Hey guys! Ben Pearson the Roadster Tracker. I
just kind of wanted to issue a little
bit of a retraction. So we've been
talking a couple of videos about how in 2022
2022 give or take a year there's a predicted explosion
where two stars were going to
come so close that they effectively
merge and created a Red Nova. Well it
turns out that this prediction was made
using some faulty data and while these
two stars are still coming closer and
closer together,
they're not gonna merge in 2022.
Most likely it will probably happen sometime
the next thousand or so years.
But what happened is somebody had written some
data down wrong in 1999, and the people
studying this had taken this data. And
using the incorrect value, which was off
by 12 hours, and extrapolated that
forward and found that these objects
were getting much much closer with time.
It turns out this one data point that
was wrong from 1999 had a significant
effect in the outcome of the final date.
And while we don't have a future
predicted date when they're colliding yet,
it's still going to be quite a bit
into the future.
So, the bottom line is this is how science works.
People propose an idea they sent it to be published.
They have the people review it to make sure that the methodology looks sound,
and then they invite other people to question the results. And there have been a few people
who have questioned the results from
this paper.
But this is the first one that's credible,
and even the author of
the paper agrees with this result that
the original data from 1999 that they
used was incorrect.
So, what does this mean?
Well, we're not gonna get our big
explosion, which is a pity.
But, it'll still happen sooner or later.
Hopefully we'll see a supernova in our lifetimes.
It'd be really neat to see
something at the magnitude -10 or
something so visible you can
see it, during the night, ere, during the day
but so far we're just not there.
Thank you guys very much for all your concern,
and for everything! Let me know whatever
questions or comments you guys have about this.
Until next time keep on
tracking! Take care!
