.
WELCOME BACK WE APPRECIATE
YOU STAYING WITH US ON THIS
EXCITING ELECTION PREVIEW WITH
DR. CRAIG ALBERT, POLITICAL
SCIENTIST FROM AUGUSTA
UNIVERSITY.
DR. ALBERT, WE WERE TALKING
ABOUT WIKILEAKS AND E-MAILS AND
HOW THERE IS THIS CONSTANT FLOW
OF INFORMATION ABOUT THESE
THINGS AS WE LEAD UP TO
TUESDAY.
DO YOU THINK RUSSIA HAS ANYTHING
TO DO WITH THAT OR WITH OUR
ELECTION IN GENERAL? IF SO,
YOUR THOUGHTS ON RUSSIA'S ROLE?
I DON'T KNOW IF RUSSIA HAS
ANYTHING TO DO WITH WIKILEAKS.
AIR INTELLIGENCE COMMUNITIES 99%
SURE THAT RUSH IS RESPONSIBLE
FOR SOME OF THE GOVERNMENT HACKS
WE'VE BASED IN THE PAST YEAR,
18 MONTHS SO 99% PROBABLE IT A
GREAT PROBABILITY.
18 INTELLIGENCE INDUSTRIES IN
THE UNITED STATES.
HIGH LEVELS OF CONFIDENCE WE
KNOW RUSSIA IS POKING AROUND.
WIFE THEY ARE DOING THAT, WE
ARE NOT CERTAIN.
WE KNOW SINCE THE END OF THE
COLD WAR, RUSSIA HAS FELT BADLY
THAT THEY LOST AT THE HANDS OF
THE UNITED STATES.
THEY HAVE FELT BAD THAT THEY
HAVE BEEN OUT OF THE GREAT POWER
SCHEME IN THE INTERNATIONAL
SPHERE AND DYING TO GET BACK
INTO THAT LEVEL.
THEY WANT TO BE A GREAT POWER,
RUSSIA HAS ALWAYS WANTED TO BE
A GREAT POWER AND MEDDLING IN
ANOTHER COUNTRY'S DOMESTIC
ELECTIONS IS A WAY TO HELP THEM
GAIN UPPER HAND, TO SHOW THAT
THEY ARE A FORCE TO BE RECKONED
WITH IF THEY CAN ACTUALLY
MANIPULATE SOME OF OUR DATA,
HACK INTO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES,
THAT IS SOMETHING THAT MUST BE
TAKEN SERIOUSLY.
WHO DO THEY FEAR OR DISLIKE
MORE, CLINTON OR TRUMP?
I THINK BOTH DANCERS WOULD
BE CLINTON.
THEY FEAR AND DISLIKE HILLARY
CLINTON.
THEY DON'T WANT HER IN.
THEY DO NOT WANT HER IN.
WE HAVE HAD SOME INTELLIGENCE
REPORTS COMING OUT OF RUSSIA
AND FRANKLY THERE FOREIGN
MINISTER WAS QUITE FRANK ABOUT
IT THAT PRESIDENT PUTIN FEARS
HILLARY CLINTON, THAT SHE WANTS
TO CREATE SOME TYPE OF
INTERNATIONAL INCIDENTS WITH
RUSSIA.
IN INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS
THEORY AND SECURITY STUDIES,
THE IDEA OF WAR IS TERRIFYING
TO STATE LEADERS.
WHAT THEY FEAR IS UNKNOWN,
OFTEN WHEN THEY DON'T KNOW
WHERE THE FEAR OF THE WORST OF
A POTENTIAL LEADER OF ANOTHER
STATE THEY PREEMPT THAT.
IF PRESENT THINKS CLINTON
DOESN'T LIKE HIM HE MIGHT
BECOME VERY AGGRESSIVE TO OFFSET
THAT, TO CREATE A MILITARY
STRATEGY TERMS, 1st STRIKE
ADVANTAGE.
THIS CAN BE SOMETHING QUITE
TERRIFYING.
