND I LET HIM KNOW THAT WE'LL BE
WORKING HARD ON MAKING SURE WE 
DELIVER THE PRIORITIES THAT 
CANADIANS HAVE THAT ALL OF YOU 
HAVE.
[APPLAUSE]
WE'RE GOING TO MAKE SURE THAT 
THE ENERGY THAT WE BUILT OVER 
THIS CAMPAIGN, THE EXCITEMENT 
THAT WE BUILT, AND THE FOCUS 
THAT WE PUT ON PEOPLE, ON 
PEOPLE'S STRUGGLES CONTINUES SO 
WE CAN PLAY A POSITIVE ROLE IN 
THE NEW PARLIAMENT THAT 
CANADIANS HAVE CHOSEN.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
I WANT YOU TO KNOW, THIS IS 
ALWAYS GOING TO BE OUR FOCUS.
WHEN WE GET BACK TO OTTAWA, 
EVERY SINGLE DAY THAT WE'RE IN 
PARLIAMENT, NEW DEMOCRATS ARE 
GOING TO BE WORKING HARD TO MAKE
SURE YOUR LIFE IS BETTER.
THAT CANADIANS' LIFE IS BETTER.
THAT PEOPLE'S LIVES ARE BETTER.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
I ALSO WANT TO CONGRATULATE THE 
OTHER LEADERS OF THE PARTIES, 
MR. SCHEER, MS. MAY AND MR. 
BLANCHET.
I WANT TO CONGRATULATE ANYONE --
ANYONE WHO ALLOWED THEIR NAME TO
STAND FOR ANY PARTY.
IT'S A TOUGH THING TO DO.
I WANT TO THANK YOU ALL.
I GOT TO TELL YOU, I AM REALLY 
PROUD TO BE ABLE TO LEAD A TEAM 
THAT IS THE MOST DIVERSE, THAT 
REPRESENTED WOMEN, THAT 
REPRESENTED LGBTQ.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
THIS TEAM, THIS TEAM WAS MOST 
ONE OF THE MOST CARING AND 
DIVERSE TEAMS WE'VE BEEN ABLE TO
RUN AND I'M SO HONOURED TO BE 
ABLE TO LEAD THAT TEAM.
[APPLAUSE]
AND I WANT TO THANK -- I WANT TO
THANK THE TENS OF THOUSANDS OF 
VOLUNTEERS THAT CAME OUT TO 
SUPPORT OUR CAMPAIGNS AND OUR 
TEAMS ACROSS THIS COUNTRY.
THERE ARE FAR TOO MANY PEOPLE 
FOR ME TO NAME.
I'M SURE YOU CAN IMAGINE THAT.
BUT I'M JUST GOING TO NAME A 
COUPLE.
FIRST OFF, SOMEONE WHO HAS BEEN 
BESIDE ME, BY MY SIDE THROUGHOUT
THIS JOURNEY, THROUGHOUT THIS 
ADVENTURE, MY WIFE, MY LIFE 
PARTNER.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
SHE STOLE THE SHOW ONCE ALREADY.
I WOULD LOVE FOR HER TO STEAL 
THE SHOW AGAIN.
I ALSO WANT TO THANK MY FAMILY, 
MY BROTHER, MY MOM AND DAD AND 
MY SISTER.
EVERYONE WHO HAS BEEN SUCH A BIG
SUPPORT TO ME THROUGHOUT MY 
LIFE.
MY FRIENDS AND MY TEAM IN 
OTTAWA.
MY TEAM HERE IN B.C.
MY TEAM ACROSS THE COUNTRY.
THANK YOU SO MUCH.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
NOW, AGAIN, THERE IS FAR TOO 
MANY PEOPLE FOR ME TO NAME, BUT 
IF I CAN JUST NAME TWO PEOPLE 
THAT CAN REPRESENT THE ENTIRE 
TEAM I HAVE, IT'S HARD TO DO 
THAT, BUT THERE ARE TWO I THINK 
YOU WOULDN'T MIND IF I 
RECOGNIZE.
THEY DON'T KNOW I'M DOING THIS, 
BUT I WANT TO RECOGNIZE TWO 
PEOPLE, TWO INCREDIBLE WOMEN WHO
WERE INTEGRAL TO THE CAMPAIGN.
I'M PROUD TO SAY THEY'RE WOMEN, 
IT'S SOMETHING THAT IS REALLY 
POWERFUL IN OUR PARTY.
MY CAMPAIGN DIRECTOR JENNIFER 
HOWARD.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
AND MY NATIONAL DIRECTOR MELISSA
BRUNEAU.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
TWO OF THE MOST POWERFUL 
POSITIONS IN THE PARTY, BOTH 
YOUNG -- YOUNGISH.
YOUNG, POWERFUL WOMEN.
LET'S JUST SAY, THEY'RE POWERFUL
WOMEN.
EITHER MELISSA OR JENNIFER ARE 
GOING TO BE MAD AT ME OVER THAT 
ONE.
BOTH.
I ALSO WANT TO THANK THE 
INCREDIBLE PEOPLE OF BURNABY 
SOUTH FOR REELECTING ME.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
I'M HUMBLED THAT YOU PUT YOUR 
TRUST IN ME.
THANK YOU AND I'M GOING TO 
CONTINUE TO WORK INCREDIBLY HARD
TO WORK WITH YOU, FOR YOU, THANK
YOU.
I GOT TO TELL YOU, I'VE MET 
THROUGHOUT THIS CAMPAIGN SOME 
INCREDIBLE PEOPLE.
SOME INSPIRATIONAL PEOPLE.
AND I'M INSPIRED BY THEM.
THEIR STORIES HAVE STUCK WITH 
ME.
I'VE MET THE FOLKS ACROSS THE 
COUNTRY.
FOLKS THAT INSPIRE THE WORK WE 
DO AS NEW DEMOCRATS.
ONE OF THOSE IS A YOUNG BOY, 
BARELY 10 YEARS OLD, WHO LIVES 
WITH A CHRONIC ILLNESS AND TOLD 
ME HE WASN'T WORRIED ABOUT THE 
CHRONIC ILLNESS, WASN'T WORRIED 
ABOUT THE MEDICATION AND THE 
INJECTIONS AND THE FACT THAT IF 
HE DIDN'T STAY ON TOP OF HIS 
MEDICATION, OR BLOOD WORK HE 
MIGHT DIE.
HE TOLD ME HE WASN'T WORRIED 
ABOUT ANY OF THAT, BUT WAS 
WORRIED THAT THE MEDICATION WAS 
COSTING A LOT FOR HIS MOM AND 
DAD AND HE WAS WORRIED ABOUT 
BEING A BURDEN TO HIS FAMILY.
I REMEMBER THAT YOUNG MAN AND 
THE FACT THAT SOMEONE AS YOUNG 
AS THAT FELT LIKE HE WAS A 
BURDEN IN A COUNTRY AS RICH AS 
OURS AND THAT'S PART OF THE 
REASON WE'RE FIGHTING FOR THAT 
YOUNG MAN.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
I ALSO WANT TO TALK ABOUT GRASSY
NARROWS.
A COMMUNITY THAT REPRESENTS THE 
INJUSTICE HISTORICALLY AND 
ONGOING THAT INDIGENOUS PEOPLE 
CONTINUE TO FACE.
THERE ARE PEOPLE IN GRASSY 
NARROWS SO RESILIENT IN THE FACE
OF NEGLECT AND NEGLIGENCE AND 
BEING IGNORED, BEING TOLD THEY 
DON'T MATTER, BEING RIDICULED.
WE'VE BROUGHT THE NATIONAL 
CAMPAIGN TO GRASSY NARROWS TO 
KNOW THEY DO MATTER, THEY ARE 
WORTH IT.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
AND THAT INDIGENOUS 
RECONCILIATION IS SOMETIMES AS 
SIMPLE AS BASIC RESPECT AND 
DIGNITY FOR THE FIRST PEOPLE OF 
THIS LAND.
AND THAT MEANS CLEAN DRINKING 
WATER.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
THAT MEANS NOT TAKING INDIGENOUS
KIDS TO COURTS.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
THAT MEANS EQUAL FUNDING FOR 
CHILD WELFARE, FOR EDUCATION AND
QUALITY HOMES.
[Speaking French]
>> Translator: FRIENDS, I MET 
YOUNG PEOPLE FROM ALL 
BACKGROUNDS.
PEOPLE WHO HAVE HAD TROUBLE AND 
THEY WERE CYNICAL ABOUT 
POLITICIANS.
THEY WEREN'T CONVINCED, BUT THEY
SAID THEY'RE ALL THE SAME.
SO TO THE PEOPLE OF QUÉBEC, I 
WANT TO SAY THANK YOU.
[APPLAUSE]
OF COURSE, THE RESULTS ARE NOT 
WHAT WE WANTED, BUT THE WELCOME 
I RECEIVED IN QUÉBEC WARMED MY 
HEART.
THIS FIRST ELECTORAL RENDEZVOUS 
ALLOWED US TO CONNECT AND I WAS 
ABLE TO SHOW YOU THAT WE SHARE 
THE SAME VALUES.
