Hello friends
Come, let us talk about the conflict ongoing between America and Iran
What happened? Why did it happen?
How does it affect India? And is this the beginning of the World War 3?
This last question was mere jest
Don't worry, things haven't escalated to that level. This is only done by some media houses to scare you
Come, let us understand the entire situation
First, I will give you some background information
Basically, there are two main regional powers in the middle east
One is Saudi Arabia and the other is Iran
These two countries are rival countries and enmity brews in between them
Although, these two countries haven't directly been in a war,
but in all the other conflicts in the middle east amongst the rest of the countries,
These two countries use them to indulge in a proxy war
Proxy war means that two countries are not fighting directly with each other
but are fighting indirectly in a third country
For example, proxy wars are ongoing in Yemen, Syria and Iraq -amongst Saudi Arabia and Iran
What basically happens in these is that there is a government and then there are rebels that oppose it
So on one hand, Saudi Arabia would support the government by funding weapons
Iran, on the other hand, would support the rebels and supple weapons to them
And the battle among them would continue
Iran has a majority of Shia Muslims and Saudi has a majority of Sunni Muslims
So you could also call it a religious divide between the two countries
(which) further stokes the conflict in between these two countries
The matter of fact here is that USA is a good ally of Saudi Arabia
And Saudi Arabia is a rival country of Iran. So basically, there is enmity between USA and Iran too
There have been anti- government protests in Iraq in huge numbers in the past few years
because the people there are upset with the rising corruption and unemployment as well as other issues
The establishment- the government is supported by Iran
So basically, the governments of Iran and Iraq are against the protesters
And the countries of Saudi Arabia and the USA indirectly support the protesters
Recently, what was happening was that a lot of protesters were being killed
The Iranian government and the government of Iraq were shooting the protesters
More than 20 protesters have been killed
Relations between USA and Iran have been sour for the past 40 years
But the present conflict can be traced back to the time since Donald Trump got elected
In 2015, when Obama was the President, then USA signed a nuclear deal with Iran
"After two years of negotiations, the United States.. together with our international partners
has achieved something that decades of animosity has not
a comprehensive, long-term deal with Iran that will prevent it from obtaining a nuclear weapon.
This deal demonstrates that American diplomacy can bring about real and meaningful change."
On 8th May, 2018,
Donald Trump backed out of this nuclear deal suddenly and said that now USA will not participate in the nuclear deal
"I am announcing today that the United States will withdraw from the Iran nuclear deal
We will be instituting the highest level of economic sanction
Today's action sends a critical message"
Donald Trump alleged that the government of Iran supports terrorism, exports violence
and the widespread chaos and bloodshed rampant in the Middle East-
Iran is responsible for that
A lot of people that criticize Donald Trump say that
Donald Trump backed off from the nuclear deal due to one reason-
because Obama had signed that nuclear deal
Trump envied this fact and he had to upturn whatever Obama had done
Therefore, Trump restarted the enmity with Iran and declared economic sanctions
After that, there was constant escalation of tensions between the two countries
For example, in one instance there was a drone attack on the oil tankers of Saudi Arabia
USA alleged that Iran had orchestrated it
For example on 20th June, 2019, a US drone was shot down by Iran on charges of it flying through Iranian territory
USA claimed that it was flying through international territory
On 8th April, 2019, Donald Trump took a decision that has never been taken  in American history till date
There is a branch of the Iranian Military which is called Islamic Revolutionary Guard corps
(They) declared it a foreign terrorist organisation
This was for the first time that another country's military was labelled as a terrorist organization
After that, on 28th December, 2019, a rocket attack was launched on a US military base present in Iraq
in which an American contractor was killed
The US held the Iranian military and the general of Iranian military- Soleiman- responsible for this
The US retaliated on 29th December 2019
by conducting air strikes on a weapon center of the Iranian militia organization
in which more than 25 people were killed
In retaliation to this, a pro Iranian mob attacked the US embassy in Iraq on 31st December, 2019
Although no one was killed and neither did anyone sustain serious injuries,
but Donald Trump tweeted after this attack saying, Iran will have to pay a very big price
This is not a warning, it is a threat
And this threat was witnessed when on 3rd January, 2020,
America killed one of the top most Iranian generals- Soleiman by conducting drone strikes
General Soleiman was the major General of the Quds force in Iran
He was one of the people belonging to the top most level in Iran
