270, MAJORITY NEED TODAY WIN THE
PRESIDENCY.
JOHN KING BREAKS IT DOWN AT THE 
MAGIC WALL.
WE HAVE A NEW POLL THAT SHOWS 
HILLARY CLINTON WITH A 13 POINT 
NATIONAL LEAD OVER TRUMP.
WHAT'S BEHIND THE EARLY STRENGTH
IN A GENERAL ELECTION MATCHUP. 
>> IN A WORD OR TWO, THE OBAMA 
COALITION.
AS WE SPEAK TONIGHT, LET'S BE 
CLEAR, LONG WAY, 187 DAYS TO 
NOVEMBER.
AS WE SPEAK TONIGHT, HILLARY 
CLINTON IS HOLDING THE OBAMA 
COALITION AND THEN SOME.
SHOW YOU SOME NUMBERS.
IN THE NEW POLL, ON THE RIGHT, 
BARACK OBAMA ON ELECTION DAY.
AMONG MEN, DOING BETTER THAN 
OBAMA, AMONG WOMEN, BETTER THAN 
THE PRESIDENT ON ELECTION DAY.
AMONG INDEPENDENTS, BETTER, 
WHITE VOTERS, BETTER.
SUBURBS.
EVEN AMONG NONWHITES, HILLARY 
CLINTON DOING BETTER THAN 
PRESIDENT OBAMA ON ELECTION DAY 
2012.
SHE ENTERS THE GENERAL ELECTION 
THINKING IF I CAN KEEP THIS 
TOGETHER, I CAN WIN.
>> FOR TRUMP THERE WERE 
ENCOURAGING NUMBERS ON THE 
ECONOMY?
>> YES, YOU LOOK AT THESE 
NUMBERS, A DEMOGRAPHIC DITCH HE 
NEEDS TO REPAIR.
THERE ARE SOME GOOD NUMBERS.
LOOK AT MICHIGAN.
DONALD TRUMP SAYS HE WILL CREATE
LIKE THE REAGAN DEMOCRATS IN 
THE '80s TRUMP DEMOCRATS.
THE NUMBER ONE ISSUE, THE 
ECONOMY.
TRUMP HAS A FIVE POINT LEAD.
LOOK AT THIS.
20 PLUS POINTS LEAD OVER HILLARY
CLINTON WHO BEST TO HAND LE THE 
ECONOMY.
DONALD TRUMP SAYS HE WILL TURN 
WESTERN STATES THAT HAVE BEEN 
BLUE LIKE PENNSYLVANIA AND 
MICHIGAN, PERHAPS TO WISCONSIN 
AND MINNESOTA.
TRUMP SAYS HE WILL START HERE.
AGAIN NO GUARANTEE.
ON THE ECONOMY, HE HAS A CHANCE.
>> HOW WOULD HE BEGIN THAT 
STRATEGY TO CHANGE THE 
PRESIDENTIAL MATH?
>> FLIP MAPS TO TAKE A LOOK.
THIS IS THE OBAMA ROMNEY MAP.
DONALD TRUMP SAYS I'LL CHANGE 
PENNSYLVANIA.
DEMOCRATS DON'T THINK HE WILL.
DO IT FOR THE SAKE OF ARGUMENT.
SAYS HE CAN CHANGE OHIO.
MICHIGAN, IF DONALD TRUMP DID 
THOSE THREE, HEAVY LIFT.
THEN SAYS, ANDERSON, FLORIDA IS 
MY SECOND HOME.
JUST THOSE FOUR STATES, HE IS 
THE NEXT PRESIDENT.
EVEN IF PENNSYLVANIA, MOST BLUE 
OF THE STATES STAYS THERE, STAYS
BLUE UNDER THIS SCENARIO, HE 
CHANGES OHIO, MICHIGAN, FLORIDA.
TIED AT 269.
NOT SAYING IT PLAYS OUT THAT 
WAY.
GIVES YOU A REMINDER THAT 
HILLARY CLINTON ENTERS WITH AN 
ADVANTAGE.
IF DONALD TRUMP CAN DO DAMAGE 
ACROSS THE RUST BELT, HE CAN 
MAKE IT COMPETITIVE ELECTION.
>> THERE'S CONCERN ABOUT PEOPLE 
THAT DON'T WANT TO VOTE CLINTON,
HOW WOULD THAT CHANGE THE MAP. 
>> THE CLINTON CAMPAIGN IS 
STUDYING THIS CLOSELY.
IMAGINE A CONSERVATIVE THAT RUNS
SO IF YOU DON'T WANT TRUMP, 
CAN'T VOTE FOR CLINTON, WHERE 
MIGHT IT PLAY OUT.
WHAT ABOUT IN THE STATE OF 
GEORGIA.
CONSERVATIVE STAY HOME AND 
HILLARY CLINTON, YOU GET AFRICAN
AMERICANS TO TURN OUT BIG 
NUMBERS.
OBAMA CAMPAIGN THOUGHT THEY 
COULD IN 2012.
WHAT IF HILLARY CLINTON COULD 
TURN GEORGIA BLUE, AND ALSO 
MISSISSIPPI, AND ARIZONA.
IF A CONSERVATIVE RUN TOOK TWO, 
THREE, FOUR PERCENT, SHE COULD 
GET THE LATINO VOTE.
ANY OF THAT A GUARANTEE?
NO.
HEADING INTO AN UNORTHODOX YEAR 
WITH SO MANY UNPREDICTABLE 
ELEMENTS, INCLUDING A 
POSSIBILITY OF A THIRD PARTY 
CANDIDACY, INCLUDING HOW TRUMP 
CAN PLAY OUT IN TRADITIONAL BLUE