AND I AM GRATEFUL FOR THE 
SUPPORT THAT WE RECEIVED THIS 
EVENING.
BUT IT WASN'T ENOUGH.
WE WILL CONTINUE TO FIGHT FOR 
YOU.
[APPLAUSE]
WE ARE NOT GOING TO ABANDON 
QUÉBEC.
WE WILL CONTINUE TO BE A 
PRESENCE THERE.
I WILL CONTINUE TO HAVE A 
PRESENCE THERE.
I SAID THAT WE WOULD UNITE 
QUÉBEC PROGRESSIVES WITH 
PROGRESSIVES IN THE REST OF 
CANADA.
AND TOGETHER WE CAN DO THAT.
AND WE WILL DO IT.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
JACK BEGAN THE WORK.
AND WE WILL CONTINUE IT.
BECAUSE PROGRESSIVES ARE US.
WE ARE THE PROGRESSIVES.
THANK YOU, FRIENDS, AND SEE YOU 
SOON.
KEEP UP THE WORK.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
FRIENDS, THROUGHOUT THIS 
CAMPAIGN I'VE HEARD A LOT OF 
STORIES ABOUT CANADIANS, FROM 
CANADIANS, WHO ARE STRUGGLING 
AND JUST WANT TO BUILD A GOOD 
LIFE, BUT ARE FINDING IT HARDER 
AND HARDER TO DO SO.
TO THOSE CANADIANS I WANT TO SAY
THIS TO YOU TONIGHT.
NEW DEMOCRATS ARE GOING TO 
OTTAWA TO FIGHT FOR YOU.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
AND, FRIENDS, IN THE DAYS AHEAD,
I'LL BE MEETING MY NEW CAUCUS 
AND WE'RE GOING TO SIT TOGETHER 
AND TALK ABOUT HOW WE CAN 
DELIVER FOR THE PEOPLE OF THIS 
COUNTRY.
[please stand by]
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
THAT MEANS A NATIONALLY
PUBLICALLY DELIVERED PHARMACARE
FOR ALL!
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
>> WE WANT TO HELP CANADIANS BE
ABLE TO GET A HOME THAT THEY CAN
AFFORD.
IT'S NOT A TAX CUT FOR THE
RICHEST CANADIANS BUT TACKLING
STUDENT DEBT BUT WAIVING ALL
INTEREST ON STUDENT LOANS.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
>> REAL AND URGENT TO FIGHT THE
CLIMATE CRISIS AND REINVESTING
IN CLEAN, RENEWABLE ENERGY.
AND TO MAKE SURE -- ABSOLUTELY,
WE HAVE TO INVEST IN HOUSING.
WE'RE GOING TO DO THAT.
CHEER CHEER.
>> AND WE'RE ALSO GOING TO MAKE
SURE WE'RE GOING TO DO SOMETHING
NO ONE ELSE IS READY TO SAY BUT
WE'RE PROUD TO SAY AND WE'LL SAY
IT AGAIN AND AGAIN.
WE'RE GOING TO MAKE SURE THAT
THE SUPER WEALTHY START PAYING
THEIR FAIR SHARE.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
>> WE'RE ON IT.
(CHANTING TAX THE RICH) JASMEET
SINGH MY FRIENDS, THAT'S EXACTLY
WHAT WE'RE GOING TO DO.
THIS IS WHAT WE'LL PUT AT THE
HEART OF CONVERSATIONS THAT
WE'LL HAVE IN THE DAYS AND WEEKS
TO COME AND IF THE OTHER PARTIES
WORK WITH US, WE HAVE AN
INCREDIBLE OPPORTUNITY TO MAKE
THE LIVES OF ALL CANADIANS SO
MUCH BETTER.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
>> I WANT TO TALK TO THE MANY
CANADIANS THAT REJECTED THE CALL
TO VOTE OUT OF FEAR AND THANK
THEM FOR VOTING FOR HOPE.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
>> AND IF ANY ELECTIONS SHOW THE
IMPORTANCE OF THIS ISSUE, THIS
ELECTION SHOWED IT WITH
ELECTORAL REFORM, WE COULD MAKE
SURE --
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
>> -- WITH ELECTORAL REFORM, WE
CAN MAKE SURE --
>> Rosemary:  THAT'S JASMEET
SINGH STILL GIVING HIS CLOSING
SPEECH.
LET'S TAKE YOU NOW TO REGINA
WHERE ANDREW SCHEER IS GETTING
READY TO SPEAK, THE LEADER OF
THE OPPOSITION.
>> Andrew Scheer:  SO GREAT TO
BE BACK IN SASKATCHEWAN.
FIRST AND FOREMOST, I WANT TO
THANK THE VOTERS OF
REGINA-QU'APPELLE ELECTING ME IS
YOUR MEMBER OF PARLIAMENT.
THANK YOU TO ALL OF THE
VOLUNTEERS THAT WORKED HARD IN
THE CAMPAIGN OFFICE AND WHO
KNOCKED ON DOORS, PUT UP SIGNS.
JOAN BALIS, THANK YOU SO MUCH
FOR RUNNING A CAMPAIGN WHILE I
I WILL WORK HARD TO REPAY THE
TRUST YOU HAVE PUT IN ME.
I ALSO SAY THANK YOU TO ALL 336
CONSERVATIVE PARTY CANDIDATES
FOR YOUR HARD WORK DURING THIS
CAMPAIGN.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
>> AND A SPECIAL NOTE OF
CONGRATULATIONS FOR MY TWO NEW
COLLEAGUES, WARREN STANLEY IN
REGINA LEUVAN AND MIKE CRAWLEY
IN REGINA.
TO EVERYBODY ACROSS THE COUNTRY
WHO JOINED OUR CONSERVATIVE TEAM
OVER THE LAST 40 DAYS, WHETHER
YOU KNOCKED ON DOORS, PUT IN
LAWN SIGNS.
>> Rosemary:  THIS IS NOT HOW
THINGS ARE DONE.
GENERALLY, WE ALL WAIT OUR TURN
SO WE'RE OFF TO A REARING START
AND HERE IS JUSTIN TRUDEAU AND
WE'LL GO BACK TO ANDREW SCHEER
IF WE NEED TO.
FROM COAST TO COAST TO COAST,
TONIGHT CANADIANS REJECTED
DIVISION AND NEGATIVITY.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
AND THEY REJECTED CUTS AND
AUSTERITY AND VOTED IN FAVOUR OF
A PROGRESSIVE AGENDA AND STRONG
ACTION ON CLIMATE CHANGE!
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
I HAVE HEARD YOU, MY FRIENDS.
YOU ARE SENDING OUR LIBERAL TEAM
BACK TO WORK.
BACK TO OTTAWA WITH A CLEAR
MANDATE.
WE WILL MAKE LIFE MORE
AFFORDABLE AND WE WILL CONTINUE
TO FIGHT CLIMATE CHANGE.
WE WILL GET GUNS OFF OUR STREETS
AND WE WILL KEEP INVESTING IN
CANADIANS!
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
(SPEAKING FRENCH).
>> CANADIANS HAVE ENTRUSTED US
WITH THE RESPONSIBILITY OF
CONTINUING TO GOVERN, BUT NONE
OF THAT WOULD HAVE BEEN POSSIBLY
WITHOUT THE EFFORTS AND
SACRIFICES OF MANY, MANY PEOPLE.
I HAVE SO MANY PEOPLE TO THANK
AND I KNOW I'M GOING TO BE
SPENDING A LOT OF TIME ON THE
PHONE IN THE COMING DAYS, BUT
TONIGHT THERE ARE FEW PEOPLE IN
PARTICULAR THAT I HAVE TO THANK.
FIRST OF ALL, MY SOPHIE.
WE BEGAN THIS POLITICAL
ADVENTURE TOGETHER TEN YEARS AGO
BECAUSE WE BELIEVED IN A BETTER
FUTURE, BECAUSE WE KNEW THAT IT
WAS WORTHWHILE FIGHTING FOR A
BETTER, MORE PROSPEROUS CANADA.
>> Rosemary:  WE PUT UP ALL
THREE LEADERS SPEAKING AT THE
SAME TIME.
GENERALLY YOU TAKE YOUR TURN AND
THE PERSON WHO WINS GETS TO GO
LAST BUT WE'RE SPEAKING WITH THE
PRIME MINISTER BECAUSE THAT'S
THE GUY WHO WON.
WE'LL BRING YOU MORE OF JASMEET
SINGH AND ANDREW SCHEER BUT
LET'S GO BACK TO JUSTIN TRUDEAU
FOR HOW.
>> EVERY SINGLE DAY YOU INSPIRE
ME TO DO MORE AND DO BETTER AND
EVERYTHING I DO, I DO FOR YOU
AND YOUR GENERATION.
YOU REMIND ME EVERY SINGLE DAY
THAT I HAVE TO TAKE SOME TIME TO
APPRECIATE THE LIFE WE HAVE AND
HOW LUCKY WE ARE AND ALL OF THE
ROLES -- OF ALL THE ROLES I
HAVE, THE ONE I HAVE IS THE ONE
I LIKE MOST.
