Hello everybody, this time comes the real
thing how to survive the possible
recession in this year in the year 2020.
We don't know whether a recession is
coming, but anyhow among a lot of
countries, economic figures such as GDP
is falling in a lot of countries for the
first quarter in spring. If we have a
coming falling GDP figure in summer that
is in the next quarter, then there is an
recession. But anyhow, we are not sure.
Somebody in the IMF predicted that we
may have a economic recession worse than
the Great Depression of 1920s namely
from the Year 1929 to 1933, but anyhow we are not sure.
What is painful and what is quite unable
for us to foresee in this year is that
there is a lot of uncertainties, a lot of
things that we don't know, a lot of
things that the government have done, but we don't know what the outcome is.
The pandemic is about to end, or the serious part of the pandemic is about to be over.
Well, the invention of the so called
vaccines, orbit the flattening of the
curve of the diagnosed cases, more or
less the coming coronavirus threat is
about to be tolerable, but what is unsure
is that the economy.
What happens to the economy? the economy or the things that is different this year than the former
years in the 1920s or in the year 2008,
is that this time the state take a very
active measure to lock down cities, to
freeze the harbours and airports, and to
stop generally global flow of goods of
people, and as well as services,
in the name of keeping the country safe.
they say from the supply of medical
goods, the supply of cereals etc..
So this kind of very drastic measures
taken by the State,
we called it the executive power of the
State, is something different from the
past. We know that after the year of
1920s, well, the Federal Reserve of USA
have the power to issue more US dollars,
bonds..etc. Sometimes we call it in after
the year 2000 the quantitative easing.
This is what the government can do to
adjust the economy during a period of
recession. But this time is something
different.  The government wants a
recession; the government secures a
recession, so that something uncertain
can be avoided in future. For this, a lot
of people are really in doubt what is
really happening. We see a lot of things,
a lot of things flowing around,
well pandemic is one of the case, and
certain we don't know but anyhow the
serious part is about to over to end.
We have people who brag about digital money because well paper money is dirty?
A lot of dirt, a lot of viruses, and
bacterias on track, we know that already,
if you thing it's dirty, please give them
to me.
Well this that is the way to keep you
away from dirt, but money is dirty
whether you are religious, or you are
take it in medical terms, right?
The second thing is about locking of people, social distancing killing people in cell,
home-bound..etc, so that they can be more connected, as well as more traceable
by the government, or by other serious
forces about what kind of goods, their
party they are buying, what kind of
people they're meeting, what kind of
things they are doing every day,and we
call it big data. All these things
in comparison to the uncertain, economic
future is something quite minor, you can
take them in the same case, you can
classify them in the same case as a
pandemic. Did this social distancing
locking of cities, as well as bragging
about digital money, digital transaction,
all these things will go away.
There are simply things, just like a
surgical masks for everybody to cover up
your face, so that you don't know what
the reality is. The reality is something
quite sure, now it is economic downturn.
Well, during summer last year,
a lot of economists already
predicted that there will be an economic
downturn this year, because they observed
the inverted U-curve of the long that
long-term debt and the short-term debt.
When people invest more money in the
long term debt, then mean that in
the short term say in one month, three
months, have a year. It is not really
profitable to buy bonds, to buy federal
bonds. If you buy bonds or buy
something in in five years or in 10
years, that's a more secure. So that means
uncertain in the economic prosperity in
a short term. So it is protected that
there will be a recession in the coming
year, that is in this year but we are not
sure what the government is doing now,
and a lot of governments: UK, USA, Canada,
and Germany, France... all these
governments are what they are doing now
is that they imposed by executive power
in economic recession, so that something
can be controlled, is something like if
we put it in a simile or you take an
example, if you know that say the
dry season is coming, and there will be a
very grand bushfire in the forest, then
what you can do I know either you
put him more water reserve, but weather is dry.
Where the other way to do it is to cut off some powerful, you burn up some
debris, some some broken leaves, some some dead twigs..etc, and you char a path in
the forest, so that when there is a fire
either come, in this direction or that
direction it will stop by this path, this
child path,  burned path. we called it
pre-emptive burning, or controlled burning. So what the government now is doing,
is pre-emptive burning, but economy is
nothing like the forest,
the government control the economy right in the forest in for the climate although
we have an effect on them
on the climate, but we are not
controlling the climate. So we can do
some bushfire without pre-emptive
charring a preemptive, clearing of a
forest paths with not too much moral
responsibility, anyhow we are saving
something, and the path we are burning is
something not really so important right? The animals can run away,
birds can fly away right? The extent of
fires not so big, but what the government
now is doing the extent is quite big, right?
Locking up economy, prohibiting people
from traveling for over three months,
some even say half a year, some even say
two years, right? So scary!  What the
government now is doing, is something
that is not experienced by human beings.
Before by.. we more than human beings
before. What the government now is doing,
Well... if I dare to tell you, is to kill
you first, then to safe you, then you DIE
from the saving from the rescue.
 