In India, you can compare him to the Indian Air Force general or the Indian Army General
The Quds force is the elitest of the elite force of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Force in Iran
Donald Trump said that they had killed the general to prevent future attacks from taking place
and they had got news that General Soleiman was planning an attack against Americans
"Soleiman was plotting
imminent and sinister attacks on American diplomats and military personnel
But we caught him in the act
and terminated him
Under my leadership , America's policy is unambiguous to terrorists
who harm or intend to harm any American"
US officials believe that while there was a war ongoing in Iraq, then General Soleiman was supplying weapons
to the terrorists present there
But Iran denies anything of that sort
In fact General Soleiman was considered a national hero in Iran
because he had helped fight against the ISIS and to secure the Iranian borders
So the interesting thing here is how one country considers a person a national hero and a freedom fighter
while another country, on the other hand, considers him a terrorist
This happens very often, by the way
Wherever there are conflicts and fights in the world,
if often happens that one section of the population considers someone to be their freedom fighter
and the other section of the population considers him to be a terrorist
So, there's one thing I'd like to say here - whenever you read about such complex geopolitical issues,
then do not try to fit someone in a good or a bad category
Nothing's black and white here that one person is 100% good and that person is 100% bad- it isn't so
Judge people by their actions
A lot of people accuse Donald Trump of wanting to go on a war with Iran deliberately
in order to boost his popularity before elections
Elections are upcoming in 9 months so people believe that Donald Trump is doing this for publicity
Also, Donald Trump's own hypocrisy is evident here because back in 2013,
he tweeted that "I predict that President Obama will,at some point, attack Iran in order to save face."
Then he tweeted in 2013 again: "Remember what I previously said? Obama will someday attack Iran
in order to show how tough he is."
Now people are accusing Donald Trump of the same thing that Donald Trump is attacking Iran to save his own image
This is a very similar thing which happened in US, 17 years prior to today
when President Bush had declared War on Iraq and killed Saddam Hussein
Then, a lot of people had noticed that USA did not have a huge reason to go to war
but USA went to war, nevertheless. And it was due to this one decision
that the image of USA is still tainted all across the world
that the USA goes on deliberate wars for oil, and goes to war in order to maintain peace in the middle East
It encourages wars all about the world in order to reap benefits for itself
The Iranian government has said that its going to retaliate fully after this air strike
but it does not consider a common American responsible for this
The Iranian government puts the sole blame on Donald Trump
In fact, the Iranian government has also placed a bounty on Donald Trump
and they have said that an average American need not worry because they have no enmity with them
They are only against Donald Trump
Due to this, The Iranian presidential advisor listed down the business properties of Trump all across the world
in order to attack Trump's real estate empire
In response to this Donald Trump issued threat that he would launched an attack on the Iranian cultural sites
-the world heritage sites and due to this, Donald Trump received a lot of flak
that he was talking of deliberately attacking the heritage and cultural sites in a fight
On the other hand the parliament of Iraq has voted to root out all the American troops from the Iraqi soil
and the Iranian Parliament has passed motion designating the US Army as terrorists
Donald Trump has also said that if Iraq indeed wants all the American troops to leave the country
then Iraq will have to pay for the Air Force base which cost billions of dollars to construct
And if Iraq does not agree to pay, then huge economic sanctions will be levied on Iraq
And if this happens, then its worst effect  will befall India
The reason for this is that most of the crude oil imported by India comes from Iraq
as of 2019, Iraq is India's number one oil supplier
if US imposes sanctions against Iraq
then US will force its allies like India to stop importing oil from Iraq
If it so happens, then India will have to import oil from elsewhere- which is going to be many times costlier
This will have a very bad effect upon the Indian economy
Infant its effect is already perceptible- the day general Soleimani was killed
the Indian markets crashed so drastically the very next day
that investors had to suffer a loss of total 3 lakh crore rupees
Another detrimental effect was that when Donald Trump escalated his enemy with Iran,
then he obviously had to incline towards some country- so he started getting close to Pakistan
In 2018, Donald Trump had said that they had stopped providing training to the Pakistani military
because Pakistan supports terrorism
Now they have resumed imparting the training
because they are in need of more friends and allies
I hope you would have got to learn  a lot from this video
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