AND TO THE VERY BEST CAMPAIGN
TEAM ASSEMBLED IN CANADA, OUR
CANDIDATES, STAFF AND
VOLUNTEERS, NONE OF THIS WOULD
HAVE BEEN POSSIBLE WITHOUT YOU.
THANK YOU FOR THE EARLY MORNINGS
AND THE LATE NIGHTS.
YOU'VE SACRIFICED A LOT, TAKING
TIME AWAY FROM FAMILY AND
FRIENDS TO MOVE CANADA FORWARD.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
AND I CANNOT THANK YOU ENOUGH,
SO INSTEAD I'LL SAY THIS, YOU
DID IT, MY FRIENDS.
CONGRATULATIONS!
TO THE LEADERS OF THE OTHER
PARTIES AND THEIR FAMILIES,
THANK YOU FOR BEING A PART OF
THIS ESSENTIAL EXERCISE IN
DEMOCRACY.
YOU HAVE CHOSEN TO SERVE.
THANK YOU FOR STEPPING UP IN
THIS CAMPAIGN AND IN THIS
POLITICAL LIFE.
(SPEAKING FRENCH).
AND, OF COURSE, I HAVE TO THANK
THE PEOPLE OF PAPINEAU.
FOR MORE THAN TEN YEARS ONE HAVE
ENTRUSTED ME WITH YOUR
CONFIDENCE AND IT'S A GREAT
PRIVILEGE FOR ME TO CONTINUE TO
REPRESENT YOU AND TO CONTINUE TO
BE A STRONG VOICE FOR YOU.
THANK YOU.
THANK YOU SO MUCH.
(CHANTING JUSTIN).
>> OF COURSE, TO MY FELLOW
CANADIANS, IT HAS BEEN THE
GREATEST HONOUR OF MY LIFE TO
SERVE YOU FOR THESE PAST FOUR
YEARS AND TONIGHT, YOU'RE
SENDING US BACK TO WORK FOR YOU.
WE TAKE THIS RESPONSIBILITY
SERIOUSLY.
AND WE WILL WORK HARD FOR YOU,
FOR YOUR FAMILIES AND FOR YOUR
FUTURE.
TO THOSE WHO VOTED FOR OUR
PARTY, THANK YOU FOR PUTTING
YOUR TRUST IN OUR TEAM.
THANK YOU FOR HAVING FAITH IN
US.
TO MOVE THIS COUNTRY IN THE
RIGHT DIRECTION.
AND TO THOSE, AND TO THOSE WHO
DID NOT VOTE FOR US, KNOW THAT
WE WILL WORK EVERY SINGLE DAY
FOR YOU.
WE WILL GOVERN FOR EVERYONE!
CHEER CHEER.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
>> REGARDLESS OF HOW YOU CAST
YOUR BALLOT, OURS IS A TEAM THAT
WILL FIGHT FOR ALL CANADIANS.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
(SPEAKING FRENCH).
>> DEAR QUEBECORS, I HEARD YOUR
MESSAGE TONIGHT.
YOU WANT TO CONTINUE TO GO
FORWARD WITH US, BUT YOU ALSO
WANT TO ENSURE THAT THE VOICE OF
QUEBEC CAN BE HEARD EVEN MORE IN
OTTAWA AND I CAN TELL YOU THAT
MY TEAM AND I WILL BE THERE FOR
YOU.
>> TO CANADIANS IN ALBERTA AND
SASKATCHEWAN, KNOW THAT YOU ARE
AN ESSENTIAL PART OF OUR GREAT
COUNTRY.
I'VE HEARD YOUR FRUSTRATION AND
I WANT TO BE THERE TO SUPPORT
YOU.
LET US ALL WORK HARD TO BRING
OUR COUNTRY TOGETHER.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
(SPEAKING FRENCH).
>> FOR FOUR YEARS, WE HAVE DONE
EVERYTHING WE COULD TO IMPROVE
PEOPLE'S LIVES AND THAT IS WHAT
WE WILL CONTINUE TO DO IN THE
COMING YEARS.
FRIENDS, YOU ARE SENDING US TO
OTTAWA WITH A CLEAR MANDATE,
CONTINUE TO GO FORWARD AND TO
MOVE THIS COUNTRY FORWARD.
YOU ASKED US TO INVEST IN
CANADIANS.
, TO MAKE
RECONCILIATION WITH THE
INDIGENOUS PEOPLES A PRIORITY TO
SHOW EVEN GREATER VISION AND
AMBITION AS WE TACKLE THE
GREATEST CHALLENGE OF OUR TIMES,
CLIMATE CHANGE.
AND THAT IS EXACTLY WHAT WE WILL
DO.
WE KNOW THAT THERE IS A LOT OF
WORK STILL TO BE DONE BUT I
SWEAR TO YOU THAT WE WILL
CONTINUE WHAT WE HAVE BEGUN.
BECAUSE LIBERALS KNOW, LIKE ALL
CANADIANS KNOW, THAT IT IS
ALWAYS POSSIBLE TO DO BETTER.
>> ONE OF MY FAVOURITE PRIME
MINISTERS, WILFRED LAURIER
TALKED ABOUT COMMON GOALS AND
ASPIRATIONS AND YOU'VE THOUGHT
ABOUT THAT A LOT SINCE GETTING
INTO POLITICS.
I'VE SEEN THERE'S SO MUCH MORE
THAN UNITES US THAN DIVIDES US.
CANADIANS EXPECT US CALL TO
FOCUS ON OUR SHARED VISION OF A
STRONGER CANADA AND I INTEND TO
WORK HARD TO MAKE THAT A
REALITY.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
WE ALL WANT SAFER COMMUNITIES, A
CLEANER PLANET AND A GOOD
QUALITY OF LIFE.
WE WANT THIS FOR OURSELVES, OUR
NEIGHBOURS AND FOR OUR KIDS AND
GRANDKIDS.
WE SEEK HARDSHIP FORNONE AND
PROSPERITY FOR ALL.
THAT IS THE WORLD WE'RE WORKING
TOWARD.
IF WE UNITE AROUND THESE COMMON
GOALS, I KNOW WE CAN ACHIEVE
THEM.
IN THE YEARS AHEAD, OUR TEAM
WILL WORK HARD TO BUILD ON THE
PROGRESS MADE BY THE CANADIANS
WHO CAME BEFORE US.
WE WILL CHAMPION CANADA IN ALL
ITS DIVERSITY.
WE WILL GIVE VOICE TO THE
VOICELESS AND IN EVERY DECISION
WE MAKE AS YOUR GOVERNMENT, WE
WILL ALWAYS PUT THIS COUNTRY AND
ITS PEOPLE FIRST.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
(SPEAKING FRENCH).
>> WE WILL HELP THE WIDOW WHO
HAS LOST HER PARTNER AFTER 48
YEARS OF COMMON LIFE.
WE WILL HELP THOSE STUDENTS WHO
ARE MARCHING FOR CLIMATE CHANGE
ACTION AND WE WILL HELP THE
MOTHER WITH THREE CHILDREN THAT
NEEDS A LITTLE BIT MORE HELP AT
THE END OF THE MONTH.
>> THESE LAST FEW DAYS I'VE DONE
RALLIES ACROSS THE COUNTRY AND
I'VE TOLD DEAN'S STORY.
DEAN VOTED HIS CONSERVATIVE HIS
ENTIRE LIFE BUT THIS TIME
AROUND, HE DECIDED TO VOTE
LIBERAL ON BEHALF OF HIS
DAUGHTER.
YOU SEE, HE UNDERSTOOD THAT THIS
ELECTION WAS ABOUT SO MUCH MORE
THAN JUST THE NEXT FOUR YEARS.
THAT THIS ELECTION IS ABOUT THE
NEXT 40 YEARS.
IT'S ABOUT THE KIND OF CANADA
THAT HIS DAUGHTER AND HER KIDS
WILL GROW UP IN.
BUT TONIGHT, I WANT TO SAY THIS
TO DEAN, I NEED TO EARN YOUR
VOTE, NOT JUST YOUR DAUGHTER'S.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
AND OVER THE COMING YEARS, I
PLAN ON DOING EXACTLY THAT.
MY FRIENDS, THIS ELECTION WAS
ABOUT YOU.
AND ABOUT THE WORLD YOUR KIDS
WILL INHERIT AND TONIGHT, WE
CHOSE TO MOVE CANADA FORWARD.
TONIGHT CANADIANS HAVE CHARTERED
A PATH FOR THE FUTURE AND I KNOW
WE WILL WORK IT TOGETHER.
(SPEAKING FRENCH).
>> WE WILL GO FORWARD TOGETHER
FOR A BETTER FUTURE.
THANK YOU VERY MUCH, EVERYONE.
THANK YOU MONTREAL!
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
CHEER.
>> Rosemary:  THAT'S JUSTIN
TRUDEAU HANGING ON TO GOVERNMENT
BUT THIS TIME WILL HAVE TO
GOVERN AS A MINORITY PRIME
MINISTER AND HE DID APPEAL TO
PARTS OF THE COUNTRY THAT HE
WILL NEED TO REACH OUT TO IN THE
COMES MONTHS.
