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>>> ALL RIGHT.
>>> ALL RIGHT.
WELCOME BACK TO MTP DAILY,
WELCOME BACK TO MTP DAILY,
ENTHUSIASM.
ENTHUSIASM.
WE ARE ALWAYS TALKING ABOUT WHEN
WE ARE ALWAYS TALKING ABOUT WHEN
IT COMES TO ELECTIONS,
IT COMES TO ELECTIONS,
DEMOCRATS, REPUBLICANS, WHICH
DEMOCRATS, REPUBLICANS, WHICH
SIDE IS MORE ENERGETIC TO GET
OUT THERE AND VOTE?TIC TO GET
OUT THERE AND VOTE?
OF COURSE, DEMOCRATS YOU SAW HOW
OF COURSE, DEMOCRATS YOU SAW HOW
EXCITED THEY WERE LAST NOVEMBER,
EXCITED THEY WERE LAST NOVEMBER,
HOW MUCH THEY TURNED OUT, THE
OVERALL ASTONISHING TURNOUT FOR
OVERALL ASTONISHING TURNOUT FOR
THAT MID-TERM.
THAT MID-TERM.
THE RESULT WINNING BACK THE
THE RESULT WINNING BACK THE
HOUSE FOR THE FIRST TIME IN
HOUSE FOR THE FIRST TIME IN
EIGHT YEARS.
EIGHT YEARS.
SO ONE OF THE QUESTIONS THAT
SO ONE OF THE QUESTIONS THAT
THAT RAISED THE 2018 MID-TERM,
THAT RAISED THE 2018 MID-TERM,
THAT A HARBINGER OF DEMOCRATS OF
WHATS TO COME IN 2020?MOCRATS OF
WHATS TO COME IN 2020?
CAN THEY ROLL A GOOD MID-TERM
CAN THEY ROLL A GOOD MID-TERM
INTO WINNING A GENERAL ELECTION,
INTO WINNING A GENERAL ELECTION,
THERE ARE BRAND-NEW NUMBERS, THE
THERE ARE BRAND-NEW NUMBERS, THE
QUESTION RIGHT NOW IN OUR NEW
QUESTION RIGHT NOW IN OUR NEW
NBC NEWS "WALL STREET JOURNAL"
NBC NEWS "WALL STREET JOURNAL"
POLL IS WE ASKED DEMOCRATS AND
POLL IS WE ASKED DEMOCRATS AND
REPUBLICANS HOW INTERESTED ARE
REPUBLICANS HOW INTERESTED ARE
YOU?
YOU?
YOU ENTHUSIASTIC ARE YOU IN THE
YOU ENTHUSIASTIC ARE YOU IN THE
2020 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION RIGHT
NOW IN THE SPRING OF 2019? RIGHT
NOW IN THE SPRING OF 2019?
LOOK AT THESE, THESE ARE
LOOK AT THESE, THESE ARE
ASTRONOMICAL NUMBERS.
ASTRONOMICAL NUMBERS.
DEMOCRATS 73%.
DEMOCRATS 73%.
INTERESTINGLY, REPUBLICANS, A
INTERESTINGLY, REPUBLICANS, A
COUPLE POINTS HIGHER 75%,
COUPLE POINTS HIGHER 75%,
THREE-QUARTERS.
THREE-QUARTERS.
YOU ARE SEEING TWO EXTREMELY
MOTIVATED PARTY BASES RIGHTY
MOTIVATED PARTY BASES RIGHT
THERE.
THERE.
HOW DOES THAT COMPARE TO WHAT WE
SAW ON THE EVE OF THE MID-TERMWE
SAW ON THE EVE OF THE MID-TERM
ELECTION LAST YEAR.
ELECTION LAST YEAR.
>> WE CAN PUT THIS UP.
>> WE CAN PUT THIS UP.
THIS WAS OUR FINAL POLL.
THIS WAS OUR FINAL POLL.
YOU SAW DEMOCRATS ACTUALLY
YOU SAW DEMOCRATS ACTUALLY
ENJOYED A SLIGHT EDGE, 85% FOR
DEMOCRATS BEFORE THE MID-TERM,
DEMOCRATS BEFORE THE MID-TERM,
82% FOR REPUBLICANS.
82% FOR REPUBLICANS.