WE ARE AT THE HEIGHT OF OUR
NUCLEAR FOR TAT RIGHT NOW MORE
THAN WE HAVE EVER BEEN SINCE
THE END OF THE COLD WAR.
RUSSIA REDEPLOYING MISSILES WE
ARE PUTTING FORCES ON CERTAIN
MODES OF ESCALATION TO PREPARE,
WE ARE NOT SURE WHAT PRESIDENT
PUTIN MIGHT DO WITH THE BALKAN
STATES WE ARE NOT -- WE KNOW
HE'S NOT OVER THE BALKAN STATES
EVERYONE IS TERRIFIED OF WHAT
RUSSIAN CAN DO AND PUTIN FEARS
CLINTON WILL STOP HIS POLICIES.
DO YOU EXPECT ANY
DEVELOPMENTS FROM RUSSIA
BETWEEN NOW AND TUESDAY?
KIND OF TOO LAID ON THAT FRONT
WHAT THEY MAY OR MAY NOT HAVE
DONE HAS ALREADY HAPPENED.
MAYBE.
THEY HAVE DEPLOYED THEIR LARGEST
FLEET INCLUDING THEIR AIRCRAFT
CARRIER TOWARD SYRIA.
IT SHOULD BE THERE THIS WEEKEND
. SHOULD BE THERE BY MONDAY.
WE DON'T KNOW WHAT THEY WILL
DO.
THEY ARE THERE FOR AIR SUPPORT
AGAINST INDIVIDUALS RUSSIA
DISLIKES ON THE GROUND AND OF
COURSE SUPPORT THE ASSAD
REGIME.
WE DO NOT SUPPORT THE REGIME.
SOMETHING CATASTROPHIC COULD
HAPPEN BETWEEN A MIDAIR
COLLISION, ACCIDENT, SHOOT DOWN
RUSSIAN FORCES AND UNITED
STATES FORCES, WHO KNOWS WHERE
THAT WOULD TAKE THE AMERICAN
ELECTORATE.
I THINK WE CAN ALL SAY WE DON'T
WANT WAR ANYMORE, WE ARE KIND
OF TIRED.
WE HAVE BEEN IN MORE
CONSISTENTLY FOR 15 YEARS NOW.
NOT SURE WHO THAT WOULD BENEFIT
, TRUMP, WHO HAS TENDED TO BE
MORE ISOLATIONIST IN HIS TONE
BUT VERY THREATENING TOWARDS
ISIS AND THOSE PEOPLE THAT
WOULD JOSE PROBLEM TO UNITED
STATES.
CLINTON IS VERY HAWKISH SO I'M
NOT SURE WHO THAT WOULD BENEFIT
IF RUSSIA DID THAT.
WE KNOW PUTIN LIKES TRUMP.
I THINK HE LIKES TRUMP BECAUSE
PUTIN BELIEVES HE CAN CONTROL
THE SITUATION BETWEEN THE
UNITED STATES AND RUSSIA OF
TRUMP WINDS.
FIRST OF ALL THE SUPREME
COURT IS THERE A CHANCE
PRESIDENT OBAMA CAN FILL THE
VACANCY BEFORE HE IS OUT OF
OFFICE OR IS IT TOTALLY THE NEW
PERSON?
OF CLINTON WINS, HE CAN FILL
THE VACANCY PRETTY QUICKLY.
BECAUSE THE IDEA WOULD BE GO
AHEAD AND SUPPORT THIS NOMINEE
BECAUSE CLINTON WILL DO IT
ANYWAY.
OF CLINTON WINS WITH A
DEMOCRAT-CONTROLLED SENATE OR
JUST OF CLINTON WINS.
JUST OF CLINTON WINS.
WE HAVE TO FILL THAT WE NEED
THAT NINTH PERSON, IT HAS BEEN
WAY TOO LONG ALREADY HE MIGHT
SAY STOP TRYING TO HOLD US UP
REPUBLICANS, YOU WILL LOOK BADLY
IF YOU DO HOLD IT UP BECAUSE
YOU DEFINITELY HAVE A
DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENT COMING IN.