FOR INSTANCE, QUEBEC, AND HE
WILL TRY TO ANSWER THOSE CALLS.
[ ♪♪♪ ]
>> Rosemary:  HE DID APPEAL TO
ALBERTA AND SASKATCHEWAN WHERE
THE LIBERAL PARTY WAS SHUT OUT,
REMINDING THEM THEY ARE AN
ESSENTIAL PART OF CANADA AND
THAT HE WILL TRY TO BRING
EVERYONE TOGETHER AND WANTS TO
WORK TOGETHER WITH THEM.
SO TALKING TO THE PARTS OF THE
COUNTRY THAT HAVE TURNED AWAY
FROM JUSTIN TRUDEAU AND ARE
LIKELY NOT PLEASED TONIGHT.
THE OTHER WEIRD THING THAT
HAPPENED IS THAT JUSTIN TRUDEAU
STARTED HIS SPEECH JUST AND
ANDREW SCHEER WAS STARTING HIS
AND HIS JASMEET SINGH CONTINUED
HIS VERY LONG SPEECH.
SO WE ARE FOR FAIRNESS AND
BALANCE GO BACK TO WHAT ANDREW
SCHEER OF THE OPPOSITION HAD TO
SAY AND PLAY THAT SPEECH IN ITS
ENTIRETY SO YOU CAN UNDERSTAND
THE WAY ANDREW SCHEER HAS
POSITIONED TONIGHT.
IF YOU ARE READY WITH THAT,
LET'S GO TO ANDREW SCHEER IN
REGINA, SASKATCHEWAN AS THEY
MAKE THEIR WAY OUT OF THE HALL
IN MONTREAL TONIGHT.
>> Andrew Scheer:  THANK YOU FOR
THAT WARM WELCOME.
IT IS ALWAYS SO GREAT TO BE BACK
IN SASKATCHEWAN.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
>> FIRST AND FOREMOST, I WANT TO
THANK THE VOTERS OF
REGINA-QU'APPELLE FOR ELECTING
ME AS YOUR MEMBER OF PARLIAMENT.
THANK YOU TO ALL OF THE
VOLUNTEERS THAT WORKED HARD IN
THE CAMPAIGN OFFICE AND WHO NEWO
KNOCKED ON DOORS.
THANK YOU TO JOAN BALIS FOR
RUNNING A CAMPAIGN.
THIS IS SOMETHING I WILL NEVER
TAKE FOR GRANTED AND I WILL WORK
HARD TO REPAY THE TRUST YOU HAVE
PUT IN ME.
I ALSO SAY THANK YOU TO ALL 336
CONSERVATIVE PARTY CANDIDATES
FOR YOUR HARD WORK DURING THIS
CAMPAIGN.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
AND A SPECIAL NOTE OF
CONGRATULATIONS FOR MY TWO NEW
COLLEAGUES HERE!
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
AND TO EVERYONE ACROSS THE
COUNTRY WHO JOINED OUR
CONSERVATIVE TEAM OVER THE LAST
40 DAYS, WHETHER YOU KNOCKED ON
DOORS, PUT IN LAWN SIGNS, MADE A
DONATION OR SIMPLY TOLD YOUR
FRIEND AND NEIGHBOUR WHY YOU
WERE VOTING CONSERVATIVE, OUR
PARTY IS STRONG.
IT IS UNITED AND WE ARE ON THE
MARCH, LADIES AND GENTLEMEN!
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
>> WE RAN AN EXCELLENT CAMPAIGN
FROM TOP TO BOTTOM AND FOR THAT,
WE SHOULD ALL BE PROUD AND
FINALLY, ON A PERSONAL NOTE, I
WANT TO THANK MY WIFE, JILL, AND
OUR FIVE CHILDREN WHO HAVE BEEN
SO SUPPORTIVE.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
DURING ALL OF THE LONG WEEKS AND
MONTHS ON THE ROAD, NO MATTER
WHERE PUBLIC LIFE HAS TAKEN ME
OR WILL TAKE ME, THE GREATEST
HONOUR OF MY LIFE IS TO BE A
HUSBAND AND DAD.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
NOW I HAVE JUST SPOKEN WITH
PRIME MINISTER TRUDEAU TO
CONGRATULATE HIM ON WINNING THE
MOST SEATS AND MY MESSAGE
TONIGHT IS THAT THE STRENGTH OF
OUR DEMOCRACY IS NOT ONLY
MEASURED BY THE BALLOTS WE CAST
BUT ALSO BY HOW WE MOVE FORWARD
AFTER THEY'RE COUNTED.
(SPEAKING FRENCH).
>> FRIENDS, I WANT TO THANK OUR
336 OTHER CANDIDATES FOR THEIR
TIRELESS WORK THROUGHOUT THE
CAMPAIGN.
EARLIER THIS EVENING, I SPOKE TO
JUSTIN TRUDEAU AND I
CONGRATULATED HIM ON WINNING THE
LARGEST NUMBER OF SEATS TONIGHT
AND THE STRENGTH OF OUR
DEMOCRACY IS NOT ONLY MEASURED
BY THE SIMPLE FACT OF VOTING BUT
MEASURED IN THE WAY WE CONTINUE
TO MOVE FORWARD ONCE THE VOTES
HAVE BEEN COUNTED.
>> Andrew Scheer:  I ALSO
INCREDIBLY PROUD OF OUR TEAM AND
THE BIGGER, STRONGER TEAM WE
WILL SEND TO OTTAWA!
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
NOW, THERE ARE STILL A NUMBER OF
CLOSE RACES SO WE DON'T KNOW FOR
SURE HOW MANY MORE CONSERVATIVES
WILL SEND TO OTTAWA TONIGHT.
BUT WHAT WE DO KNOW AFTER THE
2016 ELECTION, WHEN JUSTIN
TRUDEAU LOOKED UNSTOPPABLE, WHEN
ALL OF THE PUNDITS SAID THAT HE
WOULD HAVE EIGHT OR 12 YEARS IN
POWER, BUT TONIGHT,
CONSERVATIVES HAVE PUT JUSTIN
TRUDEAU ON NOTICE AND
Mr. TRUDEAU, WHEN YOUR
GOVERNMENT FALLS, CONSERVATIVES
WILL BE READY AND WE WILL WIN!
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
(SPEAKING FRENCH).
>> EVEN THOUGH I'M DISAPPOINTED
TONIGHT, I'M INCREDIBLY PROUD OF
OUR TIME AND OF OUR CONSERVATIVE
MOVEMENT.
REMEMBER, FRIENDS, WHAT HAPPENED
IN 2015.
IT WAS PREDICTED THAT JUSTIN
TRUDEAU WOULD GOVERN THE COUNTRY
FOR TEN OR 12 YEARS.
BUT TONIGHT, WE HAVE PUT HIM ON
NOTICE, HIS LEADERSHIP IS
DAMAGED AND HIS GOVERNMENT WILL
END SOON AND WHEN THAT TIME
COMES, THE CONSERVATIVES WILL BE
READY AND WE WILL WIN!
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
>> Andrew Scheer:  THE FACT IS
CANADIANS HAVE PASSED JUDGMENT
ON THIS LIBERAL GOVERNMENT.
NOT ONLY HAVE THEY LOST OVER 20
SEATS BUT MR. TRUDEAU LOST
SUPPORT IN EVERY REGION OF THE
COUNTRY AND LADIES AND
GENTLEMEN, WE KNEW THIS WOULD
NEVER BE EASY BUT NOTHING WORTH
ACHIEVING EVER IS.
ONLY ONCE IN THE HISTORY OF THIS
COUNTRY, HAS A FIRST-TERM
GOVERNMENT BEEN DEFEATED.
WE'VE MADE HISTORY OF OUR OWN,
BY HOLDING A FIRST-TERM MAJORITY
GOVERNMENT TO A MINORITY.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
WE HAVE PICKED UP SEATS IN
SUPPORT IN ALMOST EVERY REGION
OF THE COUNTRY AND AT THE TIME I
WALKED ON TO THE STAGE, WE ARE
LEADING THE POPULAR VOTE, LADIES
AND GENTLEMEN.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
MORE CANADIANS WANTED US TO WIN
THIS ELECTION THAN ANY OTHER
PARTY.
AND REMEMBER, REMEMBER 2004,
STEPHEN HARPER'S FIRST ELECTION.
HE ERASED PAUL MARTIN'S MAJORITY
AND WENT ON TO LEAD A
CONSERVATIVE GOVERNMENT THAT
LASTED FOR NEARLY TEN YEARS.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
THIS IS HOW IT STARTS.
THIS IS HOW IT STARTS.
THIS IS THE FIRST STEP.
AND NOW WE ARE HEADING BACK TO
OTTAWA, WITH A MUCH BIGGER TEAM
AND WITH MORE SUPPORT FROM COAST
TO COAST AND WITH AN ENDORSEMENT
FROM THE CANADIAN PEOPLE THAT WE
ARE THE GOVERNMENT IN WAITING.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
(SPEAKING FRENCH).
>> FRIENDS, I WANT TO ADDRESS
THE QUEBEC NATION.
WITH MY QUEBEC TEAM, WE WILL
CONTINUE TO WORK FOR YOU.