ITS CHANGED A LITTLE BIT IN
ITS CHANGED A LITTLE BIT IN
TERMS OF REPUBLICANS HAVING A
TERMS OF REPUBLICANS HAVING A
VERY, VERY SLIGHT EDGE.
VERY, VERY SLIGHT EDGE.
LETS EXTEND OUT THIS HISTORICAL
VIEW A BIT. OUT THIS HISTORICAL
VIEW A BIT.
LETS GO BACK TO 2016.
LETS GO BACK TO 2016.
THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION.
THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION.
ON THE EVE THAT DONALD TRUMP
ON THE EVE THAT DONALD TRUMP
WON, VERY NARROWLY AS YOU
WON, VERY NARROWLY AS YOU
RECALL, OUR POLL PICKED UP 82%
OF REPUBLICANS BEING EXTREMELY
OF REPUBLICANS BEING EXTREMELY
ENTHUSIASTIC.
ENTHUSIASTIC.
77% OF DEMOCRATS.
77% OF DEMOCRATS.
REMEMBER, DONALD TRUMP LOST THE
REMEMBER, DONALD TRUMP LOST THE
POPULAR VOTE.
POPULAR VOTE.
WON THOSE PENNSYLVANIA,
WON THOSE PENNSYLVANIA,
MICHIGAN, WISCONSIN.
MICHIGAN, WISCONSIN.
THATS WHAT THE ENTHUSIASM
THATS WHAT THE ENTHUSIASM
LOOKED LIKE THEN AT THE START OF
LOOKED LIKE THEN AT THE START OF
THAT CAMPAIGN IN THE SPRING OF
2015.CAMPAIGN IN THE SPRING OF
2015.
WE CAN SHOW YOU HOW THINGS LOOK.
WE CAN SHOW YOU HOW THINGS LOOK.
LOOK AT THIS, THE REPUBLICANS
LOOK AT THIS, THE REPUBLICANS
HAD A NINE-POINT ADVANTAGE AT
THE START OF THE 2016 CAMPAIGN,
THE START OF THE 2016 CAMPAIGN,
CAME DOWN TO FIVE.
CAME DOWN TO FIVE.
IN FACT, THE CONTEXT OF THAT WAS
THE 2014 MID-TERM.XT OF THAT WAS
THE 2014 MID-TERM.
REMEMBER OBAMAS SECOND
REMEMBER OBAMAS SECOND
MID-TERM.
MID-TERM.
THE 2014 MID-TERM.
THE 2014 MID-TERM.
THIS WAS OBAMAS SECOND TERM.
LOOK AT HOW LOW THOSE OVERALL
LOOK AT HOW LOW THOSE OVERALL
NUMBERS ARE, REPUBLICANS HAD A
NUMBERS ARE, REPUBLICANS HAD A
GREAT MID-TERM THAT YEAR.
GREAT MID-TERM THAT YEAR.
THEY HAD AN ENORMOUS ENTHUSIASM
EDGE.HAD AN ENORMOUS ENTHUSIASM
EDGE.
IT DISSIPATED BY THE SPRING OF
IT DISSIPATED BY THE SPRING OF
2018, CAME DOWN TO FIVE POINTS
IN 2016.ME DOWN TO FIVE POINTS
IN 2016.
WHEN YOU LOOK AT THIS NUMBER,
WHEN YOU LOOK AT THIS NUMBER,
THE FIRST THING YOU SAY, WOW,
THE FIRST THING YOU SAY, WOW,
THAT IS JUST HUGE.
THAT IS JUST HUGE.
EVERYBODY IS FOLLOWING POLITICS
RIGHT NOW.IS FOLLOWING POLITICS
RIGHT NOW.
DEMOCRAT AND REPUBLICAN.
DEMOCRAT AND REPUBLICAN.
IF YOU THOUGHT THE REPUBLICAN
IF YOU THOUGHT THE REPUBLICAN
BASE WAS GOING TO BE DEFLATED BY
BASE WAS GOING TO BE DEFLATED BY
THAT MID-TERM SETBACK.
THAT MID-TERM SETBACK.
IT WASNT.
IT WASNT.
IF YOU THOUGHT DEMOCRATS WERE
IF YOU THOUGHT DEMOCRATS WERE
GOING TO GO BACK TO SLEEP AFTER
WINNING IN THE MID-TERMS, THEYR
WINNING IN THE MID-TERMS, THEY
HAVENT.
HAVENT.
YOU HAVE THE STAGE SCENE SET FOR