I THINK IT WILL BE GOOD FOR
OBAMA.
TELL ME WHAT MILLENNIALS CAN
OR CANNOT DO?
I KNOW YOU MENTIONED THERE HIGH
IMPORTANCE IN THE SELECTION THE
LAST TIME WE TALKED, WHAT DO
YOU THINK ABOUT MILLENNIALS AND
THEIR ROLE IN WHO ARE YOUR
STUDENTS VOTING FOR?
NOW THAT BERNIE SANDERS IS
OUT?
MY STUDENTS ARE FED UP.
IN A SAD TO BE A POLITICAL
SCIENTIST AND TELL YOUR
STUDENTS TO WATCH THE DEBATES,
THE FIRST CHANCE, GLIMPSE OF
AMERICAN POLITICS. I TEACH
AMERICAN POLITICS IS SACRED,
SUCH A GREAT PHILOSOPHICAL
ENTITY, OUR CONSTITUTION AND WE
SHOULD RESPECT IT AND PAY GREAT
ATTENTION TO POLITICS AND THEY
COME BACK FROM WATCHING THE
DEBATES AND I ASKED IN THE
WATCH AND THEY ARE WHAT YOU
TALKING ABOUT THIS IS TERRIBLE.
SO THEY ACTUALLY DON'T LIKE
EITHER CANDIDATE RIGHT NOW. I
HAVE SOME EXPERIENCE IN CLASS I
HAVE THEM FOCUS ON DOMESTIC
ISSUES ESPECIALLY FOREIGN
POLICY ISSUES.
SOME FAVOR TRUMP'S FOREIGN-
POLICY, AND MANY OF COURSE
FAVOR CLINTON'S FAVOR --
FOREIGN-POLICY IS ALMOST 50/50
RIGHT NOW AND I THINK POLLS
SHOW THEY DON'T KNOW MOST ARE
INDEPENDENT, ANYBODY CAN GET
THEM RIGHT NOW BUT MILLENNIALS
COULD CHANGE THE FORECAST OF
THE ELECTION.
WILL WE HAVE A WINNER ON
ELECTION A?
I THINK TWO WAYS THIS COULD
PLAY OUT.
A LANDSLIDE FOR CLINTON OR
SOMETHING THAT WE HAVEN'T
EXPERIENCED IN A VERY LONG TIME
IN AMERICAN HISTORY WHICH WOULD
BE AN ELECTORAL COLLEGE TIE
THAT WOULD FORCE THE HOUSE OF
REPRESENTATIVES TO DECIDE WHO
IS THE NEXT PRESIDENT OF NET
STATES.
THAT CAN ONLY HAPPEN IF THERE
IS A TIE IN THE ELECTORAL
COLLEGE.
MOST PRETTY CLINTON WITH A
LARGE POPULAR VOTE LEAD BUT
TRUMP DOES HALF IN THE
ELECTORAL COLLEGE IN THE PAST
TWO WEEKS HIS POTENTIAL
VICTORIES IN ELECTORAL COLLEGE
OF INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY AND
CLINTON HAS GONE DOWN.
EITHER POLLSTERS KNOW WHAT THEY
ARE DOING AND CLINTON WILL RUN
AWAY WITH A LANDSLIDE OR THERE
IS THE TRUMP HIDDEN ELEMENT OF
PEOPLE NOT BEING TRUTHFUL ABOUT
WHOM THEY ARE VOTING AND THEY
WILL COME OUT AND LEVEL THE
PLANE FIELD A LITTLE BIT MORE,
RESULTING IN A POTENTIAL. TO
ANSWER YOUR QUESTION, MAYBE.
THAT IS WHAT MAKES IT SO
EXCITING.
WE WILL BE WATCHING.
I KNOW YOU AND YOUR STUDENTS
WILL END WE WILL GET YOU BACK
RIGHT AFTER.
EXCELLENT.
THANK YOU, DR. ALBA.
THANK YOU.