CONSERVATIVE VALUES ARE QUEBEC
VALUES AND QUEBEC VALUES ARE
CONSERVATIVE VALUES.
FREEDOM OF EXPRESSION, A STATE
THAT ISN'T IMPOSING SO MUCH ON
THE PEOPLE AND WE BELIEVE THAT,
OF COURSE, MONEY IS BETTER SPENT
BY THE PEOPLE THAN BY THE
GOVERNMENT THAT TAXES IT.
SO QUEBECORS CAN COUNT ON US TO
DEFEND THEIR INTERESTS.
>> Andrew Scheer:  WITH THE RISE
OF THE SEPARATISTS AND RESULTS
IN WESTERN CANADA TONIGHT,
CANADA IS A COUNTRY THAT IS
FURTHER DIVIDED.
BIG NATION BUILDING PROJECTS AND
MAJOR INDUSTRIES REMAIN UNDER
ATTACK, KEEPING THOUSANDS OF
CANADIANS OUT OF WORK AND
HOLDING BACK OUR NATION'S
POTENTIAL.
OUR COUNTRY IS MIRED IN DEFICITS
AND SINKING FURTHER INTO PUBLIC
SERVICES AND HIGHER TAXES.
CANADIANS ARE FALLING FURTHER
AND FURTHER BEHIND WITH
HOUSEHOLD BUDGETS STRETCHED
FARTHER THAN BEFORE.
WE'RE AS VULNERABLE AS A COUNTRY
AS WE HAVE EVER BEEN TO THE NEXT
INEVITABLE DOWNTURN BUT I REMAIN
HOPEFUL BECAUSE CANADA WAS BUILT
ON CONSERVATIVE VALUES AND
CONSERVATIVE VALUES WILL BE WHAT
GETS US BACK ON TRACK!
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
A BELIEF IN PEOPLE NOT
GOVERNMENT, A FIRM COMMITMENT TO
THE FREEDOMS WE HOLD DEAR, THE
FREEDOMS OF SPEECH, OF RELIGION
AND CONSCIENCE AND BELIEF THAT
FREE MARKETS, BALANCED BUDGETS
AND SMALL GOVERNMENTS ARE THE
BEST WAY TO LIFT PEOPLE OUT OF
POVERTY.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
AND A COUNTRY WHERE HARD WORK IS
REWARDED, NOT PUNISHED AND THE
GOVERNMENT REALIZES THAT THE
BEST WAY TO HELP CANADIANS GET
AHEAD IS TO LIFT PEOPLE UP, NOT
TEAR PEOPLE DOWN.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
I WANT TO CLOSE WITH THE WORDS
OF JOHN DIFFENBAKER, WHO SAID I
AM A CANADIAN, FREE TO SPEAK
WITHOUT FEAR, SPEAK TO STAND FOR
WHAT I THINK RIGHT AND OPPOSE
WHAT I BELIEVE WRONG, FREE TO
CHOSE WHO SHALL GOVERN MY
COUNTRY.
THIS HERITAGE I PLEDGE TO UPHOLD
FOR MYSELF AND ALL MANKIND.
AS WE LOOK AHEAD TO THE
CHALLENGES WE WILL FACE, WE MUST
TAKE THIS TO HEART BECAUSE
CANADA IS NOT DEFINED BY ANY
POLITICAL PARTY OR MOVEMENT.
CANADA ENDURES NOT BECAUSE OF
ANY ONE GOVERNMENT OR LANDLORD
LEADER.IT IS BECAUSE WE ARE FRE.
WE'RE FREE TO WORSHIP, FREE TO
SPEAK AND BELIEVE AND FREE IN
OPPORTUNITY AND BEFORE THE LAW
AND WE'RE STRONG IN CHARACTER
AND IN PRINCIPAL AND ACTION AND
BECAUSE WE ARE ALL THESE THINGS
THAT CANADA SHINES FOR EVERYONE.
CONSERVATIVES MUST ALWAYS UPHOLD
THESE VALUES NO MATTER WHAT WILL
COME.
IF WE SHALL SUFFER THEM TO
FAULTER, SO, TOO, WILL CANADA
ITSELF.
LADIES AND GENTLEMEN, OUR STORY
IS JUST BEGINNING, BUT LET'S
REMEMBER THIS FEELING, COMING
CLOSE BUT FALLING JUST SHORT AND
LET'S USE IT AS FUEL TO REDOUBLE
OUR EFFORTS BECAUSE OUR WORK IS
NOT OVER AND CANADIANS ARE
COUNTING ON US.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
(SPEAKING FRENCH).
>> CANADIANS ARE RELYING ON US
WHEN THE TIME COMES AND WHO
KNOWS WHEN THAT WILL BE.
CANADIANS WILL NEED US TO
REPLACE THE TRUDEAU LIBERALS.
TO HONOUR ITS COMMITMENTS AND TO
HELP EVERY CANADIAN GET AHEAD.
THANK YOU FOR ALL OF THE SUPPORT
YOU'VE GIVEN ME, FOR ALL OF YOUR
HARD WORK.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
>> FROM THE BOTTOM OF MY HEART,
THANK YOU FOR YOUR COMMITMENT TO
THIS PARTY.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
>> Rosemary:  AND THAT IS ANDREW
SCHEER SPEAKING A LITTLE TIME
AGO AND HE TRIED TO DO HIS
SPEECH WHILE JUSTIN TRUDEAU WAS
NOT YET OUT BUT THAT DIDN'T
HAPPEN, SO WE WANTED TO PLAY IT
IN ITS ENTIRETY FOR YOU.
CERTAINLY DIDN'T SOUND LIKE THE
CONSERVATIVE LEADER HAS AT THIS
STAGE, ANYWAY, ANY INTENTION OF
LEAVING, SAYING THEY JUST FELL
SHORT BUT WILL CONTINUE TO WORK
HARD TO, I GUESS, FORCE JUSTIN
TRUDEAU TO MAKE SURE HE'S DOING
HIS JOB PROPERLY AND KATIE
SIMPSON IS IN REGINA,
SASKATCHEWAN, WHERE I IMAGINE
THINGS HAVE EMPTIED OUT.
THE GENERAL FEELING THERE ABOUT
WHAT'S NEXT OR HOW THEY DID
TONIGHT.
>> Reporter:  THE ROOM STARTED
TO EMPTY OUT ONCE RESULTS WERE
CEMENTED THERE.
THERE WERE A FEW MOMENTS OF JOY,
EVEN THOUGH THIS IS NOT THE
RESULT, OBVIOUSLY, THAT THE
CONSERVATIVES HAD BEEN HOPING
FOR, BUT WHEN A CANDIDATE AND
NEIGHBOURING RIDING WAS ABLE TO
UNSEAT THE LIBERAL INCUMBENT AND
NOW, FORMER CABINET MINISTER OR
SOON TO BE FORMER CABINET
MINISTER, RALPH GOODALE, ANY
TIME A CONSERVATIVE CANDIDATE
WAS THIS THE LEAD, THERE WOULD
BE HUGE ROUNDS OF APPLAUSE.
EVEN WHEN RALPH GOODALE WAS
GIVING HIS CONCEPTION SPEECH,
THERE WERE MOMENTS AND WHAT IS
IMPORTANT ABOUT ANDREW SCHEER'S
SPEECH, IT APPEARS THAT HE
FOCUSED ON SOME OF THE POSITIVES
FOR THE PARTY TONIGHT AND THAT
COULD BE AN EFFORT TO TRY TO
FEND OFF ANYONE WHO MIGHT WANT
TO CHALLENGE HIM ON THE
LEADERSHIP.
HE SPOKE ABOUT AS OF THE MOMENT
THAT HE WAS DELIVERING THAT
SPEECH, THE CONSERVATIVES, HE
HIMSELF, HAD THE POPULAR VOTE
AND MORE PEOPLE VOTED FOR HIM TO
BE PRIME MINISTER THAN JUSTIN
TRUDEAU.
THAT'S NOT HOW THE SYSTEM WORKS
BUT OVERALL, THE POPULAR VOTE
WAS IN THE CONSERVATIVE'S FAVOUR
AT THIS TIME.
HE ALSO SPOKE ABOUT HOW HE IS
GOING BACK TO OTTAWA WITH MORE
CONSERVATIVE M.P.S, WITH A
STRONGER TEAM.
SO IF ANY M.P.S, ANY
CONSERVATIVE MEMBERS OF CAUCUS
OR FORMER MEMBERS OF CAUCUS ARE
THINKING ABOUT A LEADERSHIP RUN,
HE'S TRYING TO STEM ANY TALK
ABOUT THAT BECAUSE THERE'S NO
INDICATION HE HAS ANY PLANS TO
RESIGN AND HE SPOKE ABOUT HOW,
EVEN THOUGH THEY CAME CLOSE TO
TRYING TO TAKE OUT JUSTIN
TRUDEAU AND TRYING TO DEFEAT THE
LIBERAL GOVERNMENT -- WELL, THE
WAY THEY DESCRIBE IT, IT SHOULD
GIVE THEM MORE ENERGY, MORE FUEL
TO TRY TO CONTINUE ON TO HOLD
THAT LIBERAL GOVERNMENT TO
ACCOUNT.
HE SAID ONE LAST THING, THAT
WHEN THE LIBERAL GOVERNMENT
FALLS, THE CONSERVATIVES WITH BE
READY TO POUNCE.
>> Rosemary:  THANK YOU FOR ALL
OF YOUR WORK AND WRAPPING THAT
UP.
OBVIOUSLY ANDREW SCHEER TRYING
TO POSITION THING FOR HIMSELF
AND HIS PARTY IN HOPES THIS IS
ENOUGH FOR HIM TO HOLD ON.
WE'LL SEE HOW HIS ACTUAL CAUCUS
RESPONDS TO WHAT HE'S SAYING IN
THE DAYS AHEAD AND MY APOLOGIES
FOR MY RETCHED COUGHING FIT.
BUT JUST SO EVERYONE UNDERSTANDS
THAT I WAS SLOWLY DYING BY COUGH
ON TV AND NOTHING MORE.
I'M BACK AND ALIVE.
SALIMAH SHIVJI IS IN MONTREAL
AND THE ROOM CLEARED OUT
QUICKLY.
HOW DO THE LIBERALS FEEL NOW
THAT THEY'VE SECURED THIS
MINORITY, BUT NOT EXACTLY WHAT
THEY WERE HOPING FOR BUT A
STRONG MINORITY, NONETHELESS.
>> Reporter:  IT IS MONDAY NIGHT
SO PEOPLE ARE TRYING TO GET
HOME.
THE SPEECHES DID RUN A LITTLE
BIT LATE BUT A HAPPY CROWD HERE,
AS YOU SAY, A REDUCED
GOVERNMENT, A MINORITY, BUT A
FAIRLY STRONG MINORITY, THE BEST
THING TO HOPE FOR, CONSIDERING
THAT SUPPORT FOR THE BLOC.
JUSTIN TRUDEAU SPECIFICALLY
REACHED OUT TO CANADIANS IN
ALBERTA AND IN SASKATCHEWAN IN
HIS SPEECH, TALKING ABOUT HAVING
HEARD THEIR FRUSTRATION AND
WANTING TO WORK FOR ALL
CANADIANS AND BRINGING CANADIANS
TOGETHER.
BUT HE'LL HAVE TO WORK HARD TO
CONVINCE PEOPLE THAT HE IS
HEARING THEM AND HE WON'T BE
ABLE TO NAME A CABINET MINISTER
FROM THOSE PROVINCES.
SO THAT REMAINS TO BE SEEN IF
PEOPLE AND ALBERTA AND
SASKATCHEWAN WILL HEAR THAT
MESSAGE.
>> Rosemary:  THANK YOU FOR YOUR
MESSAGE AND YOUR FIRST FEDERAL
ELECTION CAMPAIGN AND YOU'VE
SURVIVED.
ONE WIN FOR YOU.
AND ELIZABETH MAY IS SPEAKING
NOW IN VICTORIA, BRITISH
COLUMBIA AND I KNOW, EVERYTHING
IS ALL MIXED UP.
WE'LL LISTEN TO ELIZABETH MAY
WHO HAS WON THREE SEATS TONIGHT
JUST FOR A LITTLE BIT.
>> Elizabeth May:  TO ALL OF HIS
VOLUNTEERS AND I PARTICULARLY --
I COULDN'T BE PROUDER THAN TO
HAVE LYDIA HUTZMAN CAMPAIGN WITH
US, DOING A SPECTACULAR JOB AS A
GREEN CANDIDATE THERE.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
AND HERE IN THE RIDING, CLOSEST
TO MINE AND, OF COURSE, A HUGE
SHOUT OUT TO JENNA, DON'T
CELEBRATE TOO LONG.
WE HAVE TO GET TO WORK.
BUT I STAND BEFORE YOU
HEART-BROKEN BECAUSE THIS IS A
SPECTACULAR INDIGENOUS WOMAN
WHOSE VOICE I WANTED TO HERE IN
PARLIAMENT.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
AND DAVID MARNER, OUR CANDIDATE
SQUAMISH, WE'LL RUN AGAIN.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
>> SO FOR THE RECORDBOOKS, THIS
IS THE BEST ELECTION RESULT ANY
GREEN PARTY IN ANY PASS-THE-POST
SYSTEM HAS HAD AND WE ENTER
PARLIAMENT IN THE FIRST CAUCUS
IN THE HISTORY OF OUR PICKUP
PARLIAMENTTHAT IS TWO-THIRDS WOT
SAYIN'.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
(SPEAKING FRENCH)
>> AND TO ALL OF YOU WHO WORKED
AS VOLUNTEERS --
>> Elizabeth May:  I CAN'T THANK
YOU ENOUGH, YOUR LOVE, CARE,
SHOE LEATHER, KNOCKING ON DOORS
AND TALKING TO EVERYONE, WE HAVE
RAISED AWARENESS.
WE HAVE RAISED CONSCIOUSNESS AND
WE HAVE RAISED OUR VOTES, BUT
THE GOAL HERE HAS ALWAYS BEEN TO
DELIVER THE KIND OF GOVERNMENT
CANADIANS DESERVE.
LET'S HOPE THAT AS ALL THE OTHER
PARTIES -- WELL, EXCEPT THE
BLOC.
(SPEAKING FRENCH).
>> CONGRATULATIONS TO
Mr. BLANCHET WHO RAN A GREAT
CAMPAIGN AND GREATLY INCREASED
SUPPORT FOR THE BLOC.
SO WE HAVE THE LIBERALS WHO HAVE
GONE DOWN, THE CONSERVATIVES
WITHOUT A VICTORY AND THE BLOC
WITH A VICTORY AND THE N.D.P.
THAT LOST ALMOST ALL ITS SEATS
IN QUEBEC AND ALSO ACROSS
CANADA.
THEY LOST SEATS.
BUT HE RAN A CAMPAIGN AND THE
N.D.P. REMAINS AS THE FOURTH
PARTY IN THE HOUSE OF COMMONS
AND WE ARE THE FIFTH, BUT NOT
THE LEAST.
>> Elizabeth May:  WE'RE IN THAT
PARLIAMENT AND IT'S A MINORITY
PARLIAMENT AND WE'RE GOING TO
MAKE IT BY HARD WORK, MORAL
SUATION AND NONSTOP ARM TWISTING
AND HOLDING THE FEET TO THE
FIRE.
THERE WILL BE CRISPY TOES.
[CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]
>> Rosemary:  THAT'S ELIZABETH
MAY GIVING HER SPEECH IN
VICTORIA, B.C., WHERE HER PARTY
MANAGED TO PICK UP ONLY ONE
ADDITIONAL SEAT BUT HER SUPPORT
ACROSS THE COUNTRY DID GROW TO
ABOUT 6.4% AND THAT MIGHT BE
GROWTH, I GUESS, NATIONALLY.
SO WE'LL GET A PICTURE OF WHAT
KIND OF VOTE TURN-OUT OR START
TO LOOK AT THAT SENSE FROM
ANDREW NOW WHO CAN GIVE US
NUMBERS THERE.
>> Andrew:  THE CAVEAT IS THERE
ARE UNOFFICIAL NUMBERS BECAUSE
THERE ARE VOTES COUNTED AT THIS
HOUR.
A COUPLE THINGS TO POINT OUT AS
I PUT THE GRAPHIC UP ON THE
SCREEN, THE CONSERVATIVES DID
WIN THE POPULAR VOTE SO
INTERESTING IF NOT IMPORTANT
THAT MORE CANADIANS DID VOTE
CONSERVATIVE THAN LIBERAL IN
THIS ELECTION.
THE OTHER THING THAT I'LL POINT
OUT, IF YOU LOOK AT THE BOTTOM
RIGHT CORNER, TURN-OUT IS DOWN
BUT NOT IN A DRAMATIC WAY,
RIGHT?
I MEAN, CONSIDERING WHEN JUSTIN
TRUDEAU CARRIED THE DAY IN 2015,
THAT WAS DURING A YEAR THAT SAW
A SURGE IN TURN-OUT.
BUT WHAT I WOULD ALSO POINT OUT,
THOUGH, THE LIBERALS ARE DOWN IN
A DISPROPORTIONATELY LARGER WAY
THAN THE DROP IN TURN-OUT
ITSELF.
THE BASIC TAKE AWAY, THAT VOTERS
TURNED OUT BUT INCREASING
NUMBERS FOR THE CONSERVATIVES,
BLOC AND THE GREENS.
>> Rosemary:  LET'S JUST LEAVE
THAT BOARD UP, IF WE CAN.
I WANT TO CONTRAST THAT WITH
WHAT HAPPENED IN 2015.
AS WE'VE TALKED ABOUT BEFORE,
THE CONSERVATIVE PARTY NOT GREAT
AT GROWING ITS SUPPORT AND,
INDEED, IN 2015, IT WAS
5,600,000, GIVE OR TAKE, BUT THE
LIBERAL PARTY WHO BENEFITED FROM
BIG TURN-OUT AND PROBABLY FROM A
COUNTRY THAT WANTED TO GET RID
OF A GOVERNMENT THAT HAD BEEN IN
PLACE FOR TEN YEARS, THEY HAD IN
2015, IN TERMS OF POPULAR
SUPPORT, CLOSE TO 7 MILLION
PEOPLE.
YOU CAN SEE THAT DROP HAS LEFT
THEM NOW IN A MINORITY POSITION,
BUT ALSO, THAT THAT IS WHY
THERE'S A DISPARITY BETWEEN THEM
AND THE CONSERVATIVES.
OK, WE'RE GETTING READY TO WRAP
THIS DOWN ONE DAY.
BUT FIRST, I'LL GET ONE MORE
TAKE FROM MY FRIENDS "AT ISSUE."
YOU'LL BE BACK TOMORROW, I HATE
TO TELL YOU ON "THE NATIONAL"
WHILE YOU'VE HAD TIME TO SLEEP
ONLY THINGS AND GIVE US ANOTHER
EVALUATION.
BUT CHANTAL, YOU LOOK AT THE
PICTURE AND WHAT DO YOU WANT
CANADIANS TO THINK ABOUT?
>> Chantal:  LISTENING TO THE
SPEECHES, I'M NOT SURE THAT
JUSTIN TRUDEAU HAS NOT LOST IN
THE RELIEF OF HAVING SECURED A
MINORITY GOVERNMENT.
IF HE HAS LOST THE VOTERS AND
THERE'S, YOU KNOW, TRIUMPH
SHOULD BE MODERATED GOING
FORWARD.
IF I WERE ANDREW SCHEER, I WOULD
LOOK TO RECEIVE A LEADERSHIP
REVIEW.
CAUCUS MANAGEMENT WILL BE MORE
DIFFICULT.
THE N.D.P. IS NOT IN GOOD SHAPE
AT THE END OF THIS CAMPAIGN.
Mr. SINGH HAS LOST ALMOST HALF
OF THE CAUCUS HE HAD FROM 2015
AND HAS ALMOST NO REPRESENTATION
EAST OF ONTARIO.
AND SO, THE THREE OF THEM HAVE
SOME THINKING TO DO ABOUT HOW
THEY WANT TO BE BEHAVE IN THE
NEXT PARLIAMENT TO EARN BACK THE
TRUST OF MORE VOTERS.
>> Rosemary:  BECAUSE IF THERE'S
ANY MESSAGE FOR ANYBODY, I WOULD
THINK IT'S THAT, ANDREW, THAT
THE CANADIANS AREN'T THRILLED
WITH ANY OF THEM.
>> Andrew:  NO, AND NOT A
PARTICULAR HAPPY RESULT.
YOU HAVE A SEVERELY WEAKENED
GOVERNMENT, LOSING MORE THAN A
MILLION VOTES, FINISHED A
QUARTER MILLION BEHIND THE
NEAREST COMPETITOR.
BUT MOST IMPORTANTLY, THIS IS
THE WEAKEST MANDATE AT 33% OF
THE VOTE OF ANY GOVERNMENT IN
THE HISTORY OF THE COUNTRY.
AND IT'S PRESIDING OVER A
SHARPLY DIVIDING COUNTRY.
THE LIBERALS GOT 15 SEATS WEST
OF ONTARIO AND THE CONSERVATIVES
14 SEATS EAST OF ONTARIO AND THE
DEMONS OF THE NATION ARE AWAKE
IN BOTH QUEBEC AND THE WEST AND
WE DON'T HAVE A PARTICULARLY
STRONG GOVERNMENT TO DEAL WITH
IT IN OTTAWA.
WE'RE IN FOR TRYING TIMES.
>> Rosemary:  WE DIDN'T SEE IN
ANY OF THOSE SPEECHES, I THINK
WE WOULD ALL AGREE LISTENING TO
THAT, OUTREACH CONCILIATORY
REMARK, SUPER AWARENESS OF WHAT
HAPPENED WITHOUT THE PLEDGE TO
SASKATCHEWAN FROM JUSTIN
TRUDEAU.
>> THEY SEEM COMPLETELY
OBLIVIOUS TO IT.
ALL OF THEIR SPEECHES SEEM TO BE
CAMPAIGN SPEECHES AND THEY
REUSED THE LINES FROM THE
SPEECHES THAT WE HEARD OVER THE
WEEKEND.
THEY SEEM MORE INTERESTED IN
RELITIGATING THE LAST CONTEST
THAN TRYING TO BRING THE COUNTRY
TOGETHER.
EXCEPT FOR THE BLOC QUÉBÉCOIS,
THIS HAS BEEN A BAD NIGHT FOR
EVERYONE ELSE.
ELIZABETH MAY GOT MORE THAN A
MILLION VOTES AND MAXIME
BERNIER'S PARTY IS PROBABLY DONE
WITH, BUT OTHERWISE, NOBODY MET
THE TARGETS THEY SET OUT FOR
THEMSELVES AND WE MAY BE DOING
IT ALL OVER AGAIN SOON.
>> Rosemary:  DUNCAN.
>> PICKING UP ON WHAT ANDREW
COYNE HAD TO SAY, AS I LOOK AT
THE MAP THERE, I'M THINKING
WE'LL HAVE LOTS OF FODDER FOR
CROSS-COUNTRY CHECK-UP NEXT
SUNDAY.
[ Laughter ]
>> Rosemary:  MEAGAN?
>> I AGREE SHARPLY DIVIDED AND
TOUGH FOR ALL OF THE PARTIES BUT
I THINK ABOUT OTHER MINORITY
GOVERNMENTS, JACK LAYTON AND WE
WERE ABLE TO GET GREAT STUFF FOR
CANADA, LIKE MEDICARE AND
HOUSING SO I'M HOPEFUL FOR THE
POLICIES WE'LL SEE BUT IT WILL
BE MORE WORK.
>> Rosemary:  YOU'RE JUST A
HOPEFUL PERSON.
COREY.
>> I THINK IT WAS A BAD NIGHT
FOR EVERYONE EXCEPT THE BLOC AND
A GOOD NIGHT FOR THE BLOC IS A
BAD NIGHT FOR CANADA.
SO I'M NOT FEELING REALLY GREAT
ABOUT WHAT A LOT OF THE RESULTS
ARE, BUT THIS IS CANADA AND
WE'LL SOLDIER ON AND MAKE THE
BEST OF IT.
>> Rosemary:  TAKE ONE MORE LOOK
AT THE MAP.
ALMOST ALL POLLS REPORTING AND
ELECTED RIGHT NOW.
JUST A FEW MORE THAT THEY ARE
FINISHING UP AT THE DECISION
DESK BUT THAT'S WHAT IT LOOKS
LIKE.
TO GIVE YOU AN IDEA WHEN WE TALK
ABOUT DIVISION AND WHAT WILL
HAPPEN, THAT'S WHY WE'RE TALKING
ABOUT IT BECAUSE THAT IS WHAT
CANADA WILL LOOK LIKE GOING
FORWARD.
BOB RAY, LAST THOUGHT FOR YOU?
>> I THOUGHT THE SPEECH SUMMED
UP THE ELECTIONS.
THEY WERE ALL TALKING OVER EACH
OTHER.
I'M SURE IT WASN'T COMPLETELY
DELIBERATE BUT AS WE SAW THE
TRIPLE SCREEN IN THE STUDIO, IT
WAS RIDICULOUS IN TERMS OF
PEOPLE DELIVERING MESSAGES.
THEY WERE GIVING THE SAME
SPEECHES THROUGHOUT THE CAMPAIGN
AND THERE WAS NO DIFFERENT TEMPO
AND NO SELF-DEPRECATION AND NO
REAL HUMOUR.
THERE WAS JUST THE SAME
REPETITION OF LINES AND SLOGANS
AND I REALLY DON'T FEEL GREAT
ABOUT THAT.
I DO FEEL GREAT ABOUT OUR
COUNTRY AND I ALWAYS WILL FEEL
GREAT ABOUT IT.
WE'LL GET THROUGH IT ALL.
BUT I ONLY WISH THAT PARLIAMENT
WOULD BE ABLE TO BE ITSELF, THAT
CABINET WOULD BE ABLE TO BE
ITSELF AND THAT PEOPLE WOULD
ENGAGE WITH EACH OTHER IN A
PRODUCTIVE WAY.
THERE IS OVERLAP BETWEEN THE
PARTIES IN TERMS OF WHAT THEY
WANT TO GET DONE.
IT CAN HAPPEN, BUT THERE SURE
WEREN'T A LOT OF SIGNS TONIGHT
IN TERMS OF WHAT PEOPLE HAD TO
SAY.
I WAS TROUBLED BY THAT.
>> Rosemary:  IT WILL TAKE A LOT
OF WORK.
WHAT STRUCK YOU FROM YOUR OWN
RESULTS?
>> Ian:  MY FAVOURITE MOMENT WAS
WHAT FOLDS OF LISA RAITT'S
CONCESSION INTERVIEW, A REMINDER
YOU CAN LOSE AND NOT A
DIS-HONOURABLE THING AND THERE
ARE GOOD PEOPLE IN POLITICS AND
IT WAS IMPRESSIVE AND POIGNANT.
>> I WOULD SAY THE SAME ABOUT
RALPH GOODALE AND I'M ON THE AIR
IN 15 MINUTES AND YOU'RE
WELCOMED TO MOVE DOWN TO MY
STUDIO 16 FLOORS BELOW.
>> Rosemary:  YOU NEGOTIATED
BADLY, SISTER.
[ Laughter ]
>> Rosemary:  YOU'RE A TROUPER
FOR STAYING UP LATE FOR US.
>> I WONDER WHAT WE'LL BE
DEALING WITH IN OTTAWA.
WHAT PARLIAMENT WE'LL BE DEALING
WITH AND HOW LONG IT WILL LAST.
MY SENSE IS IT WILL LAST LONGER
THAN SOME OF THE JOKES, WE'LL BE
BACK IN SIX MONTHS OR THE YEAR.
THEY HAVE AN INCENTIVE BECAUSE
THEY TOOK A BEATING IN TERMS OF
THE SEAT LOSS AND FLAT BROKE.
THE CONSERVATIVES WILL HAVE NO
TROUBLE FUNDRAISING OFF OF THIS
RESULT.
THE NEW DEMOCRATS HAVE AN
INCENTIVE TO KEEP IT ALIVE.
THEY MORTGAGED THE BUILDING IN
OTTAWA AND LOST A LOT OF HIS
PEOPLE.
JUSTIN TRUDEAU HAS A BIT MORE
LEASH BECAUSE OF THAT BECAUSE
JASMEET SINGH HAS A BIG
INCENTIVE TO COOPERATE.
>> Rosemary:  ANDREW CHANG?
>> Andrew:  I'M THINKING ABOUT
THE FUTURE AND THE COUNTRY AS A
WHOLE.
IN A LITERAL SENSE, YOU CAN
THINK OF ELECTION AS BEING 338
INDIVIDUAL FIGHTS.
IT DOESN'T ALWAYS FEEL THAT WAY,
THOUGH, BECAUSE OFTEN YOU HAVE
VOTERS WHO VOTE IN BLOCS, AND
RIDINGS WHO VOTE IN BLOCS BUT
TONIGHT IT FEELS LIKE BLOCS ARE
SMALLER THAN WE'RE ACCUSTOMED TO
SEEING THEM.
YOU SEE A DIVIDED COUNTRY AND I
THINK WE'LL BE SAYING THOSE IN
THE DAYS AND WEEKS TO COME.
>> Rosemary:  LET'S LOOK AT THE
MAP TO GET A PICKET OF WHAT THAT
MEANS.
I WOULD SAY YES, DIVIDED, BUT
THERE'S A LOT OF PARTIES ON THE
LEFT, RIGHT?
A LOT OF PARTIES TO QUALITY AS
PROGRESSIVE.
I AGREE WITH WHAT MEAGAN SAID,
IT WILL TAKE OUTREACH FROM
EVERYBODY, STARTING FOREMOST
WITH THE PRIME MINISTER WHO ENDS
LEADING ELECTED AT 196 AND THE
BLOC 132 UP FROM 10 AND THE
GREENS AND JODY WILSON-RAYBOULD
IN GRANVILLE.
>> FOR AT LEAST A COUPLE OF THE
OPPOSITION PARTIES, AFTER
TONIGHT, THERE'S NO INCENTIVE TO
SHORTEN THAT.
>> Rosemary:  MINORITY
GOVERNMENTS, YOU MEAN?
>> MINORITY GOVERNMENTS.
WHAT DID I SAY, COALITION?
>> Rosemary:  JUST DON'T WANT TO
SCARE PEOPLE.
[ Laughter ]
>> I THOUGHT, LIKE, SOME OF THE
OTHERS, THAT THE SPEECHES
TONIGHT WERE DISAPPOINTING.
THIS WAS A NIGHT WHERE THE
COUNTRY NEEDED SOMEBODY TO
REALLY STAND UP AND TALK ABOUT
THE IMPORTANCE OF COUNTRY AND A
UNITED COUNTRY AND NOBODY DID.
AND JUSTIN TRUDEAU SEEMED TO
WALK UP THERE, NOT REALIZING
THAT TWO-THIRDS OF THE COUNTRY
VOTED AGAINST HIM AND LEFT BIG
HOLES IN THE COUNTRY.
I MEAN, EVENTUALLY, HE GOT
AROUND TO THAT ONE LINE IN
SASKATCHEWAN AND ALBERTA AND
ANDREW SCHEER HAD A SIMILAR
ISSUE, MAKING A THING OUT OF THE
POPULAR VOTE FOR THE SEATS.
A GUY LIKE HIM SHOULD KNOW HIS
HISTORY.
TWO PRIME MINISTERS HAVE
BENEFITED FROM THAT FACT.
THAT'S HOW JOE CLARK BECAME
PRIME MINISTER AND HE QUOTED
JOHN DIFFENBAKER AND HE WAS
PRIME MINISTER IN SPITE OF THE
FACT HE HAD FEWER VOTES THAN
LESTER PEARSON.
SO I WAS REALLY DISAPPOINTED.
YOU USUALLY HAVE A SPEECH THAT
SOARS ON A NIGHT LIKE THIS AND
NONE OF THOSE DID.
>> Rosemary:  VASSY, MOMENTS OF
NOT UNDERSTANDING WHERE WE GOING
OR WHAT WAS HAPPENING NEXT BUT
LISTEN, I WILL GIVE EVERYONE 24
HOURS.
[ Laughter ]
>> Rosemary:  TO SEE IF THEY CAN
COME UP WITH SOMETHING MORE IN
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND SEE
IF THEY CAN LIFT THINGS.
BUT PARTICULARLY, THE PRIME
MINISTER, THE BALL IS IN HIS
COURT TO DO SIGNIFICANT OUTREACH
AND MAYBE THEY'RE ALL EXHAUSTED.
>> Vassy:  IT ENDED THE WAY IT
STARTED AND THROUGHOUT THE
CAMPAIGN BOTH LEADERS FAILED TO
TRULY INSPIRE CANADIANS TO COME
OUT AND VOTE FOR THEM AND WE SAW
EVIDENCE OF THAT TONIGHT.
THE QUESTION THAT STOOD UP TO ME
AND AS IAN HIGHLIGHTED LISA
RAITT'S CLASS AND THE HUMILITY
SHE SHOWED, WE DIDN'T SEE ANY OF
THAT FROM EITHER JUSTIN TRUDEAU
OR ANDREW SCHEER.
>> Rosemary:  WHEN DO THEY
RECALL PARLIAMENT AND WHEN DO
THEY FORM GOVERNMENT?
>> Vassy:  THEY HAD A SHOT
TONIGHT.
THEY HAD THE ENTIRE COUNTRY
LISTENING AND CHOSE NOT TO.
>> AT 2:00 IN THE MORNING?
>> Rosemary:  EVERYBODY IS STILL
UP, BOB.
[ Laughter ]
>> Rosemary:  HOW MUCH TIME DO I
HAVE LEFT.
SHE GETS THREE LAST THOUGHTS.
[ Laughter ]
>> Chantal:  TO MY PREMIER WHO
MAY HAVE LET OUT THE GENI.
E.
EVEN THE NIGHT OF THE ELECTION
WASN'T SO GREAT BECAUSE SHE
DIDN'T WIN A MAJORITY.
>> BOTH PARTIES HAVE TO THINK
ABOUT HOW TO EXPAND THEIR BASE.
WE'VE NEVER SEEN THIS BEFORE AND
THIS SHOULD BE A NIGHT OF SOBER
REFLECTION.
>> Rosemary:  THANK YOU ALL.
I'LL SEE YOU ALL TOMORROW.
I WANT TO GIVE A HUGE THANKS TO
THE MANY PRODUCERS BEHIND US,
THE AMAZING CONTROL ROOM
UPSTAIRS.
, THE DECISION DESK, THE
PHENOMENAL CREW AND SUPPORT FOR
ALL OF THEM GETTING US TO THIS
PLACE, TO ALL OF THESE PEOPLE
AROUND THE TABLE FOR OFFERING
ANAMAZINGLY SHOW.
GOOD LUCK TOMORROW, CANADA!
>> I'M WENDY MESLEY, THIS IS
CANADA VOTES THE AFTER SHOW.
YES, IT IS GETTING VERY LATE.
BUT THERE IS SO MUCH MORE TO
TALK ABOUT.
JUSTIN TRUDEAU IS GOING BACK TO
OTTAWA WITH A LIBERAL MINORITY.
NOW THE DEAL-MAKING BEGINS.
THE N.D.P. HOLDS THE BALANCE OF
POWER AND THE BLOC IS READY TO
FIGHT TO GET MUSCLE.
OF COURSE THE CONSERVATIVES,
THEY PICKED UP SOME SEATS
TONIGHT BUT NOT ENOUGH TO WIN.
ESPECIALLY PROBLEMATIC FOR THEM,
ONTARIO.
WE'LL TACKLE ALL OF THIS AND
KEEP AN EYE ON WHAT IS UNFOLDING
RIGHT NOW IN BRITISH COLUMBIA.
WHAT
